• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean expected width

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On Prediction Intervals for Binomial Data (이항자료에 대한 예측구간)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.943-952
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    • 2013
  • Wald, Agresti-Coull, Jeffreys, and Bayes-Laplace methods are commonly used for confidence interval of binomial proportion are applied for prediction intervals. We used coverage probability, mean coverage probability, root mean squared error, and mean expected width for numerical comparisons. From the comparisons, we found that Wald is not proper as for confidence interval and Agresti-Coull is too conservative to differ from confidence interval. However, Jeffrey and Bayes-Laplace are good for prediction interval and Jeffrey is especially desirable as for confidence interval.

On prediction intervals for binomial data (이항자료에 대한 예측구간)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.579-588
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    • 2021
  • Wald, Agresti-Coull, Jeffreys, and Bayes-Laplace methods are commonly used for confidence interval of binomial proportion are applied for prediction intervals. We used coverage probability, mean coverage probability, root mean squared error, and mean expected width for numerical comparisons. From the comparisons, we found that Wald is not proper as for confidence interval and Agresti-Coull is too conservative to differ from confidence interval. However, Jeffrey and Bayes-Laplace are good for prediction interval and Jeffrey is especially desirable as for confidence interval.

Sequential Estimation of variable width confidence interval for the mean

  • Kim, Sung Lai
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2001
  • Let {Xn, n = 1,2,${\cdots}$} be i.i.d. random variables with the only unknown parameters mean ${\mu}$ and variance a ${\sigma}^2$. We consider a sequential confidence interval C1 for the mean with coverage probability 1-${\alpha}$ and expected length of confidence interval $E_{\theta}$(Length of CI)/${\mid}{\mu}{\mid}{\leq}k$ (k : constant) and give some asymptotic properties of the stopping time in various limiting situations.

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Determination of Design Width for Medium Streams in the Han River Basin (한강유역의 중소하천에 대한 계획하폭 산정)

  • Jeon, Se-Jin;An, Tae-Jin;Park, Jeong-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.675-684
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the empirical formulas for determining the design-width for medium rivers in the Han river basin. The design flood, the watershed ares, and the channel slope of 216 medium rivers in the Han river basin are collected. the design width formulas are then determined by 1) the least squares (LS) method, 2)the least median squares (LMS) method, and 3) the reweighted least squares method based on the LMS (RLS). The six types of formulas are considered to determine the acceptable type for medium streams in the Han river basin. The root mean squared errors (RMSE), the absolute mean (AME) errors, and the mean errors (ME) are computed to test the formulas derived by three regression methods. It si found that the equation related stream width to the watershed area and the channel slope is acceptable for determining the design width for medium streams in the Han river basin. It is expected that the equations proposed by this study be used an index for determining the design-width for medium streams in the Han river basin.

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Confidence Intervals for a tow Binomial Proportion (낮은 이항 비율에 대한 신뢰구간)

  • Ryu Jae-Bok;Lee Seung-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.217-230
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    • 2006
  • e discuss proper confidence intervals for interval estimation of a low binomial proportion. A large sample surveys are practically executed to find rates of rare diseases, specified industrial disaster, and parasitic infection. Under the conditions of 0 < p ${\leq}$ 0.1 and large n, we compared 6 confidence intervals with mean coverage probability, root mean square error and mean expected widths to search a good one for interval estimation of population proportion p. As a result of comparisons, Mid-p confidence interval is best and AC, score and Jeffreys confidence intervals are next.

Horizontal Ratio of the Korean University Student's Face and Facial Golden Mask (황금 분할 마스크를 이용한 대학생 안면의 수평적 분석)

  • Lee, Jun Ho;Park, Gun Wook;Kim, Yong Ha
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.514-520
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: Many attempts have been made to describe ideal facial proportions for over two thousands year and constantly lasted till now. Dr. Marquardt has derived supposedly ideal facial proportions from the facial golden mask using golden ratio of 1 : 1.618. On the other hand, facial reducing surgeries such as mandible angle reduction are popularized in Asia because the width of mid and lower face of Korean is recognized to be wider. The purpose is to analyze characters of Korean university students' faces in horizontal plane and establish the objective data for facial width distributions and clinical applications. Methods: We applied the facial golden mask to the photographs in 1000 cases, compared the width of mid and lower face between the facial golden mask and Korean university students' faces. And we first calculated the horizontal ratio(HR) of middle and lower face each for using comparative scale of width, facial golden mask. We divided 1,000 cases into 3 groups by degrees of HR and analyzed data of HR on each groups. Using calculated horizontal ratio, we newly invented the cumulative frequency of distribution graphs in Korean university students' faces. Results: Mean data of HR were over 1.0 in all groups, which means that Korean university students' faces are typically wider than facial golden mask in horizontal planes. And this study was statistically significant(p- value < 0.05). Clinically using the cumulative frequency distributions of Korean university students' face width, we can easily explain changes of facial width to patient after facial reducing surgery and describe the changes into objective data. Conclusion: This study concludes thatKorean university students' faces are wider than facial golden mask is significantly true and the cumulative frequency of distribution graphs are expected to be widely used for comparison of results in facial reducing surgery.

Confidence Interval for Sensitive Binomial Attribute : Direct Question Method and Indirect Question Method (민감한 이항특성에 대한 신뢰구간 : 직접질문법과 간접질문법)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2015
  • We discuss confidence intervals for sensitive binomial attributes obtained by a direct question method and indirect question method. The Randomized Response Technique(RRT) by Warner (1965) is an indirect question method that uses a randomization device to reduce the response burden of respondents. We used the mean coverage probability (MCP), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean expected width (MEW) to compare the confidence intervals by the two methods. The numerical comparisons indicated found that the MEW of RRT is too large and the RRT is so conservative that the MCP exceeds a nominal level(${\alpha}$); therefore, it is necessary to complement these problem in order to increase the utility of the indirect question method.

Comparison of Lines From Anther and Maternally-derived Dihaploids in Flue-cured Tobacco(Nicotiana tabacum L.)

  • Chung, Yun-Hwa;Keum, Wan-Soo;Choi, Sang-Ju;Cho, Myung-Cho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.82-88
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    • 1999
  • The present study was conducted to compare the relative efficiency of two different haploid breeding methods in tobacco varietal development. A single FI hybrid plant from cross of two flue-cured cultivars of Nicotiana tabacum L., Bright Yellow4(BY4) and NC95, was used to develop the 30 anther derived dihaploid (ADH) lines and maternally-derived dihaploid (MDH) lines utilizing Nicotiana africana, respectively. As compared with mid-parent, mean of ADH lines showed increase in number of leaves, delay in days to flower and narrow in width of leaf. However, no significant differences in the other investigated characters were recognized. MDH lines also showed narrow width of leaf, while no significant differences in the other characters were observed. The variations of the investigated characters were generally greater in ADH than MDH lines. MDH lines had higher height of plant and shorter days to flower than ADH lines, while the other characters did not show remarkable differences. The degree of heritability for each of the characters observed between ADH and MDH was almost the same. The characters showing high heritability value were height of plant, number of leaves, days to flower, and yield, while those showing relatively low value were length of leaf, width of leaf, and total alkaloid content. Predicted gains from selection for increased yield were calculated for both populations(ADH, MDH) and correlated responses associated with selection for yield were estimated. Height of plant, width of leaf, days to flower, and concentration of reduceing sugar would be expected to improve with selection for yield much faster in the MDH population than in the ADH.

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Comparison of Cone Model Parameters for Halo Coronal Mass Ejections

  • Na, Hyeon-Ock;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.96.1-96.1
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    • 2011
  • Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) are major cause of the geomagnetic storms. To minimize the projection effect by coronagraph observations, we consider two CME cone models: an ice-cream cone model and an asymmetric cone model. These models allow us to determine three dimensional parameters of HCMEs such as radial speed, angular width, and the angle between sky plane and cone axis. In this study, we compare these parameters obtained from both models using 50 well-observed HCMEs from 2001 to 2002. Then we obtain the root mean square error (RMS error) between measured projection speeds and estimated ones for the models. As a result, we find that the radial speeds obtained from the models are well correlated with each other (R=0.89), and the correlation coefficient of angular width is 0.68. The correlation coefficient of the angle between sky plane and cone axis is 0.42, which is much smaller than what is expected. The reason may be due to the fact that the source locations of the asymmetric cone model are assumed to be near the center. The average RMS error of the asymmetric cone model (86.2km/s) is slightly smaller than that of the ice-cream cone model (88.6km/s).

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Analysis of efficiency of fishing operation by the change in the size of coastal composite fishing boat (연안복합어선의 크기 변화에 따른 어로작업 효율 분석)

  • KIM, Min-Son;HWANG, Bo-Kyu;CHANG, Ho-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.126-137
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    • 2020
  • This study collected and analyzed the fishing process of existing fishing boat and newly built fishing boat by using the video observation methods to understand the improvement of fishing operation efficiency and safety according to the scale change of coastal composite fishing boat. The fishing operation efficiency was calculated by analyzing the frequency of movement, the movement distance and the moving time per basket used in the fishing process to derive the improvement of the newly built fishing boat compared to the existing fishing boat. It was confirmed that the mean frequency of movements decreased to 13.9%, the average moving time decreased to 21.8%, the mean movement distance increased to 20.5% and the movement through the top of gunwale did not occur. Movement of frequency, increased and time according to the fishing operation were directly affected by the width of side passages and the presence or absence of walking obstruction such as bulwark stay, hatch coaming and fishing gears on deck. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data for redesigning into a safe and efficient coastal composite fishing boat in the future.