• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean areal precipitation

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Comparasion of Flow Analysis from Mean Areal and Distributed Precipitation by Using GRM (GRM 모형을 이용한 면적평균 강우와 분포형 강우의 유출해석 비교)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tak;Choi, Yun-Seok;Lee, Hyo-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1206-1210
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 분포형 강우와 면적평균강우의 적용에 따른 유출해석 결과의 분석을 위해서 물리적 분포형 모형인 HyGIS-GRM을 이용하여 유역 대부분이 산지로 이루어져 있는 낙동강 위천 유역을 대상으로 유출모의를 수행하였다. 강우자료는 지상 강우관측소의 지점강우 자료를 이용하여 생성한 면적평균강우와 면봉산 레이더 관측소 강우 자료를 조전부합성법으로 보정한 분포형 강우자료를 이용하였다. 위천 유역의 무성수위관측소와 미성 수위관측소 지점에 대해서 유출모의를 수행하고 관측 수문곡선과 비교하였으며, 면적평균강우과 분포형 강우가 GRM을 이용한 유출모의에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 연구결과 분포형 강우를 이용한 경우가 면적평균강우를 이용한 경우에 비해서 첨두유량, 첨두시간, 총유출량에서 상대오차가 감소하는 경향을 나타내었으며, 따라서 물리적 분포형 모형을 이용한 유출모의시 분포형 강우는 면적평균강우에 비해서 실제의 강우현상을 좀 더 잘 유출해석에 반영할 수 있는 것으로 평가되었다.

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Studies on the Some Hydrological Quantities of Principal Locations in the Basin of Geum River(I) (금강유역(錦江流域) 주요지점(主要地点)의 제(諸) 수문량(水文量)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)(I))

  • Ahn, Byoung Gi;Cho, Seung Seup
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.281-300
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    • 1975
  • The precipitation data and water level data in twenty-four sampling places, to investigate same hydrological quantities along the basin of Geum River, have been analyzed, and the findings for the first report are summarized as follows. 1. The mean annual precipitation in the basin of Geum River is of 1203mm, and the areal weight of areal rainfall by Thiessen's method shows as Table 1. 2. The areas where have maximum annual precipitation of 1501 to 2000mm, are seventeen placed among twentyfour gauging stations, and it is founded to be the highest rate with 71 percents. The precipitation of below 1500mm is measured in the other three statinons, and that of above 2001mm in four stations, too. 3. The areas where have maximum rainfall of 201 to 300mm within a day, are fifteen places, and that comes in the highest rate of distribution with 63 percents. 4. As to distribution of the places with maximum rainfall of below and above 300mm within two days, it shows respectively 50 percents. 5. The areas where have maximum rainfall of 301 to 400mm within three days, are fifteen places, and it is the highest rate of distribution with 63 percents. 6. The fourteen places have maximum rainfall of 401 to 600mm within a continuous day, it is the highest rate of distribution with 58 percents. 7. Table 5 shows probable maximum rainfall within a day, and it does the most rainfall a long the upper stream of Daecheong dam site around Muju, and the next shows in the areas around Ganggyeung, Gongju and Buyeu. 8. During irrigation period on paddy corp, for 100 days from early ten days in June to early ten days in September the areas where have rainfall of 601 to 800mm are sixteen places, and it is the highest rate of distribution with 76 percents, as Table 6 9. The areas where have effective rainfall of 501 to 600mm, are fifteen places, and it is the highest rate of distribution with 71 percents. Thirteen places have the effective ratio of 66 to 75 percents, and it means 62 percents of distribution, and the next, 76 to 85 percents in the seven places, and it comes 33 percents. 10. The areas where have probable effective rainfall of 401 to 500mm, are fourteen places, which is about 100mm less than mean effective rainfall in each area, and that comes 67 percents of distribution. 11. A particular year can not be appointed as once -in-10 year drought in the same year as a whole in the basin of Geum River. 12. The basin of Geum River, s/S being 0.53 to 0.74, has relatively proper conditions in the aspect of water resources.

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Utility of Climate Model Information For Water Resources Management in Korea

  • Jeong, Chang-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2008
  • It is expected that conditions of water resources will be changed in Korea in accordance with world wide climate change. In order to deal with this problem and find a way of minimizing the effect of future climate change, the usefulness of climate model simulation information is examined in this study. The objective of this study is to assess the applicability of GCM (General Circulation Model) information for Korean water resources management through uncertainty analysis. The methods are based on probabilistic measures of the effectiveness of GCM simulations of an indicator variable for discriminating high versus low regional observations of a target variable. The formulation uses the significance probability of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for detecting differences between two variables. An estimator that accounts for climate model simulation and spatial association between the GCM data and observed data is used. Atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) simulations done by ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) with a resolution of $2^{\circ}{\times}2^{\circ}$, and METRI (Meteorological Research Institute, Korea) with resolutions of $2^{\circ}{\times}2^{\circ}$ and $4^{\circ}{\times}5^{\circ}$, were used for indicator variables, while observed mean areal precipitation (MAP) data, discharge data and mean areal temperature data on the seven major river basins in Korea were used for target variables. The results show that GCM simulations are useful in discriminating the high from the low of the observed precipitation, discharge, and temperature values. Temperature especially can be useful regardless of model and season.

Assessment of Radar AWS Rainrate for Streamflow Simulation on Ungauged Basin (미계측 유역의 유출모의를 위한 RAR 자료의 적용성 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Byong-Ju;Ko, Hye-Young;Chang, Ki-Ho;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.9
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    • pp.721-730
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to assess the availability of streamflow simulation using Radar-AWS Rain rate (RAR) data which is produced by KMA on real-time. Chuncheon dam upstream basin is selected as study area and total area is 4859.73 $km^2$. Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP) using AWS and RAR are calculated on 5 subbasin. The correlationship of hourly MAPs between AWS and RAR is weak on ungauged subbasins but that is relatively high on gauged ones. We evaluated the simulated discharge using the MAPs derived from two data types during flood season from 2006 to 2009. The simulated discharges using AWS on Chuncheon dam (gauged basin) are well fitted with measured ones. In some cases, however, discharges using AWS on Hwacheon dam and Pyeonghwa dam with some ungauged subbasins are overestimated on the other hand, ones using RAR in the same case are well fitted with measured ones. The hourly RAR data is useful for the real-time river forecast on the ungauged basin in view of the results.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ABOUT THE METHODS OF UTILIZING THE HIGH RESOLUTION CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATION FOR KOREAN WATER RESOURCES PLANNING (II) : NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS

  • Jeong, Chang-Sam;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2005
  • Two kinds of high resolution GCMs with the same spatial resolutions but with different schemes run by domestic and foreign agencies are used to clarify the usefulness and sensitivity of GCM for water resources applications for Korea. One is AMIP-II (Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project-II) type GCM simulation results done by ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) and the other one is AMIP-I type GCM simulation results done by METRI (Korean Meteorological Research Institute). Observed mean areal precipitation, temperature, and discharge values on 7 major river basins were used for target variables. Monte Carlo simulation was used to establish the significance of the estimator values. Sensitivity analyses were done in accordance with the proposed ways. Through the various tests, discrimination condition is sensitive for the distribution of the data. Window size is sensitive for the data variation and the area of the basins. Discrimination abilities of each nodal value affects on the correct association. In addition to theses sensitivity analyses results, we also noticed some characteristics of each GCM. For Korean water resources, monthly and small window setting analyses are recommended using GCMs.

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A development of multisite hourly rainfall simulation technique based on neyman-scott rectangular pulse model (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse 모형 기반의 다지점 강수모의 기법 개발)

  • Moon, Jangwon;Kim, Janggyeong;Moon, Youngil;Kwon, Hyunhan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.11
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    • pp.913-922
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    • 2016
  • A long-term precipitation record is typically required for establishing the reliable water resources plan in the watershed. However, the observations in the hourly precipitation data are not always consistent and there are missing values within the time series. This study aims to develop a hourly rainfall simulator for extending rainfall data, based on the well-known Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model (NSRPM). Moreover, this study further suggests a multisite hourly rainfall simulator to better reproduce areal rainfalls for the watershed. The proposed model was validated with a network of five weather stations in the Uee-stream watershed in Seoul. The proposed model appeared a reasonable result in terms of reproducing most of the statistics (i.e. mean, variance and lag-1 autocovariance) of the rainfall time series at various aggregation levels and the spatial coherence over the weather stations.

Application of Artificial Neural Network to Improve Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts of Meso-scale Numerical Weather Prediction (중규모수치예보자료의 정량적 강수추정량 개선을 위한 인공신경망기법)

  • Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Bong-Ki
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2011
  • For the purpose of enhancing usability of NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction), the quantitative precipitation prediction scheme was suggested. In this research, precipitation by leading time was predicted using 3-hour rainfall accumulation by meso-scale numerical weather model and AWS (Automatic Weather Station), precipitation water and relative humidity observed by atmospheric sounding station, probability of rainfall occurrence by leading time in June and July, 2001 and August, 2002. Considering the nonlinear process of ranfall producing mechanism, the ANN (Artificial Neural Network) that is useful in nonlinear fitting between rainfall and the other atmospheric variables. The feedforward multi-layer perceptron was used for neural network structure, and the nonlinear bipolaractivation function was used for neural network training for converting negative rainfall into no rain value. The ANN simulated rainfall was validated by leading time using Nash-Sutcliffe Coefficient of Efficiency (COE) and Coefficient of Correlation (CORR). As a result, the 3 hour rainfall accumulation basis shows that the COE of the areal mean of the Korean peninsula was improved from -0.04 to 0.31 for the 12 hr leading time, -0.04 to 0.38 for the 24 hr leading time, -0.03 to 0.33 for the 36 hr leading time, and -0.05 to 0.27 for the 48 hr leading time.

Dam Break Analysis with HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS (HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS를 이용한 댐 붕괴 해석)

  • Hong, Seung-Jin;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kyung, Min-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4B
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2009
  • This study simulates the dam break situation by a probable maximum precipitation of Soyang-River Dam using HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model and compares the simulated results. The probable maximum precipitation was calculated using the flood event of the typhoon Rusa occurred in 2002 and using the mean areal precipitation of the Gangreung region and the moisture maximization method. The estimated probable maximum precipitations were compared for the duration of 6, 12, 18, and 24 hrs and were used as input data for the HEC-HMS model. Moreover, the inflow data calculated by HEC-HMS were utilized as ones for HEC-RAS, and then unsteady flow analysis was conducted. The two models were used for the dam break analysis with the same conditions and the peak flow estimated by HEC-HMS was larger than that of the HEC-RAS model. The applicability of two models was performed from the dam break analysis then we found that we could simulate more realistic peak flow by HEC-RAS than HEC-HMS. However, when we need more fast simulation results we could use HEC-HMS. Therefore, we may need the guidelines for the different utilizations with different purposes of two models. Furthermore, since the two models still include uncertainties, it is important to establish more detailed topographical factors and data reflecting actual rivers.

Morphometric Characteristics and Correlation Analysis with Rainfall-runoff in the Han River Basin (한강 유역의 형태학적 특성과 강우-유출의 상관분석)

  • Lee, Ji Haeng;Lee, Woong Hee;Choi, Heung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2018
  • The basin characteristics reflect the attributes of geomorphological pattern of basin and stream networks affect the rainfall-runoff. In order to analyze the relationship between the basin runoff and stream morphometric characteristics, the morphometric characteristics were investigated for 27 water-level observation stations on 19 rivers in the Han River basin using Arc-map. The morphometric characteristics were divided into linear, areal and relief aspects for calculation while the annual mean runoff ratio as a basin response by rainfall was estimated using the measured precipitation and discharge to analyze the rainfall-runoff characteristics. The correlation among the morphometric parameters were schematized to analyze the correlations among them. The multiple regression equation for rainfall-runoff ratio was provided with morphometric parameters of stream length ratio, form factor ratio, shape factor, stream area ratio, and relief ratio and the coefficient of determination was 0.691. The RMSE and MAPE between the measured and the estimated annual runoff rates were found as 0.09, 11.61% respectively, the suggested regression equation showed good estimation.

The PRISM-based Rainfall Mapping at an Enhanced Grid Cell Resolution in Complex Terrain (복잡지형 고해상도 격자망에서의 PRISM 기반 강수추정법)

  • Chung, U-Ran;Yun, Kyung-Dahm;Cho, Kyung-Sook;Yi, Jae-Hyun;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.72-78
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    • 2009
  • The demand for rainfall data in gridded digital formats has increased in recent years due to the close linkage between hydrological models and decision support systems using the geographic information system. One of the most widely used tools for digital rainfall mapping is the PRISM (parameter-elevation regressions on independent slopes model) which uses point data (rain gauge stations), a digital elevation model (DEM), and other spatial datasets to generate repeatable estimates of monthly and annual precipitation. In the PRISM, rain gauge stations are assigned with weights that account for other climatically important factors besides elevation, and aspects and the topographic exposure are simulated by dividing the terrain into topographic facets. The size of facet or grid cell resolution is determined by the density of rain gauge stations and a $5{\times}5km$ grid cell is considered as the lowest limit under the situation in Korea. The PRISM algorithms using a 270m DEM for South Korea were implemented in a script language environment (Python) and relevant weights for each 270m grid cell were derived from the monthly data from 432 official rain gauge stations. Weighted monthly precipitation data from at least 5 nearby stations for each grid cell were regressed to the elevation and the selected linear regression equations with the 270m DEM were used to generate a digital precipitation map of South Korea at 270m resolution. Among 1.25 million grid cells, precipitation estimates at 166 cells, where the measurements were made by the Korea Water Corporation rain gauge network, were extracted and the monthly estimation errors were evaluated. An average of 10% reduction in the root mean square error (RMSE) was found for any months with more than 100mm monthly precipitation compared to the RMSE associated with the original 5km PRISM estimates. This modified PRISM may be used for rainfall mapping in rainy season (May to September) at much higher spatial resolution than the original PRISM without losing the data accuracy.