• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.109-118
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• 2013

We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.

• Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.273-282
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• 2009

Missing data is one of the common problems in building analysis or prediction models using software project data. Missing imputation methods are known to be more effective missing data handling method than deleting methods in small software project data. While K nearest neighbor imputation is a proper missing imputation method in the software project data, it cannot use non-missing information of incomplete project instances. In this paper, we propose an approach to missing data imputation for numerical software project data by combining K nearest neighbor and maximum likelihood estimation; we also extend the average absolute error measure by normalization for accurate evaluation. Our approach overcomes the limitation of K nearest neighbor imputation and outperforms on our real data sets.

• Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.22-28
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• 2003

This paper presents a method for estimating static aerodynamic derivatives by analyzing data obtained from the flying quality evaluation test of a small canard aircraft. The aerodynamic derivatives extracted from maximum likelihood estimation method and from the proposed method in this paper are compared in the same polt. Reliable static aerodynamic derivatives were extracted from a limited number of the flight tests by the proposed method. The parameter data obtained from this method can be used as reference for the conventional parameter identification methods such as maximum likelihood estimation method.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.501-515
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• 2022

Despite the stylized statistical features of returns of financial returns such as fat-tailed distribution and leverage effect, no stochastic volatility models that can explicitly capture these features have been presented in the existing frequentist approach. we propose an approximate parameterization of stochastic volatility models that can explicitly capture the fat-tailed distribution and leverage effect of financial returns and a maximum likelihood estimation of the model using Langrock et al. (2012)'s hidden Markov model approximation in a frequentist approach. Through extensive simulation experiments and an empirical analysis, we present the statistical evidences validating the efficacy and accuracy of proposed parameterization.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.529-536
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• 2016

In this paper we proposed an unsupervised algorithm to estimate the reverberation time (RT) directly from the reverberant speech signal. For estimation process we use maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) which is a very well-known and state of the art method for estimation in the field of signal processing. All existing RT estimation methods are based on the decay rate distribution. The decay rate can be obtained either from the energy envelop decay curve analysis of noise source when it is switch off or from decay curve of impulse response of an enclosure. The analysis of a pre-existing method of reverberation time estimation is the foundation of the proposed method. In one of the state of the art method, the reverberation decay is modeled as a Laplacian distribution. In this paper, the proposed method models the reverberation decay as a Gamma distribution along with the unification of an effective technique for spotting free decay in reverberant speech. Maximum likelihood estimation technique is then used to estimate the RT from the free decays. The method was motivated by our observation that the RT of a reverberant signal when falls in specific range, then the decay rate of the signal follows Gamma distribution. Experiments are carried out on different reverberant speech signal to measure the accuracy of the suggested method. The experimental results reveal that the proposed method performs better and the accuracy is high in comparison to the state of the art method.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.36 no.6
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• pp.391-398
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• 2023

In this paper, a penalized maximum likelihood estimation (PMLE) method that applies a penalty to increase the accuracy of a basis-screening-based Kriging model (BSKM) is introduced. The maximum order and set of basis functions used in the BSKM are determined according to their importance. In this regard, the cross-validation error (CVE) for the basis functions is employed as an indicator of importance. When constructing the Kriging model (KM), the maximum order of basis functions is determined, the importance of each basis function is evaluated according to the corresponding maximum order, and finally the optimal set of basis functions is determined. This optimal set is created by adding basis functions one by one in order of importance until the CVE of the KM is minimized. In this process, the KM must be generated repeatedly. Simultaneously, hyper-parameters representing correlations between datasets must be calculated through the maximum likelihood evaluation method. Given that the optimal set of basis functions depends on such hyper-parameters, it has a significant impact on the accuracy of the KM. The PMLE method is applied to accurately calculate hyper-parameters. It was confirmed that the accuracy of a BSKM can be improved by applying it to Branin-Hoo problem.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.401-410
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• 2004

We address the problem of parameter estimation in multivariate distributions under ignorable non-monotone missing data. The factoring likelihood method for monotone missing data, termed by Rubin (1974), is extended to a more general case of non-monotone missing data. The proposed method is algebraically equivalent to the Newton-Raphson method for the observed likelihood, but avoids the burden of computing the first and the second partial derivatives of the observed likelihood. Instead, the maximum likelihood estimates and their information matrices for each partition of the data set are computed separately and combined naturally using the generalized least squares method.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.1659-1662
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• 1997

The objective of this paper is to estimate the aerodynamic derivatives of a single turbo-prop aircraft at a specified flight condition for the best deduction of the dynamic characteristics using modified maximum likelihood estimation method whcih is known to be unbiased, efficient, and consistent. The flight test data necessary to the estimation of aerodynamic derivatives is obtained by implementing the six degree of freedom nonlinear flight simulation to consider the effects of several control input types, control deflection amplitudes, and intensity of turbulence. The simulated data is added with the measurement noise, which is regarded as the actual flight test data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.99-109
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• 2009

Negative binomial yield model for semiconductor manufacturing consists of two parameters which are the average number of defects per die and the clustering parameter. Estimating the clustering parameter is quite complex because the parameter has not clear closed form. In this paper, a Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo is proposed to estimate the clustering parameter. To find an appropriate estimation method for the clustering parameter, two typical estimators, the method of moments estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator, and the proposed Bayesian estimator are compared with respect to the mean absolute deviation between the real yield and the estimated yield. Experimental results show that both the proposed Bayesian estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator have excellent performance and the choice of method depends on the purpose of use.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.659-668
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• 2017

The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) can be readily applied to a wide range of situations including applications in medicines, reliability and ecology. It is generally known that the lifetimes of test items may not be recorded exactly. In this paper, therefore, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayes estimation of the entropy of a IWD under generalized progressive hybrid censoring (GPHC) scheme. It is observed that the MLE of the entropy cannot be obtained in closed form, so we have to solve two non-linear equations simultaneously. Further, the Bayes estimators for the entropy of IWD based on squared error loss function (SELF), precautionary loss function (PLF), and linex loss function (LLF) are derived. Since the Bayes estimators cannot be obtained in closed form, we derive the Bayes estimates by revoking the Tierney and Kadane approximate method. We carried out Monte Carlo simulations to compare the classical and Bayes estimators. In addition, two real data sets based on GPHC scheme have been also analysed for illustrative purposes.