• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum likelihood estimates

Search Result 274, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Process Evaluation for Reliability Insurance: An Industrial Case Study

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.401-410
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we calculate the premium rate of reliability insurance policy for brake pads for automobiles using real failure data obtained from use-condition. We try process capability analysis for the manufacturing process of brake-system. We describe the performance factors which have an effect on failure characteristics of brake pads. We also obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of shape and scale parameters of the fitted Weibull distribution for brake pads.

  • PDF

Reliability Insurance Rate-Making for Wiper Motors

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Kwon, Yong-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.49-57
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this paper, we calculate the premium rate of reliability insurance policy for wiper motors under the assumption of Weibull physics of failure. We also describe the performance factors which have an effect on failure characteristics of wiper motors. The maximum likelihood estimates of shape parameter and scale parameter are obtained by using interval censored real data of sample sizes 6 using MINITAB.

  • PDF

Estimation of the Generalized Rayleigh Distribution Parameters

  • Al-khedhairi, A.;Sarhan, Ammar M.;Tadj, L.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-210
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper presents estimations of the generalized Rayleigh distribution model based on grouped and censored data. The maximum likelihood method is used to derive point and asymptotic confidence estimates of the unknown parameters. The results obtained in this paper generalize some of those available in the literature. Finally, we test whether the current model fits a set of real data better than other models.

  • PDF

Efficiency and Robustness of Fully Adaptive Simulated Maximum Likelihood Method

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Kim, Dai-Gyoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.479-485
    • /
    • 2009
  • When a part of data is unobserved the marginal likelihood of parameters given the observed data often involves analytically intractable high dimensional integral and hence it is hard to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters. Simulated maximum likelihood(SML) method which estimates the marginal likelihood via Monte Carlo importance sampling and optimize the estimated marginal likelihood has been used in many applications. A key issue in SML is to find a good proposal density from which Monte Carlo samples are generated. The optimal proposal density is the conditional density of the unobserved data given the parameters and the observed data, and attempts have been given to find a good approximation to the optimal proposal density. Algorithms which adaptively improve the proposal density have been widely used due to its simplicity and efficiency. In this paper, we describe a fully adaptive algorithm which has been used by some practitioners but has not been well recognized in statistical literature, and evaluate its estimation performance and robustness via a simulation study. The simulation study shows a great improvement in the order of magnitudes in the mean squared error, compared to non-adaptive or partially adaptive SML methods. Also, it is shown that the fully adaptive SML is robust in a sense that it is insensitive to the starting points in the optimization routine.

A Comparison of Size and Power of Tests of Hypotheses on Parameters Based on Two Generalized Lindley Distributions

  • Okwuokenye, Macaulay;Peace, Karl E.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.233-239
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study compares two generalized Lindley distributions and assesses consistency between theoretical and analytical results. Data (complete and censored) assumed to follow the Lindley distribution are generated and analyzed using two generalized Lindley distributions, and maximum likelihood estimates of parameters from the generalized distributions are obtained. Size and power of tests of hypotheses on the parameters are assessed drawing on asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimates. Results suggest that whereas size of some of the tests of hypotheses based on the considered generalized distributions are essentially ${\alpha}$-level, some are possibly not; power of tests of hypotheses on the Lindley distribution parameter from the two distributions differs.

Estimation of Random Coefficient AR(1) Model for Panel Data

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.529-544
    • /
    • 1996
  • This paper deals with the problem of estimating the autoregressive random coefficient of a first-order random coefficient autoregressive time series model applied to panel data of time series. The autoregressive random coefficients across individual units are assumed to be a random sample from a truncated normal distribution with the space (-1, 1) for stationarity. The estimates of random coefficients are obtained by an empirical Bayes procedure using the estimates of model parameters. Also, a Monte Carlo study is conducted to support the estimation procedure proposed in this paper. Finally, we apply our results to the economic panel data in Liu and Tiao(1980).

  • PDF

Reliability estimation for shared load model with guarantee time under censoring scheme (중도절단계획 하에서 보증시간을 가지는 부하분배모형의 신뢰도추정)

  • Cha, Young-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.467-474
    • /
    • 2009
  • There are many situations arising in reliability engineering and biomedical science where failure of a subsystem increases the failure rate of other subsystem under shared load models. In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimates and the modified maximum likelihood estimates of mean time to failure and reliability function for shared load model with guarantee time are obtained by using censored system life data. Some illustrative examples are included.

  • PDF

Generalized half-logistic Poisson distributions

  • Muhammad, Mustapha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.353-365
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this article, we proposed a new three-parameter distribution called generalized half-logistic Poisson distribution with a failure rate function that can be increasing, decreasing or upside-down bathtub-shaped depending on its parameters. The new model extends the half-logistic Poisson distribution and has exponentiated half-logistic as its limiting distribution. A comprehensive mathematical and statistical treatment of the new distribution is provided. We provide an explicit expression for the $r^{th}$ moment, moment generating function, Shannon entropy and $R{\acute{e}}nyi$ entropy. The model parameter estimation was conducted via a maximum likelihood method; in addition, the existence and uniqueness of maximum likelihood estimations are analyzed under potential conditions. Finally, an application of the new distribution to a real dataset shows the flexibility and potentiality of the proposed distribution.

Parameters estimation of the generalized linear failure rate distribution using simulated annealing algorithm

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.;Karawia, A.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.91-104
    • /
    • 2012
  • Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

  • PDF

Initialization of Cost Function for ML-Based DOA Estimation (ML 알고리즘 기반의 도래각 추정을 위한 비용 함수의 초기화 방법 비교)

  • Jo, Sang-Ho;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.33 no.1C
    • /
    • pp.110-116
    • /
    • 2008
  • Maximum likelihood(ML) diretion-of-arrival(DOA) estimation is essentially optimization of multivariable nonlinear cost function. Since the final estimate is highly dependent on the initial estimate, an initialization is critical in nonlinear optimization. We propose a multi-dimensional(M-D) search scheme of uniform exhaustive search and improved exhaustive search. Improved exhaustive search is superior to uniform exhaustive search in terms of the computational complexity and the accuracy of the estimates.