• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum Entropy Distribution

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Distribution of Irregular Wave Height in Finite Water Depth (유한수심에서의 불규칙파의 파고 분포)

  • 안경모;마이클오찌
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 1994
  • This study is concerned with an analytic derivation of the probability density function applicable for wave heights in finite water depth using two different methods. As the first method of the study, a probability density function is developed by applying a series of polynomials which is orthogonal with respect to Rayleigh probability density function. The newly derived probability density function is compared with the histogram constructed from wave data obtained in finite water depth which indicate strong non-Gaussian characteristics. Although the probability density represents the histogram very well. it has negative density at large values. Although the magnitude of the negative density is small. it negates the use of the distribution function fer estimating extreme values. As the second method of the study, a probability density function of wave height is developed by applying the maximum entropy method. The probability density function thusly derived agrees very well with the wave height distribution in shallow water, and appears to be useful in estimating extreme values and statistical properties of wave heights in finite water depth. However, a functional relationship between the probability distribution and the non-Gaussian characteristics of the data cannot be obtained by applying the maximum entropy method.

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An Analysis of Fuzzy Survey Data Based on the Maximum Entropy Principle (최대 엔트로피 분포를 이용한 퍼지 관측데이터의 분석법에 관한 연구)

  • 유재휘;유동일
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1998
  • In usual statistical data analysis, we describe statistical data by exact values. However, in modem complex and large-scale systems, it is difficult to treat the systems using only exact data. In this paper, we define these data as fuzzy data(ie. Linguistic variable applied to make the member-ship function.) and Propose a new method to get an analysis of fuzzy survey data based on the maximum entropy Principle. Also, we propose a new method of discrimination by measuring distance between a distribution of the stable state and estimated distribution of the present state using the Kullback - Leibler information. Furthermore, we investigate the validity of our method by computer simulations under realistic situations.

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Prior distributions using the entropy principles (엔트로피 이론을 이용한 사전 확률 분포함수의 추정)

  • Lee, Jung-Jin;Shin, Wan-Seon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 1990
  • Several practical prior distributions are derived using the maximum entropy principle. Also, an interactive method for estimating a prior distribution which uses the minimum cross-entropy principle is proposed when there are many prior informations. The consistency of the prior distributions obtained by the entropy principles is discussed.

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Estimation of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on multiply Type-I hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we derive some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on the multiply Type-I hybrid censoring scheme. We assume that the shape parameter λ is known. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter σ. The scale parameter is estimated by approximating the given likelihood function using two different Taylor series expansions since the likelihood equation is not explicitly solved. We also obtain Bayes estimators using prior distribution. To obtain the Bayes estimators, we use the squared error loss function and general entropy loss function (shape parameter q = -0.5, 1.0). We also derive interval estimation such as the asymptotic confidence interval, the credible interval, and the highest posterior density interval. Finally, we compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error through Monte Carlo simulation. The average length of 95% intervals and the corresponding coverage probability are also obtained.

Predicting the Potential Distribution of Pinus densiflora and Analyzing the Relationship with Environmental Variable Using MaxEnt Model (MaxEnt 모형을 이용한 소나무 잠재분포 예측 및 환경변수와 관계 분석)

  • Cho, NangHyun;Kim, Eun-Sook;Lee, Bora;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kang, Sinkyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • Decline of pine forests happens in Korea due to various disturbances such as insect pests, forest fires and extreme climate, which may further continue with ongoing climate change. For conserving and reestablishing pine forests, understanding climate-induced future shifts of pine tree distribution is a critical concern. This study predicts future geographical distribution of Pinus densiflora, using Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt). Input data of the model are locations of pine tree stands and their environmental variables such as climate were prepared for the model inputs. Alternative future projections for P. densiflora distribution were conducted with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. As results, the future distribution of P. densiflora steadily decreased under both scenarios. In the case of RCP 8.5, the areal reductions amounted to 11.1% and 18.7% in 2050s and 2070s, respectively. In 2070s, P. densiflora mainly remained in Kangwon and Gyeongsang Provinces. Changes in temperature seasonality and warming winter temperature contributed primarily for the decline of P. densiflora., in which altitude also exerted a critical role in determining its future distribution geographic vulnerability. The results of this study highlighted the temporal and spatial contexts of P. densiflora decline in Korea that provides useful ecological information for developing sound management practices of pine forests.

Analysis and estimation of species distribution of Mythimna seperata and Cnaphalocrocis medinalis with land-cover data under climate change scenario using MaxEnt (MaxEnt를 활용한 기후변화와 토지 피복 변화에 따른 멸강나방 및 혹명나방의 한국 내 분포 변화 분석과 예측)

  • Taechul Park;Hojung Jang;SoEun Eom;Kimoon Son;Jung-Joon Park
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.214-223
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    • 2022
  • Among migratory insect pests, Mythimna seperata and Cnaphalocrocis medinalis are invasive pests introduced into South Korea through westerlies from southern China. M. seperata and C. medinalis are insect pests that use rice as a host. They injure rice leaves and inhibit rice growth. To understand the distribution of M. seperata and C. medinalis, it is important to understand environmental factors such as temperature and humidity of their habitat. This study predicted current and future habitat suitability models for understanding the distribution of M. seperata and C. medinalis. Occurrence data, SSPs (Shared Socio-economic Pathways) scenario, and RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) were applied to MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy), a machine learning model among SDM (Species Distribution Model). As a result, M. seperata and C. medinalis are aggregated on the west and south coasts where they have a host after migration from China. As a result of MaxEnt analysis, the contribution was high in the order of Land-cover data and DEM (Digital Elevation Model). In bioclimatic variables, BIO_4 (Temperature seasonality) was high in M. seperata and BIO_2 (Mean Diurnal Range) was found in C. medinalis. The habitat suitability model predicted that M. seperata and C. medinalis could inhabit most rice paddies.

Habitat Analysis of Hyla suweonensis in the Breeding Season Using Species Distribution Modeling (종분포모형을 이용한 수원청개구리의 번식기 서식지 분석)

  • Song, Wonkyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2015
  • Hyla suweonensis is an endemic species and is designated as the only endangered species I among amphibians in 2012 by the Ministry of Environment, however studies about its habitat are lacking. This study was carried out to analyze habitat of H. suweonensis based on the spatial information using Maxent (Maximum entropy model as a species distribution model. We detected 45 present points until 2013 and 10 environmental variables by literature review for the model. The results showed that $429km^2$ (0.95%) of the study area, which was about 7.75% of the total agricultural area, was high possible habitats of H. suweonensis. The habitat of H. suweonensis was analyzed by over $1km^2$ rice paddy fields that were lower elevations, flat slopes, and not fragmented. The distance from forests and rivers was identified as a factor that affects its habitat possibilities. In order to conserve H. suweonensis, a large area of rice paddy fields should be preserved, and especially the area around forests and rivers would be required more intensive management. In addition, to compensate for degraded habitats of H. suweonensis in urban areas like as Suwon city, considering integrated watershed management strategy could be effective in the perspective of ecological habitat network of H. suweonensis.

Determination of Optimal Pressure Monitoring Locations for Water Distribution Systems using Entropy Theory (엔트로피 이론을 이용한 상수관망의 최적 압력 계측 위치 결정)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Chang, Dong-Eil;Yoo, Do-Guen;Jun, Hwan-Don;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2009
  • Determination of optimal pressure monitoring location is essential to manage water distribution system efficiently and safely. In this study, entropy theory is applied to overcome defects of previous researches about determining the optimal sensor location. The previous studies required the calibration using historical data, therefore, it was difficult to apply the proposed method in the place where the enough data were not available. Also, most researches have focused on the locations to minimize cost and maximize accuracy of the model, which is not appropriate for the purpose of maintenance of the water distribution system. The proposed method in this study quantify the entropy which is defined as the amount of information calculated from the pressure change due to the variation of discharge. When abnormal condition is occurred in a node, the effect on the entire network is presented by the entropy, and the emitter is used to reproduce actual pressure change pattern in EPANET. The optimal location to install pressure sensors in water distribution system is the nodes having the maximum information from other nodes. The looped and branched networks are evaluated using the proposed model. As a result, entropy theory provides general guideline to select the locations to install pressure sensors and the results can be used to help decision makers.

Probability Distribution of Nonlinear Random Wave Heights Using Maximum Entropy Method (최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용한 비선형 불규칙 파고의 확률분포함수)

  • 안경모
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.204-210
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the development of the probability density function applicable for wave heights (peak-to-trough excursions) in finite water depth including shallow water depth. The probability distribution applicable to wave heights of a non-Gaussian random process is derived based on the concept of the maximum entropy method. When wave heights are limited by breaking wave heights (or water depth) and only first and second moments of wave heights are given, the probability density function developed is closed form and expressed in terms of wave parameters such as $H_m$(mean wave height), $H_{rms}$(root-mean-square wave height), $H_b$(breaking wave height). When higher than third moment of wave heights are given, it is necessary to solve the system of nonlinear integral equations numerically using Newton-Raphson method to obtain the parameters of probability density function which is maximizing the entropy function. The probability density function thusly derived agrees very well with the histogram of wave heights in finite water depth obtained during storm. The probability density function of wave heights developed using maximum entropy method appears to be useful in estimating extreme values and statistical properties of wave heights for the design of coastal structures.

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Comparative Study of Reliability Analysis Methods for Discrete Bimodal Information (바이모달 이산정보에 대한 신뢰성해석 기법 비교)

  • Lim, Woochul;Jang, Junyong;Lee, Tae Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.883-889
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    • 2013
  • The distribution of a response usually depends on the distribution of a variable. When the distribution of a variable has two different modes, the response also follows a distribution with two different modes. In most reliability analysis methods, the number of modes is irrelevant, but not the type of distribution. However, in actual problems, because information is often provided with two or more modes, it is important to estimate the distributions with two or more modes. Recently, some reliability analysis methods have been suggested for bimodal distributions. In this paper, we review some methods such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and maximum entropy principle (MEP) and compare them with the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) using mathematical examples with two different modes.