• Title/Summary/Keyword: Material Uncertainty

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Utilization of health insurance data in an environmental epidemiology

  • Ha, Jongsik;Cho, Seongkyung;Shin, Yongseung
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.30
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    • pp.12.1-12.7
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    • 2015
  • Objectives In South Korea, health insurance data are used as material for the health insurance of national whole subject. In general, health insurance data could be useful for estimating prevalence or incidence rate that is representative of the actual value in a population. The purpose of this study was to apply the concept of episode of care (EoC) in the utilization of health insurance data in the field of environmental epidemiology and to propose an improved methodology through an uncertainty assessment of disease course and outcome. Methods In this study, we introduced the concept of EoC as a methodology to utilize health insurance data in the field of environmental epidemiology. The characterization analysis of the course and outcome of applying the EoC concept to health insurance data was performed through an uncertainty assessment. Results The EoC concept in this study was applied to heat stroke (International Classification of Disease, 10th revision, code T67). In the comparison of results between before and after applying the EoC concept, we observed a reduction in the deviation of daily claims after applying the EoC concept. After that, we categorized context, model, and input uncertainty and characterized these uncertainties in three dimensions by using uncertainty typology. Conclusions This study is the first to show the process of constructing episode data for environmental epidemiological studies by using health insurance data. Our results will help in obtaining representative results for the processing of health insurance data in environmental epidemiological research. Furthermore, these results could be used in the processing of health insurance data in the future.

Uncertainty Evaluation of Color Measurement on Light Sources and Display Devices (광원 및 디스플레이 기기의 색특성 측정의 불확도 평가)

  • Park, Seong-Chong;Lee, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Yong-Wan;Park, Seung-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2009
  • This work introduces the uncertainty evaluation formulation on color measurement of light sources and display devices, such as CIE 1931 (x, y) chromaticity, CIE 1960 (u, v) chromaticity, correlated color temperature, and distribution temperature. All the mentioned quantities are reduced from spectral data in the visible range, for which uncertainties are strongly correlated between different wavelengths. Using matrix algebra we have formulated the uncertainty propagation from the SI- traceable spectral irradiance standard to the individual color related measurement quantities taking the correlation between wavelengths into account. As a result, we have demonstrated uncertainty evaluation examples of 3 types of light sources: CIE illuminant A, LED white light, and LCD white light. This method can be applied to any other quantities based on spectral measurement such as solar irradiance, material color measurement, etc.

The Pre-Service Teachers' Concept of Uncertainty Revealed in Physics Inquiry Activity (예비교사의 물리 탐구 과정에서 드러난 불확실도의 개념)

  • Lee, Jae-Bong;Lee, Sung-Muk
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.826-834
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the pre-service teachers' concept of measurement uncertainty. The subject of this study were 27 pre-service middle-school teachers in Seoul. They carried out open-ended inquiry tasks and surveyed two kinds of open questionnaires, and interviewed several persons. We analysed their behavior and responses. Through the analysis, we summarize pre-service teachers' concept about measurement uncertainty with representation data, precision and accuracy, error analysis, propagation of uncertainty. The results show that the teachers' concept is different from scientists' concept. They make a mistake in using term of precision and accuracy and pay no attention to measure precisely. Also they only point out sources of error but don't consider how the error affects the results of experiment. The results of study will give! 1 some implications for the curriculum and teaching material developers in order that pre-service teacher and student gain scientific concept.

Test and Numerical Analysis for Penetration Residual Velocity of Bullet Considering Failure Strain Uncertainty of Composite Plates (복합판재의 파단 변형률 불확실성을 고려한 탄 관통 잔류속도에 대한 시험 및 수치해석)

  • Cha, Myungseok;Lee, Minhyung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2016
  • The ballistic performance data of composite materials is distributed due to material inhomogeneity. In this paper, the uncertainty in residual velocity is obtained experimentally, and a method of predicting it is established numerically for the high-speed impact of a bullet into laminated composites. First, the failure strain distribution was obtained by conducting a tensile test using 10 specimens. Next, a ballistic impact test was carried out for the impact of a fragment-simulating projectile (FSP) bullet with 4ply ([0/90]s) and 8ply ([0/90/0/90]s) glass fiber reinforced plastic (GFRP) plates. Eighteen shots were made at the same impact velocity and the residual velocities were obtained. Finally, simulations were conducted to predict the residual velocities by using the failure strain distributions that were obtained from the tensile test. For this simulation, two impact velocities were chosen at 411.7m/s (4ply) and 592.5m/s (8ply). The simulation results show that the predicted residual velocities are in close agreement with test results. Additionally, the modeling of a composite plate with layered solid elements requires less calculation time than modeling with solid elements.

Reliability Analysis of Steel Fiber Reinforced Concrete Beams (강섬유 보강 철근콘크리트보의 신뢰성 해석)

  • 유한신;곽계환;장화섭
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.479-486
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to practical use with increase safety, usablility and economical. In this study, the property of fatigue behavior was tested by comparing reinforced concrete and steel fiber reinforced concrete. The basic test, the static test and fatigue test were used as the research methods. Basic on the test, the material compressive strength test and split tensile strength test ware conducted 7 days and 28 days after the concrete was poured. In the static test, there ware four types of experimental variables of the steel fiber mixing ratio : 0.00%, 0.75%, 1.00%, and 1.25%. The ultimate load initial diagonal tension crack, and initial load of flexural cracking were all observed by static test. A methodology for the probabilistic assement of steel fiber reinforced concrete(SFRC) which takes into account material variability, confinement model uncertainty and the uncertainty in local and globa failure criteria is applied for the derivation of vulnerability curves for the serviceability and ultimate limit states, the reliability of SFRC using the proposed practical linear limit state model is evaluated by using the AFOSM(Advanced First Order Second Moment) method and MCS(monte-Calrosimulation) method.

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A New Measurement Method of Dielectric Constants Applied the Principles of Cross Capacitance (Cross Capacitance 원리를 작용한 새로운 유전상수 측정방법 제안)

  • Kim, Han-Jun;Lee, Rae-Duk;Kang, Jeon-Hong;Yu, Kwang-Min;Han, Sang-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.07b
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    • pp.1084-1087
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    • 2002
  • The guard-ring type 3-terminal parallel plate electrodes proposed by ASTM D 150-81 and IEC 250 have been widely used for measurement of dielectric constants of solid dielectrics. However the method using this electrodes causes many uncertainty associated with the measurement errors of the diameter of the guarded electrode. the gap between guarded and guard-ring electrode. the distance of two active electrodes(the thickness of specimen), the roughness and contamination of surface of electrode and specimen. close adherence grade of electrode and specimen. In this paper. a new electrode system of cross capacitance type based on Thompson-Lampard theorem is designed and is employed for the measurement of dielectric constant. The results of simulation of guard-ring electrode and cross capacitance electrode using FEM program show that distance measurement between two electrodes in guard-ring electrode produces large uncertainty. on the other hand this effect in cross capacitance electrode is negligible. Furthermore. the air gap effects in the cross capacitance electrode is 5.6 times less sensitive than that in guard-ring electrode by assuming air gap of $50{\mu}m$.

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Development of Stochastic Finite Element Model for Underground Structure with Discontinuous Rock Mass Using Latin Hypercube Sampling Technique (LHS기법을 이용한 불연속암반구조물의 확률유한요소해석기법개발)

  • 최규섭;정영수
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 1997
  • Astochastic finite element model which reflects both the effect of discontinuities and the uncertainty of material properties in underground rock mass has been developed. Latin Hypercube Sampling technique has been mobilized and compared with the Monte Carlo simulation method. To consider the effect of discontinuities, the joint finite element model, which is known to be suitable to explain faults, cleavage, things of that nature, has been used in this study. To reflect the uncertainty of material properties, multi-random variables are assumed as the joint normal stiffness and the joint shear stiffness, which could be simulated in terms of normal distribution. The developed computer program in this study has been verified by practical example and has been applied to analyze the circular cavern with discontinuous rock mass.

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Uncertainty and Compensation on the cell for Measurement of the Solid Permittivity Materials (고체 유전율 측정용 cell의 불확도 분석과 보상)

  • Kim, Han-Jun;Kang, Jeon-Hong;Yu, Kwang-Min;Hyun, Lee-Sei;Koo, Kyung-Wan;Han, Sang-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.482-483
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    • 2007
  • For measurement of dielectric constants, the commercial parallel plate electrodes system with guard-ring electrode have been widely used up to now. The capacitance derived from the parallel plate electrodes capacitor with guard-ring electrode is calculated by the equation of ($C={\epsilon}\;{\cdot}\;\frac{area\;of\;electrod}{distance\;between\;electrodes}$). Therefore, in parallel plate electrode capacitor, the diameter of the guarded electrode, the gap size between guarded electrode and guard ring, and distance between two active electrode should be measured precisely to calculate dielectric constants from the measured capacitance. Consequently their mechanical measurement uncertainties are directly contributed. Especially the air-gap between the electrodes and dielectric specimen at the system must be existed and the measurement error derived from the air-gap is impossible to evaluate as measurement uncertainties. In this study, we analyze the uncertainty of the commercial dielectric constant test cell using 3 kinds CRMs.

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Determination of Shear Wave Velocity Profile Model Considering Uncertainty Caused by Spatial Variation of Material Property in Rockfill Zone of Fill Dam (물성치 변동성에 의한 불확실성이 고려된 국내 필댐 사력부를 위한 전단파 속도 주상도 모델)

  • Park, Hyung-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2019
  • There always exist the spatial variations of material properties such as a shear wave velocity in a dam and between same type dams. These uncertainties cause those in evaluation of a shear wave velocity profile of a dam and should be considered in determining the shear wave velocity profile for a rockfill zone of a fill dam. In this paper, these uncertainties of a shear wave velocity in the rockfill zone of the fill dam in Korea are evaluated. And the shear wave velocity profile model considering these uncertainties in rockfillzone is proposed using the method based on Harmonic wavelet transform. The proposed shear wave velocity profile model is compared with Sawada-Takahashi model widely used for evaluation of a shear wave velocity profile of a rockfill zone of fill dams.

Probabilistic Design under Uncertainty using Response Surface Methodology and Pearson System (반응표면방법론과 피어슨 시스템을 이용한 불확실성하의 확률적 설계)

  • Baek Seok-Heum;Cho Soek-Swoo;Joo Won-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2006
  • System algorithms estimated by deterministic input may occur the error between predicted and actual output. Especially, actual system can't predict the exact outputs due to uncertainty and tolernce of input parameters. A single output to a set of inputs has a limited value without the variation. Hence, we should consider various scatters caused by the load assessment, material characteristics, stress analysis and manufacturing methods in order to perform the robust design or etimate the reliability of structure. The system design with uncertainty should perform the probabilistic structural optimization with the statistical response and the reliability. This method calculated the probability distributions of the characteristics such as stress by combining stress analysis, response surface methodology and Monte Carlo simulation and got the probabilistic sensitivity. The sensitivity of structural response with respect to in constant design variables was estimated by fracture probability. Therefore, this paper proposed the probabilistic reliability design method for fracture of uncorved freight end beam and the design criteria by fracture probability.

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