• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov property

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Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (1) (장기유출랑의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (I))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.100-116
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    • 1993
  • It is experienced fact that unreasonable design criterion and unsitable operation management for the agricultural structures including reservoirs based on short terms data of monthly flows have been brought about not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this point at issue, this study was conducted to simulate long series of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observed and synthetic flows of six watersheds in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1.Both Gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test while those distributions were judged to be unfitness in Nam Pyeong of Yeong San and Song Jeong and Ab Rog watersheds of Seom Jin river systems in the $\chi$$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2.Most of the arithmetic mean values for synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of two parameter lognomal distribution in the applied watersheds. 3.Fluctuation for the coefficient of variation derived by Gamma distribution was shown in general as better agreement with the results of the observed data than that of two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Especially, coefficients of variation calculated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to those of the observed data during July and August. 4.It can be concluded that synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to the observed data than those by two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds. 5.It is to be desired that multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as a good fitting one in this study would be compared with Harmonic synthetic model as a continuation follows.

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Image Interpolation Using Hidden Markov Tree Model Without Training in Wavelet Domain (웨이블릿 영역에서 훈련 없는 은닉 마코프 트리 모델을 이용한 영상 보간)

  • 우동헌;엄일규;김유신
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2004
  • Wavelet transform is a useful tool for analysis and process of image. This showed good performance in image compression and noise reduction. Wavelet coefficients can be effectively modeled by hidden Markov tree(HMT) model. However, in application of HMT model to image interpolation, training procedure is needed. Moreover, the parameters obtained from training procedure do not match input image well. In this paper, the structure of HMT is used for image interpolation, and the parameters of HMT are obtained from statistical characteristics across wavelet subbands without training procedure. In the proposed method, wavelet coefficient is modeled as Gaussian mixture model(GMM). In GMM, state transition probabilities are determined from statistical transition characteristic of coefficient across subbands, and the variance of each state is estimated using the property of exponential decay of wavelet coefficient. In simulation, the proposed method shows improvement of performance compared with conventional bicubic method and the method using HMT model with training.

Analysis and Prediction Algorithms on the State of User's Action Using the Hidden Markov Model in a Ubiquitous Home Network System (유비쿼터스 홈 네트워크 시스템에서 은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용한 사용자 행동 상태 분석 및 예측 알고리즘)

  • Shin, Dong-Kyoo;Shin, Dong-Il;Hwang, Gu-Youn;Choi, Jin-Wook
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes an algorithm that predicts the state of user's next actions, exploiting the HMM (Hidden Markov Model) on user profile data stored in the ubiquitous home network. The HMM, recognizes patterns of sequential data, adequately represents the temporal property implicated in the data, and is a typical model that can infer information from the sequential data. The proposed algorithm uses the number of the user's action performed, the location and duration of the actions saved by "Activity Recognition System" as training data. An objective formulation for the user's interest in his action is proposed by giving weight on his action, and change on the state of his next action is predicted by obtaining the change on the weight according to the flow of time using the HMM. The proposed algorithm, helps constructing realistic ubiquitous home networks.

ON THE MARTINGALE EXTENSION OF LIMITING DIFFUSION IN POPULATION GENETICS

  • Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • The limiting diffusion of special diploid model can be defined as a discrete generator for the rescaled Markov chain. Choi([2]) defined the operator of projection $S_t$ on limiting diffusion and new measure $dQ=S_tdP$. and showed the martingale property on this operator and measure. Let $P_{\rho}$ be the unique solution of the martingale problem for $\mathcal{L}_0$ starting at ${\rho}$ and ${\pi}_1,{\pi}_2,{\cdots},{\pi}_n$ the projection of $E^n$ on $x_1,x_2,{\cdots},x_n$. In this note we define $$dQ_{\rho}=S_tdP_{\rho}$$ and show that $Q_{\rho}$ solves the martingale problem for $\mathcal{L}_{\pi}$ starting at ${\rho}$.

A SHARP BOUND FOR ITO PROCESSES

  • Choi, Chang-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.713-725
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    • 1998
  • Let X and Y be Ito processes with dX$_{s}$ = $\phi$$_{s}$dB$_{s}$$\psi$$_{s}$ds and dY$_{s}$ = (equation omitted)dB$_{s}$ + ξ$_{s}$ds. Burkholder obtained a sharp bound on the distribution of the maximal function of Y under the assumption that │Y$_{0}$$\leq$│X$_{0}$│,│ζ│$\leq$$\phi$│, │ξ│$\leq$$\psi$│ and that X is a nonnegative local submartingale. In this paper we consider a wider class of Ito processes, replace the assumption │ξ│$\leq$$\psi$│ by a more general one │ξ│$\leq$$\alpha$$\psi$│ , where a $\geq$ 0 is a constant, and get a weak-type inequality between X and the maximal function of Y. This inequality, being sharp for all a $\geq$ 0, extends the work by Burkholder.der.urkholder.der.

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DEFAULTABLE BOND PRICING USING REGIME SWITCHING INTENSITY MODEL

  • Goutte, Stephane;Ngoupeyou, Armand
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.31 no.5_6
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    • pp.711-732
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we are interested in finding explicit numerical formulas to evaluate defaultable bonds prices of firms. For this purpose, we use a default intensity whose values depend on the credit rating of these firms. Each credit rating corresponds to a state of the default intensity. Then, this regime switches as soon as one of the credit rating of a firm also changes. Moreover, this regime switching default intensity model allows us to capture well some market features or economics behaviors. Thus, we obtain two explicit different formulas to evaluate the conditional Laplace transform of a regime switching Cox Ingersoll Ross model. One using the property of semi-affine of the model and the other one using analytic approximation. We conclude by giving some numerical illustrations of these formulas and real data estimation results.

Reliability analysis of repairable k-out-n system from time response under several times stochastic shocks

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tao, Wenliang;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2014
  • The model of unit dynamic reliability of repairable k/n (G) system with unit strength degradation under repeated random shocks has been developed according to the stress-strength interference theory. The unit failure number is obtained based on the unit failure probability which can be computed from the unit dynamic reliability. Then, the transfer probability function of the repairable k/n (G) system is given by its Markov property. Once the transfer probability function has been obtained, the probability density matrix and the steady-state probabilities of the system can be retrieved. Finally, the dynamic reliability of the repairable k/n (G) system is obtained by solving the differential equations. It is illustrated that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonable prediction which conforms to the engineering practice.

FIRST PASSAGE PROBLEM FOR WIENER PATHS CROSSING DIFFERENTIABLE CURVES

  • Jang, Yu-Seon;Kim, Sung-Lai;Kim, Sung-Kyun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.19 no.1_2
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2005
  • Let W(t) be a Wiener path, let $\xi\;:\;[0,\;{\infty})\;\to\;\mathbb{R}$ be a continuous and increasing function satisfying $\xi$(0) > 0, let $$T_{/xi}=inf\{t{\geq}0\;:\;W(t){\geq}\xi(t)\}$$ be the first-passage time of W over $\xi$, and let F denote the distribution function of $T_{\xi}$. Then the first passage problem has a unique continuous solution as following $$F(t)=u(t)+{\sum_{n=1}^\infty}\int_0^t\;H_n(t,s)u(s)ds$$, where $$u(t)=2\Psi(\xi(t)/\sqrt{t})\;and\;H_1(t,s)=d\Phi\;(\{\xi(t)-\xi(s)\}/\sqrt{t-s})/ds\;for\;0\;{\leq}\;s.

Revenue Management Model for Internet Access Service (인터넷 접속서비스 사업의 수익관리모형에 관한 연구)

  • 윤문길;이필환
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.143-162
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    • 2002
  • The concept of revenue management have been used widely In the hotel and all transportation industries, and considered as a good system for managing a perishable asset. Recently, its' application area is being increasingly expanded to service industries such as the travel, the railway, the Internet and the sport industries. Internet business can be classified into several groups according to the characteristics of the individual business. One of groups is Internet Access Servoce business which connects each users to the internet. In this paper, since internet Access Services (IAS) business has a similar property to the service Industry, we will apply a revenue management concept to It. With some modification of existing model developed by Subramanian et.al. for airlines, we suggest the revenue management model being applied to IAS business. Computational experiment shows that the Increase of the revenue Is up to 7% by appluing our model. It means our model has a potential to manage IAS business effectively.

A Study of Dependent Nonstationary Multiple Sampling Plans (종속적 비평형 다중표본 계획법의 연구)

  • 김원경
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, nonstationary multiple sampling plans are discussed which are difficult to solve by analytical method when there exists dependency between the sample data. The initial solution is found by the sequential sampling plan using the sequential probability ration test. The number of acceptance and rejection in each step of the multiple sampling plan are found by grouping the sequential sampling plan's solution initially. The optimal multiple sampling plans are found by simulation. Four search methods are developed U and the optimum sampling plans satisfying the Type I and Type ll error probabilities. The performance of the sampling plans is measured and their algorithms are also shown. To consider the nonstationary property of the dependent sampling plan, simulation method is used for finding the lot rejection and acceptance probability function. As a numerical example Markov chain model is inspected. Effects of the dependency factor and search methods are compared to analyze the sampling results by changing their parameters.

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