• 제목/요약/키워드: Markov property

검색결과 65건 처리시간 0.021초

장기유출랑의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (I) (Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (1))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.100-116
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    • 1993
  • It is experienced fact that unreasonable design criterion and unsitable operation management for the agricultural structures including reservoirs based on short terms data of monthly flows have been brought about not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this point at issue, this study was conducted to simulate long series of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observed and synthetic flows of six watersheds in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1.Both Gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test while those distributions were judged to be unfitness in Nam Pyeong of Yeong San and Song Jeong and Ab Rog watersheds of Seom Jin river systems in the $\chi$$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2.Most of the arithmetic mean values for synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of two parameter lognomal distribution in the applied watersheds. 3.Fluctuation for the coefficient of variation derived by Gamma distribution was shown in general as better agreement with the results of the observed data than that of two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Especially, coefficients of variation calculated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to those of the observed data during July and August. 4.It can be concluded that synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to the observed data than those by two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds. 5.It is to be desired that multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as a good fitting one in this study would be compared with Harmonic synthetic model as a continuation follows.

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웨이블릿 영역에서 훈련 없는 은닉 마코프 트리 모델을 이용한 영상 보간 (Image Interpolation Using Hidden Markov Tree Model Without Training in Wavelet Domain)

  • 우동헌;엄일규;김유신
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2004
  • 웨이블릿 변환은 영상을 분석하고 처리하는데 유용한 도구로써 영상 압축, 영상 잡음 제거 등의 분야에서 우수한 성능을 보여주었다. 웨이블릿 계수들은 은닉 마코프 트리(Hidden Markov Tree: HMT) 모델에 의해 효과적으로 모델링 될 수 있다. 그러나 영상 보간에서 은닉 마코프 트리 모델을 적용하기 위해서는 훈련 과정이 필요하며 훈련 과정에서 획득된 파라미터들이 입력 영상과 잘 맞지 않는 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 웨이블릿 영역에서 영상 보간을 위해 은닉 마코프 트리의 구조를 사용하되, 그 파라미터들은 훈련 과정 없이 부대역간의 통계적 특성을 이용하여 직접 추정한다. 제안 방법에서 웨이블릿 계수는 가우스 혼합 모델(Gauss Mixture Model: GMM)로 모델링 된다. 가우스 혼합 모델의 상태 천이 확률은 부대역간의 웨이블릿 계수의 통계적 천이 특성을 이용하여 결정하며, 각 상태의 분산은 웨이블릿 계수의 지수적 감소(exponential decay) 특성에 의해, 추정된다. 모의실험에서 제안 방법은 전통적인 bicubic 방법이나 훈련 과정을 필요로 하는 은닉 마코프 모델을 사용한 방법보다 여러 테스트 영상들에 대해서 개선된 성능을 보여주었다.

유비쿼터스 홈 네트워크 시스템에서 은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용한 사용자 행동 상태 분석 및 예측 알고리즘 (Analysis and Prediction Algorithms on the State of User's Action Using the Hidden Markov Model in a Ubiquitous Home Network System)

  • 신동규;신동일;황구연;최진욱
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 유비쿼터스 홈 네트워크 시스템에서 저장된 사용자 행동 프로파일 데이터에 은닉 마르코프 모델에 적용하여 사용자의 행동 상태를 예측하는 알고리즘을 제안한다. 은닉 마르코프 모델은, 순차 데이터를 갖는 패턴을 인식하기 위해서 데이터에 내포되어 있는 시간성을 적절히 표현하고, 그것으로부터 원하는 정보를 추론할 수 있는 대표적인 모델이다. 제안 알고리즘에서는 "행동 인지 시스템(Activity Recognition System)"에 의하여 저장된 행동 발생 횟수, 행동 지속시간, 행동이 발생된 위치 데이터를 학습 데이터로 이용하였다. 사용자의 행동에 가중치를 부여하여 사용자의 행동에 대한 흥미를 객관적으로 수식화 하는 방법을 제안하였으며 은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용하여 시간에 따른 가중치 변화를 구하여 사용자의 행동 상태 변화를 예측하였다. 제안 알고리즘은 현실적인 유비쿼터스 홈 네트워크 구축에 도움을 준다.

ON THE MARTINGALE EXTENSION OF LIMITING DIFFUSION IN POPULATION GENETICS

  • Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • The limiting diffusion of special diploid model can be defined as a discrete generator for the rescaled Markov chain. Choi([2]) defined the operator of projection $S_t$ on limiting diffusion and new measure $dQ=S_tdP$. and showed the martingale property on this operator and measure. Let $P_{\rho}$ be the unique solution of the martingale problem for $\mathcal{L}_0$ starting at ${\rho}$ and ${\pi}_1,{\pi}_2,{\cdots},{\pi}_n$ the projection of $E^n$ on $x_1,x_2,{\cdots},x_n$. In this note we define $$dQ_{\rho}=S_tdP_{\rho}$$ and show that $Q_{\rho}$ solves the martingale problem for $\mathcal{L}_{\pi}$ starting at ${\rho}$.

A SHARP BOUND FOR ITO PROCESSES

  • Choi, Chang-Sun
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.713-725
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    • 1998
  • Let X and Y be Ito processes with dX$_{s}$ = $\phi$$_{s}$dB$_{s}$$\psi$$_{s}$ds and dY$_{s}$ = (equation omitted)dB$_{s}$ + ξ$_{s}$ds. Burkholder obtained a sharp bound on the distribution of the maximal function of Y under the assumption that │Y$_{0}$$\leq$│X$_{0}$│,│ζ│$\leq$$\phi$│, │ξ│$\leq$$\psi$│ and that X is a nonnegative local submartingale. In this paper we consider a wider class of Ito processes, replace the assumption │ξ│$\leq$$\psi$│ by a more general one │ξ│$\leq$$\alpha$$\psi$│ , where a $\geq$ 0 is a constant, and get a weak-type inequality between X and the maximal function of Y. This inequality, being sharp for all a $\geq$ 0, extends the work by Burkholder.der.urkholder.der.

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DEFAULTABLE BOND PRICING USING REGIME SWITCHING INTENSITY MODEL

  • Goutte, Stephane;Ngoupeyou, Armand
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제31권5_6호
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    • pp.711-732
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we are interested in finding explicit numerical formulas to evaluate defaultable bonds prices of firms. For this purpose, we use a default intensity whose values depend on the credit rating of these firms. Each credit rating corresponds to a state of the default intensity. Then, this regime switches as soon as one of the credit rating of a firm also changes. Moreover, this regime switching default intensity model allows us to capture well some market features or economics behaviors. Thus, we obtain two explicit different formulas to evaluate the conditional Laplace transform of a regime switching Cox Ingersoll Ross model. One using the property of semi-affine of the model and the other one using analytic approximation. We conclude by giving some numerical illustrations of these formulas and real data estimation results.

Reliability analysis of repairable k-out-n system from time response under several times stochastic shocks

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tao, Wenliang;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2014
  • The model of unit dynamic reliability of repairable k/n (G) system with unit strength degradation under repeated random shocks has been developed according to the stress-strength interference theory. The unit failure number is obtained based on the unit failure probability which can be computed from the unit dynamic reliability. Then, the transfer probability function of the repairable k/n (G) system is given by its Markov property. Once the transfer probability function has been obtained, the probability density matrix and the steady-state probabilities of the system can be retrieved. Finally, the dynamic reliability of the repairable k/n (G) system is obtained by solving the differential equations. It is illustrated that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonable prediction which conforms to the engineering practice.

FIRST PASSAGE PROBLEM FOR WIENER PATHS CROSSING DIFFERENTIABLE CURVES

  • Jang, Yu-Seon;Kim, Sung-Lai;Kim, Sung-Kyun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제19권1_2호
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2005
  • Let W(t) be a Wiener path, let $\xi\;:\;[0,\;{\infty})\;\to\;\mathbb{R}$ be a continuous and increasing function satisfying $\xi$(0) > 0, let $$T_{/xi}=inf\{t{\geq}0\;:\;W(t){\geq}\xi(t)\}$$ be the first-passage time of W over $\xi$, and let F denote the distribution function of $T_{\xi}$. Then the first passage problem has a unique continuous solution as following $$F(t)=u(t)+{\sum_{n=1}^\infty}\int_0^t\;H_n(t,s)u(s)ds$$, where $$u(t)=2\Psi(\xi(t)/\sqrt{t})\;and\;H_1(t,s)=d\Phi\;(\{\xi(t)-\xi(s)\}/\sqrt{t-s})/ds\;for\;0\;{\leq}\;s.

인터넷 접속서비스 사업의 수익관리모형에 관한 연구 (Revenue Management Model for Internet Access Service)

  • 윤문길;이필환
    • 경영과학
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.143-162
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    • 2002
  • The concept of revenue management have been used widely In the hotel and all transportation industries, and considered as a good system for managing a perishable asset. Recently, its' application area is being increasingly expanded to service industries such as the travel, the railway, the Internet and the sport industries. Internet business can be classified into several groups according to the characteristics of the individual business. One of groups is Internet Access Servoce business which connects each users to the internet. In this paper, since internet Access Services (IAS) business has a similar property to the service Industry, we will apply a revenue management concept to It. With some modification of existing model developed by Subramanian et.al. for airlines, we suggest the revenue management model being applied to IAS business. Computational experiment shows that the Increase of the revenue Is up to 7% by appluing our model. It means our model has a potential to manage IAS business effectively.

종속적 비평형 다중표본 계획법의 연구 (A Study of Dependent Nonstationary Multiple Sampling Plans)

  • 김원경
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, nonstationary multiple sampling plans are discussed which are difficult to solve by analytical method when there exists dependency between the sample data. The initial solution is found by the sequential sampling plan using the sequential probability ration test. The number of acceptance and rejection in each step of the multiple sampling plan are found by grouping the sequential sampling plan's solution initially. The optimal multiple sampling plans are found by simulation. Four search methods are developed U and the optimum sampling plans satisfying the Type I and Type ll error probabilities. The performance of the sampling plans is measured and their algorithms are also shown. To consider the nonstationary property of the dependent sampling plan, simulation method is used for finding the lot rejection and acceptance probability function. As a numerical example Markov chain model is inspected. Effects of the dependency factor and search methods are compared to analyze the sampling results by changing their parameters.

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