• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제49권8호
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• pp.380-389
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• 2000

This paper presents a method for the regional long-term load forecasting in metropolitan area considering econimic indicator with the assumption that energy demands propoprtionally increases under the economic indicators. For the accurate load forecasting, it is very important to scrutinize the correlation among the regional electric power demands, economic indicator and other characteristics because load forecasting results may vary depending on many different factors such as electric power demands, gross products, social trend and so on. Three steps for the regional long-term load forecasting are microscopically and macroscopically used for the regional long -term load forecasting in order to increase the accuracy and practicality of the results.

• 콘크리트학회논문집
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.615-625
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• 2014

고층 건물에서 많이 사용되는 장스팬 플랫 플레이트에서 과도한 시공 하중의 작용과 그에 따른 슬래브의 장기 처짐은 콘크리트 슬래브 디자인에 큰 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 플랫 플레이트의 장기처짐에서 슬래브의 조기 균열을 유발하는 시공하중의 영향을 이론적으로 연구하였다. 연구 결과를 바탕으로 플랫 플레이트의 장기처짐 산정법을 개발하였다. 제안한 방법에서는 슬래브 균열에 의한 즉시처짐 증가와 크리프 및 건조수축 효과에 의한 장기처짐 증가를 고려한다. 시공하중의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 실제 시공중인 플랫플레이트 건물에서 시공단계부터 슬래브의 장기처짐을 계측하였다. 계측결과, 시공하중에 의한 조기재령 슬래브의 즉시처짐은 플랫 플레이트의 장기처짐을 크게 증가시켰다. 슬래브 장기처짐 제안법은 계측된 슬래브의 장기처짐과 비교하여 검증하였으며, 제안모델은 시공하중에 의한 플랫 플레이트의 장기처짐을 비교적 잘 예측하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제64권9호
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• pp.1276-1280
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• 2015

Among the various statistical factors for South Korea, the population has been steadily decreased by lower birthrate. Nevertheless, the number of household is constantly increasing amid population aging and single life style. In general, residential electricity use is more the result of the number of household than the population. Therefore, residential electricity consumption is expected to be far higher for decades to come. The existing long-term load forecasting, however, do not necessarily reflect the growth of single and two-member households. In this respect, this paper proposes the long-term load forecasting for residential users considering the effect of changes of the housing type, and in the case study the changes of the residential load pattern is analyzed for accurate long-term load forecasting.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.379-397
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• 2016

Due to creep and shrinkage of the concrete core, concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST) arches continue to deform in the long-term under sustained loads. This paper presents analytical investigations of the effects of geometric nonlinearity on the long-term in-plane structural performance and stability of three-pinned CFST circular arches under a sustained uniform radial load. Non-linear long-term analysis is conducted and compared with its linear counterpart. It is found that the linear analysis predicts long-term increases of deformations of the CFST arches, but does not predict any long-term changes of the internal actions. However, non-linear analysis predicts not only more significant long-term increases of deformations, but also significant long-term increases of internal actions under the same sustained load. As a result, a three-pinned CFST arch satisfying the serviceability limit state predicted by the linear analysis may violate the serviceability requirement when its geometric nonlinearity is considered. It is also shown that the geometric nonlinearity greatly reduces the long-term in-plane stability of three-pinned CFST arches under the sustained load. A three-pinned CFST arch satisfying the stability limit state predicted by linear analysis in the long-term may lose its stability because of its geometric nonlinearity. Hence, non-linear analysis is needed for correctly predicting the long-term structural behaviour and stability of three-pinned CFST arches under the sustained load. The non-linear long-term behaviour and stability of three-pinned CFST arches are compared with those of two-pinned counterparts. The linear and non-linear analyses for the long-term behaviour and stability are validated by the finite element method.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.35-43
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• 1989

Nailed joints, which are commonly used in Wooden structures, transmit loads from one member to another and induce partial composite actions between members. Long-term loads induce creep slip in nailed joints and affect load sharing and partial composite action, which may reduce joint stiffness. Two theoretical viscous-viscoelastic models were developed for nailed joints to predict creep behavior under long-term variable loads. Those models were also used to predict stiffness changes under long-term variable loads. The stiffness of nailed joint is defined as a Secant modulus which is called the joint modulus or slip modulus. Input data for the models are the results of constant load tests under three different load levels. To verify the models, nailed joints were also tested under two long-term variable load functions. The predictions of the models were very close to the experimental data. Therefore, the theoretical viscous-viscoelastic models and procedures developed in this study can be applied to predict creep slip and the changes in joint moduli of nailed joints under long-term variable loads.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1998년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 C
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• pp.869-871
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• 1998

The extensive use of composite insulators for transmission lines can ultimately be justified only on long-term qualification tests. The actual load working on the insulator in the field is not static load but cyclic load. So in this paper, we discussed an examination of aging degradation by mechanical performance of composite insulators under static tension load and cyclic tension load. and also described useful approaches for analyzing their long term performance so as to develop reliable composite insulators. The static and cyclic tension load-time test data were examined by Weibull distribution for their capability of presuming long term performance. It was found that cyclic tension loads were more severe than static tension loads. The results also indicate that it may be relevant for an user to select composite insulators on basis of their performance under cyclic tension loads than static tension loads.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.149-152
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• 2006

Serviceability of reinforced concrete building is affected dominantly by long term deflection of slab. And in case of reinforced concrete building with flat plate slab, severe long term deflection was expected because it has no beams which have large flexural stiffness. Therefore it is important to calculate exactly long term deflection of RC flat plate structure to assure its serviceability. However, current codes couldn't calculate exactly long term deflection of RC flat plate structure because they don't consider effects of boundary condition and construction load. By the way, recently the method to calculate long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was proposed by considering these effects. In the present study, long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was analyzed by comparing this method with recent experimental results. In conclusion, long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was affected considerably by effects of boundary condition, construction load and tensile strength of concrete. And recently proposed method considers these effects reasonably but it should be modified to reflect creep effect of RC flat plate slab reasonably.

• 열처리공학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.10-15
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• 2000

Evaluation of long term stability of the Brinell standard hardness tester was carried out to secure its application as a national standard in Brinell hardness. Accuracy and repeatability in load application were tested through evaluating errors in hardness measurement of certified reference blocks. All of those requirements in KS as well as ISO specifications were satisfied by this standard hardness tester. In addition to this, long term stability test of automatic indentation measurement system was carried out. The scattering range was almost the same with its error range. To figure out an optimum test condition for better repeatability and long term stability, the effect of load variation, load application speed and time have been studied using orthogonal array experimental plan. It was found that the best combination is $30{\mu}m/s$ of load application speed and 25 seconds of load application time.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제16권12호
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• pp.8576-8584
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• 2015

전력수요의 예측은 안정적인 전력공급을 위한 수급계획수립을 위해서 그리고 전력계통의 최적운영계획수립을 위해서도 필요하다. 특히 안정적인 전력수급확보를 위해서는 중장기 전력수요예측이 중요하고 공급안정성 강화를 위해서는 지역별 전력수요예측이 중요하다. 지역별 전력수요예측은 지역에 소요되는 부하를 충족시킬 수 있도록 송전선로 및 변전소 등의 계통망의 최적상태 구성 및 유지를 위한 필수적인 과정으로 알려져 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 12개월(중장기)동안 대한민국 시도별 16개 지역의 전력사용량을 SARIMA 모형을 이용하여 예측하는 방법을 제안한다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.345-365
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• 2003

The adoption of fibre reinforced polymer (FRP) rebars (whose behaviour is elastic-brittle) in reinforced concrete (RC) cross sections requires the assessment of the influence of time-dependent behaviour of concrete on the load-carrying capacity of these sections. This paper presents a method of computing the load-carrying capacity of sections that are at first submitted to a constant long-term service load and then overloaded up to ultimate load. The method solves first a non-linear visco-elastic problem, and then a non-linear instantaneous analysis up to ultimate load that takes into account the self-equilibrated stress distribution previously computed. This method is then adopted to perform a parametric analysis that shows that creep and shrinkage of concrete increase the load-carrying capacity of the cross section reinforced with FRP and allows for the suggestion of simple design rules.