• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.49 no.8
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• pp.380-389
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• 2000

This paper presents a method for the regional long-term load forecasting in metropolitan area considering econimic indicator with the assumption that energy demands propoprtionally increases under the economic indicators. For the accurate load forecasting, it is very important to scrutinize the correlation among the regional electric power demands, economic indicator and other characteristics because load forecasting results may vary depending on many different factors such as electric power demands, gross products, social trend and so on. Three steps for the regional long-term load forecasting are microscopically and macroscopically used for the regional long -term load forecasting in order to increase the accuracy and practicality of the results.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.615-625
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• 2014

Excessive long-term slab deflection caused by construction load is a critical issue for the design of concrete slabs, as long span flat plates become popular for tall buildings. In the present study, the effect of construction load causing early slab cracking on the long-term deflection was theoretically studied. On the basis of the result, a numerical analysis method was developed to predict the long-term deflection of flat plates. In the proposed method, immediate deflection due to slab cracking and long-term effect of creep and shrinkage were considered. To verify the construction load effect, long-term slab deflections were measured in actual flat plate buildings under construction. The results showed that the immediate deflection due to the construction load increased significantly the long-term deflection. The proposed method was used to predict the deflections of the buildings. The results were compared with the measurement results. The predictions agree well with the long-term deflections of flat plate affected by construction load.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.64 no.9
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• pp.1276-1280
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• 2015

Among the various statistical factors for South Korea, the population has been steadily decreased by lower birthrate. Nevertheless, the number of household is constantly increasing amid population aging and single life style. In general, residential electricity use is more the result of the number of household than the population. Therefore, residential electricity consumption is expected to be far higher for decades to come. The existing long-term load forecasting, however, do not necessarily reflect the growth of single and two-member households. In this respect, this paper proposes the long-term load forecasting for residential users considering the effect of changes of the housing type, and in the case study the changes of the residential load pattern is analyzed for accurate long-term load forecasting.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.379-397
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• 2016

Due to creep and shrinkage of the concrete core, concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST) arches continue to deform in the long-term under sustained loads. This paper presents analytical investigations of the effects of geometric nonlinearity on the long-term in-plane structural performance and stability of three-pinned CFST circular arches under a sustained uniform radial load. Non-linear long-term analysis is conducted and compared with its linear counterpart. It is found that the linear analysis predicts long-term increases of deformations of the CFST arches, but does not predict any long-term changes of the internal actions. However, non-linear analysis predicts not only more significant long-term increases of deformations, but also significant long-term increases of internal actions under the same sustained load. As a result, a three-pinned CFST arch satisfying the serviceability limit state predicted by the linear analysis may violate the serviceability requirement when its geometric nonlinearity is considered. It is also shown that the geometric nonlinearity greatly reduces the long-term in-plane stability of three-pinned CFST arches under the sustained load. A three-pinned CFST arch satisfying the stability limit state predicted by linear analysis in the long-term may lose its stability because of its geometric nonlinearity. Hence, non-linear analysis is needed for correctly predicting the long-term structural behaviour and stability of three-pinned CFST arches under the sustained load. The non-linear long-term behaviour and stability of three-pinned CFST arches are compared with those of two-pinned counterparts. The linear and non-linear analyses for the long-term behaviour and stability are validated by the finite element method.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.35-43
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• 1989

Nailed joints, which are commonly used in Wooden structures, transmit loads from one member to another and induce partial composite actions between members. Long-term loads induce creep slip in nailed joints and affect load sharing and partial composite action, which may reduce joint stiffness. Two theoretical viscous-viscoelastic models were developed for nailed joints to predict creep behavior under long-term variable loads. Those models were also used to predict stiffness changes under long-term variable loads. The stiffness of nailed joint is defined as a Secant modulus which is called the joint modulus or slip modulus. Input data for the models are the results of constant load tests under three different load levels. To verify the models, nailed joints were also tested under two long-term variable load functions. The predictions of the models were very close to the experimental data. Therefore, the theoretical viscous-viscoelastic models and procedures developed in this study can be applied to predict creep slip and the changes in joint moduli of nailed joints under long-term variable loads.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1998.11c
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• pp.869-871
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• 1998

The extensive use of composite insulators for transmission lines can ultimately be justified only on long-term qualification tests. The actual load working on the insulator in the field is not static load but cyclic load. So in this paper, we discussed an examination of aging degradation by mechanical performance of composite insulators under static tension load and cyclic tension load. and also described useful approaches for analyzing their long term performance so as to develop reliable composite insulators. The static and cyclic tension load-time test data were examined by Weibull distribution for their capability of presuming long term performance. It was found that cyclic tension loads were more severe than static tension loads. The results also indicate that it may be relevant for an user to select composite insulators on basis of their performance under cyclic tension loads than static tension loads.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.149-152
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• 2006

Serviceability of reinforced concrete building is affected dominantly by long term deflection of slab. And in case of reinforced concrete building with flat plate slab, severe long term deflection was expected because it has no beams which have large flexural stiffness. Therefore it is important to calculate exactly long term deflection of RC flat plate structure to assure its serviceability. However, current codes couldn't calculate exactly long term deflection of RC flat plate structure because they don't consider effects of boundary condition and construction load. By the way, recently the method to calculate long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was proposed by considering these effects. In the present study, long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was analyzed by comparing this method with recent experimental results. In conclusion, long term deflection of RC flat plate structure was affected considerably by effects of boundary condition, construction load and tensile strength of concrete. And recently proposed method considers these effects reasonably but it should be modified to reflect creep effect of RC flat plate slab reasonably.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.10-15
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• 2000

Evaluation of long term stability of the Brinell standard hardness tester was carried out to secure its application as a national standard in Brinell hardness. Accuracy and repeatability in load application were tested through evaluating errors in hardness measurement of certified reference blocks. All of those requirements in KS as well as ISO specifications were satisfied by this standard hardness tester. In addition to this, long term stability test of automatic indentation measurement system was carried out. The scattering range was almost the same with its error range. To figure out an optimum test condition for better repeatability and long term stability, the effect of load variation, load application speed and time have been studied using orthogonal array experimental plan. It was found that the best combination is $30{\mu}m/s$ of load application speed and 25 seconds of load application time.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.16 no.12
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• pp.8576-8584
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• 2015

Load forecasting is needed to make supply and demand plan for a stable supply of electricity. It is also necessary for optimal operational plan of the power system planning. In particular, in order to ensure stable power supply, long-term load forecasting is important. And regional load forecasting is important for tightening supply stability. Regional load forecasting is known to be an essential process for the optimal state composition and maintenance of the electric power system network including transmission lines and substations to meet the load required for the area. Therefore, in this paper we propose a forecasting method using SARIMA during the 12 months (long-term/mid-term) load forecasting by 16 regions of the South Korea.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.345-365
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• 2003

The adoption of fibre reinforced polymer (FRP) rebars (whose behaviour is elastic-brittle) in reinforced concrete (RC) cross sections requires the assessment of the influence of time-dependent behaviour of concrete on the load-carrying capacity of these sections. This paper presents a method of computing the load-carrying capacity of sections that are at first submitted to a constant long-term service load and then overloaded up to ultimate load. The method solves first a non-linear visco-elastic problem, and then a non-linear instantaneous analysis up to ultimate load that takes into account the self-equilibrated stress distribution previously computed. This method is then adopted to perform a parametric analysis that shows that creep and shrinkage of concrete increase the load-carrying capacity of the cross section reinforced with FRP and allows for the suggestion of simple design rules.