• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-term dynamics

검색결과 279건 처리시간 0.03초

THE CASPIAN SEA LEVEL, DYNAMICS, WIND, WAVES AND UPLIFT OF THE EARTH'S CRUST DERIVED FROM SATELLITE ALTIMETRY

  • Lebedev, S.A.;Kostianoy, A.G.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.973-976
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    • 2006
  • The oscillations of the Caspian Sea level represent a result of mutually related hydrometeorological processes. The change in the tendency of the mean sea level variations that occurred in the middle 1970s, when the long-term level fall was replaced by its rapid and significant rise, represents an important indicator of the changes in the natural regime of the Caspian Sea. Therefore, sea level monitoring and long-term forecast of the sea level changes represent an extremely important task. The aim of this presentation is to show the experience of application of satellite altimetry methods to the investigation of seasonal and interannual variability of the sea level, wind speed and wave height, water dynamics, as well as of uplift of the Earth’s crust in different parts of the Caspian Sea and Kara-Bogaz-Gol Bay. Special attention is given to estimates of the Volga River runoff derived from satellite altimetry data. The work is based on the 1992-2005 TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P) and Jason-1 (J-1) data sets.

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원자력행정체제의 지속가능성 강화방안 (Strengthening the Sustainability of the Nuclear Energy Policy System in Korea)

  • 최영출
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.109-129
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    • 2009
  • This paper explores the ways by which the authority concerned with nuclear energy policy-making in Korea can strengthen its organisational sustainability from long-term perspective. In doing so, it applies the system dynamics approach to predict what would happen to the organisational sustainability of the nuclear energy authority in the future. In the process of analysis, it also draws causal loop map of components contained in the simulation model and constructs user-interface simulation model. It shows different predicted future values regarding organisational sustainability of the nuclear energy authority in Korea and puts forward some policy implications for practitioners and academics involved in nuclear energy policy.

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Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model for the Prediction of Long-Term Runoff from a Small Watershed

  • 고덕구;권순국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제32권E호
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 1990
  • Abstract Over 700/0 of the rural land area in Korea is mountainous and small watersheds provide most of the water resources for agricutural use. To provide an appropriate tool for the agricultural water resource development project, SNUA2, a mathematical model for simulating the physical processes governing the precipitation-runoff relationships and predicting the storm and long-term runoff quantities from the small mountainous watersheds was developed. The hydrological characteristics of small mountainous watersheds were reviewed to select appropriate theories for the simulation of the runoff processes, and a deterministic and distributed model was developed. In this, subsurface flows are routed by solving Richard's two dimensional equation, the dynamics of soil moisture contents are simulated by the consideration of phenological factors of canopy plants and surface flows are routed by solving the kinematic wave theory by numerical analysis. As a result of an application test of the model to the Sanglim watershed, peak flow rates of storm runoff were over-estimated by up to 184.2%. The occurence time of peak flow and total runoff volume of storm runoffs simulated were consistent with observed values and the annual runoff volumes were simulated in the error range of less than 5.8%.

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Effect of Chemical Fertilizer and Compost on Soil Physicochemical Properties, Leaf Mineral Content, Yield and Fruit Quality of Red Pepper (Capsicum annuum L.) in Open Field

  • Lee, Seong Eun;Park, Jin Myeon;Park, Young Eun;Lim, Tae Jun
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제48권6호
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    • pp.683-688
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays, sustainable and environment-friendly agriculture has become an important issue all around the world, and repeated applications of mineral and/or organic fertilizer will probably affect mineral nutrient dynamics in soil in the long term but only a limited number of observations are available. This study was carried out to investigate whether there is any influence of different fertilizer management for red pepper (Capsicum annuum L.) cultivation on soil physicochemical properties, leaf mineral content, yield and fruit quality in the aspect of long-term practice in open field condition. NPK, NPK+compost, compost only, and unfertilized control plot were included in the treatments. The application of chemical fertilizer and/or compost repeated annually for 17 years from 1994 to 2011. Soil organic matter content was higher in compost treatments than in no-manure treatments. Available phosphate and the yield of red pepper were highest in NPK+compost treatment followed by NPK (chemical fertilizer), compost, and control. The results indicate that in the long term, nitrogen supply is still needed for increasing red pepper yield, but reduction in the use of chemical fertilizer could be also possible with the proper application of compost.

시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 제조-구매 결정 전략: 한국의 방위력 개선 사업을 중심으로 (Research on make-or-buy decision making strategy using system dynamics: Focused on Korea's military improvement project)

  • 최정환;고성필;이정동
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.159-182
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    • 2012
  • Strategic decision on the execution of national security improvement project is greatly important for the present and future national security. Though, the importance of strategic decision, decision making process has been executed under one-way thinking framework. This research provides a decision-making tool with make-or-buy approach for the national security improvement policy execution methods: foreign purchase and military R&D project, and, via simulation, confirms dynamic change of military capability index respect to change in ratio of foreign purchase and military R&D. A result shows that current ratio of foreign purchases and military R&D is insufficient for national security improvement policy goal. Applying the model from this research provides an appropriate ratio for short term and long term defense strategy and policy goal, and consequent result of increase in national security capability. Thus, this research model can be effectively utilized for national security improvement project.

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Funnel 설계 권고안 (Funnel Design Guidance)

  • 정왕조;조원호;강대열;김승혁
    • 대한조선학회 특별논문집
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    • 대한조선학회 2006년도 특별논문집
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2006
  • Most important factor to consider funnel performance is exhaust gas temperature and exhaust gas concentration Electric equipments on the wheelhouse top affected exhaust gas temperature. So, it is important that electric equipments keep away from high temperature. Though exhaust gas concentration is not a regulation and restraint, the exhaust 9as can cause serious problems for the on-board air quality and result in irreversible damage to the ship and people. So, we pocus on the exhaust gas concentration also. When judge whether a measured concentration is acceptable or not, criteria based on the LTEL (Long Term Exposure Limit). In this paper, we carried out the smoke simulation study. For this analysis, we used FLUENT which is commercial CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) code.

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대기 오염이 도시 거주 의도에 미치는 영향: 중국 자료를 중심으로 (The Impact of Air Pollution on the Willingness to Stay in Cities: Evidence from A Chinese Survey)

  • 장하;전택승
    • 지역연구
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.111-125
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    • 2023
  • 중국의 급속한 경제성장과 가속화된 도시화에 따라 노동력의 이동성이 증가하였으며, 이에 따라 이주자의 거주지 선택과 거주 의도는 중국의 경제와 사회에 중요한 영향을 미치게 되었다. 본 연구는 대기오염이 도시간 이동한 사람들이 장기적으로 도시에 머무르려 하는지에 어떤 영향을 주는지 분석한다. 중국 도시간 이동한 사람들에 대한 서베이 자료와 도시 수준의 PM2.5로 대표되는 대기오염자료를 매칭함으로써, 회귀분석을 통해서 도시의 대기질을 좋은 곳으로 이동한 사람들은 해당 도시에 더 오래 남으려는 유인을 가지고 있음을 알 수 있다. 본 연구결과를 통해서 대기질의 유지가 도시의 인구를 지속적으로 유지하는데 중요한 변수임을 알 수 있다.

입자크기 분포를 고려한 부력침강 저수지 밀도류의 탁도 모델링 (Turbidity Modeling for a Negative Buoyant Density Flow in a Reservoir with Consideration of Multiple Particle Sizes)

  • 정세웅;이흥수;정용락
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • Large artificial dam reservoirs and associated downstream ecosystems are under increased pressure from long-term negative impacts of turbid flood runoff. Despite various emerging issues of reservoir turbidity flow, turbidity modeling studies have been rare due to lack of experimental data that can support scientific interpretation. Modeling suspended sediment (SS) dynamics, and therefore turbidity ($C_T$), requires provision of constitutive relationships ($SS-C_T$) and accounting for deposition of different SS size fractions/types distribution in order to display this complicated dynamic behavior. This study explored the performance of a coupled two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic and particle dynamics model that simulates the fate and transport of a turbid density flow in a negatively buoyant density flow regime. Multiple groups of suspended sediment (SS), classified by the particle size and their site-specific $SS-C_T$ relationships, were used for the conversion between field measurements ($C_T$) and model state variables (SS). The 2D model showed, in overall, good performance in reproducing the reservoir thermal structure, flood propagation dynamics and the magnitude and distribution of turbidity in the stratified reservoir. Some significant errors were noticed in the transitional zone due to the inherent lateral averaging assumption of the 2D hydrodynamic model, and in the lacustrine zone possibly due to long-term decay of particulate organic matters induced during flood runoffs.

시스템 원형을 활용한 시스템 다이내믹스 모형 구축: 대체연료차량 시장 모형의 예 (Building a Market Share Model of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: From Generic System Archetypes to System Dynamics Modeling)

  • 권태형
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates market barriers in increasing the market share of Alternative Fuel Vehicles (AFVs). In particular, this study first conceptualizes the AFVs market model with the aid of generic system archetypes suggested by Wolstenholme. Among four generic system archetypes suggested by Wolstenholme, the market structure of AFVs can be explained by the 'relative achievement' archetype. Starting from the generic system archetype, this study extends the model boundary step by step to take account of various model assumptions necessary to simulate the model numerically. If there is a significant network effect on vehicle operating costs, it is difficult to achieve the shift to AFVs even in the long term without a policy intervention because the car market is locked into the current structure. There are several possible policy options to break the 'locked-in' structure of the car market, such as subsidies on vehicles, subsidies on fuels, and a niche management policy.

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시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 친환경건축물 인증기준의 동태모형 개발에 관한 연구 (Dynamic Modeling of Green Building Certification Criteria Using System Dynamics)

  • 최우람;이효원
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2009
  • Green Building Certification System currently going into effect is a static evaluation model. Therefore, as far as the sustainable development of certification system is concerned, further long-term evaluation is required. The main purpose of this study is to offer a model in a way of developing and verifying a dynamic model in Green Building Certification. A dynamic model development has been given System Dynamics based on the causal structure. Thus, this study focused on searching the causal structure of certification criteria and verifying the reality of the model through simulation processing after developing a model. In conclusion, the development of dynamic evaluation method can be attributed to systematic evaluation for the criteria of Certification System.