• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long term prediction

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Browning and Sorption Characteristics of Dried Garlic Flakes with Relative Humidity and Storage Temperature (상대습도와 저장온도에 따른 건조마늘 플레이크의 갈변 및 흡습특성)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ku;Jo, Kil-Suk;Kang, Tong-Sam;Shin, Hyo-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.176-180
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    • 1987
  • The sorption characteristics of dried garlic flakes stored at various relative humidity and storage temperature were studied. At low relative humidity below RH 51%, the sorption equilibrium was easily attained, whereas at higher relative humidity above RH 67%, the flakes were browned by higher equilibrium moisture content. The flakes were browned at relative humidity above 67% at $20^{\circ}C$ and $35^{\circ}C$, above 84% at $5^{\circ}C$, respectively. The moisture contents of monolayer value for the flakes were ranging from 5.80% to 6.20% (DB) with varying temperatures. And the necessity of moisture-proof packaging material suggested for the long term storage of the flakes because the lower moisture content and storage temperature, the higher driving force of wetting. Regression equation for browning rate prediction with relative humidity and storage temperature of the flakes was determined.

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Long Term Chlorophyll-a Prediction Based on the Rise in Sea-Water Temperature Using the Eco-Hydrodynamic Model in the Yellow Sea (생태-유체역학 모델을 이용한 해수 수온 상승에 따른 황해 Chlorophyll-a의 장기 변화 예측)

  • Kwoun, Chul-Hui;Kwon, Min-Sun;Han, In-Sung;Seo, Young-Sang;Hwang, Jae-Dong;Kang, Hoon;Lee, Nam-Do
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.367-380
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    • 2010
  • 수산 해양환경적 측면에서 중요한 위치에 있는 황해(Yellow Sea)의 해양 생태계 변화과정에 대 한 체계적이고 심층적인 연구을 위하여 기후 변화와 관련된 생태 및 환경변화에 대한 황해 해역의 반응성 연구가 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구는 황해해역에서 수온 상승에 따른 클로로필의 변화를 살펴보고, 지구온난화가 해양환경과 생태계에 미칠 영향을 예측하고자 하였다. 황해해역에서 해수유동 모델의 결과를 기초 입력자료로 활용하여 클로로필과 상호작용을 하는 육상유입부하량, 저질 영양 염용출량 및 생물학적 파라메타 등을 입력하여 현재상태를 재현하였다. 우리나라 주변 해수의 온도가 지난 10년간 약 $0.75^{\circ}C$ 상승했다고 가정하였을 때, 본 실험에서는 수온이 선형적으로 연간 $0.075^{\circ}C$ 씩 상승한다고 가정하여 10년 후까지의 Chlorophyll-a 농도 변화를 예측하였다. 예측 결과, 연구해역의 중앙부에서는 전체적으로 농도가 높아지고, 우리나라 연안해역에서 Chlorophyll-a 의 농도가 낮아지는 것으로 예측되었다. 본 연구의 결과를 기초로 하여 10년 이상의 장기적인 예측실험을 한다면 기후변화가 황해해역의 생태계 변화에 미치는 영향을 파악할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Compounding and Test of Gasket Rubber for Fuel Cell Stack Application (연료전지 스택 가스켓용 고무재료의 제조와 평가)

  • Hur, Byung-Ki;Kang, Dong-Gug;Kim, Hye-Young;Seo, Kwan-Ho;Park, Lee-Soon
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.232-237
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    • 2007
  • We examined the properties of compound and made compound of the optimum state using the properties of each material to evaluate suitability of FKM, VMQ, EPDM, NBR with gasket for fuel cell which is in general use with the material of gasket. It could be found from the compound made with setting the optimum state that NBR is worse than FKM in the chemical property of matter for a long term, and VMQ is worse than FKM in the elution of a metal ion, and EPDM is worse than FKM in the permeability of gas. As a result of leak evaluation of gasket for fuel cell with using FKM, it appeared leak in short time when contracting pressure is getting lower and sealing pressure is getting higher. And as a result of the life prediction with using Arrhenius model, we could predict that it is possible to continuously drive for 60,000 hours.

Long-Term Thermal Conductivity Prediction of Polyurethane Foam Applying Precision Mass Spectrometer for Cell Gas Analysis (정밀질량분석기를 활용한 우레탄폼의 장기열전도도 예측을 위한 분석기법)

  • Kim, Jin-Seok;Chun, Jong-Han;Lee, Jin-Bok;Lee, Hyo-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.679-686
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    • 2010
  • A proprietary device is adopted to break out the membrane of cell in the rigid polyurethane foam. As it is known, the membrane of cell is hardly tearing-off thoroughly in a mechanical way due to both its elastic characteristic and micro sized pores. In this study, a novel experimental approach is introduced to burst out all gases inside the cells of the rigid polyurethane foam by abrasively grinding micro-cells completely into fine powder. The biggest advantage of this approach is to be capable of releasing all gases out from the cell even in the micro pores. As clearly reflected from the repeatability, the accuracy of the result is highly improved and high confidence in the data sets as well. For the measurements of not only gas composition but partial pressure for each gas simultaneously as well, a precision gas mass spectrometer is used in-line directly to the abrasive grinding device. To control the starting point of the polyurethane foam, all samples were prepared on site in the laboratory. Manufactured time is one of the most critical factors in characterization of cell gas composition because it is known that one of gas composition, especially, carbon dioxide, is diffused out dramatically in a short period of time as soon as it is foamed.

Dynamic Voltage and Frequency Scaling based on Buffer Memory Access Information (버퍼 메모리 접근 정보를 활용한 동적 전압 주파수 변환 기법)

  • Kwak, Jong-Wook;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • As processor platforms are continuously moving toward wireless mobile systems, embedded mobile processors are expected to perform more and more powerful, and therefore the development of an efficient power management algorithm for these battery-operated mobile and handheld systems has become a critical challenge. It is well known that a memory system is a main performance limiter in the processor point of view. Although many DVFS studies have been considered for the efficient utilization of limited battery resources, recent works do not explicitly show the interaction between the processor and the memory. In this research, to properly reflect short/long-term memory access patterns of the embedded workloads in wireless mobile processors, we propose a memory buffer utilization as a new index of DVFS level prediction. The simulation results show that our solution provides 5.86% energy saving compared to the existing DVFS policy in case of memory intensive applications, and it provides 3.60% energy saving on average.

Prediction of Corn Yield based on Different Climate Scenarios using Aquacrop Model in Dangme East District of Ghana (Aquacrop 모형을 이용한 Ghana Dangme 동부지역 기후변화 시나리오 기반 옥수수 생산량 예측)

  • Twumasi, George Blay;Junaid, Ahmad Mirza;Shin, Yongchul;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2017
  • Climate change phenomenon is posing a serious threat to sustainable corn production in Ghana. This study investigated the impacts of climate change on the rain-fed corn yield in the Dangme East district, Ghana by using Aquacrop model with a daily weather data set of 22-year from 1992 to 2013. Analysis of the weather data showed that the area is facing a warming trend as the numbers of years hotter and drier than the normal seemed to be increasing. Aquacrop model was assessed using the limited observed data to verify model's sufficiency, and showed credible results of $R^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). In order to simulate the corn yield response to climate variability four climate change scenarios were designed by varying long-term average temperature in the range of ${\pm}1^{\circ}C{\sim}{\pm}3^{\circ}C$ and average annual rainfall to ${\pm}5%{\sim}{\pm}30%$, respectively. Generally, the corn yield was negatively correlated to temperature rise and rainfall reduction. Rainfall variations showed more prominent impacts on the corn yield than that of temperature variations. The reduction in average rainfall would instantly limit the crop growth rate and the corn yield irrespective of the temperature variations.

Structural Safety Assessment of Independent Spherical LNG Tank(1st Report) - Fatigue Strength Analysis Based on the S-N Approach - (독립구형 LNG 탱크의 구조안전성 평가(제1보) - 피로균열 발생수명 예측 -)

  • In-Sik Nho;Yong-Yun Nam;Ho-Sup Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.132-140
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    • 1993
  • The design of LNG ship needs very high level structural design/analysis technology compared with conventional ship types because it requires perfect security against the extremly dangerous and cryogenic cargo. Hence, present paper describes the general procedure of the structural safety assessment for independent tank type LNG ship, which contains following items. 1) Long term prediction of the wave induced stresses including ship motion analysis, structural analysis of hull and tank and stochastic analysis process of ocean waves. 2) Fatigue strength analysis of a tank structure based on the S-N approach. 3) Structural safety assessment against the fatigue crack propagation based on the LBF(Leak Before Failure) concept. The first report focuced on the item (1) (2) and example calculation was performed on a prototype LNG ship. The remained part will be covered by the second report.

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Experimental Performance Comparison for Prediction of Red Tide Phenomenon (적조현상의 실험적 예측성능 비교)

  • Heo, Won-Ji;Won, Jae-Kang;Jung, Yong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • In recent years global climate change of hurricanes and torrential rains are going to significantly, that increase damages to property and human life. The disasters have been several claimed in every field. In future, climate changes blowing are keen to strike released to the world like in several movies. Reducing the damage of long-term weather phenomena are emerging with predicting changes in weather. In this study, it is shown how to predict the red tide phenomenon with multiple linear regression analysis and artificial neural network techniques. The red tide phenomenon causing risk could be reduced by filtering sensor data which are transmitted and forecasted in real time. It could be ubiquitous driven custom marine information service system, and forecasting techniques to use throughout the meteorological disasters to minimize damage.

The Determination and Prediction of Pine to Oak Forest Succession in Sugadaira, Central Japan

  • Jun, Kato;Hayashi, Ichiroku
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2003
  • In order to analyze the succession process from a pine forest to an oak forest, the tree growth of Pinus densiflora and Quercus mongolica ssp. crispula was monitored in a permanent quadrat for 23 years. The measurements were carried out for the stem diameter (DBH) of Pinus densiflora between 1977 and 1999 and for the height of Quercus mongolica ssp. crispula saplings between 1998 and 2000. The floristic composition and the locations of the individual P. densiflora and Q. mongolica ssp. crispula trees and saplings in the quadrat were recorded. P densiflora and Q. mongolica ssp. crispula individuals were randomly distributed within the quadrat. The relative growth rates (RGR) of DBH in P. densiflora were 0.085 $yr^{-1}$ for large trees and 0.056 $yr^{-1}$ for small trees in 1977. The RGR of height for Q. mongolica ssp. crispula was 0.122 $yr^{-1}$. The growth curve for DBH of P. densiflora was approximated by the logistic equation: $$DBH(t) = 30 {[1+1.16exp(-0.13 t)]}^{-1}$$ where DBH (t) the DBH (cm) in year t and t is the number of years since 1977. The growth in height of P. densiflora and Q. mongolica ssp. crispula was described by following equations: $$H (t) = 20.2 {[1+0.407exp(-0.137 t)]}^{-1} (P. densiflora)$$ $$H (t) = 30 {[1+20.7exp(-0.122 t)}^{-1} (Q. mongolica ssp. crispula)$$ Where H (t) is the tree height (m) in year t and t is the number of years since 1977 in P. densiflora and 1998 in Q. mongolica ssp. crispula. With these equations we predicted that the height of Q. mongolica ssp. crispula increases from 2 m in 1999 to 20 m in 2029. Therefore, Q. mongolica ssp. crispula and P. densiflora will be approximately the same height in 2029. The years required for succession from a pine forest to an oak forest are expected 33 with the range between 23 and 44 years.

Analytical Correction Method Based on a Comparison of the Column Shortening Measurement-Prediction in Tall Buildings (고층 건축물의 기둥축소량 계측-예측의 비교를 통한 해석보정 방안)

  • Song, Eun-Seok;Kim, Jae-Yo
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.391-399
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    • 2019
  • In this study, an analytical method was proposed to correct the analysis results and minimize the errors between column shortening predictions and real values in high-rise buildings. In this regard, the construction sequence analysis of 41-story reinforced concrete buildings was performed and the results were compared to four assumed field measurements that were divided into the column and the core. The analysis correction was applied at a stage over the error limit in the column and at all stages in the core. Since the error occurred continuously after the analysis was corrected, additional corrections of the analysis resulted in a smaller error. By applying the proposed analytical correction method, it was confirmed that the long-term shortening value can be accurately predicted.