• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit model

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Pedestrian Accident Severity Analysis and Modeling by Arterial Road Function (간선도로 기능별 보행사고 심각도 분석과 모형 개발)

  • Beck, Tea Hun;Park, Min kyu;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES: The purposes are to analyze the pedestrian accident severity and to develop the accident models by arterial road function. METHODS: To analyze the accident, count data and ordered logit models are utilized in this study. In pursuing the above, this study uses pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 in Cheongju. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, daytime, Tue.Wed.Thu., over-speeding, male pedestrian over 65 old are selected as the independent variables to increase pedestrian accident severity. Second, as the accident models of main and minor arterial roads, the negative binomial models are developed, which are analyzed to be statistically significant. Third, such the main variables related to pedestrian accidents as traffic and pedestrian volume, road width, number of exit/entry are adopted in the models. Finally, Such the policy guidelines as the installation of pedestrian fence, speed hump and crosswalks with pedestrian refuge area, designated pedestrian zone, and others are suggested for accident reduction. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed the pedestrian accident severity, and developed the negative binomial accident models. The results of this study expected to give some implications to the pedestrian safety improvement in Cheongju.

A Study of Consumer Attitude and Purchasing Behavior toward Agricultural Products using Social Network Service (소셜 네트워크 서비스를 이용한 농식품 구매의 소비자태도와 행동에 대한 연구)

  • Chung, Soo-Yeon;Kim, Gi-Hwan;Yang, Sung-Bum;Oh, Sang-Heon;Hwang, Dea-Yong;Kim, Young-Chul;Lee, Seog-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.650-655
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    • 2012
  • This purposes of this study were to explain consumer attitudes and purchasing behaviors towards agricultural products using a social network service and to determine the influencing factors such as experience, technology ability, innovation, self-efficacy, perception of usefulness, perception of trust, attitude, purpose of purchase and individual characteristics on them. We analyzed the survey data set, using the 'logit model', 'simultaneous equation model', and 'LISREL-Type model' In this study, the results obtained are summarized as follows. The result for the comprehensive statement of "Trust" was the biggest influence on the purchase agricultural products using the social network service. Therefore, in order to expand agricultural e-commerce using SNS, trust should be to the fore of marketing and publicity campaigns, in order to promote and stabilize the market.

A Study on the Factors Concerning Empty Truck Movements (화물자동차 공차통행 발생요인 분석)

  • Hahn, Jin-Seok;Park, Minchoul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a supplement to current freight demand model by analyzing factors that influence the generation of empty truck movements in regional and urban realms. To achieve this, we examined the relation between the number of empty truck trips and various generators such as truck attributes, origin type and attributes, destination type and attributes, and commodity type. We structured the ordered logit model using 2011 Korea Transport Database (KTDB) data to analyze the generator characteristic of empty truck movements in regional and urban settings. According to the results, the characteristics of regional and urban empty truck movements differed depending on truck attributes, origin type and attributes, destination type and attributes, and commodity type.

A Stochastic Transit Assignment Model on Railway Network (철도 네트워크에서의 확률적 통행 배정 모형 연구)

  • Park, Bum-Hwan;Kim, Chung-Soo;Rho, Hag-Lae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.1222-1230
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    • 2010
  • This study is about developing a transit assignment model on railway network. Current transit assignment models are mainly focused on road or urban transportation so that these models, for example, transit assignment model based on optimal strategy generates unrealistic transit assignment. Especially, since the advent of KTX, more passengers are using the transfer route containing KTX but most transit assignment models have a shortcoming that transfer is not considered or is overestimated. We present a new stochastic transit assignment model based on LOGIT considering transfer resistance.

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A Continuation-Ratio Logits Mixed Model for Structured Polytomous Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2006
  • This paper shows how to use continuation-ratio logits for the analysis of structured polytomous data. Here, response categories are considered to have a nested binary structure. Thus, conditionally nested binary random variables can be defined in each step. Two types of factors are considered as independent variables affecting response probabilities. For the purpose of analyzing categorical data with binary nested strutures a continuation-ratio mixed model is suggested. Estimation procedure for the unknown parameters in a suggested model is also discussed in detail by an example.

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A Analysis on Preference of Funeral Type by Socioeconomic Characteristics using Nested Logit Model (네스티드로짓모형을 활용한 사회경제적 특성에 따른 장사유형 선호 분석)

  • Joo, Ho Sang;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.933-943
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants for preferred funeral methods depending on socio-economic characteristics. In South Korea, the Act on Funeral Services, Etc. categorizes funeral methods into burial, inurnment, and natural burial. This study empirically analyzes how and what socio-economic characteristics affect choices among these three categories. Data is collected from Social Survey 2017 and funeral facilities in the country. The data to be analyzed is developed in terms of a hierarchy which puts the burial and cremation methods in an upper class and the inurnment and natural burial methods in a lower class. Based on this data, a nested logit model is employed to conduct empirical analysis. The analysis indicates that those characteristics that have a statistically significant influence on preferred methods include gender, age, householder, marriage, satisfaction with life, class awareness, monthly income, housing type, housing tenure type, and living in city area. Each variable's modulus of calculated direct and cross elasticity need to be used to analyze the outcome of a nested logit model. In this study, the modulus of direct and cross elasticity are determined for the significant variables. The calculated direct elasticity is applied to analyze the likelihood of choosing each funeral method when there are changes in the significant variables. When a particular method has been selected, on the other hand, the cross elasticity is utilized to analyze changes to the likelihood of choosing the other methods. One of the most notable results is related to natural burial. In order to meet the demand for natural burial, it is necessary to provide more burial sites and raise awareness of natural burial. This will facilitate the efficient use of national territorial space.

The Selection Methodology of Road Network Data for Generalization of Digital Topographic Map (수치지형도 일반화를 위한 도로 네트워크 데이터의 선택 기법 연구)

  • Park, Woo Jin;Lee, Young Min;Yu, Ki Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2013
  • Development of methodologies to generate the small scale map from the large scale map using map generalization has huge importance in management of the digital topographic map, such as producing and updating maps. In this study, the selection methodology of map generalization for the road network data in digital topographic map is investigated and evaluated. The existing maps with 1:5,000 and 1:25,000 scales are compared and the criteria for selection of the road network data, which are the number of objects and the relative importance of road network, are analyzed by using the T$\ddot{o}$pfer's radical law and Logit model. The selection model derived from the analysis result is applied to the test data, and the road network data of 1:18,000 and 1:72,000 scales from the digital topographic map of 1:5,000 scale are generated. The generalized results showed that the road objects with relatively high importance are selected appropriately according to the target scale levels after the qualitative and quantitative evaluations.

A Model to Forecast Rice Blast Disease Based on Weather Indexing (기상지수에 의한 벼도열병 예찰의 한 모델)

  • Kim Choong-Hoe;MacKenzie D. R.;Rush M. C.
    • Korean Journal Plant Pathology
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.210-216
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    • 1987
  • A computer program written to predict blast occurrence based on micro climatic events was developed and tested as an on-site microcomputer in field plots in 1984 and 1985. A microcomputer unit operating on alkaline batteries; continuously monitored air temperature, leaf wetness, and relative humidity; interpreted the microclimate information in relation to rice blast development and displayed daily values (0-8) of blast units of severity (BUS). Cumulative daily BUS values (CBUS) were highly correlated with blast development on the two susceptible cultivars, M-201 and Brazos grown in field plots. When CBUS values were used to predict the logit of disease proportions, the average coefficients of determination $(R^2)$ between these two factors were 71 to $91\%$, depending on cultivar and year. This was a significant improvement when compared to 61 to $79\%$ when days were used as a predictor of logit disease severity. The ability of CBUS to predict logit disease severity was slightly less with Brazos than M-201. This is significant inasmuch as Brazos showed field resistance at mid-sea­son. The results in this study indicate that the model has the potential for future use and that the model could be improved by incorporating other variables associated with host plants and pathogen races in addition to the key environmental variables.

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Measuring Preferences for Leaf Mustard Kimchi across Visit Purpose (방문목적에 따른 갓김치에 대한 구매 선호도 평가)

  • Kang, Jong-Heon;Jeong, Hang-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.659-667
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the combinated factors of leaf mustard kimchi which confer the highest utility on tourists, and to establish the relative factors of importance in terms of tourists' contribution to total utility to their tour purpose. Conjoint model, $X^2$ analysis, Max. Utility model, BTL model, Logit model, K-means cluster analysis, and one-way ANOVA analysis are used for this study. The findings from this study are as follows: First, the Pearson's R and Kendall's tau($\tau$) statistics shows that the model fits the data well to the tourists' visit purpose. Second, when they choose a sightseeing place, tourists' taste for food renowned in the local area is a very important factor. Third, the leaf mustard kimchi some tourists most prefer has light red color and mild taste, and they buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. The leaf mustard kimchi the other tourists most prefer has light red color and highly pungent taste, and they buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. Fourth, by the results of BTL model and Logit Model analysis, some tourists most prefer an experimental model of leaf mustard kimchi which has light red color and mild taste. They want to buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. The other tourists most prefer an experimental model of leaf mustard kimchi which has light red color and highly pungent taste. They want to buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly in the kimchi factory. Finally, the writer hopes this study will provide the kimchi marketers with some insights into the types of popular leaf mustard kimchi designs that could be successfully developed.

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Calculation of Travel Time Values in Seoul Metropolitan Area Considering Unique Travel Patterns (수도권 통행 특성을 고려한 통행시간가치 산정 연구)

  • KIM, Kyung Hyun;LEE, Jang-Ho;YUN, Ilsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.481-498
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    • 2017
  • Travel time reduction benefit is the most important benefit item in the feasibility study of transportation infrastructure investment projects and calculated by using the value of travel time. The current feasibility study guideline (5th edition) calculate the value of non-business ravel time in a metropolitan area, using the ratio of the value of non-business travel time to business travel time calculated based on the nationwide inter-regional traffic survey data of 1999. The characteristics of metropolitan trips are different from those of nationwide regional trips. Metropolitan trips have frequent transfers between multiple public transits and long-time commuter trips. Therefore, this research aims to calculate the value of travel time reflecting traffic characteristics in a metropolitan area by improving the limitation of current calculation methods. To reflect these characteristics, this research extracts commuter trips from non-business trips and calculates the value of travel time for commuter trips. The results of the likelihood ratio test for the commuter trip model and the non-business trip model are found to be statistically significant. An integrated public transportation model was also estimated in this study to reflect the trip conditions of the Seoul metropolitan area integrated fare system. The results of comparing coefficients between bus and subway in the integrated public transit model indicated that there were no statistically significant differences between the two modes.