• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit

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The Estimation of a Probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium with an Ordered Logit Model (순서형 로짓 모형을 이용한 여수 아쿠아리움 방문확률의 추정)

  • Lee, Chang-Keun;Ha, Jae-Yeon;Kim, Eui-June
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate a probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium with an ordered logit model. Ordered logit model is affordable to estimate the probability when the dependant variable represents likert-type scale. The estimated results are as follows. The more income induces the visiting-expectation. The experience for another aquarium and the visiting-expectation for the Yeosu EXPO are contributed to the visiting-expectation for the Yeosu Aquarium. The needs to visit the Yeosu Aquarium is low in Kyoungsang area and Seoul-Kyounggi-Incheun Metropolitan area. This is related to the Aquarium facilities, which were established in each area. In average level conditions regarding to all independent variables the probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium is calculated to 15.75%. However, the probability to visit to the Yeosu Aquarium is decreasing according to the change of an admission fee.

The Determinants of Accessibility of Financial Services in Vietnam

  • TRINH, Thi Thuy Hong;NGUYEN, Hoang Phong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1143-1152
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    • 2021
  • The study aims to assess the impact of factors on the access to financial services by Vietnamese farmers. The number of respondents in this study is 402 household heads participating in six diverse agricultural value chains in Vietnam. The explanatory variables of the Multinomial Logit model estimates variables at the individual characteristics while the Mixed Logit model can combine the two types of variables together to estimate the effects simultaneously. On the other hand, the Ordinal Logit model is used to evaluate the determinants of the increase in the quantity of financial services used by individuals. The estimation results show that male-headed households have more access to financial services than females. Younger farmers are more likely to use formal financial services than the elderly. Financial literacy, land ownership, and shocks in agricultural production all have a positive impact on the probability of dealing with banks. In addition, the degree of linkage and credibility of the value chain have a significant positive impact on the accessibility of financial services to farmers. The findings of this study suggest that limiting gender inequality, focusing on youth marketing and developing agricultural value chains will have a positive impact on farmers' access to financial services.

The Study on the Asymmetry of Inertia and Variety-Seeking State - Using Section-Aggregated Multinomial Logit Analysis (관성 및 다양성추구 상태의 비대칭성에 관한 연구 - 구간통합 다항로짓분석을 활용하여)

  • Lee, Seung-yon
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 2013
  • Customer's purchase state consists of purchase inertia and variety-seeking. As the growing brand familiarity triggers the increase of brand attractiveness, customers purchase state will be of inertia. However the excessively growing brand familiarity ignites the decrease of brand attractiveness. Followingly the purchase state will be tend to plunge into the variety-seeking state. The main topic of this study is to validate the asymmetric formation of customer's purchase states between inertia and variety-seeking. In order to follow up the main topic, this article introduces a model to freely describe the velocity of value changes depending upon the purchase states. This model will help overcome the limitation of the past studies having been based on the symmetric value changes. Based on this approach marketer will be able to decide the timing of sales promotions. This research utilized local telecommunication carrier's database of smartphone application purchase/download records. This database was collected from two years (2009 and 2010) span, the time when the smartphones started commodifying in Korea whilst most of the past studies had used purchase data of maturity stage products. From this approach utilizing the introduction stage data in the product life cycle, the probability of brand choice depending upon the purchase state on the early-stage can be probed. Moreover, this study tries to expand the research methodology from the other areas of research by knowledge sharing. Here this study introduces the methodology of section-aggregated multinomial logit to simultaneously estimate the parameters that were included in the plural multinomial logit functions while the plural functions were inter-connected. This adoption of section-aggregated multinomial logit model procedures from the computerized statistics areas is expected to nourish the marketing research for more precise analysis and estimation of effects of marketing activities.

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A study on logit choice probability model taking into account the problems of common-nodes and common-links (노드중복과 링크중복문제를 고려한 로짓선택확률의 비교연구)

  • 백승걸;임용택;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2000
  • One Problem of the choice Property in logit model is interpreted as the Problem of common links and common nodes in choice set. Common node Problem Plays important role in deciding the efficiency of network loading and common link problem is connected with choice Problem, both of which are to be solved to improve the logit choice model. Although much need has been pointed out for research on the topic, however, no Paper as yet considers these two factors at the same time. In the Paper we develop a new logit formulation, which is able to ease the logit Problem, widely known as the Problem of IIA(Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives). An example network is used to assess the Proposed model and compare it with other conventional models. From the results, we find out that the model is superior to others.

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How to Increase the Usability of a Subway Commuter Pass Using Nested Logit Model (Nested logit model을 이용한 정기권 이용범위 확대에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Hun Young;Shin, Jong Jin;Ko, Sang Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.389-400
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    • 2014
  • This study finds a way to increase the usability of a subway commuter pass. Usability of the commuter pass on a probabilistic statistical model is calculated when the pass is allowed to used in a different mode(bus). A sunk cost of commuter pass is used to reduce the vehicle travels from public transit. 324 people aged 25 to 35 were surveyed and utilized to build a Nested Logit Model on STRADA 3.5 platform. Main results are as follows. First, commuter passes were issued in various forms. Second, the model turns out to be statistically significant in four explanatory variables (discount rate, inter-usablity between modes, forms of payment and periods). Lastly, the more valid on different modes, the more increased of the rail commuter pass.

Evaluation of Distress Prediction Model for Food Service Industry in Korea : Using the Logit Analysis (국내 외식기업의 부실예측모형 평가 : 로짓분석을 적용하여)

  • Kim, Si-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to develop a distress prediction model and to evaluate distress prediction power for the food services industry by using 2017 food service industry financial ratios. Samples were collected from 46 food service industries, and we extracted 14 financial ratios from them. The results show that, first, there are eight ratios (financial ratio, current ratio, operating income to sales, net income to assets, ratio of cash flows, income to stockholders' equity, rate of operating income, and total asset turnover) that can discriminate failures in food service industries and the top-level food service industries. Second, by using these eight financial ratios, the logit function classifies the top-level food service industries, and failures in the food service industry can be estimated by using logit analysis. The verification results as to accuracy in the estimated logit analysis indicate that the model's distress-prediction power is 89.1%.

Estimating an Incheon New Ports' allotment rate for metropolitan cargo using Logit Model - Focusing on a trans pacific route - (Logit모형을 이용한 인천 신항의 수도권 화물 분담률 추정에 관한 연구 - 미주항로를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Yun Chan;Lee, Taehwee;Yeo, Gitae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.143-157
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    • 2014
  • Most metropolitan shippers (MS) have used trans pacific route (TPR) or Asia-Europe route (AEP) through Busan port (BP). If Incheon new port (INP) sets up the deep water-depths under -16m, however, there might be a change in MS's port choice behavior (PCB). In this respect, the aim of this paper is to estimate an INP's allotment rate for metropolitan cargo using Logit Model (LM) considering changing global shipping and port environment. This paper reviews previous studies related to shippers' PCB then sets up the utility function (UF) including the dummied dependent variable which is comprised of BP and INP, and some independent variables such as the frequency of liner shipping route (TPR), inland transportation fare, and the rate of container terminal service. As a result of LM analysis, BP has 0.6618 and INP has 0,3382.

Evaluation Method of Quality of Service in Telecommunications Using Logit Model (로짓모형을 이용한 통신 서비스품질 평가방법)

  • Cho, Jae-Gyeun;Ahn, Hae-Sook
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2002
  • Quality of Service(QoS) in the telecommunications can be evaluated by analyzing the opinion data which result from the surveyed opinions of respondents and quantify subjective satisfaction on the QoS from the customers' viewpoints. For analyzing the opinion data, MOS(mean opinion score) method and Cumulative Probability Curve method are often used. The methods are based on the scoring method, and therefore, have the intrinsic deficiency due to the assignment of arbitrary scores. In this paper, we propose an analysis method of the opinion data using logit models which can be used to analyze the ordinal categorical data without assigning arbitrary scores to customers' opinion, and develop an analysis procedure considering the usage of procedures provided by SAS(Statistical Analysis System) statistical package. By the proposed method, we can estimate the relationship between customer satisfaction and network performance parameters, and provide guidelines for network planning. In addition, the proposed method is compared with Cumulative Probability Curve method with respect to prediction errors.

Study on the Selection of Suitable Resident for C.B.D. Living by Using the Logit Model -The Case of Taegu City- (로짓 模型을 利用한 都心居住의 適住者 選定에 관한 硏究 - 大邱市를 中心으로 -)

  • 임준홍;김한수
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 1999
  • This study is for the development of C.B.D. residential land that is available in the changeable housing market and urban planning paradigm. The results are as follows. First, we developed a Logit model to analyzed the suitable resident for living downtown and we used several variables in the model such as their living place, the location of their works, in come according to sex and age, and whether they have a car or not. Second, in analysis for the suitable residents using the Logit model, the main demanders who live in C.B.D. or have a job there and the young and old were chosen, Third, it shows that the suitable residents prefer semi-C.B.D. because it has convenient accessibility to C.B.D. rater quickly (in ten minutes). They prefer apartment and Mixed-Use building. Fourth, there are much residential land in semi-C.B.D. (63.7%) so as to support enough land in ease of redevelopment. The land price is tremendously low compared to that of land for business or for C.B.D.

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DEA 와 SVM 을 통합한 IT 벤처기업의 효율성 평가

  • Hong, Tae-Ho;Park, Ji-Yeong
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.800-806
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    • 2007
  • IT 벤처기업은 자본 대비 높은 수익성을 가지므로 지식기반 산업환경에서 많은 투자자들의 집중적인 관심을 받고 있다. 이러한 IT 벤처기업의 효율성을 평가하기 위한 방안으로, DEA 와 데이터마이닝 기법을 통합하는 방안을 제시하였다. 국내 코스닥 상장 기업 가운데 IT 에 주력하고 있는 벤처기업들을 대상으로 본 연구에서 제시한 효율성 평가방법을 적용 하였다. 대표적인 비모수적 분석기법인 Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA)를 이용하여 연구대상 기업들을 효율기업 및 비효율기업으로 구분한 후, DEA 의 효율성을 설명하는 모형을 logit 을 이용하여 구축하였다. DEA 는 기업의 상대적인 효율성을 측정하는 데에서 우수하지만, 효율성 정도를 설명하는 모형의 구축에는 한계가 있다. 이를 보완한 DEA 의 결과를 logit 과 통합한 효율성 모형에 대해서 데이터 마이닝 기법인 logit, 판별분석, Support Vector Machine(SVM) 등을 적용하여 IT 벤처기업의 효율성을 사전에 예측하여 평가 및 투자에 활용할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다.

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