• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logistic Analysis

Search Result 4,766, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.151-157
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

Study on Revitalizing Commercial Freight Vehicles Using Freight Transport Mode Selection (화물운송수단선택모형을 이용한 영업용화물차량 이용 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Young;Kang, Kyung-Woo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.57-69
    • /
    • 2007
  • The most important problem in logistic activities may be to decrease the transportation efficiency due to the traffic congestion in urban areas. The traffic congestion reduces the average travel speed of freight vehicles, and then increases the travel time. These problems can lead the logistic system to be inefficient. As a result, it causes an increase of transportation costs. In addition, the increased cost is a main barrier for the transition to an advanced logistic system. This study focuses on the analysis of key factors choosing commercial freight vehicles using Logistic regression-analysis with RP (Revealed Preference) data to solve the increase of private freight cars and transportation costs. Additionally, this paper presents policies to promote good use of commercial freight vehicles based on the results of this study.

  • PDF

Development of a Logistic Regression Model for Probabilistic Prediction of Debris Flow (토석류 산사태 예측을 위한 로지스틱 회귀모형 개발)

  • 채병곤;김원영;조용찬;김경수;이춘오;최영섭
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.211-222
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this study, a probabilistic prediction model for debris flow occurrence was developed using a logistic regression analysis. The model can be applicable to metamorphic rocks and granite area. order to develop the prediction model, detailed field survey and laboratory soil tests were conducted both in the northern and the southern Gyeonggi province and in Sangju, Gyeongbuk province, Korea. The seven landslide triggering factors were selected by a logistic regression analysis as well as several basic statistical analyses. The seven factors consist of two topographic factors and five geological and geotechnical factors. The model assigns a weight value to each selected factor. The verification results reveal that the model has 90.74% of prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is possible to predict landslide occurrence in a probabilistic and quantitative manner.

An Analysis of Environmental Policy Effect on Green Space Change using Logistic Regression Model : The Case of Ulsan Metropolitan City (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 환경정책 효과 분석: 울산광역시 녹지변화 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sung-Joo;Ryu, Ji-Eun;Jeon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.13-30
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the qualitative and quantitative effects of environmental policies in terms of green space management using logistic regression model(LRM). Landsat satellite imageries in 1985, 1992, 2000, 2008, and 2015 are classified using a hybrid-classification method. Based on these classified maps, logistic regression model having a deforestation tendency of the past is built. Binary green space change map is used for the dependent variable and four explanatory variables are used: distance from green space, distance from settlements, elevation, and slope. The green space map of 2008 and 2015 is predicted using the constructed model. The conservation effect of Ulsan's environmental policies is quantified through the numerical comparison of green area between the predicted and real data. Time-series analysis of green space showed that restoration and destruction of green space are highly related to human activities rather than natural land transition. The effect of green space management policy was spatially-explicit and brought a significant increase in green space. Furthermore, as a result of quantitative analysis, Ulsan's environmental policy had effects of conserving and restoring 111.75㎢ and 175.45㎢ respectively for the periods of eight and fifteen years. Among four variables, slope was the most determinant factor that accounts for the destruction of green space in the city. This study presents logistic regression model as a way of evaluating the effect of environmental policies that have been practiced in the city. It has its significance in that it allows us a comprehensive understanding of the effect by considering every direct and indirect effect from other domains, such as air and water, on green space. We conclude discussing practicability of implementing environmental policy in terms of green space management with the focus on a non-statutory plan.

Estimation of Total Displacements by RMR Grades using 3-Dimensional Numerical Analysis (3D 수치해석을 이용한 퇴적암 터널의 암반 등급별 전변위 산정)

  • Yim, Sung-Bin;Yun, Hyun-Seok;Seo, Yong-Seok;Park, Si-Hyun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.2 s.52
    • /
    • pp.217-224
    • /
    • 2007
  • Tunnel displacement happens during the process of stress redistribution by tunnelling. Tunnel displacement can be divided into 3 types such as displacements occurring before excavation, non-measured displacements after excavation and measured displacements after excavation. Because measurements of displacements occurring before excavation and non-measured displacement after excavation are difficult and time-consuming in the field, many researchers have studied on total displacement and its characteristics with excavation using numerical analysis. In this study, we used a 3-D back analysis to estimate total displacement by rock mass grades in tunnel constructed in sedimentary rock. We reduced error between measured displacements and calculated displacements from a 3-D numerical analysis, and then estimated suitable rock mass properties by RMR classes. Ultimately, Logistic nonlinear regressions of total displacement with tunnelling were estimated by least square estimation.

Prediction Models of Mild Cognitive Impairment Using the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing (고령화연구패널조사를 이용한 경도인지장애 예측모형)

  • Park, Hyojin;Ha, Juyoung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.50 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-199
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare sociodemographic characteristics of a normal cognitive group and mild cognitive impairment group, and establish prediction models of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). Methods: This study was a secondary data analysis research using data from "the 4th Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing" of the Korea Employment Information Service. A total of 6,405 individuals, including 1,329 individuals with MCI and 5,076 individuals with normal cognitive abilities, were part of the study. Based on the panel survey items, the research used 28 variables. The methods of analysis included a χ2-test, logistic regression analysis, decision tree analysis, predicted error rate, and an ROC curve calculated using SPSS 23.0 and SAS 13.2. Results: In the MCI group, the mean age was 71.4 and 65.8% of the participants was women. There were statistically significant differences in gender, age, and education in both groups. Predictors of MCI determined by using a logistic regression analysis were gender, age, education, instrumental activity of daily living (IADL), perceived health status, participation group, cultural activities, and life satisfaction. Decision tree analysis of predictors of MCI identified education, age, life satisfaction, and IADL as predictors. Conclusion: The accuracy of logistic regression model for MCI is slightly higher than that of decision tree model. The implementation of the prediction model for MCI established in this study may be utilized to identify middle-aged and elderly people with risks of MCI. Therefore, this study may contribute to the prevention and reduction of dementia.

Recent Developments in Discriminant Analysis fro man Information Geometric Point of View

  • Eguchi, Shinto;Copas, John B.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.247-263
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper concerns a problem of classification based on training dta. A framework of information geometry is given to elucidate the characteristics of discriminant functions including logistic discrimination and AdaBoost. We discuss a class of loss functions from a unified viewpoint.

  • PDF

Nonlinear Regression Analysis to Determine Infection Models of Colletotrichum acutatum Causing Anthracnose of Chili Pepper Using Logistic Equation

  • Kang, Wee-Soo;Yun, Sung-Chul;Park, Eun-Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-24
    • /
    • 2010
  • A logistic model for describing combined effects of both temperature and wetness period on appressorium formation was developed using laboratory data on percent appressorium formation of Colletotrichum acutatum. In addition, the possible use of the logistic model for forecasting infection risks was also evaluated as compared with a first-order linear model. A simplified equilibrium model for enzymatic reactions was applied to obtain a temperature function for asymptote parameter (A) of logistic model. For the position (B) and the rate (k) parameters, a reciprocal model was used to calculate the respective temperature functions. The nonlinear logistic model described successfully the response of appressorium formation to the combined effects of temperature and wetness period. Especially the temperature function for asymptote parameter A reflected the response of upper limit of appressorium formation to temperature, which showed the typical temperature response of enzymatic reactions in the cells. By having both temperature and wetness period as independent variables, the nonlinear logistic model can be used to determine the length of wetness periods required for certain levels of appressorium formation under different temperature conditions. The infection model derived from the nonlinear logistic model can be used to calculate infection risks using hourly temperature and wetness period data monitored by automated weather stations in the fields. Compared with the nonlinear infection model, the linear infection model always predicted a shorter wetness period for appressorium formation, and resulted in significantly under- and over-estimation of response at low and high temperatures, respectively.

A Logistic Model Including Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis Can Improve the Accuracy of Magnetic Resonance Imaging Diagnosis of Rectal Cancer

  • Ogawa, Shimpei;Itabashi, Michio;Hirosawa, Tomoichiro;Hashimoto, Takuzo;Bamba, Yoshiko;Kameoka, Shingo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.707-712
    • /
    • 2015
  • Background: To evaluate use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and a logistic model including risk factors for lymph node metastasis for improved diagnosis. Materials and Methods: The subjects were 176 patients with rectal cancer who underwent preoperative MRI. The longest lymph node diameter was measured and a cut-off value for positive lymph node metastasis was established based on a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A logistic model was constructed based on MRI findings and risk factors for lymph node metastasis extracted from logistic-regression analysis. The diagnostic capabilities of MRI alone and those of the logistic model were compared using the area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC curve. Results: The cut-off value was a diameter of 5.47 mm. Diagnosis using MRI had an accuracy of 65.9%, sensitivity 73.5%, specificity 61.3%, positive predictive value (PPV) 62.9%, and negative predictive value (NPV) 72.2% [AUC: 0.6739 (95%CI: 0.6016-0.7388)]. Age (<59) (p=0.0163), pT (T3+T4) (p=0.0001), and BMI (<23.5) (p=0.0003) were extracted as independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis. Diagnosis using MRI with the logistic model had an accuracy of 75.0%, sensitivity 72.3%, specificity 77.4%, PPV 74.1%, and NPV 75.8% [AUC: 0.7853 (95%CI: 0.7098-0.8454)], showing a significantly improved diagnostic capacity using the logistic model (p=0.0002). Conclusions: A logistic model including risk factors for lymph node metastasis can improve the accuracy of MRI diagnosis of rectal cancer.

Development of a Pre-prediction Model for Elevator Maintenance Quality and Evaluation of the Influence of Detailed Quality Factors Using Logistic Regression Analysis (로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 승강기 유지관리품질 사전예측모형 개발 및 세부 품질 인자의 영향력 평가)

  • Kyung-Min Roh;Kwan-Hee Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.133-141
    • /
    • 2023
  • Approximately 40,000 elevators are installed every year in Korea, and they are used as a convenient means of transportation in daily life. However, the continuous increase in elevators has a social problem of increased safety accidents behind the functional aspect of convenience. There is an emerging need to induce preemptive and active elevator safety management by elevator management entities by strengthening the management of poorly managed elevators. Therefore, this study examines domestic research cases related to the evaluation items of the elevator safety quality rating system conducted in previous studies, and develops a statistical model that can examine the effect of elevator maintenance quality as a result of the safety management of the elevator management entity. We review two types: odds ratio analysis and logistic regression analysis models.