• Title/Summary/Keyword: Log-Linear Regression Model

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Statistical Life Prediction of Fatigue Crack Growth for SiC Whisker Reinforced Aluminium Composite (SiC 휘스커 보강 Al6061 복합재료의 통계학적 피로균열진전 수명예측)

  • 권재도;안정주;김상태
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.475-485
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    • 1995
  • In this study, statistical analysis of fatigue data which had obtained from respective 24 fatigue crack, was examined for SiC whisker reinforced aluminium 6061 composite alloy (SiC$_{w}$/A16061) and aluminium 6061 alloy. SiC volume fraction in composite alloy is 25%. The analysis results stress intensity factor range and 0.1 mm fatigue crack initiation life for SiC$_{w}$/A16061 composite & A16061 matrix are the log-normal distribution. And regression analysis by linear model, exponential model and multiplicative model were performed to find out the relationship between fatigue crack growth rate(da/dN) and stress intensity for find out the relationship between fatigue crack growth rate(da/dN) and stress intensity factor range(.DELTA.K) in the SiC$_{w}$/A16061 composite and examine the applicability of Paris' equation to SiC$_{w}$A16061 composite. Also computer simulation was performed for fatigue life prediction of SiC$_{w}$/A16061 composite using the statistical results of this study.udy.

Call-a-bus Satisfaction Based On Preference Between Rural Bus And Call-a-bus (농어촌버스와 콜버스 선호에 따른 콜버스 만족도 분석)

  • Jang, Tae Youn;Han, Sang Hwa;Kim, Chang Soo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2019
  • The study examines preference between rural bus and call-a-bus before call-a-bus operation and empirically analyzes the effecting factors on the call-a-bus satisfaction after operation. As the result of log-linear model, older persons prefer call-a-bus because of door-to-door service convenience and female also because of limitation of trip moving means. It is shown that persons with lower number of trips prefer call-a-bus. As the result of ordinal regression model for call-a-bus satisfaction, age, the number of family members and bus stop distance have the positive tendency but the going out frequency and the return time negative among rural bus preference persons. Male and the going out frequence show the negative tendency but trip moving means, bus stop distance, rural bus satisfaction, depart and return time positive among call-a-bus preference persons. The persons who have the positive preference on call-a-bus shows higher satisfaction on call-a-bus.

Inclusion of bioclimatic variables in genetic evaluations of dairy cattle

  • Negri, Renata;Aguilar, Ignacio;Feltes, Giovani Luis;Machado, Juliana Dementshuk;Neto, Jose Braccini;Costa-Maia, Fabiana Martins;Cobuci, Jaime Araujo
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Considering the importance of dairy farming and the negative effects of heat stress, more tolerant genotypes need to be identified. The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of heat stress via temperature-humidity index (THI) and diurnal temperature variation (DTV) in the genetic evaluations for daily milk yield of Holstein dairy cattle, using random regression models. Methods: The data comprised 94,549 test-day records of 11,294 first parity Holstein cows from Brazil, collected from 1997 to 2013, and bioclimatic data (THI and DTV) from 18 weather stations. Least square linear regression models were used to determine the THI and DTV thresholds for milk yield losses caused by heat stress. In addition to the standard model (SM, without bioclimatic variables), THI and DTV were combined in various ways and tested for different days, totaling 41 models. Results: The THI and DTV thresholds for milk yield losses was THI = 74 (-0.106 kg/d/THI) and DTV = 13 (-0.045 kg/d/DTV). The model that included THI and DTV as fixed effects, considering the two-day average, presented better fit (-2logL, Akaike information criterion, and Bayesian information criterion). The estimated breeding values (EBVs) and the reliabilities of the EBVs improved when using this model. Conclusion: Sires are re-ranking when heat stress indicators are included in the model. Genetic evaluation using the mean of two days of THI and DTV as fixed effect, improved EBVs and EBVs reliability.

Penalized variable selection in mean-variance accelerated failure time models (평균-분산 가속화 실패시간 모형에서 벌점화 변수선택)

  • Kwon, Ji Hoon;Ha, Il Do
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.411-425
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    • 2021
  • Accelerated failure time (AFT) model represents a linear relationship between the log-survival time and covariates. We are interested in the inference of covariate's effect affecting the variation of survival times in the AFT model. Thus, we need to model the variance as well as the mean of survival times. We call the resulting model mean and variance AFT (MV-AFT) model. In this paper, we propose a variable selection procedure of regression parameters of mean and variance in MV-AFT model using penalized likelihood function. For the variable selection, we study four penalty functions, i.e. least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), adaptive lasso (ALASSO), smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) and hierarchical likelihood (HL). With this procedure we can select important covariates and estimate the regression parameters at the same time. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated using simulation studies. The proposed method is illustrated with a clinical example dataset.

Path Loss Characteristics of TETRA-based KTX Train Radio Propagation (TETRA 기반 고속철도 열차무선의 전파 경로손실 특성)

  • Bae, Sung-Ho;Choi, Kyu-Hyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.2985-2991
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    • 2013
  • Train radio system has been constructed in the second stage of Kyung-bu high speed railway adopting TETRA(Terrestial trunk radio) standard at 851MHz frequency band. The base stations of the train radio system should be located along railway track to ensure seamless communication between train and wayside taking the path loss of train radio propagation into consideration. This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the path loss characteristics based on the measurement results of the train radio propagation along the high speed railway. The free space propagation model and Okumura-Hata model are generally used for base station design, but they predicted 10dB lower or 20dB higher than the measured path loss. Linear regression of the field measured data by applying the log-distance model shows path loss exponent is in the 2.8-3.2 range, which can be used to predict the path loss of the train radio propagation.

The Forecasting Model of the Repair Cost in Apartment Housing - Focused roof water proofing and Elevator work - (공동주택 공종별 수선비용 예측모델 연구 - 옥상방수 공사와 승강기 공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Most if buildings need various repair works for preventing or delaying the deterioration which gives rise to affect the living condition or function after constructed. Therefore, a long-term repair schedule should be planned and a repair cost is required. In this paper, it aimed at providing the statistical forecast model for a repair cost in roof water-proofing work and elevator work using statistical approach with three variables such as number of household, management area and a elapsed year. Data are collected in apartment housings which are located in Seoul area and conducted with interview and questionnaire sheet. Each analyzed work is divided into a partly work and fully work. Results of this study are shown that, first, the regression model takes a multiplying type like a Cobb-Douglas function and is changed into the log-linear type to include the three variable simultaneously. Second, the goodness-of-fit of the repair cost forecasting model has a good statistics in determinant's coefficient and Dubin-Watson value. Third, the management area is stronger factor than other the number of household and an elapsed year in roof water-proofing work and elevator work.

Modeling Traffic Accident Characteristics and Severity Related to Drinking-Driving (음주교통사고 영향요인과 심각도 분석을 위한 모형설정)

  • Jang, Taeyoun;Park, Hyunchun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2010
  • Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.

Exploring the Predictors of Academic Probation in College : Focusing on Variables of Student Engagement (대학생의 학사경고 예측요인 탐색: 학교참여도 변인을 중심으로)

  • Seo, Eun Hee;Kim, Eun Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.469-476
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the predictors of academic probation in college. Especially, this study focused on student engagement variables among the predictors of academic probation in college. Student engagement variables include hours of absence from class and numbers of log to LMS(Learning Management System) and in extracurricular program system during four weeks after the opening of a course and the numbers of faculty counseling. GPA(grade Point Average) is a dependent variable and GPA of prior semester is a control variable in this study. 17,261 student data were collected for the study. Linear regression model and logistic regression model analyses were conducted in the study. The finding showed that the hours of absence from class and numbers of log in extracurricular program system during four weeks after the opening of a course predicted academic achievement of college students. The result also indicated that hours of absence from class and numbers of log-ins to LMS(Learning Management System) and in extracurricular program system during four weeks after the opening of a course were the predictors of academic probation in college. This study will contribute to investigate indicators of students with low academic performance and to provide proper support for underachievers.

Current Status of Refractory Dissolved Organic Carbon in the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강유역 난분해성 용존 유기탄소 배출 현황 분석)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Kim, Jungsun;Lee, Jae Kwan;Kang, Limseok;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.538-550
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    • 2012
  • This study suggests a general methodology which is designed for assessing RDOC behavior at the catchment scale by coupling properly a series of steam flow and water quality simulation models and actual monitoring data set. The modified TANK model in which a river routing function is incorporated to the conventional one is applied to simulate the long-term daily stream flow data, and the simulated stream flow data is combined with the 7-parameter log-linear model coupled to the minimum variance unbiased estimator to simulate the long-term daily water quality (BOD, COD and TOC) loads. Finally, the regression analysis between the usually monitored water quality data (BOD, COD and TOC) and RDOC is combined with the simulated water quality data to manifest the spatio-temporal variability of RDOC flux behavior at the Korean TMDL catchment scale.

An Analysis of Consumer's Satisfaction about Korean Traditional Soybean Paste Products - Focusing on Deajeon's Consumers - (전통장류에 대한 소비자 만족도 분석 - 대전소비자를 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate consumer's satisfaction by purchasing farmer's processed food. So, this paper surveyed consumers which have purchased Korean traditional soybean paste products, by reason of limiting research objects among lots of farmer's processed food. A survey of 220 consumers was carried out on September and October 2016. For this matters, this paper used multiple linear regression model(included LOG-LIN model) and, set up 1 dependent and 11 independent variables. As the analysis results, we could find out that consumer's satisfaction was affected by 6 variables(price, taste, ease of cooking, confidence of product information, social awareness and perceived 6th industrialization). Among these variables, the strongest variable was "social awareness", and the second was "perceived 6th industrialization". This paper also estimated the rate of change that a dependent variable was affected by independent variables. As the results, this paper found out that "perceived 6th industrialization" had the highest rate of change(5.8%) and the second was "social awareness"(5.6%). This paper proposed 7 implications of Korean traditional soybean paste. Those were the proper price policy and quality value's promotion, quality Improvement and confidence enhancement, development of products for consumer's convenience, enhancement of social awareness, enhancement of politic management about 6th industrialization and accessibility of purchasing information.