• 제목/요약/키워드: Log Likelihood

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Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimations from exponentiated log-logistic distribution based on progressive type-II censoring under balanced loss functions

  • Chung, Younshik;Oh, Yeongju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.425-445
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    • 2021
  • A generalization of the log-logistic (LL) distribution called exponentiated log-logistic (ELL) distribution on lines of exponentiated Weibull distribution is considered. In this paper, based on progressive type-II censored samples, we have derived the maximum likelihood estimators and Bayes estimators for three parameters, the survival function and hazard function of the ELL distribution. Then, under the balanced squared error loss (BSEL) and the balanced linex loss (BLEL) functions, their corresponding Bayes estimators are obtained using Lindley's approximation (see Jung and Chung, 2018; Lindley, 1980), Tierney-Kadane approximation (see Tierney and Kadane, 1986) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (see Hastings, 1970; Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Here, to check the convergence of MCMC chains, the Gelman and Rubin diagnostic (see Gelman and Rubin, 1992; Brooks and Gelman, 1997) was used. On the basis of their risks, the performances of their Bayes estimators are compared with maximum likelihood estimators in the simulation studies. In this paper, research supports the conclusion that ELL distribution is an efficient distribution to modeling data in the analysis of survival data. On top of that, Bayes estimators under various loss functions are useful for many estimation problems.

로지스틱 회귀모형에서 최우추정량의 정확도 산정 (Assessing the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic regression models)

  • 이기원;손건태;정윤식
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.393-399
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    • 1993
  • 반응이 두 가지로 나타나는 자료에서 설명변수와 반응변수와의 관계를 연구할 때 많이 사용되는 로지스틱 회귀모형에 대하여 그 모수들을 최우추정법으로 구할 때 추정량의 표준오차는 보통 로그우도함수의 2차도함수에 바탕을 두어 계산하게 된다. 한편 피셔정보량이 로그우도함수의 1차도함수를 제곱한 통계량의 기대값으로도 계산된다는 점에 착안하여 얻어지는 피셔정보량의 추정량도 이와 거의 비슷한 대표본 성질을 갖는 것으로 알려져 있다. 이러한 피셔정보량의 추정량들은 최우추정량을 구할 때의 반복 알고리즘과 깊은 관련을 갖고 있다. 어느 방법이 더 효과적으로 최우추정량을 계산하는 지 평균반복횟수를 비교하고 대표본분산의 추정량으로서 각 방법에서 계산되는 분산의 추정량들을 비교하였다.

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Kernel Poisson regression for mixed input variables

  • Shim, Jooyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1231-1239
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    • 2012
  • An estimating procedure is introduced for kernel Poisson regression when the input variables consist of numerical and categorical variables, which is based on the penalized negative log-likelihood and the component-wise product of two different types of kernel functions. The proposed procedure provides the estimates of the mean function of the response variables, where the canonical parameter is linearly and/or nonlinearly related to the input variables. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of the proposed kernel Poisson regression.

Cox proportional hazard model with L1 penalty

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.613-618
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    • 2011
  • The proposed method is based on a penalized log partial likelihood of Cox proportional hazard model with L1-penalty. We use the iteratively reweighted least squares procedure to solve L1 penalized log partial likelihood function of Cox proportional hazard model. It provide the ecient computation including variable selection and leads to the generalized cross validation function for the model selection. Experimental results are then presented to indicate the performance of the proposed procedure.

DIRECTIONAL LOG-DENSITY ESTIMATION

  • Huh, Jib;Kim, Peter T.;Koo, Ja-Yong;Park, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2004
  • This paper develops log-density estimation for directional data. The methodology is to use expansions with respect to spherical harmonics followed by estimating the unknown parameters by maximum likelihood. Minimax rates of convergence in terms of the Kullback-Leibler information divergence are obtained.

로그 우도 차이의 P-norm에 기반한 은닉 마르코프 파라미터 추정 알고리듬 (The p-Norm of Log-likelihood Difference Estimation Algorithm for Hidden Markov Models)

  • 윤성락;유창동
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2007년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.307-308
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a discriminative training algorithm for estimating hidden Markov model (HMM) parameters. The proposed algorithm estimates the Parameters by minimizing the p-norm of log-likelihood difference (PLD) between the utterance probability given the correct transcription and the most competitive transcription.

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Kernel Machine for Poisson Regression

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.767-772
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    • 2007
  • A kernel machine is proposed as an estimating procedure for the linear and nonlinear Poisson regression, which is based on the penalized negative log-likelihood. The proposed kernel machine provides the estimate of the mean function of the response variable, where the canonical parameter is related to the input vector in a nonlinear form. The generalized cross validation(GCV) function of MSE-type is introduced to determine hyperparameters which affect the performance of the machine. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of the proposed machine.

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ALT 통합모형의 적용 및 응용 (Implementation and Application of Integrated Model for ALT(Accelerated Life Test))

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2008년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the log likelihood function for integrated models for ALT such as exponential-general Eyring, Weibull-temperature and specific heat, lognormal-temperature and specific heat. Additionally this paper estimates the system reliability and mean time to failure(MTTF) for series, parallel, k of n, and standby system using ALT linkage parameter. Lastly this study designs three variable reliability acceptance sampling(RAS) plans such as type I, II censored test, sequential test by the use of integrated models for ALT.

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영과잉을 고려한 중심상업지구 교통사고모형 개발에 관한 연구 (Safety Performance Functions for Central Business Districts Using a Zero-Inflated Model)

  • 이상혁;우용한
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study was to develop safety performance functions (SPFs) that use zero-inflated negative binomial regression models for urban intersections in central business districts (CBDs), and to compare the statistical significance of developed models against that of regular negative binomial regression models. METHODS : To develop and analyze the SPFs of intersections in CBDs, data acquisition was conducted for dependent and independent variables in areas of study. We analyzed the SPFs using zero-inflated negative binomial regression model as well as regular negative binomial regression model. We then compared the results by analyzing the statistical significance of the models. RESULTS : SPFs were estimated for all accidents and injury accidents at intersections in CBDs in terms of variables such as AADT, Number of Lanes at Major Roads, Median Barriers, Right Turn with an Exclusive Turn Lane, Turning Guideline, and Front Signal. We also estimated the log-likelihood at convergence and the likelihood ratio of SPFs for comparing the zero-inflated model with the regular model. In he SPFs, estimated log-likelihood at convergence and the likelihood ratio of the zero-inflated model were at -836.736, 0.193 and -836.415, 0.195. Also estimated the log-likelihood at convergence and likelihood ratio of the regular model were at -843.547, 0.187 and -842.631, 0.189, respectively. These figures demonstrate that zero-inflated negative binomial regression models can better explain traffic accidents at intersections in CBDs. CONCLUSIONS : SPFs that use a zero-inflated negative binomial regression model demonstrate better statistical significance compared with those that use a regular negative binomial regression model.