• Title/Summary/Keyword: Link Travel Time

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Estimation of Bus Travel Time Using Detector for in case of Missed Bus Information (버스정보 결측시 검지기 자료를 통한 버스 통행시간의 산정)

  • Son Young-Tae;Kim Won-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.4 no.3 s.8
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2005
  • To improve the quality of bus service, providing bus ravel time information to passenger through station screen. Generally, bus travel time information predict by using previous bus data such as neural network, Kalman filtering, and moving average algorithms. However, when they got a difficulty about bus travel time information because of the missing previous bus data, they use pattern data. Generally, nevertheless the difference of range is big. Hence in this research to calculate the bus travel time information when the bus information is missed, use queue detector's data which set up in link. The application of several factors which influence in bus link travel time, we used CORSIM Version 5.1 simulation package.

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The study of Estimation model for the short-term travel time prediction (단기 통행시간예측 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • LEE Seung-jae;KIM Beom-il;Kwon Hyug
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.3 no.1 s.4
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2004
  • The study of Estimation model for the short-term travel time prediction. There is a different solution which has predicted the link travel time to solve this problem. By using this solution, the link travel time is predicted based on link conditions from time to time. The predicated link travel time is used to search the shortest path. Before providing a dynamic shortest path finding, the prediction model should be verified. To verify the prediction model, three models such as Kalman filtering, Stochastic Process, ARIMA. The ARIMA model should adjust optimal parameters according to the traffic conditions. It requires a frequent adjustment process of finding optimal parameters. As a result of these characteristics, It is difficult to use the ARIMA model as a prediction. Kalman Filtering model has a distinguished prediction capability. It is due to the modification of travel time predictive errors in the gaining matrix. As a result of these characteristics, the Kalman Filtering model is likely to have a non-accumulative errors in prediction. Stochastic Process model uses the historical patterns of travel time conditions on links. It if favorably comparable with the other models in the sense of the recurrent travel time condition prediction. As a result, for the travel time estimation, Kalman filtering model is the better estimation model for the short-term estimation, stochastic process is the better for the long-term estimation.

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A Study of Link Travel Speed Model using Estimation of the Ratio of Stop Vehicle (신호교차로의 정지차량비 추정을 통한 링크통행속도 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Woo;Lim, Chae-Moom;Lee, Ju-ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this thesis is to develop a simulation model to estimate link travel speed applicable to urban street transportation planning for interrupted traffic flow, influenced by signalized intersection. This link travel speed model is expected to be a better and more than previous studies.

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A Study on the Standard Link-based Travel Speed Calculation System Using GPS Tracking Information (GPS 운행궤적정보를 이용한 표준링크기반 통행속도 산출 시스템 연구)

  • Song, Gil jong;Hwang, Jae Seon;Lim, Jae Jung;Jung, Eui Yong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.142-155
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted with the aim of developing a system to collect taxi GPS probe information to prevent link defects and to improve the accuracy of the standard link-based travel speed by determining when to go into and come out the link. For this purpose, a framework and algorithm consisting of a five-step process for standard link-based map matching and individual vehicle travel speed are presented and used it to calculate the average travel speed of the service link. Two on-site surveys of Teheran and Hakdong-ro were conducted to verify the results by the methods proposed in this paper. On the basis of the overall time of the field survey, the deviation in the travel speed was 0.2 km/h and 0.6 km/h, the accuracy was 99% and 96%, and the MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) was 1% and 4% in Teheran and Hakdong-ro, respectively. These results were more accurate thand those obtained using conventional methodologies without standard links.

Fuzzy Logic Based Prediction of Link Travel Velocity Using GPS Information (퍼지논리 및 GPS정보를 이용한 링크통행속도의 예측)

  • Jhong, Woo-Jin;Lee, Jong-Soo;Ko, Jin-Woong;Park, Pyong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.342-347
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    • 2003
  • It is essential to develop an algorithm for the estimate of link travel velocity and for the supply and control of travel information in the context of intelligent transportation information system. The paper proposes the fuzzy logic based prediction of link travel velocity. Three factors such as time, date and velocity are considered as major components to represent the travel situation. In the fuzzy modeling, those factors were expressed by fuzzy membership functions. We acquire position/velocity data through GPS antenna with PDA embedded probe vehicles. The link travel velocity is calculated using refined GPS data and the prediction results are compared with actual data for its accuracy.

A Dynamic Shortest Path Finding Model using Hierarchical Road Networks (도로 위계 구조를 고려한 동적 최적경로 탐색 기법개발)

  • Kim, Beom-Il;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.6 s.84
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2005
  • When it comes to the process of information storage, people are likely to organize individual information into the forms of groups rather than independent attributes, and put them together in their brains. Likewise, in case of finding the shortest path, this study suggests that a Hierarchical Road Network(HRN) model should be selected to browse the most desirable route, since the HRN model takes the process mentioned above into account. Moreover, most of drivers make a decision to select a route from origin to destination by road hierarchy. It says that the drivers feel difference between the link travel tine which was measured by driving and the theoretical link travel time. There is a different solution which has predicted the link travel time to solve this problem. By using this solution, the link travel time is predicted based on link conditions from time to time. The predicated link travel time is used to search the shortest path. Stochastic Process model uses the historical patterns of travel time conditions on links. The HRN model has compared favorably with the conventional shortest path finding model in tern of calculated speeds. Even more, the result of the shortest path using the HRN model has more similar to the survey results which was conducted to the taxi drivers. Taxi drivers have a strong knowledge of road conditions on the road networks and they are more likely to select a shortest path according to the real common sense.

Evaluation of the Estimate Algorithms for Link Travel Time from GPS Probe Data (GPS수신정보에 의한 구간통행속도 예측 알고리즘 비교평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyo;Han, Won-Sub;Lee, Ho-Won;Hyun, Cheol-Seung;Joo, Doo-Hwan;Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzed errors of data received from GPS which showed different reception characteristics based on chipset at poor reception area. The digital map made from National Police Agency shows 4% errors of length on the average. The comparison of three different algorithms - Average Spot Speed, Cumulative Travel Length from GPS with Actual Travel Time, Travel Length from Digital Map with Actual Travel Time have been conducted to find significant difference estimating travel time from GPS Data. The algorithm to estimate travel time from travel length and travel time showed the most reliable results from the others.

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A Heuristic Outlier Filtering Algorithm for Generating Link Travel Time using Taxi GPS Probes in Urban Arterial (링크통행시간 생성을 위한 이상치 제거 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Keechoo;Choi, Yoon-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.731-738
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    • 2006
  • Facing congestion, people want to know traffic information about their routes, especially real-time link travel time (LTT). In this paper, as a sequel paper of the previous non-taxi based LTT generating study by Choi et al. (1998), taxi based GPS probes have been tried to produce LTT for urban arterials. Taxis in itself are good deployment mode of GPS probes although it by nature experiences boarding and alighting time noises which should be accounted. A heuristic real-time dynamic outlier filter algorithm for taxi GPS probe has been developed focusing on urban arterials. An actual traffic survey for dynamic link travel times has been conducted using license plate method for the test arterials of Seoul city transportation network. With the algorithm, it is estimated that 70% of outliers have been filtered and the relative error has been improved by 73.7%. The filtering algorithm developed here would be expected to be in use for other spatial sites with some calibration efforts. Some limitations and future research agenda have also been discussed.

A Variable Demand Traffic Assignment Model Based on Stable Dynamics (안정동력학에 의한 가변수요 통행배정모형)

  • Park, Koo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.61-83
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    • 2009
  • This study developed a variable demand traffic assignment model by stable dynamics. Stable dynamics, suggested by Nesterov and do Palma[19], is a new model which describes and provides a stable state of congestion in urban transportation networks. In comparison with the user equilibrium model, which is based on the arc travel time function in analyzing transportation networks, stable dynamics requires few parameters and is coincident with intuitions and observations on congestion. It is therefore expected to be a useful analysis tool for transportation planners. In this study, we generalize the stable dynamics into the model with variable demands. We suggest a three stage optimization model. In the first stage, we introduce critical travel times and dummy links and determine variable demands and link flows by applying an optimization problem to an extended network with the dummy links. Then we determine link travel times and path flows in the following stages. We present a numerical example of the application of the model to a given network.

An Application of Dynamic Route Choice Model Using Optimal Control Theory (최적제어이론을 이용한 동적 통행배정 모형의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • 전경수;오세현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.5-29
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    • 1995
  • Advanced Traveler Inoformation Systems*ATIS) , as a subsystem of ITS influence the travel choices of dreivers by providing them with historical, real-time and predictive information to supprot travel decisions and consequently improves the speed and quality of travel. For thesuccessul accomplishment of ATIS, the time-dependent variations of traffic in a road network and travel times of vehicles during their journey must be predicted . The purpose of this study is to evaluate the past developments in the dynamic route choice models and to apply the instantaneous dynamic user optimal route choice model. recently formulated with flow propagation constraints by Ran, Boyce and LeBlanc, to the real transportation network of Seocho-Ku in Seoul. As input data for this application, the time-dependent travel rates are estimated and the link travel time function is derived. The modelis validated from three view points : the efficiency of model itself the ability to predict traffic volume and travel time on links, and the optimal traffic control.

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