• 제목/요약/키워드: Linear prediction analysis

검색결과 858건 처리시간 0.027초

통계적 방법에 근거한 AMSU-A 복사자료의 전처리 및 편향보정 (Pre-processing and Bias Correction for AMSU-A Radiance Data Based on Statistical Methods)

  • 이시혜;김상일;전형욱;김주혜;강전호
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.491-502
    • /
    • 2014
  • As a part of the KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems) Package for Observation Processing (KPOP), we have developed the modules for Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) pre-processing and its bias correction. The KPOP system calculates the airmass bias correction coefficients via the method of multiple linear regression in which the scan-corrected innovation and the thicknesses of 850~300, 200~50, 50~5, and 10~1 hPa are respectively used for dependent and independent variables. Among the four airmass predictors, the multicollinearity has been shown by the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) that quantifies the severity of multicollinearity in a least square regression. To resolve the multicollinearity, we adopted simple linear regression and Principal Component Regression (PCR) to calculate the airmass bias correction coefficients and compared the results with those from the multiple linear regression. The analysis shows that the order of performances is multiple linear, principal component, and simple linear regressions. For bias correction for the AMSU-A channel 4 which is the most sensitive to the lower troposphere, the multiple linear regression with all four airmass predictors is superior to the simple linear regression with one airmass predictor of 850~300 hPa. The results of PCR with 95% accumulated variances accounted for eigenvalues showed the similar results of the multiple linear regression.

Optimized Neural Network Weights and Biases Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Prediction Applications

  • Ahmadzadeh, Ezat;Lee, Jieun;Moon, Inkyu
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
    • /
    • 제20권8호
    • /
    • pp.1406-1420
    • /
    • 2017
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs) play an important role in the fields of function approximation, prediction, and classification. ANN performance is critically dependent on the input parameters, including the number of neurons in each layer, and the optimal values of weights and biases assigned to each neuron. In this study, we apply the particle swarm optimization method, a popular optimization algorithm for determining the optimal values of weights and biases for every neuron in different layers of the ANN. Several regression models, including general linear regression, Fourier regression, smoothing spline, and polynomial regression, are conducted to evaluate the proposed method's prediction power compared to multiple linear regression (MLR) methods. In addition, residual analysis is conducted to evaluate the optimized ANN accuracy for both training and test datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively determine optimal values for neuron weights and biases, and high accuracy results are obtained for prediction applications. Evaluations of the proposed method reveal that it can be used for prediction and estimation purposes, with a high accuracy ratio, and the designed model provides a reliable technique for optimization. The simulation results show that the optimized ANN exhibits superior performance to MLR for prediction purposes.

작품 가격 추정을 위한 기계 학습 기법의 응용 및 가격 결정 요인 분석 (Price Determinant Factors of Artworks and Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning)

  • 장동률;박민재
    • 품질경영학회지
    • /
    • 제47권4호
    • /
    • pp.687-700
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction effects between price determinants of artworks. We expand the methodology in art market by applying machine learning techniques to estimate the price of artworks and compare linear regression and machine learning in terms of prediction accuracy. Methods: Moderated regression analysis was performed to verify the interaction effects of artistic characteristics on price. The moderating effects were studied by confirming the significance level of the interaction terms of the derived regression equation. In order to derive price estimation model, we use multiple linear regression analysis, which is a parametric statistical technique, and k-nearest neighbor (kNN) regression, which is a nonparametric statistical technique in machine learning methods. Results: Mostly, the influences of the price determinants of art are different according to the auction types and the artist 's reputation. However, the auction type did not control the influence of the genre of the work on the price. As a result of the analysis, the kNN regression was superior to the linear regression analysis based on the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: It provides a theoretical basis for the complexity that exists between pricing determinant factors of artworks. In addition, the nonparametric models and machine learning techniques as well as existing parameter models are implemented to estimate the artworks' price.

A methodology for remaining life prediction of concrete structural components accounting for tension softening effect

  • Murthy, A. Rama Chandra;Palani, G.S.;Iyer, Nagesh R.;Gopinath, Smitha
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • 제5권3호
    • /
    • pp.261-277
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper presents methodologies for remaining life prediction of plain concrete structural components considering tension softening effect. Non-linear fracture mechanics principles (NLFM) have been used for crack growth analysis and remaining life prediction. Various tension softening models such as linear, bi-linear, tri-linear, exponential and power curve have been presented with appropriate expressions. A methodology to account for tension softening effects in the computation of SIF and remaining life prediction of concrete structural components has been presented. The tension softening effects has been represented by using any one of the models mentioned above. Numerical studies have been conducted on three point bending concrete structural component under constant amplitude loading. Remaining life has been predicted for different loading cases and for various tension softening models. The predicted values have been compared with the corresponding experimental observations. It is observed that the predicted life using bi-linear model and power curve model is in close agreement with the experimental values. Parametric studies on remaining life prediction have also been conducted by using modified bilinear model. A suitable value for constant of modified bilinear model is suggested based on parametric studies.

정상 및 심질환 소아의 청진음 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Stethoscope Signal Analysis for Normal and Heart-diseased Children)

  • 김동준
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제66권4호
    • /
    • pp.715-720
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study tries to analyze morphology and formant frequencies of linear prediction spectra of stethoscope sounds for heart diseased children. For this object, heart diseased stethoscope sounds were collected in the pediatrics of an university hospital. The collected signals were preprocessed and analyzed by the Burg algorithm, a kind of linear prediction analysis. The linear prediction spectra and the formant frequencies of the spectra for the stethoscope sounds for the normal and the diseased children are estimated and compared. The spectra showed outstanding differences in morphology and formant frequencies between the normal and the diseased children. Normal children showed relatively low frequency of F1(the first formant) and small negative slope from F1. VSD children revealed stiff slope change around F1 to F3. Spectra of ASD children is similar with the normal case, but have negative values of F3. F1-F2 difference of the functional murmur children were relatively large.

관망자료를 이용한 인공지능 기반의 누수 예측 (Artificial Intelligence-based Leak Prediction using Pipeline Data)

  • 이호현;홍성택
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제26권7호
    • /
    • pp.963-971
    • /
    • 2022
  • 상수도 관망은 국가 수도 시설의 주요한 구성 요소이지만 대부분이 지중에 매립되어 있어 배관의 노후화 정도 및 누수를 파악하기 어려우므로 유지관리 하기가 매우 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 관망에 설치된 다양한 센서 조합을 가정하여, 데이터 조합에 따른 관로 누수 판별 가능성을 검토하기 위하여 선형회귀분석, 뉴로퍼지 등의 인공지능 알고리즘을 통한 유량과 압력 예측을 실시하여 최적 알고리즘을 도출하였다. 공급압력 예측을 통한 누수판별의 경우 뉴로퍼지 알고리즘이 선형회귀분석에 비하여 우수하였다. 누수유량 예측에서는 뉴로퍼지를 이용한 유량예측이 우선 고려되어야 한다. 다만, 유량을 모사하기 힘든 경우에는 선형 알고리즘을 이용한 공급압력 예측이 이루어져야 할 것으로 사료 된다.

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.310-314
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

선형 예측법에 의한 음성신호의 분석과 그 응용 방안 (Analysis of Speech Signals by linear prediction and It's Application)

  • 김명규
    • 대한전자공학회논문지
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.27-33
    • /
    • 1981
  • 한국어의 주요 단모음에 대하여 음정을 변화시켜 가면서 전형 예측법에 따른 모형 스펙트럼과 성도의 형태를 추정함으로써 음의 고저에 따른 특성 변화를 분석하였다. 또 분석한 결과를 이용하여 음소의 조합에 의한 음성합성방안을 제시하고 실험에 의해 그 타당성을 입증하였다.

  • PDF

순수 성분의 물성 자료를 이용한 2성분계 혼합물의 인화점에 대한 다변량 통계 분석 및 예측 (Multivariate Statistical Analysis and Prediction for the Flash Points of Binary Systems Using Physical Properties of Pure Substances)

  • 이범석;김성영
    • 한국가스학회지
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.13-18
    • /
    • 2007
  • 다변량 통계 분석법(Multivariate statistical analysis method)의 대표적 방법인 다중 선형 회귀법(Multiple linear regression. MLR)을 이용하여 2성분계 혼합물의 인화점을 회귀 분석하고 예측하였다. 가연성 물질의 인화점에 대한 예측은 실제 화학 공정 설계에서 화재 및 폭발 위험성을 판단하는 중요한 부분 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 순수 성분의 물성 자료만을 이용하여 2성분계 혼합물의 인화점 실험 자료에 대해 다중 선형 회귀법(MLR)을 수행하였고, 이를 이용하여 새로운 혼합물에 대한 인화점을 예측하였다. 2성분계 혼합물의 인화점에 대한 MLR의 회귀 성능과 새로운 혼합물에 대한 예측 성능을 알아보기 위해, 기존의 인화점 추정 방법인 Raoult의 법칙과 Van Laar식에 의한 추정값과 비교해 보았다.

  • PDF

DIVERGENT SELECTION FOR POSTWEANING FEED CONVERSION IN ANGUS BEEF CATTLE V. PREDICTION OF FEED CONVERSION USING WEIGHTS AND LINEAR BODY MEASUREMENTS

  • Park, N.H.;Bishop, M.D.;Davis, M.E.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • 제7권3호
    • /
    • pp.441-448
    • /
    • 1994
  • Postweaning performance data were obtained on 187 group fed purebred Angus calves from 12 selected sires (six high and six low feed conversion sires) in 1985 and 1986. The objective of this portion of the study was to develop prediction equations for feed conversion from a stepwise regression analysis. Variables measured were on-test weight (ONTSTWT), on-test age (ONTSTAG), five weights by 28-d periods, seven linear body measurements: heart girth (HG), hip height (HH), head width (HDW), head length (HDL), muzzle circumference (MC), length between hooks and pins (HOPIN) and length between shoulder and hooks (SHHO), and backfat thickness (BF). Stepwise regressions for maintenance adjusted feed conversion (ADJFC) and unadjusted feed conversion (UNADFC) over the first 140 d of the test, and total feed conversion (FC) until progeny reached 8.89 mm of back fat were obtained separately by conversion groups and sexes and for combined feed conversion groups and sexes. In general, weights were more important than linear body measurements in prediction of feed utilization. To some extent this was expected as weight is related directly to gain which is a component of feed conversion. Weight at 112 d was the most important variable in prediction of feed conversion when data from both feed conversion groups and sexes were combined. Weights at 84 and 140 d were important variables in prediction of UNADFC and FC, respectively, of bulls. ONTSTWT and weight at 140 d had the highest standardized partial regression coefficients for UNADFC and ADJFC, respectively, of heifers. Results indicated that linear measurements, such as MC, HDL and HOPIN, are useful in prediction of feed conversion when feed in takes are unavailable.