• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear models

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A Study on Detection of Outliers and Influential Observations in Linear Models

  • Kang, Eun M.;Park, Sung H.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.18-33
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    • 1988
  • A new diagnostic statistic for detecting outliers and influential observations in linear models is suggested and studied in this paper. The proposed statistic is a weighted sum of two measures ; one is for detecting outliers and the other is for detecting influential ovservations. The merit of this statistic is that it is possible to distinguish outliers from influential observations. This statistic can be used for not only regression models but also factorial design models. A Monte Carlo simulation study is reported to suggest critical values for detecting outliers and influential observations for simple regression models when the number of observations is 11. 21, 31, 41 or 51.

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Bayesian Methods for Generalized Linear Models

  • Paul E. Green;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.523-532
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    • 1999
  • Generalized linear models have various applications for data arising from many kinds of statistical studies. Although the response variable is generally assumed to be generated from a wide class of probability distributions we focus on count data that are most often analyzed using binomial models for proportions or poisson models for rates. The methods and results presented here also apply to many other categorical data models in general due to the relationship between multinomial and poisson sampling. The novelty of the approach suggested here is that all conditional distribution s can be specified directly so that staraightforward Gibbs sampling is possible. The prior distribution consists of two stages. We rely on a normal nonconjugate prior at the first stage and a vague prior for hyperparameters at the second stage. The methods are demonstrated with an illustrative example using data collected by Rosenkranz and raftery(1994) concerning the number of hospital admissions due to back pain in Washington state.

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On Choice of Kautz functions Pole and its Relation with Accuracy in System Identification

  • Bae, Chul-Min;Wada, Kiyoshi;Imai, Jun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.125-128
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    • 1999
  • A linear time-invariant model can be described either by a parametric model or by a nonparametric model. Nonparametric models, for which a priori information is not necessary, are basically the response of the dynamic system such as impulse response model and frequency models. Parametric models, such as transfer function models, can be easily described by a small number of parameters. In this paper aiming to take benefit from both types of models, we will use linear-combination of basis fuctions in an impulse response using a few parameters. We will expand and generalize the Kautz functions as basis functions for dynamical system representations and we will consider estimation problem of transfer functions using Kautz function. And so we will present the influences of poles settings of Kautz function on the identification accuracy.

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Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis

  • Gangrade, Akshata;Pratyush, Pawel;Hajela, Gaurav
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.624-640
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    • 2022
  • Taxi-demand forecasting and hotspot prediction can be critical in reducing response times and designing a cost effective online taxi-booking model. Taxi demand in a region can be predicted by considering the past demand accumulated in that region over a span of time. However, other covariates-like neighborhood influence, sociodemographic parameters, and point-of-interest data-may also influence the spatiotemporal variation of demand. To study the effects of these covariates, in this paper, we propose three models that consider different covariates in order to select a set of independent variables. These models predict taxi demand in spatial units for a given temporal resolution using linear and ensemble regression. We eventually combine the characteristics (covariates) of each of these models to propose a robust forecasting framework which we call the combined covariates model (CCM). Experimental results show that the CCM performs better than the other models proposed in this paper.

Tilted beta regression and beta-binomial regression models: Mean and variance modeling

  • Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.263-277
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    • 2024
  • This paper proposes new parameterizations of the tilted beta binomial distribution, obtained from the combination of the binomial distribution and the tilted beta distribution, where the beta component of the mixture is parameterized as a function of their mean and variance. These new parameterized distributions include as particular cases the beta rectangular binomial and the beta binomial distributions. After that, we propose new linear regression models to deal with overdispersed binomial datasets. These new models are defined from the proposed new parameterization of the tilted beta binomial distribution, and assume regression structures for the mean and variance parameters. These new linear regression models are fitted by applying Bayesian methods and using the OpenBUGS software. The proposed regression models are fitted to a school absenteeism dataset and to the seeds germination rate according to the type seed and root.

Seismic responses of base-isolated buildings: efficacy of equivalent linear modeling under near-fault earthquakes

  • Alhan, Cenk;Ozgur, Murat
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1439-1461
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    • 2015
  • Design criteria, modeling rules, and analysis principles of seismic isolation systems have already found place in important building codes and standards such as the Uniform Building Code and ASCE/SEI 7-05. Although real behaviors of isolation systems composed of high damping or lead rubber bearings are nonlinear, equivalent linear models can be obtained using effective stiffness and damping which makes use of linear seismic analysis methods for seismic-isolated buildings possible. However, equivalent linear modeling and analysis may lead to errors in seismic response terms of multi-story buildings and thus need to be assessed comprehensively. This study investigates the accuracy of equivalent linear modeling via numerical experiments conducted on generic five-story three dimensional seismic-isolated buildings. A wide range of nonlinear isolation systems with different characteristics and their equivalent linear counterparts are subjected to historical earthquakes and isolation system displacements, top floor accelerations, story drifts, base shears, and torsional base moments are compared. Relations between the accuracy of the estimates of peak structural responses from equivalent linear models and typical characteristics of nonlinear isolation systems including effective period, rigid-body mode period, effective viscous damping ratio, and post-yield to pre-yield stiffness ratio are established. Influence of biaxial interaction and plan eccentricity are also examined.

Adsorption characteristic of Cu(II) and phosphate using non-linear and linear isotherm equation for chitosan bead (비선형과 선형 등온흡착식을 이용한 키토산비드의 구리와 인산염의 흡착특성)

  • Kim, Taehoon;An, Byungryul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2020
  • 2 (Langmuir, Freundlich, Elovich, Temkin, and Dubinin-Radushkevich) and 3 (Sips and Redlich-Peterson)-parameter isotherm models were applied to evaluated for the applicability of adsorption of Cu(II) and/or phosphate isotherm using chitosan bead. Non-linear and linear isotherm adsorption were also compared on each parameter with coefficient of determination (R2). Among 2-parameter isotherms, non-linear Langmuir and Freundlich isotherm showed relatively higher R2 and appropriate maximum uptake (qm) than other isotherm equation although linear Dubinin-Radushkevich obtained highest R2. 3-parameter isotherm model demonstrated more reasonable and accuracy results than 2-parmeter isotherm in both non-linear and linear due to the addition of one parameter. The linearization for all of isotherm equation did not increase the applicability of adsorption models when error experiment data was included.

Development and validation of a non-linear k-ε model for flow over a full-scale building

  • Wright, N.G.;Easom, G.J.;Hoxey, R.J.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.177-196
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    • 2001
  • At present the most popular turbulence models used for engineering solutions to flow problems are the $k-{\varepsilon}$ and Reynolds stress models. The shortcoming of these models based on the isotropic eddy viscosity concept and Reynolds averaging in flow fields of the type found in the field of Wind Engineering are well documented. In view of these shortcomings this paper presents the implementation of a non-linear model and its evaluation for flow around a building. Tests were undertaken using the classical bluff body shape, a surface mounted cube, with orientations both normal and skewed at $45^{\circ}$ to the incident wind. Full-scale investigations have been undertaken at the Silsoe Research Institute with a 6 m surface mounted cube and a fetch of roughness height equal to 0.01 m. All tests were originally undertaken for a number of turbulence models including the standard, RNG and MMK $k-{\varepsilon}$ models and the differential stress model. The sensitivity of the CFD results to a number of solver parameters was tested. The accuracy of the turbulence model used was deduced by comparison to the full-scale predicted roof and wake recirculation zone lengths. Mean values of the predicted pressure coefficients were used to further validate the turbulence models. Preliminary comparisons have also been made with available published experimental and large eddy simulation data. Initial investigations suggested that a suitable turbulence model should be able to model the anisotropy of turbulent flow such as the Reynolds stress model whilst maintaining the ease of use and computational stability of the two equations models. Therefore development work concentrated on non-linear quadratic and cubic expansions of the Boussinesq eddy viscosity assumption. Comparisons of these with models based on an isotropic assumption are presented along with comparisons with measured data.

Investigation on the Accuracy of bundle Adjustments and Exterior Orientation Parameter Estimation of Linear Pushbroom Sensor Models (선형 푸시브룸 센서모델의 번들조정 정확도 및 외부표정요소추정 정확도 분석)

  • Kim Tae Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we investigate the accuracy of various sensor models developed for linear pushbroom satellite images. We define the accuracy of a sensor model in two aspects: the accuracy of bundle adjustments and the accuracy of estimating exterior orientation parameters. The first accuracy has been analyzed and reported frequently whereas the second accuracy has somewhat been neglected. We argue that the second accuracy is as important as the first one. The second accuracy describes a model's ability to predict satellite orbit and attitude, which has many direct and indirect applications. Analysis was carried out on the traditional collinearity-based sensor models and orbit-based sensor models. Collinearity-based models were originally developed for aerial photos and modified for linear pushbroom-type satellite images. Orbit-based models have been used within satellite communities for satellite control and orbit determination. Models were tested with two Kompsat-1 EOC scenes and GPS-driven control points. Test results showed that orbit-based models produced better estimation of exterior orientation parameters while maintained comparable accuracy on bundle adjustments.

Using a feed forward ANN to model the inelastic behaviour of confined sandwich panels

  • Marante, Maria E.;Barreto, Wilmer J.;Picon, Ricardo A.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.71 no.5
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2019
  • The analysis and design of complex structures like sandwich-panel elements are difficult; the use of finite element method for the analysis is complicated and time consuming when non-linear effects are considered. On the other hand, artificial neural network (ANN) models can capture the non-linear effects and its application requires lesser computational demand. Two ANN models were trained, tested and validated to compute the force for a given displacement of a sandwich-type roof element; 2555 force and element deformation pairs were used for training the ANN models. For the models trained without considering the damping effect, there were two values in the input layer: maximum displacement and current displacement, and for the model considering damping, displacement from the previous step was used as an additional input. Totally, 400 ANN models were trained. Results show that there is a good agreement between the experimental and simulated data, and the models showed a good performance with a mean square error value of 4548.85. Both the ANN models could simulate the inelastic behaviour, loss of rigidity, and evolution of permanent displacements. The models could also interpolate and extrapolate, which enables them to be used as an analysis and design tool for such complex elements.