• 제목/요약/키워드: Likelihood ratio

검색결과 716건 처리시간 0.021초

Experimental validation of a nuclear forensics methodology for source reactor-type discrimination of chemically separated plutonium

  • Osborn, Jeremy M.;Glennon, Kevin J.;Kitcher, Evans D.;Burns, Jonathan D.;Folden, Charles M. III;Chirayath, Sunil S.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.384-393
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    • 2019
  • An experimental validation of a nuclear forensics methodology for the source reactor-type discrimination of separated weapons-useable plutonium is presented. The methodology uses measured values of intra-element isotope ratios of plutonium and fission product contaminants. MCNP radiation transport codes were used for various reactor core modeling and fuel burnup simulations. A reactor-dependent library of intra-element isotope ratio values as a function of burnup and time since irradiation was created from the simulation results. The experimental validation of the methodology was achieved by performing two low-burnup experimental irradiations, resulting in distinct fuel samples containing sub-milligram quantities of weapons-useable plutonium. The irradiated samples were subjected to gamma and mass spectrometry to measure several intra-element isotope ratios. For each reactor in the library, a maximum likelihood calculation was utilized to compare the measured and simulated intra-element isotope ratio values, producing a likelihood value which is proportional to the probability of observing the measured ratio values, given a particular reactor in the library. The measured intra-element isotope ratio values of both irradiated samples and its comparison with the simulation predictions using maximum likelihood analyses are presented. The analyses validate the nuclear forensics methodology developed.

A statistical reference-free damage identification for real-time monitoring of truss bridges using wavelet-based log likelihood ratios

  • Lee, Soon Gie;Yun, Gun Jin
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.181-207
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a statistical reference-free real-time damage detection methodology is proposed for detecting joint and member damage of truss bridge structures. For the statistical damage sensitive index (DSI), wavelet packet decomposition (WPD) in conjunction with the log likelihood ratio was suggested. A sensitivity test for selecting a wavelet packet that is most sensitive to damage level was conducted and determination of the level of decomposition was also described. Advantages of the proposed method for applications to real-time health monitoring systems were demonstrated by using the log likelihood ratios instead of likelihood ratios. A laboratory truss bridge structure instrumented with accelerometers and a shaker was used for experimental verification tests of the proposed methodology. The statistical reference-free real-time damage detection algorithm was successfully implemented and verified by detecting three damage types frequently observed in truss bridge structures - such as loss of bolts, loosening of bolts at multiple locations, sectional loss of members - without reference signals from pristine structure. The DSI based on WPD and the log likelihood ratio showed consistent and reliable results under different damage scenarios.

선택편향이 존재할 때, 수정 층화우도비를 이용한 최적절사점의 결정 (Determination of the Optimal Cutoff Point using Adjusted Stratum-Specific Likelihood Ratios when Disease Verification is subject to Verification Bias)

  • 김후남;박용규
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.515-530
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    • 2007
  • 진단검사에서 민감도와 특이도가 선택편향에 영향을 받을 때, 진단검사의 각층에서의 민감도와 1-특이도의 비로 얻어지는 층화우도비도 편의가 존재하게 된다. 따라서 편의가 있는 층화우도비로 찾아진 최적절사점도 잘못된 값이 된다. 본 연구에서는 Begg과 Greenes (1983)에 의해 제안된 수정 민감도와 특이도를 층화우도비에 적용하여, 선택편향이 수정되는 최적절사점을 찾아보았다. 그리고 선택편향이 최적절사점에 미치는 영향을 선택편향 수정인자를 통해 설명하였다.

음의 유사도 비율 누적 방법을 이용한 발화검증 연구 (A Study on Utterance Verification Using Accumulation of Negative Log-likelihood Ratio)

  • 한명희;이호준;김순협
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.194-201
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    • 2003
  • 음성인식에서 신뢰도 측정이란 인식된 결과에 대한 신뢰 여부를 결정하는 것이다. 신뢰도는 프레임을 음소 및 단어 수준으로 통합하여 측정된다. 단어 인식의 경우, 신뢰도를 이용하여 인식 결과와 미등록 어휘를 검증한다. 따라서 이러한 후처리를 통해 이를 인식 결과로 승인하지 않음으로써 성능을 높일 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 신뢰도 측정 방법인 로그 유사도 비를 수정하여 신뢰도를 측정하였다. 제안된 방법은 프레임 수준에서 음소 수준으로 신뢰도를 통합할 때 로그 유사도 비가 음수인 것만을 누적하는 것이다. 단어 인식기의 인식 결과에 대한 검증 성능을 기존의 방법과 비교한 결과, CAR (Correct Acceptance Ratio)이 90%인 지점에서 FAR (False Acceptance Ratio)을 미등록 어휘에 대해서는 약 3.49%, 오인식에 대해서는 15.25% 감소시킬 수 있었다

Influence Analysis of the Liklihood Ratio Test in Multivariate Behrens-Fisher Problem

  • Jung, Kang-Mo;Kim, Myung-Geun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.939-946
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    • 1999
  • We propose methods for detecting influential observations that have a large influence on the likelihood ratio test statistic for the multivariate Behrens-Fisher problem. For this purpose we derive the influence curve and the derivative influence of the likelihood ratio test statistic. An illustrative example is given to show the effectiveness of the proposed methods on the identification of influential observations.

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변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형에서 돌출대립가설에 대한 우도비검정 (Likelihood Ratio Test for the Epidemic Alternatives on the Zero-Inflated Poisson Model)

  • 김경무
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 1998
  • 영과잉-포아송모형에서 변화시점이 있는 경우, 돌출대립가설에 대한 우도비검정을 이용하여 변화시점의 유 무를 알아보았다. 변화시점에 대한 추정은 최소제곱법을 이용하였고 이를 최우추정법을 이용하기 위한 초기치로 활용하였다. 또한 대립가설에 대한 몇가지 흥미있는 모수들을 적률법을 이용하여 추정하였다. 모의실험을 통하여 이들 추정 량을 비교하였고 결과 변화시점에 대한 추정은 최소제곱법보다는 최우추정법이 바람직하게 나타났고 흥미있는 몇가지 모수들에 대해서는 최우추정량이 적률추정량보다 우수하게 나타났다.

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취업주부의 역할갈등과 취업중단의사 관련 변수에 대한 연구 (An Analysis of the Factors Related to the Degree of the Role Conflict and the Likelihood of Exits of the Labor Force of Working Wives)

  • 정순희
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2001
  • The purposes of this study are to identify the factors associated with the degree of role conflict and the likelihood of exits of the labor force of working wives and to investigate the relationship between the role conflict and job quitting behavior of working wives. The major results of this study are as follows. First, the ratio of reservation wage relative to wife's earnings, wife's earnings, husband's behavioral support, the presence of child under age of 6, the type of occupation, and job satisfaction are associated with the role conflict of working wives. Second, there is a significant difference in the job quitting behavior of working wives according to the degree of role conflict of working wives. Third, the level of role conflict, educational level, the ratio of resonation wage relative to wife's earnings, husband's behavioral support, the presence of child under age of 6, the type of occupation, and job satisfaction are associated with the likelihood of job quitting of working wives.

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와이벌분포를 갖는 순위설계량의 우도함수 (Likelihood Function of Order Statistic with a Weibull Distribution)

  • 서남수
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 1983
  • In this paper, we derive the likelihood function for the independent random order statistic whose underlying lifetime distribution is a two parameter Weibull form. For this purpose we first discuss the order statistic which represent a characteristic feature of most life and fatigue tests that they give rise to ordered observations. And, we describe the properties of the underlying Weibull model. The derived likelihood function is essential for establishing the statistical life test plans in the case of Weibull distribution using a likelihood ratio method.

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우도비를 이용한 적응 밴드 분할 기반의 음성 검출기 (Voice Activity Detection based on Adaptive Band-Partitioning using the Likelihood Ratio)

  • 김상균;심현민;이상민
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제17권9호
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    • pp.1064-1069
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improve the performance of a voice activity detection(VAD) which is based on the adaptive band-partitioning with the likelihood ratio(LR). The previous method based on the adaptive band-partitioning use the weights that are derived from the variance of the spectral. In our VAD algorithm, the weights are derived from LR, and then the weights are incorporated with the entropy. The proposed algorithm discriminates the voice activity by comparing the weighted entropy with the adaptive threshold. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm yields better results compared to the conventional VAD algorithms. Especially, the proposed algorithm shows superior improvement in non-stationary noise environments.

영상에서 에지 검출을 위한 통계적 방법 (Statistical methods for Edge Detection in Images)

  • 임동훈;박은희
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.515-523
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 변화점 문제(change-point problem)에 대한 통계적 방법들을 사용하여 에지를 검출하고자 한다. 이를 위해 $n\timesn$ 부분영상을 선택하고 선택된 영상이 농도값에서 유의한 차이가 있는 두 개의 영역으로 분할하는 경계에 대응되는 에지점(edge point)을 포함하는지에 대해 가설 검정을 한다. 에지 검출에 사용되는 통계적 방법은 이표본 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 검정에 기초해서 얻은 제안된 방법과 기존의 우도비(likelihood ratio)방법,비모수적인 Wolfe-Schechtman 방법 등이다. 위 방법들의 성능을 평가하기 위해 접음영상과 잡음없는 영상에 대해 실험을 실시하고 비교 분석한다.

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