• Title/Summary/Keyword: Likelihood Analysis

Search Result 1,304, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Analysis Approaches to Data of Both Age and Usage Attributes (시간과 사용량의 속성을 지닌 데이터의 분석방안)

  • Jo, Jin-Nam;Baik, Jai-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.136-141
    • /
    • 2007
  • For many products failures depend on age and usage and, in this case, failures are random points in a two-dimensional plane with the two axes representing age and usage. Models play an important role in decision-making. In this research, an accelerate failure test (AFT) model is proposed to deal with the two-dimensional data. The parameters are proposed to be estimated through maximum likelihood estimators.

Bayesian Analysis for Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process Software Reliability (비동질적 포아송과정을 사용한 소프트웨어 베이지안 신뢰성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 김희철;이동철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.22 no.49
    • /
    • pp.23-31
    • /
    • 1999
  • Bayesian approach using nonhomogeneous Poisson process is considered for modelling software reliability problem. The usefulness of the iterative sampling-based method increases greatly as the dimension of a problem increases. Maximum likelihood estimator and Gibbs estimator are derived. Model selection based on a predictive likelihood is studied. A numerical example is given.

  • PDF

Multiple-Group Latent Transition Model for the Analysis of Sequential Patterns of Early-Onset Drinking Behaviors among U.S. Adolescents

  • Chung, Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.709-719
    • /
    • 2011
  • We investigate the latent stage-sequential patterns of drinking behaviors of U.S. adolescents who have started to drink by age 14 years (seven years before the legal drinking age). A multiple-group latent transition analysis(LTA) with logistic regression is employed to identify the subsequent patterns of drinking behaviors among early-onset drinkers. A sample of 1407 early-onset adolescents from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth(NLSY97) is analyzed using maximum-likelihood estimation. The analysis demonstrates that early-onset adolescents' drinking behaviors can be represented by four latent classes and their prevalence and transition are influenced by demographic factors of gender, age, and race.

Objective Bayesian inference based on upper record values from Rayleigh distribution

  • Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.411-430
    • /
    • 2018
  • The Bayesian approach is a suitable alternative in constructing appropriate models for observed record values because the number of these values is small. This paper provides an objective Bayesian analysis method for upper record values arising from the Rayleigh distribution. For the objective Bayesian analysis, the Fisher information matrix for unknown parameters is derived in terms of the second derivative of the log-likelihood function by using Leibniz's rule; subsequently, objective priors are provided, resulting in proper posterior distributions. We examine if these priors are the PMPs. In a simulation study, inference results under the provided priors are compared through Monte Carlo simulations. Through real data analysis, we reveal a limitation of the appropriate confidence interval based on the maximum likelihood estimator for the scale parameter and evaluate the models under the provided priors.

Parameter estimation of a single turbo-prop aircraft dynamic model (단발 터어보프롭 항공기 동적 모델의 파라메터추정)

  • Lee, Hwan;Lee, Sang-Kee
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.38-44
    • /
    • 1998
  • The modified maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives of a single turbo-prop aircraft at a specified flight condition for the best deduction of the dynamic characteristics. In wind axes the six degree of freedom equations are algebraically linearized so that the linear state equation contains aerodynamic derivatives in a state-space form and is used in the maximum likelihood method. The simulated data added with the measurement noise is used as a flight test data which is necessary to the estimation of nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives. It is obtained by implementing the 6-DOF nonlinear flight simulation. In the flight simulation, the effects of several control input types, control deflection amplitudes, and the turbulence intensities on the statistical convergence criteria are also examined and quantitative analysis of the results is discussed.

  • PDF

A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Weibull Distribution and Type I Censoring (와이블 분포와 정시중단 하에서의 MLE와 LSE의 정확도 비교)

  • Kim, Seong-Il;Park, Min-Yong;Park, Jung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.480-490
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, two estimation methods(least square estimation and maximum likelihood estimation) were compared for Weibull distribution and Type I censoring. Data obtained by Monte Carlo simulation were analyzed using two estimation methods and analysis results were compared by MSE(Mean Squared Error). Comparison results show that maximum likelihood estimator is better for censored data and complete data with more than 30 samples and least square estimator is better for small size complete data(less than and equal to 20 samples).

Goodness-of-fit test for mean and variance functions

  • Jung, Sin-Ho;Lee, Kee-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-210
    • /
    • 1997
  • Using regression methods based on quasi-likelihood equation, one only needs to specify the conditional mean and variance functions for the response variable in the analysis. In this paper, an omnibus lack-of-fit test is proposed to test the validity of these two functions. Our test is consistent against the alternative under which either the mean or the variance is not the one specified in the null hypothesis. The large-sample null distribution of our test statistics can be approximated through simulations. Extensive numerical studies are performed to demonstrate that the new test preserves the prescribed type I error probability. Power comparisons are conducted to show the advantage of the new proposal.

  • PDF

QUASI-LIKELIHOOD REGRESSION FOR VARYING COEFFICIENT MODELS WITH LONGITUDINAL DATA

  • Kim, Choong-Rak;Jeong, Mee-Seon;Kim, Woo-Chul;Park, Byeong-U.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.33 no.4
    • /
    • pp.367-379
    • /
    • 2004
  • This article deals with the nonparametric analysis of longitudinal data when there exist possible correlations among repeated measurements for a given subject. We consider a quasi-likelihood regression model where a transformation of the regression function through a link function is linear in time-varying coefficients. We investigate the local polynomial approach to estimate the time-varying coefficients, and derive the asymptotic distribution of the estimators in this quasi-likelihood context. A real data set is analyzed as an illustrative example.

On the analysis of multistate survival data using Cox's regression model (Cox 회귀모형을 이용한 다중상태의 생존자료분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sung Chil Yeo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.53-77
    • /
    • 1994
  • In a certain stochastic process, Cox's regression model is used to analyze multistate survival data. From this model, the regression parameter vectors, survival functions, and the probability of being in response function are estimated based on multistate Cox's partial likelihood and nonparametric likelihood methods. The asymptotic properties of these estimators are described informally through the counting process approach. An example is given to likelihood the results in this paper.

  • PDF

- Analysis of Likelihood of Failure for the External Corrosion of Stainless Steel through the Quantitative Risk Based Inspection Using API-581 - (API-581에 의한 정량적 위험기반검사에서 스테인리스강의 외부부식에 의한 사고발생 가능성 해석)

  • Lee Hern Chang;Kim Hwan Joo;Kim Tae Ok
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.99-107
    • /
    • 2004
  • Likelihood of failure (LOF) for the external corrosion of stainless steel, which affect to a risk of facilities, was analyzed quantitatively through the risk based inspection using API-581 BRD. We found that the technical module subfactor (TMSF) decreased as the inspection number increased and it increased as the inspection effectiveness and the used year increased, and that the TMSF showed high value for the case of the marine/cooling tower drift area as a corrosion driver, In this condition, the LOF for the external corrosion of stainless steel had lower than that for the carbon and low alloy steels