• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Prediction Model

Search Result 79, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Prediction of Fretting Fatigue Life on 2024-T351 Al-alloy (2024-T351 알루미늄 합금판 프레팅 피로수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Jung-Ho;Hwang, Kyung-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.35 no.7
    • /
    • pp.601-611
    • /
    • 2007
  • Most of mechanically jointed aircraft structures are always encountered the fretting damages on the contact surfaces between two jointed structural members or at the edges of fastener holes. The partial slip and contact stresses associated with fretting contact can lead to severe reduction in service lifetime of aircraft structures. Thus a critical need exists for predicting fretting crack initiation in mechanically jointed aircraft structures, which requires characterizing both the near-surface mechanics and intimate relationship with fretting parameters. In this point of view, a series of fretting fatigue specimen tests for 2024-T351 Al-alloy, have been conducted to validate a mechanics-based model for predicting fretting fatigue life. And included in this investigaion were elasto-plastic contact stress analyses using commercial FEA code to quantify the stress and strain fields in subsurface to evaluate the fretting fatigue crack initiation.

Temperature distribution of ceramic panels of a V94.2 gas turbine combustor under realistic operation conditions

  • Namayandeh, Mohammad Javad;Mohammadimehr, Mehdi;Mehrabi, Mojtaba
    • Advances in materials Research
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-135
    • /
    • 2019
  • The lifetime of a gas turbine combustor is typically limited by the durability of its liner, the structure that encloses the high-temperature combustion products. The primary objective of the combustor thermal design process is to ensure that the liner temperatures do not exceed a maximum value set by material limits. Liner temperatures exceeding these limits hasten the onset of cracking which increase the frequency of unscheduled engine removals and cause the maintenance and repair costs of the engine to increase. Hot gas temperature prediction can be considered a preliminary step for combustor liner temperature prediction which can make a suitable view of combustion chamber conditions. In this study, the temperature distribution of ceramic panels for a V94.2 gas turbine combustor subjected to realistic operation conditions is presented using three-dimensional finite difference method. A simplified model of alumina ceramic is used to obtain the temperature distribution. The external thermal loads consist of convection and radiation heat transfers are considered that these loads are applied to flat segmented panel on hot side and forced convection cooling on the other side. First the temperatures of hot and cold sides of ceramic are calculated. Then, the thermal boundary conditions of all other ceramic sides are estimated by the field observations. Finally, the temperature distributions of ceramic panels for a V94.2 gas turbine combustor are computed by MATLAB software. The results show that the gas emissivity for diffusion mode is more than premix therefore the radiation heat flux and temperature will be more. The results of this work are validated by ANSYS and ABAQUS softwares. It is showed that there is a good agreement between all results.

Comparative Study of AI Models for Reliability Function Estimation in NPP Digital I&C System Failure Prediction (원전 디지털 I&C 계통 고장예측을 위한 신뢰도 함수 추정 인공지능 모델 비교연구)

  • DaeYoung Lee;JeongHun Lee;SeungHyeok Yang
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2023
  • The nuclear power plant(NPP)'s Instrumentation and Control(I&C) system periodically conducts integrity checks for the maintenance of self-diagnostic function during normal operation. Additionally, it performs functionality and performance checks during planned preventive maintenance periods. However, there is a need for technological development to diagnose failures and prevent accidents in advance. In this paper, we studied methods for estimating the reliability function by utilizing environmental data and self-diagnostic data of the I&C equipment. To obtain failure data, we assumed probability distributions for component features of the I&C equipment and generated virtual failure data. Using this failure data, we estimated the reliability function using representative artificial intelligence(AI) models used in survival analysis(DeepSurve, DeepHit). And we also estimated the reliability function through the Cox regression model of the traditional semi-parametric method. We confirmed the feasibility through the residual lifetime calculations based on environmental and diagnostic data.

Analysis on the Advanced Model for Solar Energy Harvesting (개선된 태양 에너지 하베스팅 모델에 대한 분석)

  • Nayantai, Bulganbat;Kong, In-Yeup
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.99-104
    • /
    • 2013
  • Replacement of sensor nodes for monitoring a wide range area such as mountains and forests needs a lot of time and cost. Using new and renewable energy around them can maximize the lifetime of wireless sensor networks, in which solar energy is infinite energy source that is available in 365 days. To design these sensor networks, solar energy model is essential and to estimate and analyze the overall photovoltaic energy. Using this, we can figure out important data such as the size and performance of solar panel needed. However, existing researches for solar energy harvesting consider parts of many factors to influence the quantity of solar energy gathered. In this paper, we suggest advanced solar energy harvesting model considering angular loss (solar cell panel), overheat loss (solar cell), rechargeable battery heat and cooling for each monthly properties. From our experimental results according to outdoor temperature, panel angle and the surface temperature of solar panel, we show these impact factors are correctly configured.

Compounding and Test of Gasket Rubber for Fuel Cell Stack Application (연료전지 스택 가스켓용 고무재료의 제조와 평가)

  • Hur, Byung-Ki;Kang, Dong-Gug;Kim, Hye-Young;Seo, Kwan-Ho;Park, Lee-Soon
    • Elastomers and Composites
    • /
    • v.42 no.4
    • /
    • pp.232-237
    • /
    • 2007
  • We examined the properties of compound and made compound of the optimum state using the properties of each material to evaluate suitability of FKM, VMQ, EPDM, NBR with gasket for fuel cell which is in general use with the material of gasket. It could be found from the compound made with setting the optimum state that NBR is worse than FKM in the chemical property of matter for a long term, and VMQ is worse than FKM in the elution of a metal ion, and EPDM is worse than FKM in the permeability of gas. As a result of leak evaluation of gasket for fuel cell with using FKM, it appeared leak in short time when contracting pressure is getting lower and sealing pressure is getting higher. And as a result of the life prediction with using Arrhenius model, we could predict that it is possible to continuously drive for 60,000 hours.

Neural Network based Aircraft Engine Health Management using C-MAPSS Data (C-MAPSS 데이터를 이용한 항공기 엔진의 신경 회로망 기반 건전성관리)

  • Yun, Yuri;Kim, Seokgoo;Cho, Seong Hee;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.6
    • /
    • pp.17-25
    • /
    • 2019
  • PHM (Prognostics and Health Management) of aircraft engines is applied to predict the remaining useful life before failure or the lifetime limit. There are two methods to establish a predictive model for this: The physics-based method and the data-driven method. The physics-based method is more accurate and requires less data, but its application is limited because there are few models available. In this study, the data-driven method is applied, in which a multi-layer perceptron based neural network algorithms is applied for the life prediction. The neural network is trained using the data sets virtually made by the C-MAPSS code developed by NASA. After training the model, it is applied to the test data sets, in which the confidence interval of the remaining useful life is predicted and validated by the actual value. The performance of proposed method is compared with previous studies, and the favorable accuracy is found.

Evaluation of Service life for a Filament Wound Composite Pressure Vessel (필라멘트 와인딩 복합재 압력용기의 구조 수명 평가)

  • Hwang, Tae-Kyung;Park, Jae-Byum;Kim, Hyoung-Geun;Doh, Young-Dae
    • Composites Research
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this paper, the effect of the natural aging on the strength distribution and structural service life of a Filament Wound (FW) composite pressure vessel was studied. The fiber failure strain, which is varied significantly, was considered as the design random variable and the strength analysis was carried out by probabilistic numerical approach. The progressive failure analysis technique and the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) were embedded in this numerical model. As the calculation results, the probability of failure was obtained for each aging time steps and it is found that the strength degradation in FW composite pressure vessel, due to the natural aging, appears within 10 year-aging-time. As an example of the life prediction under natural aging using arbitrary laminated model, the service lifetime of 13 years was predicted based on the probability of failure of 2.5% and the design pressure of 3,250 psi.

A Prediction Method of the Gas Pipeline Failure Using In-line Inspection and Corrosion Defect Clustering (In-line Inspection과 부식결함 클러스터링을 이용한 가스배관의 고장예측)

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Choe, Byung Hak;Kim, Woosik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.651-656
    • /
    • 2014
  • Corrosion has a significant influence upon the reliability assessment and the maintenance planning of gas pipeline. Corrosion defects occurred on the underground pipeline can be obtained by conducting periodic in-line inspection (ILI). However, little study has been done for practical use of ILI data. This paper deals with remaining lifetime prediction of the gas pipeline in the presence of corrosion defects. Because a pipeline parameter includes uncertainty in its operation, a probabilistic approach is adopted in this paper. A pipeline fails when its operating pressure is larger than the pipe failure pressure. In order to estimate the failure probability, this paper uses First Order Reliability Method (FORM) which is popular in the field of structural engineering. A well-known Battelle code is chosen as the computational model for the pipe failure pressure. This paper develops a Matlab GUI for illustrating failure probability predictions Our result indicates that clustering of corrosion defects is helpful for improving a prediction accuracy and preventing an unnecessary maintenance.

Estimation of Simulated Radiances of the OSMI over the Oceans (대양에서의 OSMI 모의 복사량 산출)

  • 임효숙;김용승;이동한
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.227-238
    • /
    • 1999
  • In advance of launch, simulated radiances of the Ocean Scanning Multispectral Imager (OSMI) will be very useful to guess the real imagery of OSMI and to prepare for data processing of OSMI. The data processing system for OSMI which is one of sensors aboard Korea Multi-Purpose Satellite (KOMPSAT) scheduled for launch in 1999 is developed based on the SeaWiFS Data Analysis System (SeaDAS). Simulation of radiances requires information on the spectral band, orbital and scanning characteristics of the OSMI and KOMPSAT spacecraft. This paper also describes a method to create simulated radiances of the OSMI over the oceans. Our method for constructing a simulated OSMI imagery is to propagate a KOMPSAT orbit over a field of Coastal Zone Color Scanner (CZCS) pigment concentrations and to use the values and atmospheric components for calculation of total radiances. A modified Brouwer-Lyddane model with drag was used for the realistic orbit prediction, the CZCS pigment concentrations were used to compute water-leaving radiances, and a variety of radiative transfer models were used to calculate atmospheric contributions to total radiances detected by OSMI. Imagery of the simulated OSMI radiances for 412, 443, 490, 555, 765, 865nm was obtained. As expected, water-leaving radiances were only a small fraction (below 10%) of total radiances and sun glint contaminations were observed near the solar declination. Therefore, atmospheric correction is critical in the calculation of pigment concentration from total radiances. Because the imagery near the sun's glitter pattern is virtually useless and must be discarded, more advanced data collection planning will be required to succeed in the mission of OSMI which is consistent monitoring of global oceans during three year mission lifetime.