• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Prediction

검색결과 220건 처리시간 0.028초

장기 저장연료의 열안정성 및 연료접촉 고무오링의 수명예측 연구 (A Study on the Thermal Stability of Long-Term Fuel Storage and Lifetime Estimation of Rubber O-ring in Contacted with Fuel)

  • 정근우;홍진숙;김영운;한정식;정병훈;권태수;서동욱;성민준;권영일
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2018
  • Thermal deterioration of fuel due to long-term storage influences engine performance and causes malfunctions. Fuel stability is usually evaluated via heat resistance and thermal stability during a brief heat shock at high temperature; storage stability in this scenario means that there is very little change in the quality of the fuel during long-term storage. In addition, rubber-based products such as oil seals, O-rings, and rubber hoses can influence the quality of the fuel. When these rubber products are in contact with fuel, they can swell, mechanically weaken, and occasionally crack, thus leaking low molar weight rubber and additives including plasticizer and antioxidant into the fuel to degrade its properties and shorten its useful lifetime. This study determines the thermal stabilities of three kinds of synthetic fuels by evaluating their low temperature kinematic viscosities, chemical composition changes via GC analyses, gross heat of combustion, and color changes. We evaluate the compression set of O-rings by immersing one NBR and two FKM rubber O-rings in the three synthetic fuel samples in airtight containers at variable storage temperatures for six months; from this, we estimate the lifetimes of the O-rings using the Power law model. There were very little changes in the chemical compositions and gross heat of combustion after six months of the experiment. The lifetimes are thus dependent on the materials of the rubber products, and in particular, the FKM O-ring was calculated to have a theoretical lifetime of 200 to 5,700 years. These results indicate that the synthetic fuels maintain their physical properties even after long-term storage at high temperatures, and the FKM O-ring is suitable for long-term sealing of these fuels.

신뢰성분석 기법을 이용한 고속철도 검측시스템의 수명예측 (Lifetime Prediction Using Reliability Analysis Method about for the Electric Detection System)

  • 이현우;이병곤;이충한
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2014
  • The importance of railway safety has become increasingly significant domestically as well as internationally, as a series of high speed railway accidents and other major accidents have occurred recently. Especially for the domestic railway, the Korean Railway Safety Law has been revised recently, mandates all the domestic railway operation authorities to render the performance of RAMS and RCM. This study inspects and analyzes the current status of the sensing technology of the electric detection system to tell the status of railway facilities in the highway railway in a real time through a sensor. It also performs the reliability analysis of the electric detection system that is being progressed as a study assignment and suggests the system construction for the higher reliability.

FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING USING ReMOTELY SENSED INFORMATION AND NEURAL NETWORKS PART I : MODEL DEVELOPMENT

  • Kim, Gwang-seob;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2002
  • Accurate quantitative forecasting of rainfall for basins with a short response time is essential to predict flash floods. In this study, a Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was developed by incorporating the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems and by using neural network approach. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters as input. The convective classification and tracking system (CCATS) was used to identify and quantify storm properties such as lifetime, area, eccentricity, and track. As in standard expert prediction systems, the fundamental structure of the neural network model was learned from the hydroclimatology of the relationships between weather system, rainfall production and streamflow response in the study area. All these processes stretched leadtime up to 18 hours. The QFF model will be applied to the mid-Atlantic region of United States in a forthcoming paper.

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Spice parameter를 이용한 IGBT의 과도응답 예측 (Prediction of the transient response of the IGBT using the Spice parameter)

  • 이효정;홍신남
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1998년도 추계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.815-818
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    • 1998
  • The Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor has the characteristics of MOSFET and BJT. The characteristics of proposed device exhibit high speed switching, the voltage controlled property, and the low ON resistance. This hybrid device has been used and developed continuously in the power electronic engineering field. We can simulate many IGBT circuits, such as the motor drive circuit, the switching circuits etc, with PSpice. However, some problems in PSpice is that the IGBT is old-fashioned and is very difficult to get it. In this paper, the IGBT in PSpice is considered as the basic structure. We changed the valuse of base width, gate-drain overlaping area, device area, and doping concentration, then calculated MOS transconductance, ambipolar recombination lifetime etc. Using this resultant parameter, we could predict the transient response characteristicsof IGBT, for examplex, voltage overshoot, the rising curve of voltage, and the falling curve of current.

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가스켓용 고무소재의 특성수명 예측 (Prediction of Characteristics Life of the Rubber Gasket)

  • 박준형;이세희;장현덕;김광섭;양정삼
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.213-235
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we carried out an accelerated degradation test that is commonly used to predict characteristics life of rubber gaskets for a pole transformer. The potential failure mode applied for the test is rubber elongation and the corresponding failure mechanism is heat. From the result, we found that Weibull distribution is the fatigue life distribution in NBR and H-NBR. After estimating characteristics life in commonly used temperature, the average life span of $B_{50}$ in NBR is 7.7 years under $50^{\circ}C$ and the life span in H-NBR is 28 years.

전자부품 고무소재 신뢰성 설계기술 (Reliability Design Technology of Rubber Materials for Electronic Components)

  • 우창수;박현성;최성신
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1734-1739
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    • 2007
  • The materials characteristics and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of rubber components. This paper discusses the failure mechanism and material test were carried out to predict the useful life of NBR and EPDM rubber mount for compression motor which is used in refrigerator. In order to investigate the heat-aging effects on the materials properties, stress-strain curve were obtained from the results of material tests. Compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of useful life and the time were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot.

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Crack Analysis of Piezoelectric Material Considering Bounded Uncertain Material Properties

  • Kim, Tae-Uk;Shin, Jeong-Woo
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2003
  • Piezoelectric materials are widely used to construct smart or adaptive structures. Although extensive efforts have been devoted to the analysis of piezoelectric materials in recent years, most researches have been conducted by assuming that the material properties are fixed and have no uncertainties. Intrinsically, material properties have a certain amount of scatter and such uncertainties can affect the performance of component. In this paper, the convex modeling is used to consider such uncertainties in calculating the crack extension force of piezoelectric material and the results are compared with the one obtained via the Monte Carlo simulation. Numerical results show that crack extension forces increase when uncertainties considered, which indicates that such uncertainties should not be ignored for reliable lifetime prediction. Also, the results obtained by the convex modeling and the Monte Carlo simulation show good agreement, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the convex modeling.

냉간 단조 금형의 마멸 감소를 위한 예비성형체 설계방법 (Design Methodology of Preform for Reducing Tool Wear in Cold Forging)

  • 이진호;김태형;김병민
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 1998
  • The die wear is one of the main factors affecting die accuracy and tool lifetime. It is desired to reduce die wear by developing simulation method to predict wear based on process variables, and then optimizing the process. Therefore, this paper describes methodology of preform design for minimizing wear of finisher die in multi-stage cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction. The cold forging process is analyzed using developed simulation method. In order to obtain preform to minimize die wear, the Flexible Polyhedron Search(FPS) algorithm is used. The optimal preform shape is found from iterative deformation analysis and wear calculation.

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HeMOSU-1호 관측풍속의 불확실성을 고려한 서남해안의 풍력 발전량 예측 (Prediction of Wind Power Generation at Southwest Coast of Korea Considering Uncertainty of HeMOSU-1 Wind Speed Data)

  • 이기남;김동현;권오순
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2014
  • Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1 which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and then they were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regression and neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of mean wind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assess lifetime power of wind turbine.

가속열화시험에 의한 건축용 도료의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Assessment of Anticorrosive Paints with Accelerated Degradation Test)

  • 권영일;김승진
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.291-302
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    • 2009
  • Accelerated and field degradation tests are performed for reliability assessment of an anticorrosive paint for steel structures. Test data were analyzed to obtain the degradation model and the life time distributions of the paint. A power law degradation model and lognormal performance distribution were used to predict the lifetime of the anticorrosive paint and the method of finding an acceleration factor is provided.

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