• 제목/요약/키워드: Lifetime Estimation

검색결과 232건 처리시간 0.025초

Au wire와 Al pad사이의 IMC(Intermetallic Compound) 형성에 의한 수명예측 (Lifetime Estimation due to IMC(Intermetallic Compound) formation between Au wire and Al pad)

  • 손정민;장미순;곽계달
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1295-1300
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    • 2008
  • During the manufacturing and the service life of Au-Al wire bonded electronic packages, the ball bonds experience elevated temperatures and hence accelerated thermal diffusion reactions that promote the transformation of the Au-Al phases and the IMC growth. In this paper, the IC under high temperature storage (HTS) tests at $175^{\circ}C,\;200^{\circ}C$, and $250^{\circ}C$ are meticulously investigated. Thermal exposure resulted in the IMC growth, Kirkendall void and the crack of the Au-Al phases. The crack propagation occurs resulting in the failure of the Au-Al ball bonds. As the IC was exposed at the high temperature, decreased in the lifetime.

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GLFP 모형하에서의 가속수명시험 데이터 분석 (Analyses of Accelerated Life Tests Data from General Limited Failure Population)

  • 김종만
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes a method of estimating the lifetime distribution at use condition for constant stress accelerated life tests when an infant-mortality failure mode as well as wear-out one exists. General limited failure population model is introduced to describe these failure modes. It is assumed that the log lifetime of each failure mode follows a location-scale distribution and a linear relation exists between the location parameter and the stress. An estimation procedure using the expectation and maximization algorithm is proposed. Specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. An illustrative example and the simulation results are given.

텅스텐 백열전구의 필라멘트 단선에 대한 가속수명시험 (An Accelerated Life Test for Burnout of Tungsten Filament of Incandescent Lamp)

  • 이재국;김진우;신재철;김명수
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents an accelerated life test for burnout of tungsten filament of incandescent lamp. From failure analyses of field samples, it is shown that their root causes are local heating or hot sports in the filament caused by tungsten evaporation and wire sag. Finite element analysis is performed to evaluate the effect of vibration and impact for burnout, but any points of stress concentration or structural weakness are not found in the sample. To estimate the burnout life of lamp, an accelerated life test is planned by using quality function deployment and fractional factorial design, where voltage, vibration, and temperature are selected as accelerating variables. We assumed that Weibull lifetime distribution and a generalized linear model of life-stress relationship hold through goodness of fit test and test for common shape parameter of the distribution. Using accelerated life testing software, we estimated the common shape parameter of Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship, and accelerating factor.

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저장신뢰도 기반의 유도탄 품질보증모델에 대한 연구 (A Study on Warranty and Quality Assurance Model for Guided Missiles Based on Storage Reliability)

  • 정상훈;이상복
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

보증수리자료를 활용한 유압클러치시스템의 클러치마스터실린더 신뢰성 분석 사례연구 (A Case Study of Reliability Assessment of CMC in Hydraulic Clutch System with Field Warranty Data)

  • 이상천;박종훈
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2013
  • This paper is a case study of reliability assessment with field warranty data of Clutch Master Cylinder (CMC) in hydraulic clutch system. We estimate lifetime distribution using field warranty data which contain much useful information for understanding reliability of the system in the real-world environments. However, the estimated parameters are far from existing reference values, which seems to be caused right censored field warranty data. To modify the parameters, we use the information of the durability test which is performed to verify that the lifetime of the item meets the required level. After that, we can observe that the modified parameters are closer to the existing reference values. This case study shows a possible idea to supplement lack of right censored field warranty data and its applicability.

THE LOGARITHMIC KUMARASWAMY FAMILY OF DISTRIBUTIONS: PROPERTIES AND APPLICATIONS

  • Ahmad, Zubair
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.1335-1352
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    • 2019
  • In this article, a new family of lifetime distributions by adding two additional parameters is introduced. The new family is called, the logarithmic Kumaraswamy family of distributions. For the proposed family, explicit expressions for some mathematical properties are derived. Maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters are also obtained. This method is applied to develop a new lifetime model, called the logarithmic Kumaraswamy Weibull distribution. The proposed model is very flexible and capable of modeling data with increasing, decreasing, unimodal or modified unimodal shaped hazard rates. To access the behavior of the model parameters, a simulation study has been carried out. Finally, the potentiality of the new method is proved via analyzing two real data sets.

임의 중단모형에서 최소제곱법을 이용한 와이블분포의 모수 추정 (An Estimation of Parameters in Weibull Distribution Using Least Squares Method under Random Censoring Model)

  • 이우동
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 1996
  • 임의의 기계에 대한 수명의 분포는 와이블분포를 하는 경우가 흔하다. 그리고 현실적으로 기계의 수명시간을 검정할 때, 시험시간및 여러 환경적인 제약에 의하여 표본으로 주어진 기계의 수명을 모두 관측하기는 어렵다. 그래서, 본 연구에서는 임의 중단모형 하에서 와이블분포의 모수를 최소제곱법(least squares method)을 이용하여 추정하고 기존의 최대우도추정량(maximum likelihood estimates)과 효율성의 측면에서 비교하고자 한다.

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확산 및 히스테리시스 현상을 고려한 확장칼만필터를 이용한 새로운 납축전지의 충전상태 추정방법 (Novel Estimation Technique for the State-of-Charge of the Lead-Acid Battery by using EKF Considering Diffusion and Hysteresis Phenomenon)

  • 덩반환;트란녹탐;박용진;최우진
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2014
  • State-of-charge (SOC) is one of the significant indicators to estimate the driving range of the electric vehicle and to control the alternator of the conventional engine vehicles as well. Therefore its precise estimation is crucial not only for utilizing the energy effectively but also preventing critical situations happening to the power train and lengthening the lifetime of the battery. However, lead-acid battery is time-variant, highly nonlinear, and the hysteresis phenomenon causes large errors in estimation SOC of the battery especially under the frequent discharge/charge. This paper proposes a novel estimation technique for the SOC of the Lead-Acid battery by using a well-known Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and an electrical equivalent circuit model of the Lead-Acid battery considering diffusion and hysteresis characteristics. The diffusion is considered by the reconstruction of the open circuit voltage decay depending on the rest time and the hysteresis effect is modeled by calculating the normalized integration of the charge throughput during the partial cycle. The validity of the proposed algorithm is verified through the experiments.

가속수명시험을 이용한 블루투스 모듈의 수명 예측 (Lifetime Estimation of a Bluetooth Module using Accelerated Life Testing)

  • 손영갑;장석원;김재중
    • 마이크로전자및패키징학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 블루투스 모듈의 구조 및 솔더접합부에 대한 신뢰성 평가에 국한된 기존의 방법을 확장하여 정량적인 신뢰성 평가를 수행한 결과를 나타낸다. Field 환경조건에서의 정량적인 신뢰성 평가를 위해, 온도 싸이클링(temperature/thermal cycling)에서의 온도차를 가속스트레스로 선정하여 가속수명시험을 실시하였다. 가속수명시험을 통해 구한 고장시간 데이터들을 이용하여 수명분포 매개변수들을 추정하고 코핀-만슨(Coffin-Manson) 모델을 이용하였다. 가속수명시험을 수행한 결과, 블루투스 모듈의 고장모드는 Open, 고장메커니즘은 크랙(Crack)과 박리(Delamination)였다. Field에서 수거한 고장품들의 고장모드와 고장메커니즘이 가속수명시험을 통해 재현되었다. 또한 본 논문에서 블루투스 모듈이 Field에서 받을 수 있는 온도 싸이클링에서의 다양한 온도차에 대한 정량적인 수명을 예측할 수 있는 방법이 제시되었다. 제안된 방법을 이용하여 온도차 $70^{\circ}C$를 받고 있는 블루투스 모듈의 $B_{10}$ 수명은 약 4년으로 추정되었다.

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유기발광(有機發光) 다이오드의 가속(加速) 수명(壽命) 시험(試驗)에 관한 연구(硏究) (Life Estimation of Organic Light Emission Diode by Accelerated Test)

  • 최영태;조재립
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.262-268
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    • 2010
  • Organic light emitting diode is developed fast from 1963 after discovering electric light emitting phenomenon. First PMOLED(passive matrix OLED) product is manufactured and AMOLED(active matrix OLED) using TFT(thin film ransistor) is now in the center. PMOLED is mainly mounted at sub display. but AMOLED is mounted at main display. Also AMOLED expand the market to PMP(portable multimedia players), navigation and TV. Even thought OLED's market is opening to many applications, OLED is worried about lifetime until now. That's appeared in market in a very short time and is not known well about result of OLED's lifetime and reliability test. And there is no standard ssessment method and not enough study to standardization the method. A study's purpose is reduce the time for life test by accelerated current and it can do production possible design by accelerated life model in design phase. It's must be add to process variables and design variables(like ratio of light emitting, organic material structure, condition of aging, etc) to make the best use of supplied accelerated lifetime model in this paper. In terms of lifetime it needs each criterion of applications because of image sticking. In conclusion, it's possible to discover new defect because there is not much time to be opened in market and develop a method of manufacturing process & materials, so we need to study on the subject of this paper continuously.

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