• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.619-632
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• 2002

In recent study on design of experiments, the complicate metamodeling has been studied because defining exact model using computer simulation is expensive and time consuming. Thus, some designers often use approximate models, which express the relation between some inputs and outputs. In this paper, we review and compare the complicate metamodels, which are expressed by the interaction of various data through trying many physical experiments and running a computer simulation. The prediction model in this paper employs interpolation schemes known as ordinary kriging developed in the fields of spatial statistics and kriging in Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments (DACE) model. We will focus on describing the definitions, the prediction functions and the algorithms of two kriging methods, and assess the error measures of those by using some validation methods.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.149-154
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• 2008

The concept of robust design was introduced by Dr. G. Taguchi in the late 1940s, and his technique has become commonly known as the Taguchi method or the robust design. In this research, a robust design procedure for microgyroscope is suggested based on the kriging and optimization approaches. The kriging interpolation method is introduced to obtain the surrogate approximation model of true function. Robustness is calculated by the kriging model to reduce real function calculations. For this, objective function is represented by the probability of success, thus facilitating robust optimization. The statistics such as mean and variance are obtained based on the reliable kriging model and the second-order statistical approximation method.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제45권6호
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• pp.806-819
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• 2010

센서스 단위의 인구자료는 기초적인 인문사회 자료로 행정구역 단위로 요약되어 공간분석에 시용된다. 정밀한 인구 분포를 추정하기 위해 기존의 연구에서는 위성영상과 회귀분석 모형을 이용하였다. 하지만 회귀식에 의한 추정치는 공간자료의 공간적자기상관과 잔차 때문에 정확도에 있어 한계가 있었다. 본 연구는 회귀모형과 회귀모형에서 추출된 잔차에 대해 공간적자기상관을 고려하도록 크리깅 보간하는 RK모형(Regression Kriging Model)을 이용하여 인구분포의 추정 정확도를 향상하였다. RK모형을 적용하여 서울시의 4개구를 대상으로 사례분석을 하였으며, 모형의 효율성을 검증하기 위해 회귀분석만을 이용한 예측 결과와 RK모형을 이용한 예측 결과를 서로 비교하였다. 비교한 결과로 상관관계 계수 평균제곱근 오차, G 통계량 수치에서 RK모형의 추정 정확도가 기존의 회귀모형에 비해 높게 나온 것을 확인할수 있었다. 향후 정확한 인구추정을 위해 RK모형이 많이 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.678-683
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• 2008

Moment-based reliability analysis is the method to calculate reliability using Pearson System with first-four raw moments obtained from simulation model. But it is too expensive to calculate first four moments from complicate simulation model. To overcome this drawback the MD(multiplicative decomposition) method which approximates simulation model to kriging metamodel and calculates first four raw moments explicitly with multiplicative decomposition techniques. In general, kriging metamodel is an interpolation model that is decomposed of global model and local model. The global model, in general, can be used as the constant global model, the 1st order global model, or the 2nd order global model. In this paper, the influences of global models on the accuracy and robustness of raw moments are examined and compared. Finally, we suggest the best global model which can provide exact and robust raw moments using MD method.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.223-228
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• 2019

In order to integrate large amounts of variable generation resources such as wind and solar reliably into power grids, accurate renewable energy forecasting is necessary. Since renewable energy generation output is heavily influenced by environmental variables, accurate forecasting of power generation requires meteorological data at the point where the plant is located. Therefore, a spatial approach is required to predict the meteorological variables at the interesting points. In this paper, we propose the meteorological variable prediction model for enhancing renewable generation output forecasting model. The proposed model is implemented by three geostatistical techniques: Ordinary kriging, Universal kriging and Co-kriging.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.134-147
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• 2015

This paper presents the applications of Kriging spatial interpolation methods for meteorologic variables, including temperature and relative humidity, in regions of Vietnam. Three types of interpolation methods are used, which are as follows: Ordinary Kriging, Universal Kriging, and Universal Kriging plus Digital Elevation model correction. The input meteorologic data was collected from 98 ground weather stations throughout Vietnam and the outputs were interpolated temperature and relative humidity gridded fields, along with their error maps. The experimental results showed that Universal Kriging plus the digital elevation model correction method outperformed the two other methods when applied to temperature. The interpolation effectiveness of Ordinary Kriging and Universal Kriging were almost the same when applied to both temperature and relative humidity.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.491-500
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• 2016

This paper presents a highly efficient aeroelastic optimization method based on a surrogate model; the model is verified by considering the case of a high-aspect-ratio composite wing. Optimization frameworks using the Kriging model and genetic algorithm (GA), the Kriging model and improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO), and the back propagation neural network model (BP) and IPSO are presented. The feasibility of the method is verified, as the model can improve the optimization efficiency while also satisfying the engineering requirements. Moreover, the effects of the number of design variables and number of constraints on the optimization efficiency and objective function are analysed in detail. The accuracy of two surrogate models in aeroelastic optimization is also compared. The Kriging model is constructed more conveniently, and its predictive accuracy of the aeroelastic responses also satisfies the engineering requirements. According to the case of a high-aspect-ratio composite wing, the GA is better at global optimization.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2005년도 창립60주년 기념 추계 학술대회
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• pp.169.2-169.2
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• 2005

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1544-1550
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• 2014

In this paper, an adaptive optimization strategy utilizing Kriging model and genetic algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of electromagnetic devices. The ordinary Kriging assisted by the spherical covariance model is used to construct surrogate models. In order to improve the computational efficiency, the adaptive uniform sampling strategy is applied to generate sampling points in design space. Through several iterations and gradual refinement process, the global optimal point can be found by genetic algorithm. The proposed algorithm is validated by application to the optimal design of a switched reluctance motor, where the stator pole face and shape of pole shoe attached to the lateral face of the rotor pole are optimized to reduce the torque ripple.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.252-260
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• 2010

The point rainfall measurements need to be converted to the areal rainfall by means of mean areal precipitation (MAP) estimation methods. And it is not appropriate to evaluate the areal rainfall with constant drift because of the geomorphological influences to rainfall field. Non-stationarity should be applied to the estimation of the areal rainfall, therefore, to consider these effects. Kriging methods with special functional would be a suitable tool in this case. Generalized covariance Kriging method is the most developed one among different Kriging methods. From this point of view this study performs the analysis of its applicability to distributed runoff model. For these purpose, distributed rainfall was created by Thiessen and Kriging method. And distributed rainfall of each method was applied into HyGIS-GRM. The result of applying, Runoff was different in the rainfall data form. Therefore, To apply Kriging method with physical meaning is that it is the useful method as distributed rainfall-runoff model.