• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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• pp.1047-1051
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• 2004

The design storm is a crucial element in urban drainage design and hydrological modeling. The total rainfall depth of a design storm is usually estimated by hydrological frequency analysis using historic rainfall records. The different geostatistical approaches (ordinary kriging, universal kriging) have been used as estimators and their results are compared and discussed. Variogram parameters, the sill, nugget effect and influence range, are analysis. Kriging method was applied for developing contour maps of design storm depths In bocheong stream basin. Effect to utilize weather radar data and grid-based basin model on the spatial variation characteristics of storm requires further study.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.271-280
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• 2005

공간상관이 존재하는 지리통계 자료(geostatistical data)에 대하여 일반적으로 널리 사용되는 Kriging 모형과 통계학적 공간자료 분석모형인 지리적 가중회귀 모형을 고려하고, 미지의 위치에 대한 예측력을 비교해 본다. 두 모형의 예측력을 검토하기 위하여 환경부 자료를 실증사례로 활용한다. 전국의 116개 대기오염 측정망에서 얻은 1999년의 월별 일산화탄소(Co/ppm) 자료의 평균을 구하여 Kriging모형과 지리적 가중회귀 모형에 적합하고 미지의 위치를 예측하여 예측오차제곱합(PRESS)으로 각각의 방법에 대한 예측성능을 비교한다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제30권8호
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• pp.923-930
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• 2006

A Kriging model is a sort of approximation model and used as a deterministic model of a computationally expensive analysis or simulation. Although it has various advantages, it is difficult to assess the accuracy of the approximated model. It is generally known that a mean square error (MSE) obtained from the kriging model can't calculate statistically exact error bounds contrary to a response surface method, and a cross validation is mainly used. But the cross validation also has many uncertainties. Moreover, the cross validation can't be used when a maximum error is required in the given region. For solving this problem, we first proposed a modified mean square error which can consider relative errors. Using the modified mean square error, we developed the strategy of adding a new sample to the place that the MSE has the maximum when the MSE is used for the assessment of the kriging model. Finally, we offer guidelines for the use of the MSE which is obtained from the kriging model. Four test problems show that the proposed strategy is a proper method which can assess the accuracy of the kriging model. Based on the results of four test problems, a convergence coefficient of 0.01 is recommended for an exact function approximation.

• 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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• 제18권10호
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• pp.1042-1048
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• 2008

Disc brake noise is an important customer satisfaction and warranty issue for many manufacturers as indicated by technical literature regarding the subject coming from Motor Company. This research describes results of a study to assess disk brake squeal propensity using finite element methods and optimal technique (Kriging). In this study, finite element analysis has been performed to determine likely modes of brake squeal. This paper deals with friction-induced vibration of disc brake system under contact friction coefficient. A linear, finite element model to represent the floating caliper disc brake system is proposed. The complex eigen-values are used to investigate the dynamic stability and in order to verify simulations which are based on the FEM model. In this paper, Kriging from among the meta-modeling techniques is proposed for an optimal design scheme to reduce the brake squeal noise.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집C
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• pp.339-344
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• 2001

In recent engineering, the designer has become more and more dependent on the computer simulations such as FEM (Finite Element Method) and BEM (Boundary Element Method). In order to optimize such implicit models more efficiently and reliably, the meta-modeling technique has been developed for solving such a complex problems combined with the DACE (Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments). It is widely used for exploring the engineer's design space and for building meta-models in order to facilitate an effective solution of multi-objective and multi-disciplinary optimization problems. Optimization of a train suspension is performed according to the minimization of forty-six responses that represent ten ride comforts, twelve derailment quotients, twelve unloading ratios, and twelve stabilities by using the Kriging meta-model of a train suspension. After each Kriging meta-model is constructed, multi-objective optimal solutions are achieved by using a nonlinear programming method called SQP (Sequential Quadratic Programming).

• 대한기계학회논문집B
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• 제31권8호
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• pp.711-717
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• 2007

Shape optimization of a staggered herringbone groove micromixer using three-dimensional Navier-Stokes analysis has been carried using Kriging model. The analysis of the degree of mixing is performed by the calculation of spatial data statistics. The calculation of the variance of the mass fraction at various nodes on a plane in the channel is used to quantify mixing. A numerical optimization technique with Kriging model is applied to optimize the shape of the grooves on a single wall of the channel. Three design variables, namely, the ratio of groove width to groove pitch, the ratio of the groove depth to channel height ratio and the angle of the groove, are selected for optimization. A mixing index is used as the objective function. The results of the optimization show that the mixing is very sensitive to the shape of the groove which can be used in controlling mixing in microdevices.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.678-683
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• 2008

Moment-based reliability analysis is the method to calculate reliability using Pearson System with first-four raw moments obtained from simulation model. But it is too expensive to calculate first four moments from complicate simulation model. To overcome this drawback the MD(multiplicative decomposition) method which approximates simulation model to kriging metamodel and calculates first four raw moments explicitly with multiplicative decomposition techniques. In general, kriging metamodel is an interpolation model that is decomposed of global model and local model. The global model, in general, can be used as the constant global model, the 1st order global model, or the 2nd order global model. In this paper, the influences of global models on the accuracy and robustness of raw moments are examined and compared. Finally, we suggest the best global model which can provide exact and robust raw moments using MD method.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.3-14
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• 2005

Accurate estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall is critical to the successful modeling of hydrologic processes. The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of spatially distributed rainfall data. Spatially distributed rainfall was calculated using Kriging method and Thiessen method. The application of spatially distributed rainfall was appreciated to the runoff response from the watershed. The results showed that for each method the coefficient of determination for observed hydrograph was $0.92\~0.95$ and root mean square error was $9.78\~10.89$ CMS. Ordinary Kriging method showed more exact results than Simple Kriging, Universal Kriging and Thiessen method, based on comparison of observed and simulated hydrograph. The coefncient of determination for the observed peak flow was 0.9991 and runoff volume was 0.9982. The accuracy of rainfall-runoff prediction depends on the extent of spatial rainfall variability.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2007년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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• pp.135-140
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• 2007

In this paper, an Improved Dimension Reduction(IDR) method is proposed for uncertainty quantification that employes Kriging interpolation technic. It has been acknowledged that the DR method is accurate and efficient for assessing statistical moments and reliability due to the sensitivity free feature. However, the DR method has a number of drawbacks such as instability and inaccuracy for problems with increased nonlineality. In this paper, improved DR is implanted by three steps. First, the Kriging interpolation method is used to accurately approximate the responses. Second, 2N+1 and 4N+1 ADOEs are proposed to maintain high accuracy of the method for UQ analysis. Third, numerical integration scheme is used with accurate but free response values at any set of integration points of the surrogated model.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.57-64
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• 2010

크리깅기법은 지반공학분야에서 지층 또는 지반정수의 공간적 분포 추정을 위하여 적용되고 있다. 각각의 크리깅기법에 따라서 추정결과가 상이하기 때문에 추정목적에 부합하는 크리깅 기법 선택은 중요한 문제이다. 본 논문에서는 단순크리깅, 정규크리깅, 일반크리깅을 사용하여 인천 송도국제도시의 압밀층 두께를 추정하였으며, 크리깅 기법에 따른 추정결과의 신뢰성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 단순크리깅은 정규크리깅과 일반크리깅에 비하여 측정자료와 멀리 떨어진 위치에서의 압밀층 두께를 크게 추정하며, 추정결과의 신뢰성도 낮았다. 일반크리킹은 측정자료와 멀리 떨어진 일부 위치에서 압밀층 두께를 음의 값으로 추정하는 것으로 나타났다. 압밀층 두께를 추정하기 위한 가장 적절한 크리깅 기법은 가장 신뢰성이 높고 물리적으로 합당한 추정범위 내의 값을 추정한 정규크리깅 기법인 것으로 분석되었다.