• 무역학회지
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.17-30
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• 2019

This study is to investigate the effect of real exchange rate on bilateral trade balance between Korea and ASEAN 10 countries. Using quarterly data from 1991 to 2017 the paper analyzes whether or not the real depreciation of Korea's won could improve the trade balance in the short and long term. Based on Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) model, the empirical results show that trade balance, GDP, and real exchange rate are all cointegrated, representing the long-run relationship among variables. In the consideration of long-run relationship, the increases in ASEAN countries' GDP could have a negative impact and Korea's GDP positive impact on trade balance between Korea and ASEAN countries unexpectedly. For the main variable, the paper did not find the long-term effect of real exchange rate on the trade balance, for the short-term effect of the real exchange rate it was found that there exists the J-curve effect only in the case of Vietnam and Brunei. Therefore, these results imply that the intended policy concerning the exchange rate in the free-floating exchange rate system could be limited to improve the trade balance between Korea and ASEAN countries.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.33-60
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• 2023

This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.107-127
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• 2017

본 연구는 신흥국 수출 확대를 위해 한국의 ICT 제품의 국제경쟁력을 비교 분석하였다. 이를 위해 한국의 주력 수출품인 ICT 제품 중 2016년 수출액 기준 상위 ICT 10개 제품을 선정하여 수출 확대 가능성이 높은 ASEAN Big 6(인도네시아, 말레이시아, 태국, 베트남, 필리핀, 싱가포르)에서 중국과 국제경쟁력을 비교 분석하였다. 2009년부터 2016년까지 수출생존지수(ESI), 무역수지기여도(CTB), 세계수출시장점유율(EMS)로 분석한 결과, 한국은 ASEAN에 대한 수출 증가와 세계수출시장점유율(EMS) 상승으로 수출 편중 현상이 높아지고 있고 중국과 비교해서 수출경쟁력이 높은 것으로 나타났지만 2015년 이후 급속한 수입 증가로 무역수지와 무역수지기여도(CTB)는 적자와 비교열위 상태로 전환되었으며 수출 생존성도 약화되는 모습을 보였다. 중국은 수출과 세계수출시장점유율(EMS), 수출 생존성은 하락 추세를 보였지만 무역수지와 무역수지기여도(CTB)에서 비교 열위가 개선되는 모습을 보여 한국과 달리 ASEAN에 대한 수출 편중이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.67-90
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• 2016

This paper provides an assessment of the potential economic impacts of the Vietnam-Korea free trade agreement on Vietnam, by using general equilibrium modeling. The results show that Vietnam-Korea FTA will increase aggregate welfare for both countries in the long run. The most important gains accrue from better allocation of resources consequent to trade liberalization. All the sectoral differences and changes are consistent with the trade profiles of the two countries, and the long-run results are more pronounced than those of the short-run. In comparison with other ASEAN countries, the CGE analysis suggests that Vietnam's agriculture exports to Korea would especially rise in the long run. However, there will be strong competition in this sector among ASEAN members. Thus, an earlier conclusion of a comprehensive FTA with Korea is expected to be a good strategy for Vietnam, so as to avoid the direct competition with ASEAN members in the future.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.167-188
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• 2021

This study was carried out to identify the key drivers behind the rapid growth of the cosmetic medical tourism industry in recent years and determine the future growth engines. Unlike previous studies that have focused on cosmetic medical tourism in the United States, Japan, and China, this paper examines the related trends in ASEAN countries, where the interest in cosmetic surgery has recently surged among young people, as part of the efforts to promote the expansion of the industry in this particular region. The results of the empirical study showed that those from the ASEAN region traveling abroad for cosmetic surgery found the medical professional's expertise in cosmetic surgery technology, medical care system, and administrative convenience in relation to communication and accessibility appealing, and this is what led to an intention to visit. As for another process that formed the intention to visit, it was the sociocultural attitudes towards appearance arising from the attractiveness of celebrities, and this had an impact on the intention to visit abroad for cosmetic surgery. Especially it was newly discovered, based on an empirical analysis, that sociocultural attitudes towards the appearance and attractiveness of celebrities could be a key influencing factor when it comes to the intention to visit another country for cosmetic surgery.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.179-194
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• 2023

ASEAN은 BRICs에 이어 차세대 시장으로 부상하고 있다. 우리나라에 있어서도 ASEAN은 제2의 교역 파트너이자 세 번째 해외투자 대상으로서, 중요한 경제협력 파트너이다. ASEAN은 앞으로의 미래 투자지역으로 많은 기업에게 매력적인 사업지로 주목받고 있다. 이에 따라, 한국 정부는 ASEAN과 협력관계를 발전시켜나가기 위해 "신(新) 남방 정책"을 강력하게 추진하여 상호 관계를 강화하고 있다. ASEAN이 최근 해운물류 개발의 중심지역으로 떠오르면서 주변국들 또한 ASEAN 지역의 국가들에 대한 해운 물류 분야의 개발협력과 지원을 집중적으로 하게 되었다. 우리나라 기업 또한 신남방 지역으로의 진출에 적극적이고 이러한 진출을 정부가 지원하고 있다. ASEAN 국가에 진출하기 위해서는 진출 대상국에 대한 투자 및 유치 제도와 외국 법인에 대한 법적인 지원 범위 등을 파악하여야 사업 진입 및 진출 전략을 위한 해당 시장에 대해 정확히 반영할 수 있다. 이러한 해외 진출 리스크를 회피하기 위해서는 각 국의 해외 직접 투자 및 외국 법인 설립 등 현지에 맞는 사업 방법의 선정과 회사 설립 방법에 대한 기초적인 이해는 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 해양 ASEAN 국가에 진입하고자 하는 해운 물류 유관 기업들의 해외투자법 및 기업설립법의 이해를 도모하여 이러한 규정이 진입 장벽이 되지 않도록 하기 위해 제도를 분석하고, 해운 물류 기업의 해외 투자를 위한 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• 수완나부미
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.251-268
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• 2022

Over the last few decades, global trade activities showed a significant increase, resulting in a rise of the wider global economic growth. The achievement is partly due to the more integrated global trade system under global trade regime such as World Trade Organization (WTO) that standardized the practice of global trade. On the other hand, it could also be seen that regional trade negotiation became more important part of global trade activity. The trade negotiation itself was pushed and tailored by regional perspective, which indigenized trade agreement. This research aims to analyze the indigenization of ASEAN's trade negotiation model. How has the current trade negotiation model within the region represented indigenous needs and aspirations? This study also offers to revisit the conceptual framework in identifying the trade negotiation model to measure the indigeneity of Southeast Asian automotive industry's policy. This research concludes by explaining the case studies which measure the effect of indigenization to the practice of trade agreement in the region.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.224-233
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• 2021

본 연구는 "한-아세안 습지 지식공유 플랫폼" 개발을 위해 글로벌 지식공유 플랫폼들을 분석하고, 이해당사자들의 의견을 수렴 하였다. 글로벌 지식공유 플랫폼 분석결과 플랫폼을 지속가능하게 유지하고 활발하게 사업을 수행하기 위해서는 1) 재정지원과 2) 지식 결과물이 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 이해당사자들의 의견 분석 결과 3가지 주요사업(① 한-아세안 지역의 습지 인벤토리 비교분석, ② 습지 연구동향 지식격차 분석, ③ 습지 관련 정보공유 웹인프라 구축)이 제안되었다. 문헌분석과 이해당사자들의 의견을 종합적으로 고려한 결과 "한-아세안 습지 지식공유 플랫폼"은 국제협약(람사르협약, 생물다양성협약)의 목표와 정합성을 갖도록 정의하였고, 생물다양성과학기구를 기반모델로 선정하였다. 본 연구의 플랫폼은 생물다양성과학기구와 동일하게 지식관리, 지식평가, 역량강화, 정책지원, 의사소통과 참여를 핵심목표로 선정하였다. 지식공유 플랫폼은 한-아세안 지역 내에 같은 유형의 습지생태계 관련 지식을 공유하고, 과학기반 정책 수립에 필요한 정보를 제공 할 수 있을 것이다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.59-80
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• 2017

This paper examines the operational limitations of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization (CMIM) as a regional financial safety net in East Asia and presents a new regional financial arrangement. To overcome the drawbacks of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization which has never been activated so far, this study proposes that ASEAN+3 establish a new lending facility, so-called a Reserve Fund Facility, and create a regional common reserves asset. The proposed Reserve Fund Facility framework guarantees lending automaticity of the liquidity facility, based on upfront funding instead of pledge funding. Establishing the Reserve Fund Facility could find a way of making up for weakness of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization and responding to the regional needs for effective regional financial arrangement. The full-fledged Reserve Fund Facility will ultimately contribute to the future development of East Asia's monetary and financial cooperation beyond the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.109-126
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• 2019

Import refusals can be considered a new method of non-tariff barriers. This study aims to analyze reputation spillover effects on fish and fishery products imported from ASEAN countries to the U.S. FDA. The supply of aquatic products is not stable due to various factors such as reduction of fish stocks and climate change. Fish is a basic food ingested directly, but there are many ways to control the safety of aquatic products. ASEAN countries account for about 20% of U.S.imports in fish and fishery products. For Southeast Asian countries, fish and fishery products comprise a high proportion of exports revenue. Despite the large share of exports to the U.S., Southeast Asia countries have been receiving many import refusals from the United States. In this study, a theoretical model for examining import refusals is suggested using the negative binomial counting process. The reputation spillover effect, was divided into two spillover effects of 'neighbor reputation' and 'sector reputation'. Results show that there exists a neighbor reputation spillover effect. It can be said if there was a import refusal of the same product from neighboring countries in the preceding year, the home country have a possibility to experience import refusals of the same product. Therefore, it is interpreted that neighboring countries have good standard compliance can help home countries to effectively reach the target markets. Our findings have a important policy implication for ASEAN exporters of fish and fishery products.