• Journal of Sport and Applied Science
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• v.4 no.4
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• pp.27-32
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• 2020

Purpose: This study sought to explore the effects of air pollution on professional sports in South Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: The dependent variable, the number of attendances, was comprised of 2013-2017 K-league, 2015-2017 KBO, 2014-2017 KBL regular season games, resulting in 1,063, 2,121, 810 individual match-level observations, respectively. With the actual data collected from each place across the country, we created a categorical variable which identify the air quality index divided into four categories by K-eco (i.e., good, moderate, unhealthy, hazardous). To analyze data, ANOVA was employed. Results: First, there was a significant group effect on K-league attendance. Second, there was a significant group effect of KBO attendance. Lastly, there was a significant group effect on KBL attendance. Conclusions: Summary of above results showed that each professional sport leagues' attendance was significantly different depending on the levels of air pollution. Implications were also discussed. Keywords: air pollution, sport spectatorship, professional sports.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.625-633
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• 2017

Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) is a statistic that measure pitcher performance by eliminating plate appearance outcomes that involve defensive play. FIP uses pitcher dependent outcomes such that walks, strikeouts, hit by pitches, and home runs allowed. The FIP equation derived from linear weights uses three coefficients 13, 3, -2 for evaluating Major League Baseball pitchers. However, these coefficients derived from run value of major league baseball are not suitable to Korea Baseball Organization pitchers due to baseball circumstances. In this study, new FIP called kFIP for Korea Baseball Organization pitchers are provided. We recalculate coefficients and get 14, 3, -1 for evaluating Korean Baseball pitchers. As a result, kFIP is statistically significantly better than FIP at predicting pitcher ERA in KBO League.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2008.10a
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• pp.299-303
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• 2008

In this paper, we discuss the schedule problems for Korean Professional Baseball League (KPBL) and propose approaches to solve these problems by applying Integer Programming. A schedule in a sport league must satisfy lots of constraints on timing such as organizational, attractiveness, and fairness requirements. Organizational requirements cover a set of rules which have to guarantee that all the games can be scheduled according to the regulations imposed by Korean Baseball Organization (KBO). Attractiveness requirements focus on what stadium visitors, television spectators, and the clubs expect, that is, a varied, eventful, and exciting season. Fairness requirements have to guarantee that no team is handicapped or favored in comparison with the others. In addition to finding a feasible schedule that meets all the constraints, the problem addressed in this paper has the additional complexity of having the objective of minimizing the travel costs and every team has the balancing number of the games in home. We formalize the KPBL problem into an optimization problem and adopt the concept of evolution strategy to solve it. Using the method proposed, it is efficient to find better results than approaches developed before.

• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.65-71
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• 2020

Recently, the field of using data has begun to attract attention in professional sports. In the field of data utilization, in addition to the classic records obtained within the economy, secondary records that emphasize efficiency are also actively used. Therefore, in this study, we try to study the correlation with the pitcher's strikeout ability through the daily average humidity, which is data outside the competition. For this reason, referring to the daily average record of the area of the home base of 10 teams belonging to the KBO league and the auxiliary stadium, the top 5 in the win, hold, save section to grasp the characteristics of the starting pitcher and the rescue pitcher We analyzed K / 9 records for each person. Through the results of this study, we found a significant difference in the K / 9 record between the starting pitcher and the rescue pitcher, and we can expect to investigate the use of professional sports data and develop the industry in general.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.8
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• pp.225-230
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• 2020

The KBO League is held over a long period of time due to the large number of games. Also, Korea has a diverse and distinct climate. Therefore, this study analyzed the relationship between the daily average temperature and the record of batting power such as home runs, triples, doubles, number of bases, batting percentage, and net batting percentage, and a third baseball record was defined. For this study, the correlation between the daily average temperature data and the batter who entered the standard at-bat in the KBO League in 2019 was analyzed through the SEMMA method. From the results of this study, it was found that the average daily temperature had an effect on a batter's hitting power. In particular, it was found that a batter's hitting power decreased on the day of temperatures recorded between 20.0 degrees and 24.9 degrees, and it was discussed that this may have been related to the physical condition of the pitcher the batter was facing. Therefore, it can be expected that players, coaching staff, and the front desk can use them in the game through conditions outside the game. In addition, it is expected that it will be a more useful analysis model by analyzing the records of pitching, base running, and defense as well as subsequent batting records.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.677-687
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• 2016

Among lots of sabermetric statistics for baseball batters' ability, the wins above replacement (WAR) is the most popular statistic in MLB. However, there exists a difficulty applying WAR to KBO, since KBO data do not have position adjustment, league adjustment and park factor which are essential in calculating WAR. In this paper, using five statistics for both KBO and MLB qualified batters, we propose hitting ability index (HAI), an alternative sabermetric indices to represent batters' ability. Comparing HAI with WAR of MLB batters, we evaluate the validity of HAI and then applied HAI to 2015 KBO data in which HAI is analyzed statistically with respect to different teams, ages, and positions. Moreover, the linear relationship between KBO batter's HAI and their annual salary is discussed. Grouping 46 KBO batters based on confidence region of the regression model for annual salary, we also statistically investigate batter's annual salary in these groups with respect to several factors.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.321-330
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• 2016

Run expectancy (RE) is the mean number of runs scored from a specific base runner/outs situation of an inning to the end of the inning. Win expectancy (WE) is the probability that a particular team will win the game at a specific game state such as half-inning, score difference, outs, and/or runners on base. In this paper, we derive RE and WE for the Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) League based on six-year data from 2007 to 2012 using a Markov chain model.

• The Journal of Bigdata
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.49-61
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• 2022

In sports, the proportion of data analysis in team management such as team strategy planning and marketing is increasing. In KBO(Korea Baseball Organization) league, in particular, plans such as recruiting players and fostering players are established to devise team strategies for the next year, such as FA and trade, at the end of a season. For these reasons, it is very important to predict players' performance for the next year. In this study, the target was limited to only the batter and tried to find out how to predict whether the performance of the next year will improve. As a standard record for rising and falling, OPS(On-Base Plus Slugging), which is easy to calculate and has a high relationship with team score, was used. In this study, 40 years of regular season data from 1982 to 2021 were used as data, and 11 machine learning classification models were used as experimental methods. Predicting the rise and fall of OPS, RBF SVM, Neural Net, Gaussian Process, and AdaBoost were more accurate than other classification models, and age did not significantly affect accuracy.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.6 no.12
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• pp.565-572
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• 2017

Traditional method for time series analysis, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) allows to mine significant patterns from the past observations using autocorrelation and to forecast future sequences. However, Korean baseball games do not have regular intervals to analyze relationship among the past attendance observations. To address this issue, we propose artificial neural network (ANN) based attendance prediction model using various measures including performance, team characteristics and social influences. We optimized ANNs using grid search to construct optimal model for regression problem. The evaluation shows that the optimal and ensemble model outperform the baseline model, linear regression model.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2017.04a
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• pp.920-923
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• 2017

본 연구는 기존의 수요 예측 등의 시계열 분석에서 주로 사용되는 ARIMA 모형의 어려움을 극복하고자 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network) 모형을 이용하여 한국 프로 야구 관중 수를 예측하였다. 인공신경망의 가장 기본적인 종류인 전방향 신경망(Feedforward Neural Network)의 초모수(Hyperparameter) 선정에 그리드 탐색(Grid Search)을 적용하여 최적의 모형을 찾고자 하였다. 훈련 자료로는 2015년 3월부터 8월까지의 일별 KBO 관중 수 자료를 대상으로 하였고, 예측력 검증을 위해 2015년 9월 관중 수를 예측하여 실제 관측값과 비교하였다. 그 결과, 그리드 탐색법에서 최적 모형이라고 판단한 모형의 예측력은, 평균 절대 백분율 오차(MAPE) 기준으로 평균 27.14% 였다. 또한, 앙상블 기법에서 착안하여 오차율이 낮은 모형 5개의 예측값 평균의 MAPE는 평균 28.58% 였다. 이는 다중회귀와 비교해보았을 때, 평균적으로 각각 14%, 13.6% 높은 예측력을 보이고 있다.