• Title/Summary/Keyword: Judgment Method

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Evidential Analytic Hierarchy Process Dependence Assessment Methodology in Human Reliability Analysis

  • Chen, Luyuan;Zhou, Xinyi;Xiao, Fuyuan;Deng, Yong;Mahadevan, Sankaran
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2017
  • In human reliability analysis, dependence assessment is an important issue in risky large complex systems, such as operation of a nuclear power plant. Many existing methods depend on an expert's judgment, which contributes to the subjectivity and restrictions of results. Recently, a computational method, based on the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory and analytic hierarchy process, has been proposed to handle the dependence in human reliability analysis. The model can deal with uncertainty in an analyst's judgment and reduce the subjectivity in the evaluation process. However, the computation is heavy and complicated to some degree. The most important issue is that the existing method is in a positive aspect, which may cause an underestimation of the risk. In this study, a new evidential analytic hierarchy process dependence assessment methodology, based on the improvement of existing methods, has been proposed, which is expected to be easier and more effective.

A Study on the Judicial Judgment of Flight Regulations under the Aviation Safety Act (항공안전법상 운항규정의 사법적 판단에 관한 고찰 )

  • Sung-mi Kim;Hee-bok Ahn;Un-jin Yeo;Ho-won Hwang
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 2023
  • The traditional safety management method starts with the misconception that similar accidents will recur if the inappropriate behavior of the person who caused the accident is investigated and punishment is not judged. However, in modern safety management, incidents or situations occur when negative conditions latent in the system are mutually influenced and triggered. The precedent for revoking the disposition of suspension of first officer A of Eastar Jet, which won a legal lawsuit against the administrative regulatory authority, is a representative example that will serve as an opportunity for the administrative regulatory authority to break away from the punishment-oriented safety management method of the past. On the other hand, airmans and air carriers also need to have a clear understanding of flight regulations, and when judicial judgment is required, predictable and effective legal effects can be obtained by preparing clear standards for flight regulations. In addition, administrative regulatory authorities expect a change from the punishment-oriented safety management policy of the past to a systematic safety management policy.

A Study about Development and Application of Evaluating Brand Logo Grade (로고 디자인 평가모델 개발 및 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Eun-Ice
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.19 no.2 s.64
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this thesis is to upgrade brand logo's equity by objective and professional evaluating tool. A brand logo is the main factor in making brand equity, but many times a brand logo is decided without objective judgment because making a logo is considered an intuitive process. To minimize the poor judgment by non-experts, a brand logo needs objective numerical grading tool. Thus, a brand logo is a factor in making a brand identity, not only brand image. That is why brand logo must be chosen by an expert's object judgment. The concrete method to obtain a objective, and at the same time professional grading tool which can De used for the developing and verifying process for a brand logo is as below-first, considering brand judgment from various angles through existing literature, I found various logo grading factors and then extracted them with professional identity designer's subjective consideration. second, applying extracted factors to actual logo grading, verify as a efficient design management tool

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Corruption Index and Application of LISREL Measurement Model (부패지수와 LISREL 측정모형의 적용 -행정 신뢰성의 계량적 측정-)

  • 최종후;안민영
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.33-45
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    • 2002
  • We investigate into some problems related to Corruption Perception Index(CPI). Delphi method is a popular for obtaining CPI; it is a mean of systematically collecting and progressively refining information provided by a group of selected experts in order to obtaining the weight values of questionnaires. However, Delphi method hold low aspect, to some extent, for it is solely dependent upon the judgment of a few professionals. In this paper, we propose the measurement model for X in LISREL as alternative for gaining the weight values of questionnaires. We use the 1999 Seoul ACI(Anti- Corruption Index) for empirical study.

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Study on NADH which is the Air Volume Sensor in the Activated Sludge Reaction Tank (활성슬러지 반응탱크의 풍량제어지표인 NADH에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Woo-jin;Hong, Sung-min;Kim, Han-lae;Chang, Soon-woong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2016
  • Domestic sewerage treatment plant is operated by activated sludge method and its modified method by using microorganism. In most cases, a method of using microorganism is directly controlled by the operator based on individual judgment through factors of DO, pH and ORP. In addition, under aerobic condition in bioreactor, energy consumption including excessive air injection is learned to be somewhat plenty. In order to solve this problem, in most of the process, improvement of internal recycling and activated environmental factor of microorganism were researched extensively. However, as factors are changed depending on various conditions, it is not sufficient as an indicator of judgment. As such, a research on operation of bioreactor that measures metabolic change in short time by directly measuring activated condition of microorganism using NADH fluorometer is required in reality.It is considered that the method like this could supplement problem of energy consumption being occurred in the existing treatment method and operational optimization of bioreactor would be enabled by controlling optimal air volume. Therefore, in this study, in order to obtain optimal operational indicator of bioreactor, proper air volume control test was performed and through batch test and site evaluation, possibility of NADH sensor being utilized as operational control indicator of bioreactor is intended to be analyzed. In order to compare with measured value, DO, ORP that are operational control indicator of existing bioreactor were used. As MLSS concentration was increased through batch test, NADH value was increased and site evaluation also showed similar tendency to batch test. Resultantly, it could be confirmed that changing level of NADH fluorometer was a sensor that could measure bioreactor condition effectively and optimized scale of bioreactor is considered to be utilized.

Effect of hysteretic constitutive models on elasto-plastic seismic performance evaluation of steel arch bridges

  • Wang, Tong;Xie, Xu;Shen, Chi;Tang, Zhanzhan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.1089-1109
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    • 2016
  • Modified two-surface model (M2SM) is one of the steel elasto-plastic hysteretic constitutive models that consider both analysis accuracy and efficiency. However, when M2SM is used for complex strain history, sometimes the results are irrational due to the limitation of stress-strain path judgment. In this paper, the defect of M2SM was re-modified by improving the judgment of stress-strain paths. The accuracy and applicability of the improved method were verified on both material and structural level. Based on this improvement, the nonlinear time-history analysis was carried out for a deck-through steel arch bridge with a 200 m-long span under the ground motions of Chi-Chi earthquake and Niigata earthquake. In the analysis, we compared the results obtained by hysteretic constitutive models of improved two-surface model (I2SM) presented in this paper, M2SM and the bilinear kinematic hardening model (BKHM). Results show that, although the analysis precision of displacement response of different steel hysteretic models differs little from each other, the stress-strain responses of the structure are affected by steel hysteretic models apparently. The difference between the stress-strain responses obtained by I2SM and M2SM cannot be neglected. In significantly damaged areas, BKHM gives smaller stress result and obviously different strain response compared with I2SM and M2SM, and tends to overestimate the effect of hysteretic energy dissipation. Moreover, at some position with severe damage, BKHM may underestimate the size of seismic damaged areas. Different steel hysteretic models also have influences on structural damage evaluation results based on deformation behavior and low cycle fatigue, and may lead to completely different judgment of failure, especially in severely damaged areas.

A Study on the Effectiveness of e-learning video class using the online learning judgement system : Focused on the social studies classes in Elementary school (온라인 학습판단 시스템을 활용한 e-러닝 동영상 수업의 효과연구 : 초등학교 사회과 수업을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jihyun;Jung, Jaebum;Jo, Jaechoon;Lim, Heuiseok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze and compare the effectiveness of elementary in e-Learning video lessons. In an elementary school where the educational videos are frequently used, the learning about video materials is important but it is difficult to judge all students by a teacher in a classroom. In order to solve the problems of the field, In the fifth-grade elementary school social studies class, learning using video material was conducted by using the online learning judgment system for the experimental group, and learning using video material was conducted by the traditional method for the controlled group. As a result of the experiment, the class using the online learning judgment system was effective in enhancing the learner 's academic achievement. It also positively influenced learners' learning satisfaction. Teachers' satisfaction was not statistically significant because of the small number of teachers. However, The mean value of the teachers' satisfaction in the experimental group was high and the deviation was small.

A Study on Bag Purchase Behaviors according to Materialism Value (물질주의 가치에 따른 가방 구매행동 연구)

  • Lee, Mi-sook
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.33-48
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    • 2022
  • This study aimed to investigate bag purchase behaviors according to materialism value. The subjects were 443 male and female adult consumers in their 20s to 50s. The research method was a survey, and the questionnaire consisted of questions on materialism value, bag purchase behaviors, and demographic characteristics. For data analysis, descriptive statistics, Cronbach's α, χ2 test, factor analysis, cluster analysis, ANOVA, and Duncan's multiple range test were performed. The results of this study were as follows. First, materialism value was derived from three factors (happiness pursuit, possession-oriented, and success judgment). Second, subjects could be divided into three groups (happiness pursuit group, success judgment pursuit group, and immaterialism group) based on the materialism value variable. Third, the derived groups showed many differences in bag purchase behaviors. The happiness pursuit group considered all bag evaluation criteria factors (practicality, aesthetics, economy, symbolism) and bag purchasing information sources factors (mass media and personal sources) more than other groups, and showed a tendency to prefer select shops and complex shopping malls as bag purchasing places. In addition, the average annual cost and frequency of purchasing bags of this group were higher than those of other groups. The success judgment pursuit group considered symbolism as a bag evaluation criteria more than other groups, and considered personal sources as bag purchasing information sources more than mass media sources, and preferred luxury stores and department stores as bag purchasing places. On the other hand, the immaterialism group considered practicality and aesthetics as bag evaluation criteria and placed less importance on all information sources than other groups, and preferred Internet shopping malls as purchasing places. This group had the lowest average annual purchase cost and frequency among the three consumer groups. This study suggested that materialism value is a useful variable to segment male and female adult consumer markets effectively, and to understand the bag purchase behaviors of consumer groups divided by materialism value.

AI Crime Prediction Modeling Based on Judgment and the 8 Principles (판결문과 8하원칙에 기반한 인공지능 범죄 예측 모델링)

  • Hye-sung Jung;Eun-bi Cho;Jeong-hyeon Chang
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2023
  • In the 4th industrial revolution, the field of criminal justice is paying attention to Legaltech using artificial intelligence to provide efficient legal services. This paper attempted to create a crime prediction model that can apply Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) to increase the potential for using legal technology in the domestic criminal justice field. To this end, the crime process was divided into pre, during, and post stages based on the criminal facts described in the judgment, utilizing crime script analysis techniques. In addition, at each time point, the method and evidence of crime were classified into objects, actions, and environments based on the sentence composition elements and the 8 principles of investigation. The case summary analysis framework derived from this study can contribute to establishing situational crime prevention strategies because it is easy to identify typical patterns of specific crime methods. Furthermore, the results of this study can be used as a useful reference for research on generating crime situation prediction data based on RNN models in future follow-up studies.

Scientific fire investigation by NFPA 921 CODE based on frozen warehouse fire case (냉동창고 화재 사례를 기반으로 하는 NFPA 921 CODE에 의한 과학적 화재조사 연구)

  • Park, Kyong-Jin;Lee, Yong-KI;Cha, Sung-Sig;Jung, Dong-Young;Kim, Jang-Oh
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we investigated the cases where there were many opinions in the judgment of the cause of ignition in the case of 20 cases of frozen warehouse fire that occurred in 2017.The research methodology is the scientific fire survey method prescribed by the NFPA 921 CODE. Scientific fire investigation method is fire investigation method by logical reasoning through hypothesis setting, minimizing errors in judgment of ignition source. On the other hand, unscientific fire investigation methods cause many errors by the intervention of irrational factors such as subjective estimation, reasoning judgment, etc. This eventually leads to the problem of human and material responsibility and academic deterioration. In particular, fire not seen as compared to sighted fire makes more errors in ignition sources in the cause investigation. In this study, we set the hypothesis A and hypothesis B based on the review of the fire investigation report and the field survey on the fire case of the cold storage warehouse front line that occurred at ** city ** Mart in 2017.The set hypothesis was tested by the NFPA 921 code. This analytical method will be constructed by NEW Paradigm as a source of fire that is not seen in the future and a source of ignorant fire.In addition, the experimental data of this study will be used to inform the manufacturer and operator of the refrigeration warehouse and serve as basic data for fire prevention.