• 제목/요약/키워드: Input Variable Uncertainty

검색결과 47건 처리시간 0.029초

A study on power system stabilizer using output feedback adaptive variable structure control

  • Shin, Jin-Ho;Jeong, Il-Kwon;Choi, Changkyu;Lee, Ju-Jang
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1994년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automatic Control Conference, 9th (KACC) ; Taejeon, Korea; 17-20 Oct. 1994
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, an output feedback adaptive variable structure control scheme is presented for stabilization of large scale power systems. An additional input signal which is called a power system stabilizer(PSS) is needed to improve the stability of a power system and to maintain the synchronization of generators. The proposed PSS scheme does not require a priori knowledge of uncertainty bounds. It is guaranteed that the closed-loop system is globally uniformly ultimately bounded by the Lyapunov stability theory. Simulation results for a multimachine power system are given to show the feasibility of the proposed scheme and the superiority of the proposed PSS in comparison with the conventional lead-lag PSS of PID-type.

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Local Validation of MODIS Global Leaf Area Index (LAI) Product over Temperate Forest

  • Kim, Sun-Hwa;Lee, Kyu-Sung
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2003
  • MODIS LAI product has been one of key variable for analyzing the quantitative aspects of terrestrial ecology at global scale. This study was designed to validate MODIS global LAI product for regional application. To examine the quality of MODIS LAI data, we developed a reference LAI surface that was derived by relating the ground LAI measurements to Landsat ETM+ reflectance. The study area, the Kwangneung Experiment Forest in Korea, covers mixed deciduous and coniferous species of temperate forest. Ground measurements of LAI were conducted at 30 sample plots by using a photo-optical instrument during the growing season of 2002. Ground measured LAI data were then related to the ETM+ reflectance to produce a continuous map of LAI surface over the study area. From the comparison between the MODIS LAI and the reference LAI, it was found that the MODIS LAI values were slightly higher at the forestland. Considering the limitations of producing the reference LAI surface and the uncertainty of the input variable for the MODIS LAI algorithm, such small discrepancy mal not be significant.

Homogenized limit analysis of masonry structures with random input properties: polynomial Response Surface approximation and Monte Carlo simulations

  • Milani, G.;Benasciutti, D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.417-447
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    • 2010
  • The uncertainty often observed in experimental strengths of masonry constituents makes critical the selection of the appropriate inputs in finite element analysis of complex masonry buildings, as well as requires modelling the building ultimate load as a random variable. On the other hand, the utilization of expensive Monte Carlo simulations to estimate collapse load probability distributions may become computationally impractical when a single analysis of a complex building requires hours of computer calculations. To reduce the computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations, direct computer calculations can be replaced with inexpensive Response Surface (RS) models. This work investigates the use of RS models in Monte Carlo analysis of complex masonry buildings with random input parameters. The accuracy of the estimated RS models, as well as the good estimations of the collapse load cumulative distributions obtained via polynomial RS models, show how the proposed approach could be a useful tool in problems of technical interest.

미래의 한국의 환경규제여건에 따른 2001년도의 원자력과 석탄화력 발전단가비교 -민감도와 불확실도 분석- (Power Generation Cost Comparison of Nuclear and Coal Power Plants in Year 2001 under Future Korean Environmental Regulations -Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis-)

  • Lee, Byong-Whi;Oh, Sung-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 1989
  • 대기오염의 제어가 발전 단가에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 전산 모델이 개발 되었다. POGEN은 석탄 화력 발전소에 대해 대기오염 제어 비용을 가산한 균등화 발전 단가를 계산한다. 부 프로그램 Pollution은 대기 오염 제어 비용을 가산한 지배 방정식을 사용하여 총 자본 비용과 변동비용을 계산한다. 이 비용은 균등화 발전 단가를 계산하는 부 프로그램 GENeration의 추가 입력으로 사용된다. 탈황설비의 직접 비용에 대한 Pollution을 이용한 결과는 경험이 풍부한 선진국에서 발간된 비용 자료로써 검증하였다. 2001년의 전력 생산비용은 석탄화력발전소에 적용된 세 가지의 규제 시나리오에 의해 추정되었다. 입력 변수의 중요도와 미래 발전소에 대한 입력 변수에 포함된 불확실성 때문에 생기는 불확실도의 전파를 검토하기 위해 Latin Hypercube Sampling과 Multiple Least Squares 방법을 사용하여 민감도 분석과 불확실도 분석을 수행하였다. 가장 민감한 입력 변수는 원자력, 화력 공히 할인률이다. 배출가스제어 비용으로서 9-11 mills/kWh 정도가 추가되어야 한다. 이 비용은 전력 생산비용의 거의 20 퍼센트가 되고, 이에 해당하는 투자비는 1GW 용량의 석탄 화력발전소 초기 투자비용의 40%가 될 것이다. 원자력 발전에 대한 단가는 90퍼센트의 신뢰도로써 32.6-65.9, 석탄 화력에 대해서는 45.5-60.5 mills/kWh가 되며, 엄격한 규제 분위기 하에서는 원자력이 95%의 신뢰도로써 유리할 것이 전망된다.

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Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement by NSA and NDA

  • Devandiran, P.;Kamatchi, P.;Rao, K. Balaji;Ravisankar, K.;Iyer, Nagesh R.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.439-459
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    • 2013
  • Main objective of the present study is to determine the statistical properties and suitable probability distribution functions of spectral displacements from nonlinear static and nonlinear dynamic analysis within the frame work of Monte Carlo simulation for typical low rise and high rise RC framed buildings located in zone III and zone V and designed as per Indian seismic codes. Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement is useful for strength assessment and loss estimation. To the author's knowledge, no study is reported in literature on comparison of spectral displacement including the uncertainties in capacity and demand in Indian context. In the present study, uncertainties in capacity of the building is modeled by choosing cross sectional dimensions of beams and columns, density and compressive strength of concrete, yield strength and elastic modulus of steel and, live load as random variables. Uncertainty in demand is modeled by choosing peak ground acceleration (PGA) as a random variable. Nonlinear static analysis (NSA) and nonlinear dynamic analysis (NDA) are carried out for typical low rise and high rise reinforced concrete framed buildings using IDARC 2D computer program with the random sample input parameters. Statistical properties are obtained for spectral displacements corresponding to performance point from NSA and maximum absolute roof displacement from NDA and suitable probability distribution functions viz., normal, Weibull, lognormal are examined for goodness-of-fit. From the hypothesis test for goodness-of-fit, lognormal function is found to be suitable to represent the statistical variation of spectral displacement obtained from NSA and NDA.

Representing Fuzzy, Uncertain Evidences and Confidence Propagation for Rule-Based System

  • Zhang, Tailing
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1993년도 Proceedings of International Conference for Agricultural Machinery and Process Engineering
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    • pp.1254-1263
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    • 1993
  • Representing knowledge uncertainty , aggregating evidence confidences , and propagation uncertainties are three key elements that effect the ability of a rule-based expert system to represent domains with uncertainty . Fuzzy set theory provide a good mathematical tool for representing the vagueness associated with a variable when , as the condition of a rule , it only partially corresponds to the input data. However, the aggregation of ANDed and Ored confidences is not as simple as the intersection and union operators defined for fuzzy set membership. There is, in fact, a certain degree of compensation that occurs when an expert aggregates confidences associated with compound evidence . Further, expert often consider individual evidences to be varying importance , or weight , in their support for a conclusion. This paper presents a flexible approach for evaluating evidence and conclusion confidences. Evidences may be represented as fuzzy or nonfuzzy variables with as associat d degree of certainty . different weight can also be associated degree of certainty. Different weights can also be assigned to the individual condition in determining the confidence of compound evidence . Conclusion confidence is calculated using a modified approach combining the evidence confidence and a rule strength. The techniques developed offer a flexible framework for representing knowledge and propagating uncertainties. This framework has the potention to reflect human aggregation of uncertain information more accurately than simple minimum and maximum operator do.

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희망과 설명 요인과의 함수적 관계에 대한 메타 분석 (Meta-Analysis of the Research Findings Concerning Functional Relationships of Explanatory Variables to Hope)

  • 김달숙;문원희;안성윤;오현숙;권경희;박문경;최현숙;이미옥;김영주
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.673-684
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: The purpose of the study was to meta-analyze the relationships of major concepts, which were made by synthesizing similar explanatory variables into more comprehensive concepts, to hope. Method: The relevant researches from Jan 1980 to Dec 2003, performed in adults or adult patients, were collected. Using the SAS program, meta-analysis were done with the input data of the number of subjects, the correlation coefficients provided from most of the studies or a few transformed correlation coefficients from F value. In order to get the analysis to be done in homogeneous status of the data regarding each relationship of each major concept to hope(p> 0.05), heterogeneous data were eliminated in repeating Q-test. Result: The major variable regarding relationship to self/transcendental being/life(spiritual wellbeing & self esteem) and social support(social support & family support) have very large positive effects on hope(D=l.72, D=l.27). The negative effect of the variable regarding captive state(uncertainty in illness, perceived unhealthiness status, & fatigue) and positive effect of coping(approach coping) on hope are in the level between moderate to large(D=-0.61, D=0.78). All the effects of the major concepts on hope were verified as significant statistically(p=.000). The Fail -Safe numbers showed the significant effects of the three major concepts except coping on hope were reliable. Conclusion: The results can be a guide to advance hope theory for nursing.

Neural Network-based Decision Class Analysis with Incomplete Information

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Lee, Jae-Kwang;Park, Kyung-Sam
    • 한국데이타베이스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이타베이스학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회: 지식경영과 지식공학
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 1999
  • Decision class analysis (DCA) is viewed as a classification problem where a set of input data (situation-specific knowledge) and output data (a topological leveled influence diagram (ID)) is given. Situation-specific knowledge is usually given from a decision maker (DM) with the help of domain expert(s). But it is not easy for the DM to know the situation-specific knowledge of decision problem exactly. This paper presents a methodology fur sensitivity analysis of DCA under incomplete information. The purpose of sensitivity analysis in DCA is to identify the effects of incomplete situation-specific frames whose uncertainty affects the importance of each variable in the resulting model. For such a purpose, our suggested methodology consists of two procedures: generative procedure and adaptive procedure. An interactive procedure is also suggested based the sensitivity analysis to build a well-formed ID. These procedures are formally explained and illustrated with a raw material purchasing problem.

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Neural Network-based Decision Class Analysis with Incomplete Information

  • 김재경;이재광;박경삼
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회-지식경영과 지식공학
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 1999
  • Decision class analysis (DCA) is viewed as a classification problem where a set of input data (situation-specific knowledge) and output data(a topological leveled influence diagram (ID)) is given. Situation-specific knowledge is usually given from a decision maker (DM) with the help of domain expert(s). But it is not easy for the DM to know the situation-specific knowledge of decision problem exactly. This paper presents a methodology for sensitivity analysis of DCA under incomplete information. The purpose of sensitivity analysis in DCA is to identify the effects of incomplete situation-specific frames whose uncertainty affects the importance of each variable in the resulting model. For such a purpose, our suggested methodology consists of two procedures: generative procedure and adaptive procedure. An interactive procedure is also suggested based the sensitivity analysis to build a well-formed ID. These procedures are formally explained and illustrated with a raw material purchasing problem.

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크리프 균열성장 모델에 대한 확률론적 수명예측 프로그램 (Probabilistic Remaining Life Assessment Program for Creep Crack Growth)

  • 김건영;;강명수
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a probabilistic remaining life assessment program for the creep crack growth. The probabilistic life assessment program is developed to increase the reliability of life assessment. The probabilistic life assessment involves some uncertainties, such as, initial crack size, material properties, and loading condition, and a triangle distribution function is used for random variable generation. The resulting information provides the engineer with an assessment of the probability of structural failure as a function of operating time given the uncertainties in the input data. This study forms basis of the probabilistic life assessment technique and will be extended to other damage mechanisms.

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