• Title/Summary/Keyword: Initial purchase demand

검색결과 12건 처리시간 0.599초

Generalized Replacement Demand Forecasting to Complement Diffusion Models

  • Chung, Kyu-Suk;Park, Sung-Joo
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.103-117
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    • 1988
  • Replacement demand plays an important role to forecast the total demand of durable goods, while most of the diffusion models deal with only adoption data, namely initial purchase demand. This paper presents replacement demand forecasting models incorporating repurchase rate, multi-ownership, and dynamic product life to complement the existing diffusion models. The performance of replacement demand forecasting models are analyzed and practical guidelines for the application of the models are suggested when life distribution data or adoption data are not available.

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KTX 특정(조건부) 할인상품 운영에 관한 사례 연구 (Initial Operation Case Study on KTX Special Class)

  • 한은영;주상화
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.758-762
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    • 2007
  • Revenue management is a new approach method to solve the problem of supply and demand, and one of fields which is diffused quickly at the service enterprise to use perishable-asset like the transportation business. It is based on multiple fare policy that discount charge reservation should be received if the benefit value of current discount fare is more than expected profit of the normal fare reservation it will be able to occur in future when suitable goods is sold to the customers at discount fare, at the time they want, and at assigned seat by controlling supply and demand from market. In this research, I will review on initial operation case for special class goods that the seat which is limited is assigned at some of train and portion of KTX for demand dispersion and new demand creation at peak time, put a limit in purchase conditions, and provides discounted fare. I will also try to find implication for strategic operation.

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Supply Chain Contract with Put and Call Option: The Case of Non-Linear Option Premium Price

  • Saithong, Chirakiat;Luong, Huynh Trung
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2013
  • This research investigates the supply chain contract between a distributor and a supplier in which the selling period is relatively short in comparison with long production lead time. At the first stage, supplier who is a Stackelberg leader offers the distributor a contract with a set of parameters, and subjected to those parameters, the distributor places the number of initial orders as well as options. In order to purchase the option, the distributor pays non-linear option premium price with respect to the number of purchased options. At the second stage, based on realized demand, the distributor has the right to exercise option as either put or call which is limited up to the number of purchased options. The wholesale price contract is used as a benchmarking contract. This research has confirmed that the supply chain contract with a non-linear option premium price can help to coordinate the supply chain.

An Optimal Pricing and Inventory control for a Commodity with Price and Sales-period Dependent Demand Pattern

  • Sung, Chang-Sup;Yang, Kyung-Mi;Park, Sun-Hoo
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2005년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문
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    • pp.904-913
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    • 2005
  • This paper deals with an integrated problem of inventory control and dynamic pricing strategies for a commodity with price and sales-period dependent demand pattern, where a seller and customers have complete information of each other. The problem consists of two parts; one is each buyer's benefit problem which makes the best decision on price and time for buyer to purchase items, and the other one is a seller's profit problem which decides an optimal sales strategy concerned with inventory control and discount schedule. The seller's profit function consists of sales revenue and inventory holding cost functions. The two parts are closely related into each other with some related variables, so that any existing general solution methods can not be applied. Therefore, a simplified model with single seller and two customers in considered first, where demand for multiple units is allowed to each customer within a time limit. Therewith, the model is generalized for a n-customer-classes problem. To solve the proposed n-customer-set problem, a dynamic programming algorithm is derived. In the proposed dynamic programming algorithm, an intermediate profit function is used, which is computed in case of a fixed initial inventory level and then adjusted in searching for an optimal inventory level. This leads to an optimal sales strategy for a seller, which can derive an optimal decision on both an initial inventory level and a discount schedule, in $O(n^2)$ time. This result can be used for some extended problems with a small customer set and a short selling period, including sales strategy for department stores, Dutch auction for items with heavy holding cost, open tender of materials, quantity-limited sales, and cooperative buying in the on/off markets.

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조립구조 형태 제품의 분해 일정계획 문제에 대한 발견적 기법 (A Heuristic Approach to Disassembly Scheduling with Assembly Product Structure)

  • Lee Dong-Ho;Xirouchakis Paul
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2002년도 춘계공동학술대회
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    • pp.686-692
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    • 2002
  • Disassembly scheduling is the problem of determining the ordering and disassembly schedules of used products while satisfying the demand of their parts of components over a certain planning horizon. The objective is to minimize the sum of purchase, setup, disassembly operation and inventory holding costs. This paper considers products with assembly structure, i.e. products without parts commonality, and suggests a heuristic in which an initial solution is obtained in the form of the minimal latest disassembly schedule, and then improved considering trade-offs among different cost factors. To show the performance of the heuristic suggested in this paper, computational experiments were done on the modified existing examples and the results show that the heuristic can give optimal of very near optimal solutions within very short computation times.

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소비자 정보탐색의 결정요인-미국소비자들의 내구재구매행동을 중심으로- (Determinants of the Consumer's Search for Information -Focusing on durables Goods Purchases by American Consumers-)

  • 여정성
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1989
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the factors affecting the consumer's search for information and the relationship between the amount of search and the final price paid. The model indicates the demand for search is affected by the market price of each durable good purchased, the tim available for search, family income, direct cost of search, the initial stock of information, effectiveness of search, and shopping attitudes. The final price savings are a function of search, price of dispersion in the market, the initial stock of information, and effectiveness of search. Data from the Pane Study on Consumer Decisions and Asset Management were used for the empirical testing of the theoretical model. The amount of information search as dependent variable is represented by two different measures, the level of discussion with others and the number of stores visited. The amount of discussion with others depends mainly on the respondent's shopping attitude. The higher the wife's desire to search, the higher the degree of husband's comparison shopping, the less the husband's perception of price-quality relationship, the higher the level of discussions with others. The number of stores visited depends on the average market price of product purchased and the level of family income. The higher the average market price and he higher the level of family income, the greater the number of stores visited. The final savings depend upon the level of information search. The greater the number of store visited, but the less the purchase is discussed with stores, the higher the final savings are.

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노화 제어를 위한 전통 편의식 개발 가능성에 대한 연구 (A Study of Possibilities on Developing of Traditional Convenience Foods for Anti-aging Control an Analysis of Public Perspectives)

  • 복혜자;최수근
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.322-330
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    • 2008
  • This study was performed to the possibility of developing anti-aging convenient food that is to Koreans' taste. Editor: this abstract appears to describe a study of public opinion and not related to the development of anti-aging convenient foods. In total, The 150 adults, living in Seoul (Korea), participated in this study in the capacity of subjects. Editor: You really have to mention the age-range of the subjects, as senility is an old age disease. In particular, you talk about the intention of subjects (discussed below) to buy anti-aging food products. This would be directly related to their age, as I assume that older people would be more concerned about senility that relatively younger subjects. They were randomly assigned to 25 groups. In result initial descriptive analysis revealed that, 82 percent of subjects awoke to were aware of senility, and the while 26.7 percent were seriously thought of it concerned. Furthermore, The 58.7 percent said that believed food has the possibility has a role in of controlling senility, and the while 64.0 percent said stated that senility may be controlled by eating constitutional foods. Further comparative analysis of In the case of the group of which members subjects have been who were trying to control senility revealed that their, the reliance on food general and constitutional food was significantly higher than those who have not tried to do so did nothing. The From the 61.3 percent have been of subject who were trying to control senility, from among them, the 74.0 percent and the 22.7 percent were relied on physical taking exercises and anti-aging foods, respectively. Likewise, it was ascertained When asked whether subjects intend to purchase anti-aging convenient food if it was is developed. The 67.3 percent and the 72.7 percent indicated their intentionded to purchase the normal product and constitutional products, respectively. Resultantly, anti-aging convenient food was in demand to some extent. Given that anti-aging products are in high demand, In such a case, senile severity (p<0.05), anti-aging possibility in constitutional foods (p<0.001) and anti-aging action (p<0.001) are regarded as variables in the purchase of the normal products. In the case of relation to constitutional products, anti-aging possibility in constitutional food (p<0.001) and anti-aging action (p<0.001) were regarded as variables.

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지자체 농업기계 임대사업의 효율화 방안 (Efficiency Plan for Agricultural Machinery Rental System of Local Government)

  • 신승엽;김병갑;김유용;김형권;이규승
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.434-438
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was performed in order to improve problems and to seek the efficient operating plan by surveying and analyzing the actual status of operating the agricultural machinery rental business supported by the government. Method: The data was collected through two times of survey targeting lease business operators and the leasing business reports published for the past 3 years ('08~'10) 120 cities and counties. Results: As a result of surveying 120 cities and counties nationwide of operating the agricultural machinery rental business, 96% of agricultural machinery rental businesses were indicated to be operated in the form of short-term rent for about 1~3 days centering on small-sized agricultural machinery and attachment for upland crop. As for the unit number of possessing rental agricultural machinery and the purchase cost, it was indicated to be greatly reduced the agricultural machinery for rice farming and to be expanded into upland crop whose mechanization is insufficient. The annual rental days ('10) are 9.5 days/unit, thereby being a little insufficient. Rental fee for 1 day is 0.2~0.8% of the initial purchase cost of agricultural machine, thereby being greatly lower compared to 2.0% (annually 10-day rent) of the proper rents, resulting in being demanded improvement. Conclusions: To be continuously driven the rental business of agricultural machinery with having the ability to propagate, it is judged to be likely to necessarily collect optimum rental fee in consideration of rental days as well as increasing the use days per unit by buying the agricultural machinery, which is secured the rental demand, and by possessing the reasonable unit number.

Measuring the Impact of Competition on Pricing Behaviors in a Two-Sided Market

  • Kim, Minkyung;Song, Inseong
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.35-69
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    • 2014
  • The impact of competition on pricing has been studied in the context of counterfactual merger analyses where expected optimal prices in a hypothetical monopoly are compared with observed prices in an oligopolistic market. Such analyses would typically assume static decision making by consumers and firms and thus have been applied mostly to data obtained from consumer packed goods such as cereal and soft drinks. However such static modeling approach is not suitable when decision makers are forward looking. When it comes to the markets for durable products with indirect network effects, consumer purchase decisions and firm pricing decisions are inherently dynamic as they take into account future states when making purchase and pricing decisions. Researchers need to take into account the dynamic aspects of decision making both in the consumer side and in the supplier side for such markets. Firms in a two-sided market typically subsidize one side of the market to exploit the indirect network effect. Such pricing behaviors would be more prevalent in competitive markets where firms would try to win over the battle for standard. While such qualitative expectation on the relationship between pricing behaviors and competitive structures could be easily formed, little empirical studies have measured the extent to which the distinct pricing structure in two-sided markets depends on the competitive structure of the market. This paper develops an empirical model to measure the impact of competition on optimal pricing of durable products under indirect network effects. In order to measure the impact of exogenously determined competition among firms on pricing, we compare the equilibrium prices in the observed oligopoly market to those in a hypothetical monopoly market. In computing the equilibrium prices, we account for the forward looking behaviors of consumers and supplier. We first estimate a demand function that accounts for consumers' forward-looking behaviors and indirect network effects. And then, for the supply side, the pricing equation is obtained as an outcome of the Markov Perfect Nash Equilibrium in pricing. In doing so, we utilize numerical dynamic programming techniques. We apply our model to a data set obtained from the U.S. video game console market. The video game console market is considered a prototypical case of two-sided markets in which the platform typically subsidizes one side of market to expand the installed base anticipating larger revenues in the other side of market resulting from the expanded installed base. The data consist of monthly observations of price, hardware unit sales and the number of compatible software titles for Sony PlayStation and Nintendo 64 from September 1996 to August 2002. Sony PlayStation was released to the market a year before Nintendo 64 was launched. We compute the expected equilibrium price path for Nintendo 64 and Playstation for both oligopoly and for monopoly. Our analysis reveals that the price level differs significantly between two competition structures. The merged monopoly is expected to set prices higher by 14.8% for Sony PlayStation and 21.8% for Nintendo 64 on average than the independent firms in an oligopoly would do. And such removal of competition would result in a reduction in consumer value by 43.1%. Higher prices are expected for the hypothetical monopoly because the merged firm does not need to engage in the battle for industry standard. This result is attributed to the distinct property of a two-sided market that competing firms tend to set low prices particularly at the initial period to attract consumers at the introductory stage and to reinforce their own networks and eventually finally to dominate the market.

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모바일 게임의 시장 성공 요소: 게임 장르별 차이와 출시 후 시간 경과에 따른 변화 (Market Success factors of Mobile Games: Differences by Genres and Changes over Time)

  • 이상윤;김문용;한승돈;안재현
    • 경영정보학연구
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2008
  • 한국의 모바일 컨텐츠 시장은 모바일 게임의 주도 하에 이제 도입기를 지나 본격적 성장기로 접어들고 있으며, 이동통신사의 3G망 확대와 모바일 기기의 발달로 보다 우호적인 사업 환경이 형성되고 있다. 이에 반해 모바일 게임의 시장 성공 요소에 대한 통합적인 이론적 고찰과 시장 데이터를 토대로 한 실증 연구는 전무해 조속한 관련 연구가 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 이동통신사를 통해 출시된 모바일 게임들에 대한 실증 데이터를 분석함으로써, 통신 서비스 차원이 아닌 모바일 컨텐츠차원에서 모바일 게임의 시장 성공 요소들과 이러한 요소들의 장르 별 차이 및 출시 후 시간 경과에 따른 변화에 대해 OLS 회귀모형을 통해 분석하였다. 모바일 게임이 성공하기 위해 가장 중요한 것은 디자인 요소였는데, 이는 출시 후 시간이 지남에 따라 보다 중요해졌으며, 특히 시각적 효과가 중요한 RPG/타이쿤/시뮬레이션 장르와 슈팅/액션/아케이드 장르에서 더욱 그 중요성이 컸다. 인기 게임 장르와 사회적 유행과 관련되는 게임의 경우 실제로 사용자들의 구매율이 높았으며, 이와 더불어 장기적인 매출을 위해서는 디자인 및 창의성과 같은 컨텐츠로서의 복합적인 특성이 더욱 중요하게 나타났다. 그리고 모바일 게임의 이용 목적과 구매선택 특성 상, 완전히 새롭고 창의적인 내용보다는 이미 많은 사람들에게 익숙한 게임이 장기적인 매출을 달성할 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또 다른 흥미로운 사실은 인기 장르의 경우 많은 게임들이 출시되어 경쟁하는데 반해, 스포츠/레이싱/레저 장르와 같이 꾸준한 수요는 있지만 개발되는 게임수가 많지 않은 장르도 있다는 것이다. 게임 특성 중 사용 편리성 요소에 대한 결과에서도 의미있는 함의가 도출되었는데, 그것은 새로운 게임의 초기 수용이라는 측면과 지속적인 사용 및 확산이라는 측면 간에 상충관계가 있다는 것이다. 본 논문에서 실증적으로 확인된 이러한 사실들은 향후 게임 개발 및 유통전략 수립 시 반영되어야 할 점으로 판단된다.