• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflows

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A study on the determination for stochastic reservoir capacity (추계학적(推計學的) 저수용량(貯水容量) 결정(決定)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Choi, Han-Kuy
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.3
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 1983
  • For the determination of a reservoir capacity Rippl's mass-curve method has long been used with the past river flow data assuming the same flow records will be repeated in the future. This study aims to find out a better method for determining the reservoir capacity by employing the analytical theory based on the stochastic process. For the present study the synthetic generation methods of Thomas-Fiering type was used to synthetically generate 50 years of monthly river inflows to three single-purpose reservoirs and three multi-purpose reservoirs. The generated sequences of monthly flows were analyzed based on the range concept. With the optimum operation rule of the reservoirs as the one which maximizes the water-use downstream the waterrelease from the reservoir was determined and with due consideration to the mean inflows and the range of monthly flows the required reservoirs capacity was stochastically determined. It was possible to repersent the so-determined reservoir capacity in terms of the mean monthly inflows and the number of subseries in the determination of ranges. It is suggested that the result obtained in this study would be applied to approximately estimate, in the stage of preliminary design, the required capacity of a reservoir in question with the limited information such as the mean monthly inflow and the period of reservoir operation.

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A Study on International Production Sharing and Inbound Globalization - Focusing on the Participation of Small and Medium firms in the GVC based on the Current FDI Trend- (생산의 국제적 분업과 내향적 국제화에 대한 연구 -FDI의 추이 분석을 통한 중소기업 GVC 편입을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jong-Il;Lee, Sung-Ah
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.101-129
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    • 2008
  • This study introduced the inclusion of Global Value Chain (GVC) as a strategy for the globalization of domestic industries. In addition, this study intended to highlight direct foreign investment as an important opportunity for enhancing the competitiveness of the domestic small and medium firms. That is, globalization could be realized not only through simple capital inflow, but also through domestic industry's participation in the overseas production network. The analysis of the trend and pattern of direct foreign investment revealed that the FDI inflows heavily dependent on the USA and Japan have been diversified steadily over time. In spite of recent decline trend of overall FDI amount, inflows from European countries in machinery and chemical industries have been rising. These rising and diversifying trends in these industries are promising since FDI inflows have the potential of playing an important role in achieving productivity growth of domestic industries, particularly in the area of comparatively fragile industries such as machinery and chemicals. In the same logic, it is crucial for future growth of Korea that the small and medium firms find their competitive edges through strengthening production networks with foreign multi-national companies. Thus, it is suggested that the policy of globalization of small and medium firms should be based on the firm understanding of GVC and FDI pattern of industries.

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A Channel Flood Routing by Muskingum Method Incorporating Lateral Inflows (측방 유입수를 고려한 자연 하도의 Muskingum 홍수추적)

  • 강인주;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 1990
  • Three-parameter Muskingum flood routing model which incorporated the inflows alongside the river channel is applied for the Waegwan-Jeukpogyo reach of the Nakdong River using the flood data of 12 selected flood events experienced in this reach. The flood routing equations for three-parameter model were expressed as a system of finite difference equations and the routing constants were directly computed by matrix inversion method. Then, the three parameters, which consist of the storage constants(K), weighting fator(x), and lateral inflow parameter(α), were determined from the computed routing constants. The results of the present study showed that the model can predict with a fair accuracy the flood discharges at the downsteam end of the reach. The parameters K and x were seen as channel parameters which have close relations with the flood magnitude, whereas the lateral inflow parameter was shown to be strongly governed by the rainfall characteristics of the tributary watersheds contributing to the lateral inflows.

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Foreign Capital Inflows and Stock Market Development in Pakistan

  • SAJID, Ali;HASHMI, Muhammad Arsalan;ABDULLAH, A.;HASAN, Muhammad Amin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2021
  • The study examines how foreign capital inflows affect stock market development in Pakistan for the period from July 2008 to June 2018. Several components of foreign capital inflows were used for empirical analysis, namely, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and remittances. Further, market capitalization was used as a proxy for stock market development. The study uses an ARDL model for examining the long-run and short-run relationships between variables. We also analyze the bi-directional causality between the variables through the Granger causality test. Further, the presence of structural breaks was analyzed through the CUSUM and CUSUM Square test. The results suggest that in the long run, remittances have a positive and significant relationship with stock market development. However, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and USD-PKR exchange rate do not have a significant impact on stock market development. The results also suggest that in the short run there is a negative relationship between FDI, USD-PKR exchange rate and market capitalization. Contrarily, we found a positive relationship between FPI and market capitalization. The results of Granger causality test suggest that remittances and USD-PKR exchange rate have a causal relationship with stock market development. Finally, we found no evidence of structural breaks in the dataset.

The U.S. Contagion Effects on Foreign Direct Investment Flows in Developing Countries

  • HEMA, Itsarawadee;OSATHANUNKUL, Rossarin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to measure the lower tail dependence as risk contagion from the U.S. economy to 18 developing countries affecting FDI inflows using time-series data from 2005 to 2019. Firstly, we utilize four dynamic copula models, namely, Student-t, Clayton, rotated survival Gumbel, and rotated survival Joe, to measure the tail dependence structure between the U.S. and each developing country's real GDP growth. Secondly, we use the regression model to explore the contagion effects on FDI inflows. The results show that there is evidence of the tail dependence between the U.S and developing economies, indicating the presence of the contagion effects. Primarily, we observe that the degree of contagion effects of the global financial crisis varies across countries; a strong impact is observed in Chinese, South African, Russian, Colombian, and Mexican economic growth. Furthermore, we found significant contagion risk affecting FDI inflows positively in China, Indonesia, Columbia, Morocco, and negatively in the Philippines, Bulgaria, and South Africa. This study demonstrates the usefulness of the copulas model in terms of examining contagion. Our findings shed light on the influence of sound policies and regulations to cope with both positive and negative consequences of the contagion on the capital movement.

The Role of Remittances in Financial Development: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL and Asymmetric Causality

  • MEHTA, Ahmed Muneeb;QAMRUZZAMAN, Md.;SERFRAZ, Ayesha;ALI, Asad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.139-154
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    • 2021
  • This study's impetus is to explore fresh evidence to answer the question, i.e., whether remittances asymmetrically influence financial development in Bangladesh from 1975 to 2019. The study employs several tests, i.e., nonlinear unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL), NARDL, and asymmetric causality test for establishing the pattern of association. Nonlinear unit root tests confirm that variables follow a nonlinear system of being stationary after the first difference. nonlinearity among variables is investigated by performing the BDS test and nonlinear OLS. Directional causality is investigated through both linear and nonlinear effects of remittance inflows by following the non-granger casualty test. The test statistics of Fpass and tBDM showed the Long-run cointegration in the empirical model and positive effect running from remittances inflow to financial development both in the long-run and short-run. Furthermore, the results of a standard Wald test divulge the presence of long-run and short-run asymmetry. Asymmetry causality test established unidirectional causality due to positive and negative shocks in remittances inflows to Bank-based financial development and feedback hypothesis hold for explaining causality between positive and negative shocks in remittance inflows and Stock-based financial development.

Basin-Wide Multi-Reservoir Operation Using Reinforcement Learning (강화학습법을 이용한 유역통합 저수지군 운영)

  • Lee, Jin-Hee;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.354-359
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    • 2006
  • The analysis of large-scale water resources systems is often complicated by the presence of multiple reservoirs and diversions, the uncertainty of unregulated inflows and demands, and conflicting objectives. Reinforcement learning is presented herein as a new approach to solving the challenging problem of stochastic optimization of multi-reservoir systems. The Q-Learning method, one of the reinforcement learning algorithms, is used for generating integrated monthly operation rules for the Keum River basin in Korea. The Q-Learning model is evaluated by comparing with implicit stochastic dynamic programming and sampling stochastic dynamic programming approaches. Evaluation of the stochastic basin-wide operational models considered several options relating to the choice of hydrologic state and discount factors as well as various stochastic dynamic programming models. The performance of Q-Learning model outperforms the other models in handling of uncertainty of inflows.

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A Stochastic Dynamic Programming Model to Derive Monthly Operating Policy of a Multi-Reservoir System (댐 군 월별 운영 정책의 도출을 위한 추계적 동적 계획 모형)

  • Lim, Dong-Gyu;Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Sheung-Kown
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2012
  • The goal of the multi-reservoir operation planning is to provide an optimal release plan that maximize the reservoir storage and hydropower generation while minimizing the spillages. However, the reservoir operation is difficult due to the uncertainty associated with inflows. In order to consider the uncertain inflows in the reservoir operating problem, we present a Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) model based on the markov decision process (MDP). The objective of the model is to maximize the expected value of the system performance that is the weighted sum of all expected objective values. With the SDP model, multi-reservoir operating rule can be derived, and it also generates the steady state probabilities of reservoir storage and inflow as output. We applied the model to the Geum-river basin in Korea and could generate a multi-reservoir monthly operating plan that can consider the uncertainty of inflow.

Locational Determinants of FDI in Developing Countries (개발도상국 해외직접투자 유치 입지결정요인)

  • Yu, Seung Hun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2013
  • This study examined location determinants of FDI inflows in developing countries. I proposed and test modified gravitiy model empirically that include host country locational determinants, gravity link variable and home country control variable. The main findings are: countries with a larger market size, faster economic growth, higher per capita income, higher quality of human capital, higher level of foreign stock and more liberalized economic regime attracted relatively more FDI inflows.

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Spiral Structure and Mass Inflows in Barred-Spiral Galaxies

  • Kim, Yonghwi;Kim, Woong-Tae
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.39.1-39.1
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    • 2013
  • We use high-resolution hydrodynamic simulations to study nonlinear gas responses to imposed non-axisymmetric stellar potentials in barred-spiral galaxies. The gas is assumed to be infinitesimally thin, isothermal, and unmagnetized. We consider various spiral-arm models with differing strength and pattern speed, while fixing the bar parameters. We find that the extent and shapes of spiral shocks as well as the related mass drift depend rather sensitively on the pattern speed. In models where the arm pattern is rotating more slowly than the bar, the gaseous arms extend from the bar ends all the way to the outer boundary, with a pitch angle slightly smaller than that of the stellar counterpart. The arms drive mass inflows at a rate of ${\sim}0.5-2.5M{\odot}/yr$ to the bar region to which the shock dissipation, external torque, and self-gravitational torque contribute about 50%, 40%, and 10%, respectively. About 85% of the inflowing mass is added to bar substructures such as an inner ring, dust lanes, and a nuclear ring. while the remaining 15% encircles the bar region. On the other hand, models where the arms corotate with the bar exhibit mass outflows, rather than inflows, over most of the arm region. In these models, spiral shocks are much more tightly wound than the stellar arms and cease to exist in the region where $M{\bot}/sinp*{\geq}25-40$, where $M{\bot}$ denotes the Mach number of a rotating gas perpendicular to the arms with pitch angle p*. We demonstrate that the distributions of line-of-sight velocities and densities can be a useful diagnostic tool to distinguish if the arms and bar corotate or not.

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