• Title/Summary/Keyword: Index Flood

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Comparative Study on Regional Frequency Analysis Using Index Flood Method and Netmax Method (Index Flood법과 Netmax법을 이용한 지역빈도해석의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Ji Hoom;Kim, Kyung Duk;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1132-1136
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문은 지금까지의 지점빈도해석의 약점을 보완하기 위하여 지역화의 개념을 사용한 지역빈도해석의 방법에 관한 연구이다. 지점빈도해석은 수문자료의 관측기간이 짧은 경우 정확도에 문제를 발생시킬 수 있으므로, 지점 내 충분한 수의 자료 확보가 선행되어야 한다. 반면 지역빈도해석의 경우 우리나라와 같이 자료의 수가 부족한 경우에도 효율적이고 안정적인 확률수문량을 산정할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 한강유역의 강우자료 선별을 통해 신뢰성 있는 자료를 구축한 훈, L-모멘트기법과 Netmax법을 사용한 지역빈도해석을 각각 실시하여 기존의 방법으로 산정한 수문량과 비교${\cdot}$분석하였다. 지역빈도해석의 결과 남한강 유역은 이질성 척도가 큰 것으로 판명되어 남한강 유역의 경우 지역적인 세분화가 필요한 것으로 나타났다. Netmax를 이용하여 산정된 수문량은 L-모멘트법과 지점빈도해석 그리고 확률강우량도에 의해 산정된 값에 비하여 과소추정 되었다 지역적 특수성을 고려하지 않고 형성된 네트워크는 지역적으로 세분화가 필요한 지역에 대하여서 좋지 않은 결과를 보여주는 것으로 나타났다.

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Vulnerability Analysis in the Nakdong River Basin for the Utilization of Flood Risk Mapping (홍수위험지도 활용을 위한 낙동강 유역에서의 홍수취약도 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Cho, Wan-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.203-222
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    • 2011
  • The characteristics of flood damages have been increasingly strengthened and take the form of unpredictable and unusual weather phenomena caused by climate change and climate anomalies. To prevent inundation damage caused by breach of hydraulic structure such as dam or levee, and trouble of drainage of inner basin, the prediction necessity of flood inundation area, flood risk analysis, and drawing flood risk maps have been on the rise, and the national flood risk maps have been produced. In this study, the quantitative flood vulnerability analysis was performed, which represents population living within flood-affected areas, types of economic activities, facilities affected by flood, in order to extend flood risk mapping from simple hazard concept into risk based idea. By applying it to Nakdong River basin, the flood vulnerability indices were estimated to draw flood risk maps subdivided into administrative districts. The result of this study can be applied to establish the disaster prevention measures and priority decision of disaster prevention project.

Flood Risk Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis (지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수피해위험도 산정)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • Although desire for living without hazardous damages grows these days, threats from natural disasters which we are currently exposed to are quiet different from what we have experienced. To cope with this changing situation, it is necessary to assess the characteristics of the natural disasters. Therefore, the main purpose of this research is to suggest a methodology to estimate the potential property loss and assess the flood risk using a regional regression analysis. Since the flood damage mainly consists of loss of lives and property damages, it is reasonable to express the results of a flood risk assessment with the loss of lives and the property damages that are vulnerable to flood. The regional regression analysis has been commonly used to find relationships between regional characteristics of a watershed and parameters of rainfall-runoff models or probability distribution models. In our research, however, this model is applied to estimate the potential flood damage as follows; 1) a nonlinear model between the flood damage and the hourly rainfall is found in gauged regions which have sufficient damage and rainfall data, and 2) a regression model is developed from the relationship between the coefficients of the nonlinear models and socio-economic indicators in the gauged regions. This method enables us to quantitatively analyze the impact of the regional indicators on the flood damage and to estimate the damage through the application of the regional regression model to ungauged regions which do not have sufficient data. Moreover the flood risk map is developed by Flood Vulnerability Index (FVI) which is equal to the ratio of the estimated flood damage to the total regional property. Comparing the results of this research with Potential Flood Damage (PFD) reported in the Long-term Korea National Water Resources Plan, the exports' mistaken opinions could affect the weighting procedure of PFD, but the proposed approach based on the regional regression would overcome the drawback of PFD. It was found that FVI is highly correlated with the past damage, while PFD does not reflect the regional vulnerabilities.

A Comparative Study on Dietary Habits and Dietary Attitudes among Middle School Students with Different Obesity Indexes (중학생들의 체격에 따른 식습관과 식생활 태도에 관한 비교 연구)

  • 진영희
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.156-166
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    • 2002
  • The object of this study was done to assert the dietary habits, food intake, and dietary attitudes of 332 middle school students in a small city. The subject were divided into doe groups based on weight length index (WLI). Anthropometric data showed that the mean height and weight were 169.5 $\pm 8.2 cm and 55.1 $\pm 11.5 kg in the male students and 158.9 $\pm 5.9 cm and 48.1 $\pm 7.6 kg in the female students. The mean WLIs for male and female students were 103.0 $\pm 19.7 and 96.3 $\pm 12.8, respectively. Of the male students 27.9% and of the female students 32.1% were underweight, and of the male students 28.9% and of the female students 13.0% were overweight based on WLI index. Lack of good dietary habits in the overweight group tended to be the highest, the normal group was the second highest, and the underweight group was the lowest. The regularity of eating breakfast and flood prejudice scores in the overweight group were significantly higher than those in the normal and underweight group. With respect to flood intake, the normal group tended to consume grains, yellow or green vegetables, vegetables with light color, fruits, milk, yogurt, cheese, seaweeds, fat-floods, instant floods, sweet floods, carbonated drinks, and spicy and salty floods more frequently. The underweight group tended to consume meat-ham, eggs, fish and fried, stir-fried flood more frequently In dietary attitudes, the overweight group tended to have more favorable dietary attitudes, and the normal group tended to have negative dietary attitudes. The underweight group showed more negative responses to trying to eat/drink milk, yogurt, or cheese everyday than the overweight groups. It might be suggested that more effective nutritional programs should be developed and implemented to ensure good dietary habits in middle school students, including the overweight, as well as the underweight group. Further research on the comparison of dietary characteristics is needed, with consideration of the subjects WLI.

Korean Flood Vulnerability Assessment on Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 국내 홍수 취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Moon-Hwan;Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.653-666
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    • 2011
  • The purposes of this study are to suggest flood vulnerability assessment method on climate change with evaluation of this method over the 5 river basins and to present the uncertainty range of assessment using multi-model ensemble scenarios. In this study, the data related to past historical flood events were collected and flood vulnerability index was calculated. The vulnerability assessment were also performed under current climate system. For future climate change scenario, the 39 climate scenarios are obtained from 3 different emission scenarios and 13 GCMs provided by IPCC DDC and 312 hydrology scenarios from 3 hydrological models and 2~3 potential evapotranspiration computation methods for the climate scenarios. Finally, the spatial and temporal changes of flood vulnerability and the range of uncertainty were performed for future S1 (2010~2039), S2 (2040~2069), S3 (2070~2099) period compared to reference S0 (1971~2000) period. The results of this study shows that vulnerable region's were Han and Sumjin, Youngsan river basins under current climate system. Considering the climate scenarios, variability in Nakdong, Gum and Han river basins are large, but Sumjin river basin had little variability due to low basic-stream ability to adaptation.

Inflow Characteristics of Debris Flow and Risk Assessment for Different Shapes of Defensive Structure (방어구조물 형상에 따른 토석류의 유입특성과 위험도 평가)

  • Oh, Seung Myeong;Song, Chang Geun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the inflow characteristics of debris flow according to shape of defensive structure and computed risk index. In order to simulate debris flow, two shapes of defensive structure were considered. Initial mass distribution was set with a rectangular shape and defensive structures were set semi-circular shape and rectangular shape, respectively. It was found that a defensive structure with semicircular shape was more vulnerable to debris impact compared with rectangular shape because the flow mass became concentrated in quadrant part of the inner circle. If the velocity of the debris flow was less than 1 m/s, the risk assessment by FII (Flood Intensity Index) was much appropriate. However, when the movement of debris runout was faster than 1 m/s, the risk index of FHR (Flood Hazard Rating) provided improved classification due to its subdivided hazardous range.

Evaluation System of River Levee Safety Map for Improving River Levee Maintenance Technology (하천제방 유지관리 기술의 고도화를 위한 하천제방 안전도맵 평가체계 제안)

  • Kim, Jin-Man;Moon, In-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.768-777
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    • 2017
  • The efforts to improve river levee maintenance technologies have accelerated globally in a bid to deal with the flood damage resulting from the changes to the climate and flood events. This paper, in line with such tendency, proposes an evaluation system of a river levee safety map to maintain the river levee in an efficient manner. The concept of a river levee safety map is aimed at maximizing the maintenance efficiency for a manager to indicate the safety index, including the current river levee sliding, piping, and visual inspection on a GIS map. To develop such an evaluation system, a safety index covering the sliding, piping, and visual inspection are designated through the data and document examination and the rational guideline to classify each index into three grades, A, B, and C, is proposed. Based on the guideline proposed, the sliding and piping characteristics in terms of safety depending on the change to the flood water level duration time at the test section (Nam river) were evaluated by numerical analysis. As a result, both the protected landside and riverside satisfied the requirements for Grade A in terms of sliding, and when it comes to piping, the grade declined to C because the flood water level duration time increased at R2. As a planning study to propose a river levee safety map evaluation system, a further advanced study, standardization of the river levee data, and improvement of the existing system and laws are required.

Development of Probabilistic Flood Risk Map Considering Uncertainty of Levee Break (하천제방 붕괴의 불확실성을 고려한 확률론적 홍수위험지도 개발)

  • Nam, Myeong-Jun;Lee, Jae-Young;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, probabilistic flood risk maps were produced for levee break caused by possible flood scenarios. The results of the previous studies were employed for flood stages corresponding to hydrological extreme event quantified uncertainties and then predicted the location of a levee breach. The breach width was estimated by combining empirical equation considered constant width and numerical modeling considered uncertainties on compound geotechnical component. Accordingly, probabilistic breach outflow was computed and probabilistic inundation map was produced by 100 runs of 2D inundation simulation based on reliability analysis. The final probabilistic flood risk map was produced by combining probabilistic inundation map based on flood hazard mapping methodology. The outcomes of the study would be effective in establishing specified emergency actin plan (EAP) and expect to suggest more economical and stable design index.

Regional Frequency Analysis of South Korean Rainfall Data Using FORGEX Method (FORGEX 기법을 이용한 한국 강우자료의 지역빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Won;Nam, Woo-Sung;Shin, Ju-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.405-412
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    • 2008
  • Rainfall quantiles were estimated by applying the FORGEX method. The circle network and two elliptical ones with the ratios of 1 to 1.5 and 1 to 2.0 were used and compared to find appropriate one for rainfall data. Annual maximum data were collected from 376 sites and standardized by the median. The networks were organized from the subject sites and then pooled and netmax data were collected from each network. Then, the growth curves and quantiles were estimated. When the subject site had small differences of quantiles from index flood method and at-site frequency analysis, those of the estimated quantiles from circle and elliptical networks were small. In contrast, the sites where the quantile differences are big have big differences of quantiles from circle and elliptical networks. The estimated quantiles from the elliptical network are more accurate than those from the circle network, because the ellipse network contains more sites in South Korea. Moreover, the ellipse with ratio of 1 to 2.0 shows closer quantiles to those from index flood method than one with ratio of 1 to 1.5. It is, therefore, found that the FORGEX method with 1 to 2.0 ellipse network is appropriate regional frequency analysis in South Korea.

The Study on Application of Regional Frequency Analysis using Kernel Density Function (핵밀도 함수를 이용한 지역빈도해석의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoo, Seung-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.891-904
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    • 2006
  • The estimation of the probability precipitation is essential for the design of hydrologic projects. The techniques to calculate the probability precipitation can be determined by the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The regional frequency analysis includes index-flood technique and L-moment technique. In the regional frequency analysis, even if the rainfall data passed homogeneity, suitable distributions can be different at each point. However, the regional frequency analysis can supplement the lacking precipitation data. Therefore, the regional frequency analysis has weaknesses compared to parametric point frequency analysis because of suppositions about probability distributions. Therefore, this paper applies kernel density function to precipitation data so that homogeneity is defined. In this paper, The data from 16 rainfall observatories were collected and managed by the Korea Meteorological Administration to achieve the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The point frequency analysis applies parametric technique and nonparametric technique, and the regional frequency analysis applies index-flood techniques and L-moment techniques. Also, the probability precipitation was calculated by the regional frequency analysis using variable kernel density function.