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Constrained NLS Method for Long-term Forecasting with Short-term Demand Data of a New Product (제약적 NLS 방법을 이용한 출시 초기 신제품의 중장기 수요 예측 방안)

  • Hong, Jungsik;Koo, Hoonyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2013
  • A long-term forecasting method for a new product in early stage of diffusion is proposed. The method includes a constrained non-linear least square estimation with the logistic diffusion model. The constraints would be critical market informations such as market potential, peak point, and take-off. Findings on 20 cases having almost full life cycle are that (i) combining any market information improves the forecasting accuracy, (ii) market potential is the most stable information, and (iii) peak point and take-off information have negative effect in case of overestimation.

Take Off Characteristics of Slider for Various LZT Disks and Ambient Pressures (레이저 범프와 대기압 변화에 대한 하드디스크 슬라이더의 부상 특성)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Kim, Dae-Eun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.24 no.10 s.181
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    • pp.2646-2653
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    • 2000
  • The performance of slider of a hard disk drive affects the durability of the system. Particularly, the flying ability of the slider is critical in terms of surface damage and head crash. In this work, the take-off characteristics of the slider for various types of laser zone textured bump geometries were investigated. Also, the effect of ambient pressure on the flying characteristics of the slider was experimentally observed. An index of air density which can be used as a parameter for evaluating the flying characteristic is introduced.

A VLSI Design for Scalable High-Speed Digital Winner-Take-All Circuit

  • Yoon, Myungchul
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2015
  • A high speed VLSI digital Winner-Take-All (WTA) circuit called simultaneous digital WTA (SDWTA) circuit is presented in this paper. A minimized comparison-cell (w-cell) is developed to reduce the size and to achieve high-speed. The w-cell which is suitable for VLSI implementation consists of only four transistors. With a minimized comparison-cell structure SDWTA can compare thousands of data simultaneously. SDWTA is scalable with O(mlog n) time-complexity for n of m-bit data. According to simulations, it takes 16.5 ns with $1.2V-0.13{\mu}m$ process technology in finding a winner among 1024 of 16-bit data.

Effects of Lavender Fragrance on Depression and Anxiety of Nursing Students Intending to take the National Licensing Examination (라벤더 향이 국가시험을 앞둔 간호과 학생들의 우울과 불안에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee Inn-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: To explore the effect of lavender fragrance on depression and anxiety of nursing students intending to take the national licensing examination. Methods: Twenty-four nursing students were studied for one week during which they underwent lavender fragrance treatment using a necklace. All subjects were in the department of nursing in 'K' college. Before and after treatment, the severity of depression and anxiety was evaluated by questionnaire. Results: After treatment, the severity of depression had not decreased significantly (p=.139) but the severity of anxiety had (p=.030). Conclusion: According to the study results, it can be concluded that lavender fragrance showed an effect on anxiety among nursing students intending to take the national licensing examination and choose a job.

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Exploration of power take off in wave energy converters with two-body interaction

  • Wang, Hao;Sitanggang, Khairil;Falzarano, Jeffrey
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.89-106
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    • 2017
  • The study explores a novel design of wave energy converter (WEC) that utilizes the interaction between an inside heaving vertical cylinder with an outside fixed hollow cylinder. This design originates from the oscillating water column (OWC) type WEC but replaces the pneumatic power take off (PTO) through the Wells turbine with the hydrodynamic PTO through the inside heaving cylinder. To effectively evaluate the maximum power output, the system has been modeled in the hydrodynamic software AQWA (developed by ANSYS Inc) that has accumulated extensive offshore industry users. Ranges of the PTO parameters have been examined to make sure that proper linear damping can be implemented to simulate the PTO force. Comparing the efficiency of the pneumatic PTO with the hydrodynamic PTO, it appears that the hydrodynamic PTO is more promising than the traditional Wells turbine for an OWC system.

Design and Construction of a Quad Tilt-Rotor UAV using Servo Motor

  • Jin, Jae-Woo;Miwa, Masafumi;Shim, Joon-Hwan
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2014
  • Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) that have been recently commercialized can largely be divided into fixed-wing aircraft and rotor aircraft by their styles and flight characteristics. Although the fixed-wing aircraft represents higher power efficiency, higher speed, longer flight distance and larger loading weight than the rotor aircraft, they have a disadvantage of requiring a space for take-off and landing. On the other hand, the rotor aircraft can implement vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) and represents various flight modes (hovering, steep bank turns and low-speed flights). But they require both precision take-off control and attitude control. In this study, we used a quad-tilt rotor UAV to combine advantages in both the fixed-wing aircraft and the rotor aircraft. The quad-tilt rotor (QTR) system was designed and constructed by adding a tilt device with a servo motor to a general quad-rotor vehicle.

CRITICAL FACTORS FOR ASSESSMENT OF BIM BASED QUANTITY-TAKE OFF

  • Seong-Ah Kim;Chang-Hee Lee ;Sangyoon Chin;Cheolho Choi
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.7-11
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    • 2011
  • Quantity take-off (QT) is one of the most important tasks for determining the total cost of a construction project, and it requires accuracy and reliability for the result. Accuracy and reliability in BIM-based QT are also required to assure the completeness of the result. However, there has been no basis to measure the completeness of the BIM-based QT result. As BIM is increasingly being adopted in the construction industry with a wide variety of purposes, it becomes more important to have a method to improve the completeness of BIM-based QT and criteria to measure it. This research focuses on the hypothesis that the completeness of BIM-based QT relies on the accuracy and reliability of BIM and the BIM-based QT process. As a basic research to determine the completeness of BIM-based QT, this research analyzes and derives factors that affect the completeness of BIM-based QT.

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Image processing of artificial life-robot

  • Kubik, Tomasz;Loukianov, Andrey A.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.36.2-36
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    • 2001
  • At present, information processing by computer is greatly concerned in our society. And robots controlled by computer are much introduced in a factory´s production line and so on, robot abilities develop robot obtain good results. And recently, robots greatly take part in not only limited place, for example a factory and so on, but also general a household. Some robots pleased people, others help humans task. Robots are sure to be great useful in nursing that as regarded our society as questionable. In this situation, we request that robots can take vision like human´s eyes ...

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추세동반투자전략이 개별투자주체의 투자성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

  • 오형식;김우창
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2000
  • Feedback herding strategy in stock market means considering other investor's strategy as a basis of market forecasting of next term. Generally, individual investors use that strategy which mimics the strategy of institutional investors. When it is used in stock market, both kind of investors, preceders and followers, can take the higher average of rate of return to normal market in which no feedback herding strategy is not use, the more investors take part in. And variance of return, the risk of investment, are same to both group.

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A Composite Estimator for the Take-Nothing Stratum of Cut-Off Sampling (복합추정량을 이용한 절사표본 총합 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Hak;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1115-1128
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    • 2011
  • Cut-off sampling that discards a part of the population from the sampling frame, is a widely used method for a highly skewed population like a business survey. Usually to the estimate of population total, we need to estimate the total of the take-nothing stratum. Many estimators have been developed to estimate the total of the take-nothing stratum. In this paper, we suggest a new composite estimator which combines the estimator suggested by Sarndal et al. (1992) and a ratio estimator obtained by small samples from the take-nothing stratum. Small simulation studies are performed for the comparison of the estimators and we confirm that the new suggested estimator is superior to the others.