• Title/Summary/Keyword: Improvement of prediction performance

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A New Prediction-Based Parallel Event-Driven Logic Simulation (새로운 예측기반 병렬 이벤트구동 로직 시뮬레이션)

  • Yang, Seiyang
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, anew parallel event-driven logic simulation is proposed. As the proposed prediction-based parallel event-driven simulation method uses both prediction data and actual data for the input and output values of local simulations executed in parallel, the synchronization overhead and the communication overhead, the major bottleneck of the performance improvement, are greatly reduced. Through the experimentation with multiple designs, we have observed the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Improvement of multi layer perceptron performance using combination of adaptive moments and improved harmony search for prediction of Daecheong Dam inflow (대청댐 유입량 예측을 위한 Adaptive Moments와 Improved Harmony Search의 결합을 이용한 다층퍼셉트론 성능향상)

  • Lee, Won Jin;Lee, Eui Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2023
  • High-reliability prediction of dam inflow is necessary for efficient dam operation. Recently, studies were conducted to predict the inflow of dams using Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP). Existing studies used the Gradient Descent (GD)-based optimizer as the optimizer among MLP operators to find the optimal correlation between data. However, the GD-based optimizers have disadvantages in that the prediction performance is deteriorated due to the possibility of convergence to the local optimal value and the absence of storage space. This study improved the shortcomings of the GD-based optimizer by developing Adaptive moments combined with Improved Harmony Search (AdamIHS), which combines Adaptive moments among GD-based optimizers and Improved Harmony Search (IHS). In order to evaluate the learning and prediction performance of MLP using AdamIHS, Daecheong Dam inflow was learned and predicted and compared with the learning and prediction performance of MLP using GD-based optimizer. Comparing the learning results, the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of MLP, which is 5 hidden layers using AdamIHS, was the lowest at 11,577. Comparing the prediction results, the average MSE of MLP, which is one hidden layer using AdamIHS, was the lowest at 413,262. Using AdamIHS developed in this study, it will be possible to show improved prediction performance in various fields.

Improvement of a Context-aware Recommender System through User's Emotional State Prediction (사용자 감정 예측을 통한 상황인지 추천시스템의 개선)

  • Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2014
  • This study proposes a novel context-aware recommender system, which is designed to recommend the items according to the customer's responses to the previously recommended item. In specific, our proposed system predicts the user's emotional state from his or her responses (such as facial expressions and movements) to the previous recommended item, and then it recommends the items that are similar to the previous one when his or her emotional state is estimated as positive. If the customer's emotional state on the previously recommended item is regarded as negative, the system recommends the items that have characteristics opposite to the previous item. Our proposed system consists of two sub modules-(1) emotion prediction module, and (2) responsive recommendation module. Emotion prediction module contains the emotion prediction model that predicts a customer's arousal level-a physiological and psychological state of being awake or reactive to stimuli-using the customer's reaction data including facial expressions and body movements, which can be measured using Microsoft's Kinect Sensor. Responsive recommendation module generates a recommendation list by using the results from the first module-emotion prediction module. If a customer shows a high level of arousal on the previously recommended item, the module recommends the items that are most similar to the previous item. Otherwise, it recommends the items that are most dissimilar to the previous one. In order to validate the performance and usefulness of the proposed recommender system, we conducted empirical validation. In total, 30 undergraduate students participated in the experiment. We used 100 trailers of Korean movies that had been released from 2009 to 2012 as the items for recommendation. For the experiment, we manually constructed Korean movie trailer DB which contains the fields such as release date, genre, director, writer, and actors. In order to check if the recommendation using customers' responses outperforms the recommendation using their demographic information, we compared them. The performance of the recommendation was measured using two metrics-satisfaction and arousal levels. Experimental results showed that the recommendation using customers' responses (i.e. our proposed system) outperformed the recommendation using their demographic information with statistical significance.

A Study on Spatial Prediction of Water Quality Constituents Using Spatial Model (공간모형을 이용한 수질오염물질의 공간적 예측 및 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Kang, Taegu;Lee, Hyuk;Kang, Ilseok;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.409-417
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    • 2014
  • Spatial prediction methods have been useful to determine the variability of water quality in space and time due to difficulties in collecting spatial data across extensive spaces such as watershed. This study compares two kriging methods in predicting BOD concentration on the unmonitored sites in the Geum River Watershed and to assess its predictive performance by leave-one-out cross validation. This study has shown that cokriging method can make better predictions of BOD concentration than ordinary kriging method across the Geum River Watershed. Challenges for the application of cokriging on the spatial prediction of surface water quality involve the comparison of network-distance-based relationship and euclidean-distance-based relationship for the improvement in the predictive performance.

A Performance Analysis of the Speech Coders for Digital Mobile Radio (디지털 이동통신을 위한 음성 부호기의 성능 분석)

  • 정영모;이상욱
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.491-501
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    • 1990
  • Recently, four speech coding techniques, namely, SBC-APCM(sub-band coding adaptive PCM), RPE-LPC(regualr pulse excitation linear predictive codec), MPE-LTP(multi-pulse excited long-term prediction) and CELP (code-excited linear prediction) are proposed for digital mobile radio applications. However, a performance comparison of these coders in the Rayleigh fading environment has not been made yet. In this paper, the performances of the four spech coders in the random bit error and burst error environment are investigated. For the channel coding of SBC-APCM, RPE-LPC and MPE-LTP, the sensitivity of output bit stream is measured and a bit selective forward error correction is provided acording to the measured bit sensitivity. And for an attempt to improve the performance of CELP, an optimum quantizer is applied for transmitting scalar quantities in CELP. However, an improvement over the conventional approach is found to be negligible. For the channel coding of CELP, Reed-Solomon code, Golay code, convolutional code of rate 1/2 shows the best performance. Finally, from the simulation results, it is concluded that CELP is the best candidate for digital mobile radio and is followed by MPE-LTP, SBC-APCM and RPE-LPC.

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Study on the Impact of Various Observations Data Assimilation on the Meteorological Predictions over Eastern Part of the Korean Peninsula (관측자료별 자료동화 성능이 한반도 동부 지역 기상 예보에 미치는 영향 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Seon;Lee, Soon-Hwan;Sohn, Keon-Tae
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.1141-1154
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    • 2018
  • Numerical experiments were carried out to investigate the effect of data assimilation of observational data on weather and PM (particulate matter) prediction. Observational data applied to numerical experiment are aircraft observation, satellite observation, upper level observation, and AWS (automatic weather system) data. In the case of grid nudging, the prediction performance of the meteorological field is largely improved compared with the case without data assimilations because the overall pressure distribution can be changed. So grid nudging effect can be significant when synoptic weather pattern strongly affects Korean Peninsula. Predictability of meteorological factors can be expected to improve through a number of observational data assimilation, but data assimilation by single data often occurred to be less predictive than without data assimilation. Variation of air pressure due to observation nudging with high prediction efficiency can improve prediction accuracy of whole model domain. However, in areas with complex terrain such as the eastern part of the Korean peninsula, the improvement due to grid nudging were only limited. In such cases, it would be more effective to aggregate assimilated data.

Prediction of Protein Subcellular Localization using Label Power-set Classification and Multi-class Probability Estimates (레이블 멱집합 분류와 다중클래스 확률추정을 사용한 단백질 세포내 위치 예측)

  • Chi, Sang-Mun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.2562-2570
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    • 2014
  • One of the important hints for inferring the function of unknown proteins is the knowledge about protein subcellular localization. Recently, there are considerable researches on the prediction of subcellular localization of proteins which simultaneously exist at multiple subcellular localization. In this paper, label power-set classification is improved for the accurate prediction of multiple subcellular localization. The predicted multi-labels from the label power-set classifier are combined with their prediction probability to give the final result. To find the accurate probability estimates of multi-classes, this paper employs pair-wise comparison and error-correcting output codes frameworks. Prediction experiments on protein subcellular localization show significant performance improvement.

On the Hybrid Prediction Pyramid Compatible Coding Technique (혼성 예측 피라미드 호환 부호화 기법)

  • 이준서;이상욱
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 1996
  • Inthis paper, we investigate the compatible coding technique, which receives much interest ever since the introduction of HDTV. First, attempts have been made to analyze the theoretical transform coding gains for various hierarchical decomposition techniques, namely subband, pyramid and DCT-based decomposition techniques. It is shown that the spatical domain techniques proide higher transform coding gains than the DCT-based coding technique. Secondly, we compare the performance of these spatial domain techniques, in terms of the PSNR versus various rate allocations to each layer. Based on these analyses, it is believed that the pyramid decomposition is more appropriate for the compatible coding. Also in this paper, we propose a hybrid prediction pyramid coding technique, by combining the spatio-temporal prediction in MPEG-2[3] and the adaptive MC(Motion Compensation)[1]. In the proposed coding technigue, we also employ an adaptive DCT coefficient scanning technique to exploit the direction information of the 2nd-layer signal. Through computer simulations, the proposed hybrid prediction with adaptive scanning technuque shows the PSNR improvement, by about 0.46-1.78dB at low 1st-layer rate(about 0.1bpp) over the adaptive MC[1], and by about 0.33-0.63dB at high 1st-layer rate (about 0.32-0.43bpp) over the spatio-temporal prediction[3].

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Design of an Adaptive Robust Nonlinear Predictive Controller (적응성을 가진 강인한 비선형 예측제어기 설계)

  • Park, Gee--Yong;Yoon, Ji-Sup
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.967-972
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, an adaptive robust nonlinear predictive controller is developed for the continuous time nonlinear systems whose control objective is composed of the system output and its desired value. The basic control law is derived from the continuous time prediction model and its feedback dynamcis shows another from if input and output linearization. In order to cope with the parameter uncertainty, robust control is incorporated into the basic control law and the asymptotic convergence of tracking error to a certain bounded region is guaranteed. For stability and performance improvement within the bounded region, an adaptive control is introduced. Simulation tests for the motion control of an underwater wall-ranging robot confirm the performance improvement and the robustness of this controller.

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Comparative analysis of model performance for predicting the customer of cafeteria using unstructured data

  • Seungsik Kim;Nami Gu;Jeongin Moon;Keunwook Kim;Yeongeun Hwang;Kyeongjun Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.485-499
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to predict the number of meals served in a group cafeteria using machine learning methodology. Features of the menu were created through the Word2Vec methodology and clustering, and a stacking ensemble model was constructed using Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and CatBoost as sub-models. Results showed that CatBoost had the best performance with the ensemble model showing an 8% improvement in performance. The study also found that the date variable had the greatest influence on the number of diners in a cafeteria, followed by menu characteristics and other variables. The implications of the study include the potential for machine learning methodology to improve predictive performance and reduce food waste, as well as the removal of subjective elements in menu classification. Limitations of the research include limited data cases and a weak model structure when new menus or foreign words are not included in the learning data. Future studies should aim to address these limitations.