• Title/Summary/Keyword: Import Substitution

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Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis on the Growth Structure of Korean Maritime and Port Industry (투입·산출 구조분해를 통한 해운항만산업 성장구조분석)

  • Sang Choon Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.83-111
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    • 2021
  • This paper conducts a Structural Dcomposition Analysis on the structure of factors contributing to the output growth of Korean Maritime and Port Industry during year 2000~ year 2017. Some of results are as follows. The output growth rates of the industry (yearly average 4.3%) was far lower than the average growth rates of Service as well as of Manufacturing Industries (yearly average 9% and 6.8%, respectively) due to the lower output growth of Maritime Industry. Among the growth contributing factors, change in domestic demand for final goods is the first contributing factor, and then change in technology, change in export and import substitution for intermediate goods are followed in order, but import substitution for final goods decreased its output. However, in each respective sub-periods of pre-global financial crisis and post-global financial crisis, change in the export, especially change in the export of Maritime Industry is the dominant determinant of output change in the Maritime and Port Industry in opposite ways. In the periods of the former the increase in the export of Maritime Industry overwhelmingly led the output growth of the Maritime and Port industry, but in the periods of the latter the decrease in its export was the culprit of lower output growth of the industry. On the other hand, among all industries of service and manufacturing sectors, Wholesale and Retail industry is the leading industry in contributing to the output growth of the Maritime and Port Industry, and Transportation Equipment industry is the leading industry among all manufacturing industries.

A Study on Estimation of Economic Effects on Mining Products Import Substitution Using Macroeconometric Input-Output Model (거시계량투입산출 모형을 이용한 광산품 수입대체의 경제적 효과 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Lee, Kyung-Han;Kim, Yoon Kyung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2014
  • In this study, it is estimated how many changes of macroeconomic variables are happened under the proposition of import substitution of mining products 1% using macroeconometric input-output model. For this, used macroeconometric input-output model is composed of 141 behavioral equations representing the macroeconomy structure. In general, macroeconometrics models are constructed mainly on the side of the expenditure then it is not easy to estimate the effects of the shocks occurred from industry level. To mitigate that, this study tries to construct a macroeconometric input-output model. Macroeconometrics model which is useful to estimate the effects of macroeconomic shocks, economic policy and more, in this study, is linked with input-output table through the NDI(national disposable income) derived from compensation of employee. And this paper presents the estimation results of import substitution effects of mining products on Korean economy. As a results, GDP is increased 0.00073%, gross labor employed 0.00029%, current balanace 0.00010% and unemployment rate is mitigated 0.00233%.

Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis on the Production of Manufacturing Industries in Korean and Japanese Economies (투입·산출 구조분해를 통한 한·일 제조업 생산 변동요인 분석)

  • Kim, Sang Choon;Choi, Bong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.598-615
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    • 2017
  • This paper compares the sources of the changes in the production of manufacturing industry between Korea and Japan during year 2000 ~year 2011 by I-O SDA. The results show that the first source of the increase in the production of Manufacturing industry in Korea is export, while in Japan the technological change. However, the contribution of technological change is relatively small in Korea and moreover decreasing. Meanwhile, the domestic final demand is the second source of the increase in the production of Korean manufacturing industry, but it was the first source of the decrease in the production of Japanese counterpart. On the other hand, the decrease in import substitution for both the intermediate and domestic final goods is significantly contributed to the decrease in the production of both Korean and Japanese manufacturing industry. Conclusively, these results confirm that the growth of Korean manufacturing industry has heavily depended on export. Then, considering the current global economic environment that is rapidly becoming more uncertain as well as volatile, the results imply that the heavy export dependence may become a key hurdle for the solid sustained growth of Korean manufacturing industry, so that policy ensuring more evenly balanced growth contribution from all growth sources is necessary. In particular, policy to promote technological change and import substitution is required with greater weight.

Price and Preference of Fisheries Imports : Utilization of Armington Elasticity (아밍턴 탄성치를 활용한 수입 수산물의 가격과 선호도 분석)

  • Byeong-Ho Lim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.219-234
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    • 2021
  • Armington elasticity has been a methodology for analyzing how much imports could increase in response to importing price cuts, assuming the possibility of incomplete substitution of domestic and imported products. This study calculates Armington elasticity values in Korean fisheries sector and presents an analysis method for classifying items based on price and preference differences. The model is modified reflecting the characteristics of the fisheries market along with the typical OLS, PAM, and ECM models. The result's implication is that products with a high import growth rate do not necessarily show a high Armington value, but it could be seen that price is not the only factor facilitating fisheries imports increase. Considering the items of which demand increases due to importing price cuts have an indiscriminate demand between domestic and imported products, the results could be interpreted that the Korean fisheries importing market has been easily affected by the changes in import prices. Fisheries grouping by price and preference demonstrates that explanatory variables other than price should be considered when estimating import demand.

A Study on the Universal Outer Diameter Measurement Module using LVDT (LVDT를 이용한 범용 외경측정 모듈에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Neung-Gu;Kwac, Lee-Ku;Kim, Hong-Gun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 2017
  • A universal outer diameter measurement module was developed using a linear variable differential transformer (LVDT). This outer diameter measurement module enables simultaneous measurement of outer diameter, displacement, and perpendicularity of bench-type high-precision products by combining analogue and digital measurement principles with mechanically precise and fine adjustment functions. The developed module showed a performance of 0.001mm in measurement resolution, 0.001mm in measurement accuracy, reference surface abrasion lower than Ra 0.1864, and measurement stability of 0.002mm. Therefore, we have acquired domestic measurement technology to improve productivity by securing technical competitiveness for universal diameter measurement technology, lower production costs through import substitution, and increased quality of products with more precise measurement technology. Furthermore, a substitution effect is expected for expensive import measurement system equipment used in production, research, and inspection sites in industries that produce precision processing products such as automobile and machine components.

Illegal Transactions and Import Restriction Policy (불법거래행위(不法去來行爲)와 수입제한정책(輸入制限政策))

  • Lee, Hong-gue
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 1990
  • Illegal transactions such as blackmarketing and smuggling allegedly result from too restrictive trade policies. A recent U.S. Senate hearing on the blackmarketing of American goods imported into Korea for the purpose of supporting United States troops and their dependents stationed in Korea concluded with the allegation that Korea's highly restrictive trade practices are responsible for the emergence of the black market. It has also suggested that the removal of such restrictive trade policies would eliminate black market activities. This study addresses the relationship between trade policy and blackmarketing by investigating whether trade liberalization results in the reduction of illegal transactions, and whether the eradication of blackmarketing indeed improves social welfare. When both legally imported goods and illegally exchanged items command the same price, trade liberalization, meaning a decrease in tariff rates or an increase in import quotas, will increase the quantity of legal imports at the expense of illegally transacted goods on the black market. But the price of legally imported goods usually differs from that of illegally sold ones. In this case, a change in the relative prices of these two groups of goods due to a change in trade policy will give rise to income, as well as substitution, effects. Initially, a decrease in the import price due to a decrease in import tax rates or an increase in the allotted quota will reduce illegal transactions, since the decrease in the import price will induce the substitution of legal imports for illegally exchanged, but otherwise, identical goods. On the other hand, the demand for the illegally transacted goods will rise, because of the income effect of the reduced import price. Thus, assuming the positive income effect overwhelms the negative substitution effect, the demand for illegal goods will increase, thwarting the reduction of blackmarketing through trade liberalization. Yet, stepping up the enforcement measures which are geared to preventing blackmarketing itself will drastically reduce the extent of illegal transactions, since it increases the cost of blackmarketing and hence the price of the illegally transacted goods. What this study suggests is that the emergence of the black market in Korea should be attributed more to the excessive supply of duty-free goods imported through U.S. commissaries and exchanges than to the excessive demand for foreign goods. On the other hand, blackmarketing, in most cases, improves economic welfare, since it constitutes an increase in the "actual" amount of imported goods. Suppressing blackmarketing through stepped-up enforcement methods is beneficial only when the substitution effect of the legally transacted goods resulting from the increase in the price of the illegal goods prevails, since the increase in the demand for legal imports must override the decrease in the demand for black market goods as well as the negative income effect.

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The Estimation of the Economic Effect on a Full Cycle Technology Development of Metal Mineral Resources (금속광물자원의 전주기 기술개발에 따른 경제적 효과 추정)

  • Kim, Shin-Jong;Kim, Dok-Han;Park, Jung-Gu
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.345-375
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    • 2009
  • In this paper we examined the impact of mineral resources industry on the national economy and necessity of a mineral resources cycle technology development. For this purpose, the case study on Gagok polymetallic (zinc-lead-copper) mine, which is being re-developed, was carried out to study an anticipated effects of application of the full cycle technology. As a consequences of the study, if we apply the technology to a polymetallic (zinc-lead-cooper) mine, we can expect 55 billion won worth of import-substitution effect. Moreover, if applied to 10 similar mines, we can expect the 10.4% of import-substitution effect of the total imports annually. Also, national competitiveness in value chain of mineral industry will be promoted through the technological advancement in upper stream and the full cycle technology will render a service to the mineral industry to be the country's new growth engine.

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The Spill-over Effects of Domestic Production of Light Rail Transit (경량전철 국산화의 경제적 파급효과)

  • Lee, Yeon-Ho;Rhee, Young-Seop;Cho, Taek-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.424-432
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents theoretical explanations about the spill-over effects of domestic production of light rail transit and empirically investigates its effects on output, value-added and employment in the Korean economy. We distinguish net gains of domestic production from gross effects that bring about whether localized or imported cars are used. The input-output analysis is employed to fully capture the interaction among various industries involved. The empirical results reveal that net gains of domestic production such as import substitution, improvement of trade balances, and increase in output, value-added and employment are enormous. The cost reduction in construction, E&M systems, cars, management, and tariff and transportation is also significant.

Revisiting the Role of Imported Inputs in Asian Economies

  • Woocheol Lee
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.113-136
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Global production chains and their impacts on economic growth have drawn extensive attention from researchers. Close relationships among global production chains, export and economic growth have been illuminated, as evidenced by the fast and stable economic growth of East Asian economies. These economies perform various roles within global production chains using offshoring, in which the impact of import on domestic gross output is as strong as that of export. The impact of import on economic growth would depend on whether imported inputs substitute or complement domestic inputs production, which is likely to vary according to individual countries' functions within global production chains. The economic growth of concerned countries would also be diverse. However, little attention has been paid to the impact brought by imports compared to its significance. Design/methodology - The principal methodology used in this paper is structural decomposition analysis (SDA), widely chosen to elucidate the impact of various factors on domestic gross output using input-output tables. This paper extracts trade data of six Asian economies from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) 2016 release that covers 43 countries for the period 2000-2014. The extracted data is then categorised into 37 sectors. First, this paper calculates the Feenstra-Hanson Offshoring Index (OSI) of each country. It then applies SDA to measure the changes in each economy's gross output, export, import input coefficients, and domestic input coefficients. Finally, after taking the first difference from pooled time-series data, it estimates the correlations between imported input coefficients and OSI using the ordinary least square (OLS) method. Findings - The main findings of this paper can be summarised as follows. Firstly, all six countries have increasingly engaged in global production chains, as evidenced by the growing size of OSI. Secondly, there are negative correlations in five countries except Japan, with sectoral differences. Thirdly, changes in import input coefficients are not negative in all six countries, indicating that offshoring does not necessarily substitute for domestic inputs production but does complement it and, therefore, fosters their economic growth. This is observed in China, Indonesia, Korea and Taiwan. Offshoring has led to an increase in the use of imported inputs, which has, in turn, stimulated domestic inputs production in these countries. Originality/value - While existing studies focus on the role of export in evaluating the impact of participating global production chains, this paper explicitly examines the unexplored impact of import on domestic gross output by considering both the substitution and the complementary effect, using the WIOD. The findings of this paper suggest that Asian economies have achieved fast and stable economic growth not only through successful export management but also through effective import management within global production chains. This paper recommends that the Korean government and enterprises carefully choose offshoring strategies to minimise disruption to domestic production chains or foster them.

Competitiveness of Korea in World Pollack Markets for WTO/NAMA Negotiation (WTO/NAMA협상 대비 국제명태시장에서의 우리나라 경쟁력)

  • Jang Young-Soo;Song Jung-Hun
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.37 no.2 s.71
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    • pp.85-109
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    • 2006
  • This study is aimed to investigate the structure of world pollack markets and the position/competitiveness or Korea for WTO/NAMA Negotiation. First or all, it is clearly pointed out that many limitations and problems are inherent in FAO statistics that is widely utilized to investigate the structure of international seafood markets. Especially, it is impossible to find not only the data for Russia that is the top production and export country of pollack, but also the data for importing/exporting countries for pollack. In order to make up for these problems, the data for export and import of major countries are collected and analyzed. The results of analysis show the followings. First, it is clearly investigated that classification of fish products are different for countries. Second, it is understood the structure of international pollack market in actuality. The pollack market is segmented by frozen, fresh, dried, fillet, roe, surimi, etc. In addition, the pollack market has grown as much as 600,000 tons in amount and $1.2billion in value. Third, competitiveness of Korea in international pollack markets is measured quantitatively. It shows that Korea has low RAC index and TSI index, but high RMI index. Thus, it is identified that Korea becomes the largest pollack importing country. Fourth, the partial equilibrium analysis on pollack import market of Korea indicates that the frozen pollack has both price elasticity and substitution elasticity, while the fresh pollack has income elasticity.

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