• Title/Summary/Keyword: IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

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Global environment change monitoring using the next generation satellite sensor, SGLI/GCOM-C

  • HONDA Yoshiaki
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.11-13
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    • 2005
  • The Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that many collective observations gave a aspect of a global warming and other changes in the climate system. Future earth observation using satellite data should monitor global climate change, and should contribute to social benefits. Especially, human activities has given the big impacts to earth environment This is a very complex affair, and nature itself also impacts the clouds, namely the seasonal variations. JAXA (former NASDA) has the plan of the Global Change Observation Mission (GCOM) for monitoring of global environmental change. SGLI (Second Generation GLI) onboard GCOM-C (Climate) satellite, which is one of this mission, is an optical sensor from Near-UV to TIR. This sensor is the GLI follow-on sensor, which has the various new characteristics. Polarized/multi-directional channels and 250m resolution channels are the unique characteristics on this sensor. This sensor can be contributed to clarification of coastal change in sea surface. This paper shows the introduction of the unique aspects and characteristics of the next generation satellite sensor, SGLIIGCOM-C, and shows the preliminary research for this sensor.

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Uncertainties estimation of AOGCM-based climate scenarios for impact assessment on water resources (수자원 영향평가를 위한 기후변화 시나리오의 불확실성 평가)

  • Park E-Hyung;Im Eun-Soon;Kwon Won-Tae;Lee Eun-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.138-142
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    • 2005
  • The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

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Precipitation-Streamflow Elasticity analysis of Nakdong River Based on RCP 4.5 Climate Change Scenario (RCP 4.5 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 낙동강 유역의 강우-유출 탄성도 분석)

  • Jang, Young-su;Park, Jae-Rock;Shin, Hyun-suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2017
  • Climate change affects the natural ecosystem and human socioeconomic activities by acting on various constituents such as the atmospheric, oceanic, biological, and land constituents of the climate. Predicting the impacts of ongoing climate change will be an important factor in adapting to the climate of the future. In this study, precipitation-streamflow elasticity analysis of the Nakdong River area was conducted using the RCP 4.5 scenario developed by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Precipitation and streamflow in the Nakdong River area was analyzed using monthly, seasonal, and yearly data. Results found that the climate would become very humid climate by 2100. Results of this study can be applied to adaptation of climate change, management of water resources and efficient utilization of hydraulic structures.

Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change Using Meta Model (메타모델을 활용한 기후변화 통합영향평가)

  • Yu, Myungsu;Song, Yeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.410-410
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화는 전 지구적인 환경문제 중 하나이며 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 4차 평가보고서에서는 인류가 직면한 최대 위협이라고 하였다. 또한, IPCC는 현재 기후변화에 의한 영향은 명백히 나타나고 있으며 향후 기후변화에 의한 기상이변 예측과 적응 정책 및 조치가 중요하다고 권고하였다. 적응 정책 및 조치를 위한 기후변화의 영향분석은 우리나라에서도 많이 진행하고 있으나 개별 및 분류의 선형의 순차적 관계에 따라 개발 및 적용되고 있다. 기후변화는 자연생태계와 인간 활동의 복잡한 상호작용에 의해 발생하기에 개별적 연구 보다는 타 부문의 영향 및 결과가 환류되고 반영되어야 한다. 따라서 기후변화 영향평가는 농업, 물, 산림, 생태, 건강 등 다양한 부문 내/간 상호작용을 고려할 수 있는 통합 평가 방법이 필요하다. 통합 평가를 위해 플랫폼 개발은 필수적이며, 신속한 분석을 위해서는 개별 부문의 상세모델을 모방한 메타모델이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향을 통합적으로 평가하기 위한 메타모델을 개발하고, 상호 연결을 통해 다양한 연계양상을 평가하고자 한다.

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Estimation of National Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Agricultural Sector from 1990 to 2013 - Focusing on the Crop Cultivation - (1990년부터 2013년까지 농업 분야 국가 온실가스 배출량 평가 - 경종부문 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Eun Jung;Jeong, Hyun Cheol;Kim, Gun Yeob;Lee, Sun-il;Lee, Jong Sik
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2016
  • The major greenhouse gases (GHGs) in agricultural sector are methane ($CH_4$), nitrous oxide ($N_2O$), carbon dioxide ($CO_2$). GHGs emissions are estimated by pertinent source category in a guideline book from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) such as methane from rice paddy, nitrous oxide from agricultural soil and crop residue burning. The methods for estimation GHGs emissions in agricultural sector are based on 1996 and 2006 IPCC guideline, 2000 and 2003 Good Practice Guidance. In general, GHG emissions were calculated by multiplying the activity data by emission factor. The total GHGs emission is $10,863Gg\;CO_2-eq$. from crop cultivation in agricultural sector in 2013. The emission is divided by the ratio of greenhouse gases that methane and nitrous oxide are 64% and 34%, respectively. Each gas emission according to the source categories is $7,000Gg\;CO_2-eq$. from rice paddy field, $3,897Gg\;CO_2-eq$. from agricultural soil, and $21Gg\;CO_2-eq$. from field burning, respectively. The GHGs emission in agricultural sector had been gradually decreased from 1990 to 2013 because of the reduction of cultivation. In order to compare with indirect emissions from agricultural soil, each emission was calculated using IPCC default factors (D) and country specific emission factors (CS). Nitrous oxide emission by CS applied in indirect emission, as nitrogen leaching and run off, was lower about 50% than that by D.

Analysis of Suspended Solid of Andong and Imha Basin According to the Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 안동·임하호 유역의 부유사량 분석)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Kim, Jung-Yeol;Ahn, So-Ra;Sim, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the change of flowout and suspend solid in Andong and Imha basin according to the climate change to develop evaluation index about turbid water occurrence possibility and to support the countermeasures for turbid water management using GIS-based Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT). MIROC3.2 hires model values of A1B climate change scenario that were supplied by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) were applied to future climage change data. Precipitation and temperature were corrected by applying the output value of 20th Century Climate Coupled Model (20C3M) based on past climate data during 1977 and 2006 and downscaled with Change Factor (CF) method. And future climate change scenarios were classified as three periods (2020s, 2050s, 2080s) and the change of flowout and suspended solid according to the climate change were estimated by coupling modeled value with SWAT model. Flowout and suspended solid of Andong and Imha basin in 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s were simulated as increasing compared with standard year (2006). Also, as the result of seasonal change, flowout and suspended solid of Andong and Imha basin in spring, autumn, and winter showed as increasing compared with standard year. And them of Andong and Imha basin in summer were analyzed as decreasing compared with standard year.

Development Strategy for New Climate Change Scenarios based on RCP (온실가스 시나리오 RCP에 대한 새로운 기후변화 시나리오 개발 전략)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Cho, ChunHo;Kwon, Won-Tae;Kim, Seong-Kyoun;Cho, Joo-Young;Kim, Yeongsin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2011
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) has identified the causes of climate change and come up with measures to address it at the global level. Its key component of the work involves developing and assessing future climate change scenarios. The IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2007 identified a new greenhouse gas concentration scenario "Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)" and established the framework and development schedules for Climate Modeling (CM), Integrated Assessment Modeling(IAM), Impact Adaptation Vulnerability(IAV) community for the fifth IPCC Assessment Reports while 130 researchers and users took part in. The CM community at the IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2008, agreed on a new set of coordinated climate model experiments, the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5), which consists of more than 30 standardized experiment protocols for the shortterm and long-term time scales, in order to enhance understanding on climate change for the IPCC AR5 and to develop climate change scenarios and to address major issues raised at the IPCC AR4. Since early 2009, fourteen countries including the Korea have been carrying out CMIP5-related projects. Withe increasing interest on climate change, in 2009 the COdinated Regional Downscaling EXperiment(CORDEX) has been launched to generate regional and local level information on climate change. The National Institute of Meteorological Research(NIMR) under the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has contributed to the IPCC AR4 by developing climate change scenarios based on IPCC SRES using ECHO-G and embarked on crafting national scenarios for climate change as well as RCP-based global ones by engaging in international projects such as CMIP5 and CORDEX. NIMR/KMA will make a contribution to drawing the IPCC AR5 and will develop national climate change scenarios reflecting geographical factors, local climate characteristics and user needs and provide them to national IAV and IAM communites to assess future regional climate impacts and take action.

A Comparison of the Changes of Greenhouse Gas Emissions to the Develop Country-Specific Emission Factors and Scaling Factors in Agricultural Sector (농업부문 국가 고유 배출계수와 보정계수 개발에 따른 온실가스 배출량 변화 비교)

  • Jeong, Hyun Cheol;Lee, Jong Sik;Choi, Eun Jung;Kim, Gun Yeob;Seo, Sang Uk;So, Kyu Ho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.349-357
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    • 2014
  • Greenhouse gases (GHGs) from agricultural sector were categorized in a guideline book from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as methane from rice paddy fields and nitrous oxide from agricultural soils. In general, GHG emissions were calculated by multiplying the activity data by emission factor. Tier 1 methodology uses IPCC default factors and Tier 2 uses country specific emission factors (CS). The CS and Scaling factors (SF) had been developed by NAAS (National Academy of Agricultural Science) projects from 2009 to 2012 to estimate how the advanced emissions. The purpose of this study was to compare GHG emissions calculated from IPCC default factors and NAAS CS and SF of agricultural sector in Korea. Methane emissions using CS and SF in rice paddy field was about 79% higher than those using IPCC default factors. In the agricultural soils, nitrous oxide emissions using CS from the 5 crops were about 40% lower than those using IPCC default. Except those 5 crops, approximately up to 52% lower emissions were calculated using CS compared to those using IPCC default factors. The total GHG emissions using CS and SF were about 33% higher than those using Tier 1 method by IPCC default factors.

Study on Plans for the Establishment of Strategy on Climate Change Adaptation in Korea (국가 기후변화 적응 전략 수립 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Won-Tae;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Choi, Kyung-Cheol;Chung, Hyo-Sang
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.213-227
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    • 2005
  • The global mean surface temperature has already increased by $0.6{\pm}0.2^{\circ}C$ over the last century, and warming in Korea is approximately twice as large as the global average. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has concluded that the majority of warming over the past 50 years could be attributed to human activities (IPCC, 2001a). In addition, the global surface temperature is expected to increase by 1.4 to $5.8^{\circ}C$ depending on the greenhouse gas emission scenarios during the $21^{st}$ century.Climate change resulting from increased greenhouse gas concentrations has the potential to harm societies and ecosystems. Reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases and their concentration in the atmosphere will reduce the degree and likelihood of significant adverse conditions due to the anticipated climate change. Mitigation policy has generally been the primary focus of public attention and policy efforts on climate change. However, some degree of climate change is inevitable due to the combination of continued increases in emissions and the inertia of the global climate system. Adaptation actions and strategies are needed for a complementary approach to mitigation. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) currently addresses vulnerability and adaptation in the context of climate change negotiations and in future adaptation may be an important element of work under the Kyoto Protocol. There are several on-going programs to develop effective adaptation strategies and their implementation. But in general, many other countries are still on an initiating stage. The climate change science programs of the United States, Japan, England, and Germany are initiated to understand the current status of climate change science and adaptation researches in the developed countries. In this study, we propose the improvement on systems in policy and research aspects to effectively perform the necessary functions for development of nation-wide adaptation measures and their implementation. In policy aspect, the Korean Panel on Climate Change (KPCC) is introduced as a coordinating mechanism between government organizations related with climate change science, impact assessment and adaptation. Also in research aspect, there is a strong consensus on the need for construction of a national network on climate change research as trans-disciplinary research network.

Methodology of CO2 Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment in Ethylene Product Processes (에틸렌 생산에서의 CO2 국가배출계수 검증 및 정량평가 방법론)

  • Youk, Soo Kyung;Jeon, Eui-Chan;Yoo, Kyung Seun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the methodology of $CO_2$ Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment in Ethylene Product Processes. At first, this study compare the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 1996 Guideline and 2006 Guideline. And analyse methodology for estimating $CO_2$ emission and $CO_2$ emission factor in Ethylene product process. Also analyse cases of estimating $CO_2$ emission factor based on material balance. Methodology of $CO_2$ Emission Factor Verification and Quantitative Assessment are following the categories proposed by GIR (Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Research Center). There are total 12 factors in 8 categories and give 5 or 10 points according to their importance. Also this study suggests necessary data of document to meet the conditions. The result would help estimate accuracy Greenhouse Gas Inventory. Also contribute to establish policy on environmental assessment, air conservation, etc.