Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2017.18.12.605

Precipitation-Streamflow Elasticity analysis of Nakdong River Based on RCP 4.5 Climate Change Scenario  

Jang, Young-su (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pusan National University)
Park, Jae-Rock (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pusan National University)
Shin, Hyun-suk (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pusan National University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society / v.18, no.12, 2017 , pp. 605-612 More about this Journal
Abstract
Climate change affects the natural ecosystem and human socioeconomic activities by acting on various constituents such as the atmospheric, oceanic, biological, and land constituents of the climate. Predicting the impacts of ongoing climate change will be an important factor in adapting to the climate of the future. In this study, precipitation-streamflow elasticity analysis of the Nakdong River area was conducted using the RCP 4.5 scenario developed by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Precipitation and streamflow in the Nakdong River area was analyzed using monthly, seasonal, and yearly data. Results found that the climate would become very humid climate by 2100. Results of this study can be applied to adaptation of climate change, management of water resources and efficient utilization of hydraulic structures.
Keywords
Climate Change; Elasticity; Precipitation-Runoff; RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways); Streamflow;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 8  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 IPCC 5th Assessment Report, 2014.
2 T. S. Son, H. S. Shin "Analysis for Precipitation Trend and Elasticity of Precipitation-Streamflow According to Climate Changes", Korea Society of Civil Engineers, vol. 30, no. 5, pp. 497-507, 2010.
3 J. H. Sung, H. S. Kang, S. H. Park, C. H. Jo, D. H. Bae, and Y. O. Kim "Projection of Extreme Precipitation at the end of 21st Century over South Korea based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)", Atmosphere, Korean Meteorological Society, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 221-231, 2012. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14191/Atmos.2012.22.2.221
4 C. S. Hwang, C. W. Choi, and J. S. Choi, "Impact of IPCC RCP Scenarios on Streamflow and Sediment in the Hoeya River Basin", Korea Society for GeoSpatial Information Studies, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 11-19, 2014. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7319/kogsis.2014.22.3.011
5 S. S. Jang, S. R. Ahn, H. K. Jo, and S. J. Kim, "Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Imha-Dam Watershed Hydrologic Cycle under RCP Scenarios", Korea Society for GeoSpatial Information Studies, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 156-169, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.11108/kagis.2015.18.1.156
6 J. H. Ryu, M. S. Kang, I. H. Song, J. H. Park, J. H. Song, S. M. Jeon, and K. U. Kim, "Estimation of Design Flood for the Gyeryong Reservoir Watershed based on RCP scenarios, Journal of Korean Society of Agriculture", The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers, no. 57, vol. 1, pp. 47-57, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2015.57.1.047
7 H. E. Andersen, B. Kronvang, S.E. Larsen, C.C. Hoffmann, T.S. Jensen and E.K. Rasmussen. "Climate-change impacts on hydrology and nutrients in a Danish lowland river basin", Science of the Total Environment 365, pp. 223-237, 2006. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2006.02.036   DOI
8 H. S. Lee, D. S. Kim, M. H. Hawng, and G. G. Ahn, "Assessment of Runoff and Water temperature variations under RCP climate Change Scenario in Yongdam dam watershed South Korea", Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment, vol. 32, no. 2, pp. 173-182, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15681/KSWE.2016.32.2.173   DOI
9 J. S. Yang, J. H. Park, and N. K. Kim, "Development of Drought Vulnerability Index Using Trend Analysis", Korea Society of Civil Engineers, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 185-192, 2012.   DOI
10 S. J. Lee, B. Y. Kwon, D. H. Jung, K. H. Jo, M. S. Kim, S. M. Ha, H. A. Kim, B. N. Kim, M. A. Masud, E. I. Lee, and, Y. K. Kim, "Future Prediction of Heat and Discomfort Indices based on two RCP Scenarios", Korean Meteorological Society, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 221-229, 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14191/Atmos.2013.23.2.221
11 D. Adamson, T. Mallawaarachchi, J. Quiggin, "Climate change and climate uncertainty in the MlIrray-Darling Basin' 51st Queenstown New Zealand Australian", Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Conference, pp. 2-26, 2007.
12 J. C. Schaake, From climate to flow, p. 177-206, John Wiley and Sons Inc. Publishers, 1990.
13 J. Chen, J. Xia, C. Zhao, S. Zhang, G. Fu, and L. Ning, "The mechanism and scenarios of how mean annual runoff varies with climate change in Asian monsoon areas", Journal of Hydrology vol. 517, pp. 595-606, 2014. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.075   DOI
14 R. Moss, M. Babiker, S. Brinkman, E. Calvo, T. Carter, J. Edmonds, I. Elgizouli, S. Emori, L. Erda, K. Hibbard, R. Jones, M. Kainuma, J. Kelleher, J. F. Lamarque, M. Manning, B. Matthews, J. Meehl, L. Meyer, J. Mitchell, N. Nakicenovic, B. O'Neill, R. Pichs, K. Riahi, S. Rose, P. Runci, R. Stouffer, D. van Vuuren, J. Weyant, T. Wilbanks, J. P. van Ypersele, and M. Zurek "Towards New Scenariosfor Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change,Impacts, and Response Strategies", IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change, Geneva, pp. 132, 2008.
15 F. Chiew, Climate change inplication on Australian river flows, 3rd international Symposium on Riverine Landscapes, 2007.
16 Sankarasubramanian, A. Richard, M. Vogel, J. F. Limbrunner, "Climate elasticity of streamflow in the unites states", Water Resources Research, Vol 37, no. 6, pp. 1771-1781, 2001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000WR900330   DOI
17 Climate Information Portal, Korea Global Atmosphere Watch Center[Internet], Republic of Korea, c2015[cited 2015 Oct 20], Available From: climate.go.kr.