• 제목/요약/키워드: Hydrology modelling

검색결과 20건 처리시간 0.024초

Thermal buckling properties of zigzag single-walled carbon nanotubes using a refined nonlocal model

  • Semmah, Abdelwahed;Beg, O. Anwar;Mahmoud, S.R.;Heireche, Houari;Tounsi, Abdelouahed
    • Advances in materials Research
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2014
  • In the present article, the thermal buckling of zigzag single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) is studied using a nonlocal refined shear deformation beam theory and Von-Karman geometric nonlinearity. The model developed simulates both small scale effects and higher-order variation of transverse shear strain through the depth of the nanobeam. Furthermore the present formulation also accommodates stress-free boundary conditions on the top and bottom surfaces of the nanobeam. A shear correction factor, therefore, is not required. The equivalent Young's modulus and shear modulus for zigzag SWCNTs are derived using an energy-equivalent model. The present study illustrates that the thermal buckling properties of SWCNTs are strongly dependent on the scale effect and additionally on the chirality of zigzag carbon nanotube. Some illustrative examples are also presented to verify the present formulation and solutions. Good agreement is observed.

Computer-aided approach for modelling of FG cylindrical shell sandwich with ring supports

  • Hussain, Muzamal;Naeem, Muhammad Nawaz;Khan, Muhammad Shabaz;Tounsi, Abdelouahed
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.411-425
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, the shell material has been taken as functionally graded material and their material quantity is located by the exponential volume fraction law. Moreover, the impact of ring supports around the shell circumference has been examined for their various positions along the shell axial length. These rings support restraints the radial displacement in the transverse direction. While the axial modal deformation functions have been estimated by characteristic beam functions and nature of materials used for construction of cylindrical shells. The fundamental natural frequency of cylindrical shell of parameter versus ratios of length- and height-to-radius for a wide range has been reported and investigated through the study. In addition, by increasing height-to-radius ratio resulting frequencies also increase and frequencies decrease on ratio of length-to-radius. Though the trends of frequency values of both ratios are converse to each other with three different boundary conditions. Also it is examined the position of ring supports with length-to radius ratio, height-to-radius ratio and varying the exponent of volume fraction. MATLAB software package has been utilized for extracting shell frequency spectra. The obtained results are confirmed by comparing with available literature.

Uncertainty assessment caused by GCMs selection on hydrologic studies

  • Ghafouri-Azar, Mona;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2018
  • The present study is aimed to quantifying the uncertainty in the general circulation model (GCM) selection and its impacts on hydrology studies in the basins. For this reason, 13 GCMs was selected among the 26 GCM models of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) scenarios. Then, the climate data and hydrologic data with two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) of the best model (INMCM4) and worst model (HadGEM2-AO) were compared to understand the uncertainty associated with GCM models. In order to project the runoff, the Precipitation-Runoff Modelling System (PRMS) was driven to simulate daily river discharge by using daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature as inputs of this model. For simulating the discharge, the model has been calibrated and validated for daily data. Root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were applied as evaluation criteria. Then parameters of the model were applied for the periods 2011-2040, and 2070-2099 to project the future discharge the five large basins of South Korea. Then, uncertainty caused by projected temperature, precipitation and runoff changes were compared in seasonal and annual time scale for two future periods and RCPs compared to the reference period (1976-2005). The findings of this study indicated that more caution will be needed for selecting the GCMs and using the results of the climate change analysis.

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SWAT 모형을 이용한 미래 기후변화 및 토지이용 변화에 따른 안성천 유역 수문 - 수질 변화 분석 (II) (Assessment of Future Climate and Land Use Change on Hydrology and Stream Water Quality of Anseongcheon Watershed Using SWAT Model (II))

  • 이용준;안소라;강부식;김성준
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권6B호
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    • pp.665-673
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하여 (I)연구에서 기구축된 현재의 유역 수문환경 조건을 활용하여 미래수문환경에 따른 유역 수문-수질 변화 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 미래의 수문자료 중 기후변화 시나리오는 Downscaling된 GCMs 자료를 이용하였으며, 미래 토지이용 시나리오는 미래 토지이용 예측 기법인 개선된 CA-Markov 기법으로 분석하여 구축하였다. 그 결과 미래의 토지이용 시나리오에 따라 주거지와 나지 등의 도시지역의 꾸준한 증가와 산림과 농경지 등의 감소가 예측되었고 미래의 기후변화 경우 강우의 변동성이 커 현재보다 더욱 더 기후변화의 대응전략이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 미래 토지이용 시나리오와 기후변화 시나리오를 결합한 미래의 수문환경을 30-40년 주기로 나누어 장기적인 미래의 특정기간에 대한 자료를 가지고 수문 변화 분석을 실시한 결과, 강우에 의해 양상이 변할 수 있으며 그에 따라 영양물질의 부하량 또한 Sediment는 120%, T-N은 16%, T-P는 10% 증가할 수 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 수문환경의 전반적인 변화에 따른 유출 영향의 평가가 필요하다고 판단되고 향후 수자원 분배와 물자원 관리와 기후변화 적응전략을 수립하는데 있어 본 연구가 도움이 될 것이라고 판단한다.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후와 식생 활력도 변화가 수자원에 미치는 영향 평가 (Assessment of Climate and Vegetation Canopy Change Impacts on Water Resources using SWAT Model)

  • 박민지;신형진;박종윤;강부식;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제51권5호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the future potential climate and vegetation canopy change impact on a dam watershed hydrology. A $6,661.5\;km^2$ dam watershed, the part of Han-river basin which has the watershed outlet at Chungju dam was selected. The SWAT model was calibrated and verified using 9 year and another 7 year daily dam inflow data. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency ranged from 0.43 to 0.91. The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) Coupled Global Climate Model3 (CGCM3) data based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) SRES (Special Report Emission Scenarios) B1 scenario was adopted for future climate condition and the data were downscaled by artificial neural network method. The future vegetation canopy condition was predicted by using nonlinear regression between monthly LAI (Leaf Area Index) of each land cover from MODIS satellite image and monthly mean temperature was accomplished. The future watershed mean temperatures of 2100 increased by $2.0^{\circ}C$, and the precipitation increased by 20.4 % based on 2001 data. The vegetation canopy prediction results showed that the 2100 year LAI of deciduous, evergreen and mixed on April increased 57.1 %, 15.5 %, and 62.5% respectively. The 2100 evapotranspiration, dam inflow, soil moisture content and groundwater recharge increased 10.2 %, 38.1 %, 16.6 %, and 118.9 % respectively. The consideration of future vegetation canopy affected up to 3.0%, 1.3%, 4.2%, and 3.6% respectively for each component.

The Marshall-Olkin generalized gamma distribution

  • Barriga, Gladys D.C.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Dey, Dipak K.;Cancho, Vicente G.;Louzada, Francisco;Suzuki, Adriano K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.245-261
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    • 2018
  • Attempts have been made to define new classes of distributions that provide more flexibility for modelling skewed data in practice. In this work we define a new extension of the generalized gamma distribution (Stacy, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 33, 1187-1192, 1962) for Marshall-Olkin generalized gamma (MOGG) distribution, based on the generator pioneered by Marshall and Olkin (Biometrika, 84, 641-652, 1997). This new lifetime model is very flexible including twenty one special models. The main advantage of the new family relies on the fact that practitioners will have a quite flexible distribution to fit real data from several fields, such as engineering, hydrology and survival analysis. Further, we also define a MOGG mixture model, a modification of the MOGG distribution for analyzing lifetime data in presence of cure fraction. This proposed model can be seen as a model of competing causes, where the parameter associated with the Marshall-Olkin distribution controls the activation mechanism of the latent risks (Cooner et al., Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 15, 307-324, 2006). The asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimation approach of the parameters of the model are evaluated by means of simulation studies. The proposed distribution is fitted to two real data sets, one arising from measuring the strength of fibers and the other on melanoma data.

Effect of subsurface flow and soil depth on shallow landslide prediction

  • Kim, Minseok;Jung, Kwansue;Son, Minwoo;Jeong, Anchul
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.281-281
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    • 2015
  • Shallow landslide often occurs in areas of this topography where subsurface soil water flow paths give rise to excess pore-water pressures downslope. Recent hillslope hydrology studies have shown that subsurface topography has a strong impact in controlling the connectivity of saturated areas at the soil-bedrock interface. In this study, the physically based SHALSTAB model was used to evaluate the effects of three soil thicknesses (i.e. average soil layer, soil thickness to weathered soil and soil thickness to bedrock soil layer) and subsurface flow reflecting three soil thicknesses on shallow landslide prediction accuracy. Three digital elevation models (DEMs; i.e. ground surface, weathered surface and bedrock surface) and three soil thicknesses (average soil thickness, soil thickness to weathered rock and soil thickness to bedrock) at a small hillslope site in Jinbu, Kangwon Prefecture, eastern part of the Korean Peninsula, were considered. Each prediction result simulated with the SHALSTAB model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for modelling accuracy. The results of the ROC analysis for shallow landslide prediction using the ground surface DEM (GSTO), the weathered surface DEM and the bedrock surface DEM (BSTO) indicated that the prediction accuracy was higher using flow accumulation by the BSTO and weathered soil thickness compared to results. These results imply that 1) the effect of subsurface flow by BSTO on shallow landslide prediction especially could be larger than the effects of topography by GSTO, and 2) the effect of weathered soil thickness could be larger than the effects of average soil thickness and bedrock soil thickness on shallow landslide prediction. Therefore, we suggest that using BSTO dem and weathered soil layer can improve the accuracy of shallow landslide prediction, which should contribute to more accurately predicting shallow landslides.

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다른 원격탐사 센서로 추출한 강우자료의 이질성과 이에 의한 비선형유출반응에 미치는 영향 (Investigating Remotely Sensed Precipitation from Different Sources and Their Nonlinear Responses in a Physically Based Hydrologic Model)

  • 오남선;이길하;김상준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권10호
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    • pp.823-832
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    • 2006
  • 강우는 물과 에너지 순환에서 가장 중요한 역할을 한다. 이 연구에서는 두개의 다른 원격탐사 센서를 이용하여 추출한 강우자료의 불확실성 (uncertainty)에 대하여 검토해 보았으며, 이에 의한 오차가 비선형 수치수문모형에서 수문인자(유출)를 모의할 때 어떻게 영향을 미치는가를 살펴보았다. 지상에서 관측된 강우 관측을 이용하여 WSR-88D (NEXRAD)에 의해 추출한 레이더 강우, 그리고 IR (Infrared) 밴드를 기반으로 하는 인공위성 강우관측을 비교 검토하였으며, 세 가지의 서로 다른 강우와 현장에서 측정된 기상자료를 입력 자료로 사용하여, 오프라인 CLM (Community Land Model) 수문모형으로 유출량을 모의하였다. 이 연구에서 물리적 이론을 기반으로 하는 CLM수문 모형의 매개변수는 지표면-대기의 수문반응 (land-atmosphere interaction)을 적절하게 묘사하도록 정의되었다고 가정한다. 다른 원격탐사 센서를 이용하여 추출한 강우자료는 시공간적으로 다른 양상을 보여 주며, 수치모형의 실험 결과는 강우입력의 불확실성이 수문반응의 결과에 어떻게 영향을 미치는지를 보여준다. 이 연구는 앞으로 우리나라에서 개발 및 활용가능성이 있는 레이더 강우와 인공위성 강우에 대한 사전 지식을 제공하고, 동시에 수치 수문모형을 수행할 때 수문반응의 불확실성에 대한 정보를 제공해 주며, 결국은 기후 변화에 따른 수자원의 재분배를 이해하는데 이바지할 것이다.

Setting limits for water use in the Wairarapa Valley, New Zealand

  • Mike, Thompson
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.227-227
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    • 2015
  • The Wairarapa Valley occupies a predominantly rural area in the lower North Island of New Zealand. It supports a mix of intensive farming (dairy), dry stock farming (sheep and beef cattle) and horticulture (including wine grapes). The valley floor is traversed by the Ruamahanga River, the largest river in the Wellington region with a total catchment area of 3,430 km2. Environmental, cultural and recreational values associated with this Ruamahanga River are very high. The alluvial gravel and sand aquifers of the Wairarapa Valley, support productive groundwater aquifers at depths of up to 100 metres below ground while the Ruamahanga River and its tributaries present a further source of water for users. Water is allocated to users via resource consents by Greater Wellington Regional Council (GWRC). With intensifying land use, demand from the surface and groundwater resources of the Wairarapa Valley has increased substantially in recent times and careful management is needed to ensure values are maintained. This paper describes the approach being taken to manage water resources in the Wairarapa Valley and redefine appropriate limits of sustainable water use. There are three key parts: Quantifying the groundwater resource. A FEFLOW numerical groundwater flow model was developed by GWRC. This modelling phase provided a much improved understanding of aquifer recharge and abstraction processes. It also began to reveal the extent of hydraulic connection between aquifer and river systems and the importance of moving towards an integrated (conjunctive) approach to allocating water. Development of a conjunctive management framework. The FEFLOW model was used to quantify the stream flow depletion impacts of a range of groundwater abstraction scenarios. From this, three abstraction categories (A, B and C) that describe diminishing degrees of hydraulic connection between ground and surface water resources were mapped in 3 dimensions across the Valley. Interim allocation limits have been defined for each of 17 discrete management units within the valley based on both local scale aquifer recharge and stream flow depletion criteria but also cumulative impacts at the valley-wide scale. These allocation limits are to be further refined into agreed final limits through a community-led decision making process. Community involvement in the limit setting process. Historically in New Zealand, limits for sustainable resource use have been established primarily on the basis of 'hard science' and the decision making process has been driven by regional councils. Community involvement in limit setting processes has been through consultation rather than active participation. Recent legislation in the form of a National Policy Statement on Freshwater Management (2011) is reforming this approach. In particular, collaborative consensus-based decision making with active engagement from stakeholders is now expected. With this in mind, a committee of Wairarapa local people with a wide range of backgrounds was established in 2014. The role of this committee is to make final recommendations about resource use limits (including allocation of water) that reflect the aspirations of the communities they represent. To assist the committee in taking a holistic view it is intended that the existing numerical groundwater flow models will be coupled with with surface flow, contaminant transport, biological and economic models. This will provide the basis for assessing the likely outcomes of a range of future land use and resource limit scenarios.

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하천과정과 식생 - 연구동향과 시사점 (Fluvial Processes and Vegetation - Research Trends and Implications)

  • 우효섭;조강현;장창래;이찬주
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 전통적 수문지형학 범주에서 식생요소를 추가하여 식생-수문-지형 간의 상호작용을 연구한 국내외 성과를 정리, 분석한 것이다. 이 분야는 전통적 하천관리는 물론 하천복원과도 직접적으로 관련되어 있어 학술적으로나 실무적으로나 중요하다. 이 분야 연구는 20세기 중후 반부터 시작하여 현지조사-실내실험/수치모형의 단계를 거쳐 21세기 들어 다시 현장에서 정밀, 장기조사 단계로 가고 있다. 그러나 이 분야 국내 관련연구는 매우 미흡하다. 본 연구는 국내외 관련 연구성과를 분석하고 저자들의 지식과 경험을 토대로 식생-수문-지형 간 상호작용을 설명하는 개념적 모형과 그에 따른 6개의 유형을 제안하였다. 국내 관련연구는 제안된 6개 유형에 따라 분류하고 검토하였다. 다음 국내에서 실제 나타나는 하천식생 관련이슈들을 고려하여 향후 시급히 필요한 연구로서 식생-수문-지형 간 상호작용의 이해를 위해 특성이 서로 다른 복수의 하천에서 이에 대한 장기적, 체계적, 집중적 조사연구(모니터링) 등 다수를 제안하였다.