• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological Environment

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Aquifer Transmissivity Estimation with Kriging Techniques and Numerical Model in the LAN (Kriging기법과 수치모형에 의한 이안지구 대수층의 투수량계수 추정)

  • 조웅현;박영기;김환홍
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 1994
  • One of the delicate problems in aquifer management is the identification of the spatial distribution of tile hydrological parameters. The observed data are insufficient to identify the distribution of transmissivities in LAN aquifer. To determine the distribution of the transmissivity in LAN aquifer, it would be required to transform the observed heads at the pilot points into transmissivities. Therefore, three procedures wire tackled for the identification of the spatial distribution of the hydrological parameters; geostatistical estimate of the parameter field on the basis of known well point, heads reconstructed by a numerical model, and modification of the values at pilot points by a minimization algorithm. The variogram of Kriging has been applied to a total of 258 transmissivity value in attempt to quantify their distribution of LAN aquifer. Variogram of the observed and optimized transmissivities at pilot points are adapted to the exponential form. So, it is fitted by theoretical one with coefficients of w=0.623, a=2.743. Values of head obtained through numerical analysis are adjusted to the observed values so that heads have been transformed completely into the transmissivities at the observation wells. The procedure represented contour map of the estimated transmissivities and the calculated head.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Factors on Runoff and Soil Losses in Daecheong Reservoir Watershed using SWAT (SWAT 모형을 이용한 대청댐 유역의 기후인자에 따른 유출 및 유사량 민감도 평가)

  • Ye, Lyeong;Chung, Se-Woong;Lee, Heung-Soo;Yoon, Sung-Wan;Jeong, Hee-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2009
  • Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to assess the impact of potential future climate change on the water cycle and soil loss of the Daecheong reservoir watershed. A sensitivity analysis using influence coefficient method was conducted for two selected hydrological input parameters and three selected sediment input parameters to identify the most to the least sensitive parameters. A further detailed sensitivity analysis was performed for the parameters: Manning coefficient for channel (Cn), evaporation (ESCO), and sediment concentration in lateral (LAT_SED), support practice factor (USLA_P). Calibration and verification of SWAT were performed on monthly basis for 1993~2006 and 1977~1991, respectively. The model efficiency index (EI) and coefficient of determination ($R^2$) computed for the monthly comparisons of runoffs were 0.78 and 0.76 for the calibration period, and 0.58 and 0.65 for the verification period. The results showed that the hydrological cycle in the watershed is very sensitive to climate factors. A doubling of atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations was predicted to result in an average annual flow increase of 27.9% and annual sediment yield increase of 23.3%. Essentially linear impacts were predicted between two precipitation change scenarios of -20, and 20%, which resulted in average annual flow and sediment yield changes at Okcheon of -53.8%, 63.0% and -55.3%, 65.8%, respectively. An average annual flow increase of 46.3% and annual sediment yield increase of 36.4% was estimated for a constant humidity increase 5%. An average annual flow decrease of 9.6% and annual sediment yield increase of 216.4% was estimated for a constant temperature increase $4^{\circ}C$.

A Study on the Water Cycle Improvement Plan of Low Impact Development (저영향개발 기법의 물순환 개선 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Byungsung;Lim, Seokhwa;Lee, Sangjin;Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Jaemoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2020
  • Recently, since impervious areas have increased due to urban development, the water cycle system of urban watersheds has been destructed. Hence, researches on LID (Low Impact Development) technique have been conducted to solve such problems environmentally. In order to verify suitability with the scale and arrangement of LID technique, the runoff reduction effect of the LID technique should be analyzed per small watershed unit. In this study, pre-post difference of the runoff by applying the LID was estimated using the rational method and rainwater treatment capacity equation. As a result, the runoff before and after the application of LID were estimated as 22,533.5 ㎥ and 14,992.1 ㎥, respectively. In addition, rainfall-runoff simulations were carried out using SWMM to evaluate the efficiency of the LID technique. The SWMM simulation results showed that the runoff before and after the application of LID were 21,174 ㎥ and 15,664 ㎥, respectively. Based on the results of the two methods, the scale and arrangement of the LID technique were revised in order to maximize the effect of the water cycle improvement. Rainfall-runoff simulations were carried out using the SWMM with the revised LID techniques. As a result, despite 34.8 % reduction of pervious pavement area, the rate of runoff reduction increased by 2.1 %. These results indicate that designing the scale and arrangement of LID technique, while considering the total amount of inflow entering into each LID techniques, is essential to effectively achieve the goals of runoff reduction in urban development.

Application of Bayesian Approach to Parameter Estimation of TANK Model: Comparison of MCMC and GLUE Methods (TANK 모형의 매개변수 추정을 위한 베이지안 접근법의 적용: MCMC 및 GLUE 방법의 비교)

  • Kim, Ryoungeun;Won, Jeongeun;Choi, Jeonghyeon;Lee, Okjeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.300-313
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    • 2020
  • The Bayesian approach can be used to estimate hydrologic model parameters from the prior expert knowledge about the parameter values and the observed data. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of the two Bayesian methods, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm and the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method. These two methods were applied to the TANK model, a hydrological model comprising 13 parameters, to examine the uncertainty of the parameters of the model. The TANK model comprises a combination of multiple reservoir-type virtual vessels with orifice-type outlets and implements a common major hydrological process using the runoff calculations that convert the rainfall to the flow. As a result of the application to the Nam River A watershed, the two Bayesian methods yielded similar flow simulation results even though the parameter estimates obtained by the two methods were of somewhat different values. Both methods ensure the model's prediction accuracy even when the observed flow data available for parameter estimation is limited. However, the prediction accuracy of the model using the MH algorithm yielded slightly better results than that of the GLUE method. The flow duration curve calculated using the limited observed flow data showed that the marginal reliability is secured from the perspective of practical application.

Nonlinear Forecasting of Daily Runoff Using Inverse Approach Method (가역접근법을 이용한 일유출량 자료의 비선형 예측)

  • Lee, Bae-Sung;Jeong, Dong-Kug;Jung, Tae-Sung;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.3 s.164
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    • pp.253-259
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    • 2006
  • In almost all previous hydrological studies, the standard approach adopted for nonlinear time series analysis is to perform system characterization first followed by forecasting. However, a practical inverse approach for forecasting nonlinear hydrological time series was proposed recently To investigate the applicability standard approach method and inverse approach, this study used a theoretical time series (Mackey-Glass time series) and daily streamflows of the Bear River in Idaho. To predict a theoretical time series and daily streamflow, this study used local approximation method. From chaos analysis, chaotic characteristics are found in daily streamflow of the Bear River in Idaho. Resulting from 1, 3 and 5-day prediction, inverse approach method is shown to be better than the standard approach for a theoretical chaotic time series and daily streamflow.

Effect of Regional Climate Change Projected by RCP Scenarios on the Efficiency of Low Impact Development Applications (RCP 시나리오에 따른 지역의 기후변화가 저영향개발 기법 효과에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Kim, Tae-Dong;Choi, Donghyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Urban Environment
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.409-417
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    • 2018
  • This study elicited the necessity of considering regional climate change on Low Impact Development (LID) application by evaluating its effect on LID efficiency. The relationship between climate change factors and LID efficiency was evaluated with Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) showing the increase of annual precipitation and representative evapotranspiration. Simply lowering lawn surface (LID3), a practical option to increase retention and infiltration effect, demonstrated hydrological improvement above two conventional options, bioretention with green roof (LID1) and bioretention only (LID2). High runoff reductions of applied options at RCP 4.5, supposing taking efforts for mitigating green house gases, revealed that climate change countermeasures were preferable to LID efficiencies. The increase of precipitation had more influence in hydrological change than that of reference evapotranspiration.

A Modified Digital Elevation Modeling for Stormwater Management Planning in Segmentalized Micro-catchment Areas

  • Lee, Eun-seok
    • Journal of People, Plants, and Environment
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2021
  • Background and objective: Urban topology can be characterized as impervious, which changes the hydrologic features of an area, increasing surface water flow during local heavy rain events. The pluvial flooding is also influenced by the vertical structures of the urban area. This study suggested a modified digital elevation model (DEM) to identify changes in urban hydrological conditions and segmentalized urban micro catchment areas using a geographical information system (GIS). Methods: This study suggests using a modified DEM creation process based on Rolling Ball Method concepts along with a GIS program. This method proposes adding realized urban vertical data to normal DEM data and simulating hydrological analyses based on RBM concepts. The most important aspect is the combination of the DEM with polygon data, which includes urban vertical data in three datasets: the contour polyline, the locations of buildings and roads, and the elevation point data from the DEM. DEM without vertical data (DCA) were compared with the DEM including vertical data (VCA) to analyze catchment areas in Shin-wol district, Seoul, Korea. Results: The DCA had 136 catchments, and the area of each catchment ranged from 3,406 m2 to 423,449 m2. The VCA had 2,963 catchments, with the area of each ranging from 50 m2 to 16,209 m2. The most important finding is that in the overlapped VCA; the boundary of areas directly affected by flooding and the direction of surface water flow could be identified. Flooding data from September 21, 2010 and July 27, 2011 in the Shin-wol district were applied as ground reference data. The finding is that in the overlapped VCA; the boundary of areas directly affected by flooding and the direction of surface water flow could be identified. Conclusion: The analysis of the area vulnerable to surface water flooding (SWF) was more accurately determined using the VCA than using the DCA.

A study on the applicability of power usage method for the analysis of river water intake (하천수 취수량 분석을 위한 전력량법의 적용성 연구)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Chiyoung;Cha, JunHo;Song, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.975-984
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    • 2019
  • As an essential prerequisite for systematic and integrated management of river water, it is necessary to secure the basic data such as discharge supplied to the river and released from the river. Under the current permit system for river water use, 59.1% of licensed facilities were found to have no discharge meters in 2017, especially for agricultural water, which makes it difficult to secure reliable data as a large portion of the reports are voluntarily reported by users. In this study, the indirect discharge measurement method of calculating the discharge through the power usage of the pumping station was applied to secure reliable discharge data. In particular, focusing on the fact that the discharge calculated by the power usage method differed with the actual discharge according to the level of the river, the study was conducted on improving the power usage method reflecting the river water level and improving the accuracy of discharge data. Analysis of the discharge calculated using the power usage method considering river water level using the correlation analysis method such as regression analysis, percent difference, root mean square error etc. confirmed that the results are not high compared to the conventional power usage method, but are slightly more approximated to the actual discharge. Therefore, although reliable discharge data can be obtained from the existing power usage method, it is expected that more accurate data on intaking water of river water can be obtained if the improved power usage method is used at points where the variation in the water level of the river is large.

An Improvement Study on the Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) for Rainfall Impact Forecasting (호우 영향예보를 위한 수문학적 정량강우예측(HQPF) 개선 연구)

  • Yoon Hu Shin;Sung Min Kim;Yong Keun Jee;Young-Mi Lee;Byung-Sik Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, frequent localized heavy rainfalls, which have a lot of rainfall in a short period of time, have been increasingly causing flooding damages. To prevent damage caused by localized heavy rainfalls, Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) was developed using the Local ENsemble prediction System (LENS) provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Machine Learning and Probability Matching (PM) techniques using Digital forecast data. HQPF is produced as information on the impact of heavy rainfall to prepare for flooding damage caused by localized heavy rainfalls, but there is a tendency to overestimate the low rainfall intensity. In this study, we improved HQPF by expanding the period of machine learning data, analyzing ensemble techniques, and changing the process of Probability Matching (PM) techniques to improve predictive accuracy and over-predictive propensity of HQPF. In order to evaluate the predictive performance of the improved HQPF, we performed the predictive performance verification on heavy rainfall cases caused by the Changma front from August 27, 2021 to September 3, 2021. We found that the improved HQPF showed a significantly improved prediction accuracy for rainfall below 10 mm, as well as the over-prediction tendency, such as predicting the likelihood of occurrence and rainfall area similar to observation.

A Study on the Master Plan of Natural Environment Conservation compared with National Biological Survey in USA (환경부 전국자연환경조사사업의 문제점과 개선방안 - 미국의 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2003
  • The Master Plan of Natural Environment Conservation in Korea by Ministry of Environment has been carried out since 1986. The 2nd 10-year survey started in 1997, and there are three major parts in the Master Plan : First, the basic natural environment survey, second, sites in special features of ecological characteristics such as uninhabitable islands, wetlands, etc, and third, biological species featuring status of habitat, and population dynamics. However the information in the Master Plan is very fragmented and collected data are not so abundant due to insufficient man-power and unsynchronized survey time/season. In this regard this paper examined the similar National Biological Survey in USA and compared the differences with the Master Plan in Korea. The Master Plan in Korea should separate the management zone based on hydrological characteristics, and in each zone we should set a management goal in the long term basis. Secondly the species list is not so meaningful that we must concentrate more on research activities. In each taxonomical group we set up hypotheses and research goals. Thirdly local residents and communities should be involved in research so that enhanced biological diversity should benefit people in areas. Lastly legislation and laws should be reexamined and rectified to provide information to the managers that deals with natural resources, expecially when conflicting with economic matters.