• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydro-Meteorological Method

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Applications of Harmony Search in parameter estimation of probability distribution models for non-homogeneous hydro-meteorological extreme events

  • Lee, Tae-Sam;Yoon, Suk-Min;Gang, Myung-Kook;Shin, Ju-Young;Jung, Chang-Sam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.258-258
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    • 2012
  • In frequency analyses of hydrological data, it is necessary for the interested variables to be homogenous and independent. However, recent evidences have shown that the occurrence of extreme hydro-meteorological events is influenced by large-scale climate variability, and the assumption of homogeneity does not generally hold anymore. Therefore, in order to associate the non-homogenous characteristics of hydro-meteorological variables, we propose the parameter estimation method of probability models using meta-heuristic algorithms, specifically harmony search. All the weather stations in South Korea were employed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approaches. The results showed that the proposed parameter estimation method using harmony search is a comparativealternative for the probability distribution of the non-homogenous hydro-meteorological variables data.

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Extraction of Nonlinear Dynamical Component by Wavelet Transform in Hydro-meteorological Data (수문기상자료의 웨이블렛 변환에 의한 비선형 동역학적 성분의 추출)

  • Jin, Young-Hoon;Park, Sung-Chun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5B
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2006
  • In the present study, we applied wavelet transform to decompose the hydro-meteorological data such as precipitation and temperature into the components with different return periods with a primary objective for extraction of nonlinear dynamical component. For the transform, we used the Daubechies wavelet of order 9 ('db9') as a basis function. Also, we applied the correlation dimension analysis to determine whether or not the detail and approximation components at the respective decomposition stage with the increasing of scale in the wavelet transform reveal the nonlinear dynamical characteristics. In other words, we proposed the combined use of the wavelet transform and the correlation dimension analysis as methodology to extract the nonlinear dynamical component from the hydro-meteorological data. The derived result has shown the method proposed in the present study is suitable for the segregation and extraction of the nonlinear dynamical component which is, in general, difficult to reveal by using the raw data.

PMP Estimation and Its Application for the Design Flood Determination in River Basin (하천유역의 설계 홍수량 결정을 위한 P.M.P의 산정 및 적용)

  • 이순택;박정규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1986.07a
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1986
  • This study aims at analysis and application of PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation) for the determination of design of major hydraulic structures. PMP was estimated by hydro-meteorolgical method and envelope curve method. PMF(Probable Maximum Flood) was then estimated from this PMP by synthetic unit hydrograph method and chow method. From the comparison of three methods for PMP estimation of magnitude of PMP in order of statistical, hydro-meteorlogical, envelope curve method. Amon PMP results estimated by each method it is believed that the hydro-meteorological method gave the best proper value in comparison with historical maximum rainfall because of this method reflected upon all meteorological factor. From the comparison of PMP with probable rainfall and flood, it was shown that estimated value by statistical method and hydro-metelogical method were nearly equivalent to the value of return period 200 to 500 year. It was found that PMF estimated from would be more safe for the design of major hydraulic structures in the consinderation.

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Derivation & Evaluation of Drought Threshold Level Considering Hydro-meteorological Data on South Korea (수문기상 정보에 따른 국내 가뭄판단기준 제시 및 평가)

  • Bae, Deg Hyo;Son, Kyung Hwan;Kim, Heon Ae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to derive and evaluate the drought threshold level based on hydro-meteorological data using historical drought events. After collecting the drought events during 1991 to 2009 year, the observed meteorological data and estimated hydrological component from LSM are used as input for the percentile analysis that is drought analysis data. The drought threshold level that precipitation and runoff of 3 month duration are less than 35%, soil moisture of 2 month duration is less than 35% and evapotranspiration of 3 month duration is more than 65% is derived using ROC analysis that are objective test method. ROC analysis with SPI (3) is performed to evaluate the applicability of threshold level in the domestic. As a result, it can be concluded that the derived drought threshold level show better performance to reflect the historical drought events than SPI (3) and it reasonably explain the spatial drought situation through the spatial analysis.

PMP Estimation and Its Application for the Design Flood Determination in River Basin (하천유역의 설계 홍수량 결정을 위한 P.M.P.의 산정 및 적용)

  • 이순탁;박정규
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 1986
  • This study aims at the analysis and application of PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation)for the determination of design flood in the river basin planning and design of major hydraulic structures. PMP was estimated by hydro-meterological method statistical method and envelope curve method. PMF(Probable Maximum Flood)was then estimated from this PMP by synthetic unit hydrograph method and chow method. From the comparison of three methods for PMP estimation of magnitude of PMP in order of statistical, hydro-metrological, envelope curve method. Among PMP results estimated by each method it is believed that the hydro-meteorological method gave the best proper value in comparison with historical maximum rainfall because of this method reflected upon all meterological factor. From the comparison of PMP with probable rainfall and flood, it was shown that estimated value by statistical method and hydro-metrological method were nearly equivalent to the value of return period 100 years and its value of envelope curve method was equivalent to return period 200 to 500 year. It was found that PMF estimated from would be more safe for the design of major hydraulic structures in the consideration.

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Study about Real-time Total Monitoring Technique for Various Kinds of Multi Weather Radar Data (이기종-다중 기상레이더 자료의 실시간 통합 모니터링 기법 연구)

  • Jang, Bong-Joo;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Lim, Sanghun;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Kwon, Ki-Ryong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.689-705
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposed an realtime total monitoring platform for various kind of multi weather radars to analyze and predict weather phenomenons and prevent meteorological disasters. Our platform is designed to process each weather radar data on each radar site to minimize overloads from conversion and transmission of large volumed radar data, and to set observers up the definitive radar data via public framework server separately. By proposed method, weather radar data having different spatial or temporal resolutions can be automatically synchronized with there own spatio-temporal domains on public GIS platform having only one spatio-temporal criterion. Simulation result shows that our method facilitates the realtime weather monitoring from weather radars having various spatio-temporal resolutions without other data synchronization or assimilation processes. Moreover, since this platform doesn't require some additional computer equipments or high-technical mechanisms it has economic efficiency for it's systemic constructions.

Off-Site Consequence Analysis for PWR and PHWR Types of Nuclear Power Plants Using MACCS II Code (MACCS II 코드를 이용한 국내 경수로 및 중수로형 원전의 소외결말분석)

  • Jeon, Ho-Jun;Chi, Moon-Goo;Hwang, Seok-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2011
  • Since a severe accident, which happens in low frequency, can cause serious damages, the interests in off-site consequence analysis for a nuclear power plant have been increased after Chernobyl, TMI and Fukushima accidents. Consequences, which are the effects on health and environment caused by released radioisotopes, are evaluated using MACCS II code based on the method of Level 3 PSA. To perform a consequence analysis for the reference plants, the input data of the code were generated such as meteorological data, population distribution, release fractions, and so on. Using these input data, acute and lifetime dose as an organ, CCDF for early fatalities and latent cancer fatalities, and average individual risk were analyzed by using MACCS II code in this study. These results might contribute to establishing accident management plan and quantitative health object.

Uncertainty of Hydro-meteorological Predictions Due to Climate Change in the Republic of Korea (기후변화에 따른 우리나라 수문 기상학적 예측의 불확실성)

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2014
  • The impact of the combination of changes in temperature and rainfall due to climate change on surface water resources is important in hydro-meteorological research. In this study, 4 hydro-meteorological (HM) models from the Rainfall Runoff Library in the Catchment Modeling Toolkit were used to model the impact of climate change on runoff in streams for 5 river basins in the Republic of Korea. Future projections from 2021 to 2040 (2030s), 2051 to 2070 (2060s) and 2081 to 2099 (2090s), were derived from 12 General Circulation Models (GCMs) and 3 representative concentration pathways (RCPs). GCM outputs were statistically adjusted and downscaled using Long-Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) and the HM models were well calibrated and verified for the period from 1999 to 2009. The study showed that there is substantial spatial, temporal and HM uncertainty in the future runoff shown by the interquartile range, range and coefficient of variation. In summary, the aggregated runoff will increase in the future by 10~24%, 7~30% and 11~30% of the respective baseline runoff for the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. This study presents a method to model future stream-flow taking into account the HM model and climate based uncertainty.

Suggestion of Simple Method to Estimate Evapotranspiration Using Vegetation and Temperature Information (식생 및 기온정보를 조합한 증발산량 산정을 위한 간편법 제안)

  • Shin, Sha-Chul;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.4 s.165
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2006
  • Many methods have been used to estimate evapotranspiration. However, there is little information about the evapotranspiration from river basins with complicated topographies and variable land use. Remote sensing technique is a probable means to estimate distribution of the evapotranspiration in connection with regional characteristics of vegetation and landuse. The evapotranspiration not only depends on meteorological circumstances but also on the condition of the vegetation. The latter effect can be expressed in terms of NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) obtained by NOAA/AVHRR datasets. In this paper, a simple method to estimate evapotranspiration of the Keum river basin is proposed based on NDVI and temperature data.