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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2013.46.3.287

Derivation & Evaluation of Drought Threshold Level Considering Hydro-meteorological Data on South Korea  

Bae, Deg Hyo (Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engrg., Sejong Univ.)
Son, Kyung Hwan (Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engrg., Sejong Univ.)
Kim, Heon Ae (Climate Prediction Division, Korea Meteorological Administration)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.46, no.3, 2013 , pp. 287-299 More about this Journal
Abstract
The objective of this study is to derive and evaluate the drought threshold level based on hydro-meteorological data using historical drought events. After collecting the drought events during 1991 to 2009 year, the observed meteorological data and estimated hydrological component from LSM are used as input for the percentile analysis that is drought analysis data. The drought threshold level that precipitation and runoff of 3 month duration are less than 35%, soil moisture of 2 month duration is less than 35% and evapotranspiration of 3 month duration is more than 65% is derived using ROC analysis that are objective test method. ROC analysis with SPI (3) is performed to evaluate the applicability of threshold level in the domestic. As a result, it can be concluded that the derived drought threshold level show better performance to reflect the historical drought events than SPI (3) and it reasonably explain the spatial drought situation through the spatial analysis.
Keywords
threshold level; Hydro-meteorological data; Historical drought events; ROC analysis;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 5  (Citation Analysis)
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