• Title/Summary/Keyword: Historical Cost

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A Linear Programming Model for Production Planning of Photovoltaic Materials (태양광 발전 소재 생산계획을 위한 선형계획 모형)

  • Lee, Seon-Jong;Lee, Hyun Cheol;Kim, Jaehee
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a mathematical programming model to develop production planning in the manufacturing processes for photovoltaic silicon ingots and wafers. The model is formulated as a linear programming model that maximizes total growth margin, which is composed of production cost, inventory cost, shortage cost, and sales profit while considering the constraints associated with the production environments of photovoltaic materials. In order to demonstrate the utility of the model for production planning, we run operations for a planning horizon of a year for a case study. When the primary results of this mathematical programming are compared with the historical records, the model could have resulted in the considerable increase of the total growth margin by effectively reducing inventory cost if a decision maker had employed the model as a decision support system with perfect information for sales demand.

A Study on the Calculation of Construction Costs and Their Annual Equivalent Recovery at PECT and GCT (컨테이너부두의 건설원가와 연간투자비 회수에 관한 연구)

  • 이태우;임종길
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2000
  • Major factors that are considered to determine lease charges of container terminals are, among others, construction cost of berth, discount rate, financing cost, and size of annual equivalent recovery. This paper aims to calculate construction costs at PECT and GCT and their annual equivalent recovery on the basis of historical data, and to identify whether or not the relationship of the above result and current lease charges at the two terminals are justifiable.

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Quantifying Risk Factors on Cost Performance By Characterizing Capital Facility Projects

  • Jang, Myung-Hoon;Cha, Hee-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2006
  • Risk-based estimation has been successfully introduced into the construction industry. By incorporating historical data associated with probability analysis, risk-based estimate is an effective decision support aid in considering whether to launch a particular project. The industry challenges, however, especially related with management issues, such as labor shortage, wage growth, and supply chain complexity, have often resulted in poor cost performance. The insufficient assessing the project characteristics (i.e., resource availability, project complexity, and project delivery method) can be the main reasons in the poor cost performance. Because the accuracy level of cost performance prediction can be enhanced by extensive evaluation of the subject project characteristics, a new approach for predicting cost performance in an earlier stage of a project can improve the Industry substantiality, in other words, value maximization. The purpose of this paper is to develop a new methodology in developing a risk-based estimate tool by incorporating extensive project characteristics. To do this, an extensive industry survey was conducted from both private and public sectors in building industry in Korea. In addition, significant project characteristics were identified in terms of cost performance indicator. Although the data collection is limited to Korean industry the suggested approach provides the industry with a straightforward methodology in risk management. As many researchers maintained that front-end planning efforts are crucial in achieving the successful outcome in building projects, the new method for risk-based estimation can Improve the cost performance as well as enhance the fulfillment in terms of business sustainability.

Cost Prediction Model for Building Demolition Work by Using Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 건축물 해체공사비 예측모델)

  • Kim, Taehoon;Kim, Young Hyun;Cho, Kyuman
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2021
  • While the scale of the domestic market for demolition work is steadily increasing, research on cost prediction for demolition work is insufficient. Thus, this study proposes a cost prediction model for demolition work that reflects various attributes influecing the fluctuation of demolition cost. 13 influencing factors and historical cost data were collected based on literature review and experts' advice, and two prediction models were constructed through regression analysis and the prediction accuracy was evaluated. As a result, it showed an average error rate of about 6 to 12%, and it was possible to explore the possibility of use as a reliable prediction model. The results of this study can contribute to estimating appropriate construction cost and improving related standards for domestic demolition works in the future.

DATA MININING APPROACH TO PARAMETRIC COST ESTIMATE IN EARLY DESIGN STAGE AND ANALYTICAL CHARACTERIZATION ON OLAP (ON-LINE ANALYTICAL PROCESSING)

  • JaeHo Cho;HyunKyun Jung;JaeYoul Chun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2011
  • A role of cost modeler is that of facilitating design process by the systematic application of cost factors so as to maintain sensible and economic relationships between cost, quantity, utility and appearance. These relationships help to achieve the client's requirements within an agreed budget. The purpose of this study is to develop a parametric cost estimating model for the early design stage by using the multi-dimensional system of OLAP (On-line Analytical Processing) based on the case of quantity data related to architectural design features. The parametric cost estimating models have been adopted to support decision making in the early design stage. These models typically use a similar instance or a pattern of historical case. In order to effectively use this type of data model, it is required to set data classification and prediction methods. One of the methods is to find the similar class in line with attribute selection measure in the multi-dimensional data model. Therefore, this research is to analyze the relevance attribute influenced by architectural design features with the subject of case-based quantity data used for the parametric cost estimating model. The relevance attributes can be analyzed by Analytical Characterization. It helps determine what attributes to be included in the OLAP multi-dimension.

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Conceptual Framework and Evaluation of Current Cost Accounting (현행원가회계의 개념구조와 평가)

  • 이정록
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 1998
  • Current cost income is composed of current operating profit and holding gains. There is two viewpoints about the nature of current cost changes: earnings and capital adjustments. The former is based on the financial capital maintenance concept, while the latter is based on the physical capital maintenance concept. Proponents of current cost accounting are convinced that it provides more useful information than conventional accounting. Advocates of financial capital believe that current cost information is needed for management to evaluate their past decisions, and thereby be able to improve their decision-making ability. Defenders of historical cost point out that current cost accounting violates the traditional revenue recognition principle by recognising increases in the value of assets before sales.

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A Conceptual Investment Cost Estimation Using by Cost Indices for the Train Control Facility of High-speed Rail Project (원가지수를 이용한 고속철도 설비의 개략적 투자비 추정기법)

  • Lee, Young-Joo;Lee, Yong-Eok;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2011
  • Most of Orders of Magnitude estimate are based on historical data. This data is converted to the current price using by the cost index method mainly. This method, however, is rarely utilized or only for one-time use due to the lack of data and the complex escalation calculation method. This paper present a typical process on the conceptual investment cost estimation using by Cost Indexes based on the actual case for the Train Control facility of High-speed rail project. The result is expected to serve as both an easy way for Order of Magnitude estimate and a standard guideline for computerized modeling.

Cost Estimating Method of Public Building Construction through Construction Scale (공사규모에 따른 공공건축물 공사비의 산정방법)

  • Yim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jun-Mo;Kim, Ok-Kyue
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2015
  • As there are a lot of differences in the public building construction cost depending on the construction scale of actual construction cost system, a lot of problems occur in the estimation of the cost. So, the development of a predictive model depending on the construction scale shall be used in a way that it is applied to the case selectively and differently. This study drew a cost estimating model through a regression analysis. For this, 42 construction sites which were ordered during 2011 to 2012 by Public Procurement Service data were selected as a historical data. Based on the application of the model to new construction and the verification of its effect, the reasonable model for estimating the construction cost has been suggested.

A STUDY ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COST MODEL BASED ON THE OWNER'S DECISION MAKING AT THE EARLY STAGES OF A CONSTRUCTION PROJECT

  • Choong-Wan Koo;Sang H. Park;Joon-oh Seo;TaeHoon Hong;ChangTaek Hyun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.676-684
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    • 2009
  • Decision making at the early stages of a construction project has a significant impact on the project, and various scenarios created based on the owner's requirements should be considered for the decision making. At the early stages of a construction project, the information regarding the project is usually limited and uncertain. As such, it is difficult to plan and manage the project (especially cost planning). Thus, in this study, a cost model that could be varied according to the owner's requirements was developed. The cost model that was developed in this study is based on the case-based reasoning (CBR) methodology. The model suggests cost estimation with the most similar historical case as a basis for the estimation. In this study, the optimization process was also conducted, using genetic algorithms that reflect the changes in the number of project characteristics and in the database in the model according to the owner's decision making. Two optimization parameters were established: (1) the minimum criteria for scoring attribute similarity (MCAS); and (2) the range of attribute weights (RAW). The cost model proposed in this study can help building owners and managers estimate the project budget at the business planning stage.

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Runoff analysis according to LID facilities in climate change scenario - focusing on Cheonggyecheon basin (기후변화 시나리오에서의 LID 요소기술 적용에 따른 유출량 분석 - 청계천 유역을 대상으로)

  • Yoon, EuiHyeok;Jang, Chang-Lae;Lee, KyungSu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2020
  • In this study, using the RCP scenario for Hyoja Drainage subbasin of Cheonggyecheon, we analyzed the change with the Historical and Future rainfall calculated from five GCMs models. As a result of analyzing the average rainfall by each GCMs model, the future rainfall increased by 35.30 to 208.65 mm from the historical rainfall. Future rainfall increased 1.73~16.84% than historical rainfall. In addition, the applicability of LID element technologies such as porous pavement, infiltration trench and green roof was analyzed using the SWMM model. And the applied weight and runoff for each LID element technology are analyzed. As a result of the analysis, although there was a difference for each GCMs model, the runoff increased by 2.58 to 28.78%. However, when single porous pavement and Infiltration trench were applied, Future rainfall decreased by 3.48% and 2.74%, 8.04% and 7.16% in INM-CM4 and MRI-CGCM3 models, respectively. Also, when the two types of LID element technologies were combined, the rainfall decreased by 2.74% and 2.89%, 7.16% and 7.31%, respectively. This is less than or similar to the historical rainfall runoff. As a result of applying the LID elemental technology, it was found that applying a green roof area of about 1/3 of the urban area is the most effective to secure the lag time of runoff. Moreover, when applying the LID method to the old downtown area, it is desirable to consider the priority order in the order of economic cost, maintenance, and cityscape.