• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hill estimator

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Estimation of Car Insurance Loss Ratio Using the Peaks over Threshold Method (POT방법론을 이용한 자동차보험 손해율 추정)

  • Kim, S.Y.;Song, J.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.101-114
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    • 2012
  • In car insurance, the loss ratio is the ratio of total losses paid out in claims divided by the total earned premiums. In order to minimize the loss to the insurance company, estimating extreme quantiles of loss ratio distribution is necessary because the loss ratio has essential prot and loss information. Like other types of insurance related datasets, the distribution of the loss ratio has heavy-tailed distribution. The Peaks over Threshold(POT) and the Hill estimator are commonly used to estimate extreme quantiles for heavy-tailed distribution. This article compares and analyzes the performances of various kinds of parameter estimating methods by using a simulation and the real loss ratio of car insurance data. In addition, we estimate extreme quantiles using the Hill estimator. As a result, the simulation and the loss ratio data applications demonstrate that the POT method estimates quantiles more accurately than the Hill estimation method in most cases. Moreover, MLE, Zhang, NLS-2 methods show the best performances among the methods of the GPD parameters estimation.

Parameter Estimation for an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Differential Equation

  • Kim, Yoon-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 1996
  • When we deal with a Hilbert space-valued Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) (or Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE)), depending on some unknown parameters, the solution usually has a Fourier series expansion. In this situation we consider the maximum likelihood method for the statistical estimation problem and derive the asymptotic properties (consistency and normality) of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE).

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A Nonparametric Procedure for Bioassay by using Conditional Quantile Processes

  • Kim, Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 1996
  • Bioequivanence models arise typically in bioassays when new preparations are compared against standard ones by means of responses on some biological organisms. Relative potency measures provide nice interpretations for such bioequivalence and their estimation constitutes the prime interest of such studies. A conditional quantile process based on the k-nearest neighbor method is proposed for this purpose. An alternative procedure based on Kolmogrov-Smirnov type estimator has also been considered along with. ARIC ultrasound data are analyzed as examples.

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Preliminary test estimation method accounting for error variance structure in nonlinear regression models (비선형 회귀모형에서 오차의 분산에 따른 예비검정 추정방법)

  • Yu, Hyewon;Lim, Changwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.595-611
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    • 2016
  • We use nonlinear regression models (such as the Hill Model) when we analyze data in toxicology and/or pharmacology. In nonlinear regression models an estimator of parameters and estimation of measurement about uncertainty of the estimator are influenced by the variance structure of the error. Thus, estimation methods should be different depending on whether the data are homoscedastic or heteroscedastic. However, we do not know the variance structure of the error until we actually analyze the data. Therefore, developing estimation methods robust to the variance structure of the error is an important problem. In this paper we propose a method to estimate parameters in nonlinear regression models based on a preliminary test. We define an estimator which uses either the ordinary least square estimation method or the iterative weighted least square estimation method according to the results of a simple preliminary test for the equality of the error variance. The performance of the proposed estimator is compared to those of existing estimators by simulation studies. We also compare estimation methods using real data obtained from the National Toxicology program of the United States.

A Study on the Stochastic Optimization of Binary-response Experimentation (이항 반응 실험의 확률적 전역최적화 기법연구)

  • Donghoon Lee;Kun-Chul Hwang;Sangil Lee;Won Young Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to review global stochastic optimization algorithms(GSOA) in case binary response experimentation is used and to compare the performances of them. GSOAs utilise estimator of probability of success $\^p$ instead of population probability of success p, since p is unknown and only known by its estimator which has stochastic characteristics. Hill climbing algorithm algorithm, simple random search, random search with random restart, random optimization, simulated annealing and particle swarm algorithm as a population based algorithm are considered as global stochastic optimization algorithms. For the purpose of comparing the algorithms, two types of test functions(one is simple uni-modal the other is complex multi-modal) are proposed and Monte Carlo simulation study is done to measure the performances of the algorithms. All algorithms show similar performances for simple test function. Less greedy algorithms such as Random optimization with Random Restart and Simulated Annealing, Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO) based on population show much better performances for complex multi-modal function.

INDEPENDENCE TEST FOR BIVARIATE CENSORED DATA UNDER UNIVARIATE CENSORSHIP

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Cai, Jian-Wen
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2003
  • We propose a test for independence of bivariate censored data under univariate censorship. To do this, we first introduce a process defined by the difference between bivariate survival function estimator proposed by Lin and Ying (1993) and the product of the product-limit estimators (Kaplan and Meier, 1958) for the marginal survival functions, and derive its asymptotic properties under the null hypothesis of independence. We propose a Cramer-von Mises-type test procedure based on the process . We conduct simulation studies to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed test and illustrate the proposed test with a real example.

A Study on the Theory of Power-law and Science Technology Policy System under Convergence Technology Environment (융합기술환경에서 멱법칙과 과학기술정책체계분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.28-46
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes the science and technology policy implications of power law in econophysics methodology under the recent convergence technology environment. Empirical results are summarized as follow: first, similar empirical results are showed up using Hill estimates and Rank-1/2 estimates in patent data set during 1990 through 2008. Second, the estimates of power law exponents for technology capability distribution are decreased during the periods. The policy implications for science and technology development draw from the empirical results. First, the fact that the exponents of power law are decreased show the convergence of technology capability among countries. The our country policy directs focus on the innovation strategy rather than imitation strategy. Second, the volatility of technology change results from a few capable technology developers so that policy direct may need to control the technology power in the large technology developer or company. The methodology and analytical results used in the paper may also be useful for consider for the science and technology phenomena such as convergence and divergence of technologies among countries in the world.

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The Investigation of Mineral Distribution at Spirit Rover Landing Site: Gusev Crater by CRISM Hyperspectral data and Target Detection Algorithm (CRISM 초분광 영상과 표적 탐지 알고리즘을 이용한 Spirit 로버 탐사 지역: Gusev Crater의 광물 분포 조사)

  • Baik, Hyun-Seob;Kim, Kwang-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.403-412
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    • 2016
  • Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars(CRISM) is 489-band hyperspectral camera of Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter(MRO) that provided data used on many mineral researches over Martian surface. For the detection of minerals in planet, mineral index using a few spectral bands have been used. In this study, we applied Matched Filter and Adaptive Cosine Estimator(ACE) target detection algorithm on CRISM data over Gusev Crater: landing site of Spirit(Mars Exploration Rover A) to investigate its mineral distribution. As a result, olivine, pyroxene, magnetite, etc. is detected at Gusev Crater's Columbia Hills. These results are corresponding to the Spirit rover's field survey result. It is expected that hyperspectral target detection algorithms can be used as effective and easy to use method for the detection and mapping of surface minerals in planet.