• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard Rate Function.

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A Study for the Fire Hazard Evaluation through the Fire Simulation of an Apartment Fire Accident (아파트 화재 사례 전산모사를 통한 화재위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Heung-Kyun;Choi, Young-Sang;Choo, Hong-Lok
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2010
  • In this study, Fire Hazards were evaluated through computer simulation using FDS program for an apartment fire accident. The results of fire simulation showed that the maximum heat release rate in the case of no sprinklers activation was 7,700 kW which was about 16 times of that in the case of sprinklers activation, 497 kW and there was a very high fire hazard due to the backdraft phenomenon when the door of fire room was forced to open. Regarding the hazard time of fire room temperature and detection time of detectors, available evacuation time was 32.5 seconds of minimum to 53.5 seconds of maximum. In the case of sprinklers activation, fire hazard in the apartment was showed to be very low due to the fire control by the spray cooling of sprinklers. This study shows that what a important function for fire safety is the activations of fire sprinkler system and emergency alarm system and what a large loss can cause if these systems don’t activate in fire accidents.

Youth Unemployment and the Effect of My Mom's Friend's Son (청년층 실업과 엄친아효과)

  • Bai, Jin Han
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2010
  • Introducing a concept of 'the Effect of My Mom's Friend's Son'(MMFS Effect) into the conventional job search theory to develop it further, we try to estimate its effects on the hazard rate of youth pre-employment duration with some proxy variables such as his/her parents' schooling, monthly temporary/daily workers ratio, monthly average wage differentials between the workers of large and small firms. The results confirm us the fact that so called 'MMFS Effect' has been strengthened gradually up to recently. Their policy implications are as followings. Firstly, from the standpoint of shortening job searching period of youth and raising the hazard rate of their unemployment, the trend that the differentials of wages and quality of jobs in the labor market are expanding continuously is not desirable at all. Secondly, the problems of youth unemployment cannot be solved easily only by providing correct and relevant informations about the labor markets simply.

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Cost optimization for periodic PM policy

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2005
  • This paper considers a preventive maintenance policy following the expiration of renewing warranty, Most preventive maintenance models assume that each PM costs a fixed predetermined amount regardless of the effectiveness of each PM. However, it seems more reasonable to assume that the PM cost depends on the degree of effectiveness of the PM activity. In this paper we consider a periodic preventive maintenance policy following the expiration of renewing warranty when the PM cost is an increasing function of the PM effect. The optimal number and period for the periodic PM policy with effect dependent cost that minimize the expected cost rate per unit time over an infinite time span are obtained.

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Partial versus Radical Nephrectomy for T1-T2 Renal Cell Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease Stage III: a Multiinstitutional Analysis of Kidney Function and Survival Rate

  • Chung, Jae-Seung;Son, Nak Hoon;Lee, Sang Eun;Hong, Sung Kyu;Jeong, Chang Wook;Kwak, Cheol;Kim, Hyeon Hoe;Hong, Sung Hoo;Kim, Yong June;Kang, Seok Ho;Chung, Jinsoo;Kwon, Tae Gyun;Hwang, Eu Chang;Byun, Seok-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Medical Science
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    • v.33 no.43
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    • pp.277.1-277.10
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    • 2018
  • Background: To examine survival rates and renal function after partial nephrectomy (PN) and radical nephrectomy (RN) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: We studied 4,332 patients who underwent PN or RN for pathological T1a-T2N0M0 renal cell carcinoma from 1988 to 2014. Patients were divided into two subgroups of CKD stage I-II and stage III. Kidney function, and survival outcomes were compared between groups. Results: We included 1,756 patients with CKD I-II and 276 patients with CKD III in the final pair-matched analysis. Kidney function was significantly better preserved in the PN than in the RN group among all patients. However, the beneficial effect of PN on kidney function gradually disappeared over time in CKD III patients. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates after PN and RN differed in patients with CKD I-II disease (99.4% vs. 96.5%, respectively, P = 0.015). The 5-year OS rates after surgery were not affected by mode of nephrectomy in CKD III patients (97.8% vs. 93.5%, P = 0.103). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rates did not differ between treatment groups in all CKD stage. Cox hazard analysis showed that the operative method was a significant factor for OS in CKD I-II patients (hazard ratio [HR], 0.320; confidence interval [CI], 0.122-0.840; P = 0.021). However, PN was not beneficial in terms of OS in CKD III patients (HR, 0.395; CI, 0.086-1.172; P = 0.117). Conclusion: PN is associated with a higher OS rate and better kidney function in patients with preoperative CKD stage I and II, but not in those with CKD stage III.

Exponentiated Quasi Lindley distribution

  • Elbatal, I.;Diab, L.S.;Elgarhy, M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2016
  • The Exponentiated Quasi Lindley (EQL) distribution which is an extension of the quasi Lindley Distribution is introduced and its properties are explored. This new distribution represents a more flexible model for the lifetime data. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution including the shapes of the density and hazard rate functions, the moments and moment generating function, the distribution of the order statistics are given. The maximum likelihood estimation technique is used to estimate the model parameters and finally an application of the model with a real data set is presented for the illustration of the usefulness of the proposed distribution.

Field Reliability Analysis of S-Bond of AF Track Circuit for Automatic Train Control System (자동열차제어장치 AF궤도회로 S-BOND의 사용신뢰도 분석)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyoung;Rho, Young-Whan
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.308-313
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a reliability analysis of S-bonds for AF track circuits, which detect train movement and transmit a speed control signal to the train. Field survey shows that S-bonds are exposed to very large vibrations transferred from rail, and suffer from frequent failures when they were installed on ballasted track. We collected the time-to-failure data of S-bonds from the maintenance field of Seoul metro line 2, and made a parametric approach to estimate the statistical distribution that fits the time-to-failure data. The analysis shows that S-bonds have time-to-failure characteristics described by Weibull distribution. The estimated shape parameter of Weibull distribution is 1.1, which means the distribution has constant failure rate characteristics like exponential distribution. The reliability function, hazard function, percentiles and mean lifetime are derived for maintenance support.

Determination of Optimal Replacement Period for A Multicomponent System Consider with Failure Types (고장형태(故障形態)를 고려(考慮)한 다부품장비(多部品裝備)의 최적교환시기(最適交換時期) 결정(決定))

  • Lee, Seung-Jun;Gang, Chang-Uk;Hwang, Ui-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, it is assumed that a system is composed of an essential unit and a nonessential unit. During the running of the system, an essential unit is replaced at periodic replacement time T or at nth failure of essential unit whichever occurs first. Nonessential unit is replaced at its failure and at the replacement of essential unit. This paper derive optimal replacement period which minmises the total expected cost for replacement. The unimodality of totoal maintenance cost function is proved under the assumption that hazard rate of each component is continuous and monotone increasing failure rate(IFR). Based on this condition, it is shown that the optimal replacement period is finite and unique.

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Optimal Replacement Policy for a Repairable System with Combination Warranty (혼합보증이 있는 수리 가능한 시스템에 대한 최적의 교체정책)

  • 정기문
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we present the optimal replacement policies following the expiration of combination warranty. We consider two types of combination warranty policies: renewing warranty and non-renewing warranty. The criterion used to determine the optimal replacement period is the expected cost rate per unit time from the user'perspective. The optimal maintenance period following the expiration of combination warranty is obtained. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

A Study on the Application Plan of the Optimized Risk Assessment Model in Construction Field (최적 위험도 평가 모델의 건설업 분야 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • cho, Jae-hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2017
  • It has come to attention that a risk-assessing organization, that will benchmark a company's safety department, is imperative, following an increase in large-scale SOC-business project, construction of higher-raised buildings, development of underground space; all that have increase accident rates. Having faced problems that arise in firms that demand diversity, complexity and instantaneity, the purpose of the thesis is to arrive at efficient and practical problem-solving means. In order to solve the problems that would surface theoretically during an actual risk assessment, the state of the operation systems of the top five national construction firms having a hazard rate of 0.25 times less than the average rate have been analyzed, while a hierarchal recognition research of the employees who not only function at the operating level but are the practice subjects of a firm, has also been conducted, bringing the main text.

Cardiac Dysfunction Is Not Associated with Increased Reintubation Rate in Patients Treated with Post-extubation High-Flow Nasal Cannula

  • Sim, Jae Kyeom;Choi, Juwhan;Oh, Jee Youn;Min, Kyung Hoon;Hur, Gyu Young;Lee, Sung Yong;Shim, Jae Jeong;Lee, Young Seok
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.85 no.4
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    • pp.332-340
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    • 2022
  • Background: Cardiac dysfunction patients have long been considered at high risk of reintubation. However, it is based on past studies in which only conventional oxygen therapy was applied after extubation. We investigated association between cardiac dysfunction and reintubation rate in situation where high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) was widely used during post-extubation period. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of patients treated with HFNC after planned extubation in medical intensive care unit of single tertiary center. Patients were divided into normal function group (ejection fraction [EF] ≥45%) and cardiac dysfunction group (EF <45%). The primary outcome was reintubation rate within 72 hours following extubation. Results: Of 270 patients, 35 (13%) had cardiac dysfunction. Baseline characteristics were similar in both groups. There were no differences in the changes in vital signs between the two groups during the first 12 hours after extubation except diastolic blood pressure. The reintubation rates were 20% and 17% for cardiac dysfunction group and normal function group, respectively (p=0.637). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, cardiac dysfunction was not associated with an increased risk of reintubation within 72 hours following extubation (hazard ratio, 1.56; p=0.292). Conclusion: Cardiac dysfunction was not associated with increased reintubation rate within 72 hours when HFNC is immediately applied after planned extubation.