• Title/Summary/Keyword: Green Risk

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Statistical analysis and its application of bicycle accidents (자전거 교통사고의 통계분석 및 활용)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Kim, Moung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1081-1090
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    • 2010
  • Most nations including Korean government make a great endeavor to realize low-carbon and green-growth world. We also work hard to expand bicycle facilities and bicycle road in order to increase bicycle transportation rate. Nowadays number of cyclists is increasing but fortunately, bicycle accidents also increase rapidly. Most data of bicycle accidents published by National Police Agency annually are represented as frequencies in two dimensional contingency tables. In this work, risk rates and characteristics of bicycle accidents are analyzed by using concepts of the probability and conditional probability. Especially with numbers of estimated cyclists and registered cars, risk rates of various kinds of bicycle accidents are obtained. Under the assumption of the conditional independence, probability of bicycle accident occurred at realistic situations could be estimated. Furthermore we discuss to reduce bicycle accidents with these results obtained in this work.

Development of Detailed Risk Information based on Risk Zoning for Preventing Urban Flooding (도시침수 예방대책 마련을 위한 상세 위험도 주제도 개발)

  • Kim, Mi-Eun;Kim, Seul-Ye;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.123-123
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화의 영향으로 개발밀도가 높은 도시지역은 호우로 인한 피해가 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 최근, 극한 호우에 의해 발생되는 도시침수의 피해를 저감하기 위해 시설물 대책에만 의존하기 보다는 지자체가 수립하는 공간계획을 통해 토지이용, 건축물 등을 아우르는 종합적인 예방전략 마련이 강조되고 있다. 하지만 지자체 도시계획 담당자가 기후변화를 고려해 방재대책을 마련하는데는 국가 차원의 표준화된 방법론의 부재, 침수해석을 위한 전문적 지식이 요구되는 등의 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 지자체가 도시계획에 실효성 있는 방재대책을 마련하는데 직접적으로 활용할 수 있는 도시침수에 대한 상세 위험도 주제도를 개발하고자 한다. 이를 위해, 우선적으로 중장기적인 측면에서 기후변화의 영향과 도시지역의 유출 특성을 고려해 방재계획을 수립할 수 있는 강우 시나리오 기준으로 지속시간 1시간에 대한 재현빈도 30년과 100년을 제시하였다. 기후변화의 영향을 고려한 강우 시나리오 기준에 따라 도시지역 내 내수 외수의 침수발생 원인을 고려해 침수심 지도를 생성하고자 한다. 이를 위해 범용적으로 적용할 수 있는 침수해석 모형인 HEC-RAS와 SWMM을 선정하고, 공간적 제약이 없이 폭 넓게 적용할 수 있도록 모형의 구축 절차를 간소화한 방법을 제안하였다. 간소화된 침수해석 모형 결과를 토대로 강우 시나리오별 침수심 지도를 제작하고, 강우 시나리오와 침수심을 기준으로 위험정도에 따라 Red zone, Orange zone, Yellow zone, Green zone으로 영향권을 설정하였다. 실질적으로 각 영향권에 적합한 도시계획 차원에서의 방재대책 수립이 가능하도록 노출특성과 취약성 분석을 실시하였다. 노출특성은 영향권에 노출된 토지이용면적(m2)과 거주인구수(명)로 평가하고 취약성은 영향권 내 취약한 건축물 수(지하 또는 노후 건축물), 보호대상시설물 수로 평가하였다. 침수 발생이 예상되는 영향권별 노출특성과 취약성 분석 결과를 토대로 위험이 높은 지역(Red zone)은 공간규모를 축소해 상세 위험도 공간정보 주제도를 개발하였다. 또한 위험도가 높은 지역은 작은 공간 단위로 노출특성과 취약성을 분석해 상세 위험도 주제도를 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 상세 위험도 공간정보는 지자체가 도시계획 수립단계에서 실질적인 방재대책을 강구하는데 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Analysis of Flood Control Capacity of Agricultural Reservoir Based on SSP Climate Change Scenario (SSP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 농업용 저수지 홍수조절능력 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Kwak, Jihye;Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang Min;Lee, Sunghack;Lee, Jae Nam;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the flood control capacity of the agricultural reservoir based on state-of-the-art climate change scenario - SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). 18 agricultural reservoirs were selected as the study sites, and future rainfall data based on SSP scenario provided by CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6) was applied to analyze the impact of climate change. The frequency analysis module, the rainfall-runoff module, the reservoir operation module, and their linkage system were built and applied to simulate probable rainfall, maximum inflow, maximum outflow, and maximum water level of the reservoirs. And the maximum values were compared with the design values, such as design flood of reservoirs, design flood of direct downstream, and top of dam elevation, respectively. According to whether or not the maximum values exceed each design value, cases were divided into eight categories; I-O-H, I-O, I-H, I, O-H, O, H, X. Probable rainfall (200-yr frequency, 12-h duration) for observed data (1973~2020) was a maximum of 445.2 mm and increased to 619.1~1,359.7 mm in the future (2011~2100). For the present, 61.1% of the reservoirs corresponded to I-O, which means the reservoirs have sufficient capacity to discharge large inflow; however, there is a risk of overflowing downstream due to excessive outflow. For the future, six reservoirs (Idong, Baekgok, Yedang, Tapjung, Naju, Jangsung) were changed from I-O to I-O-H, which means inflow increases beyond the discharge capacity due to climate change, and there is a risk of collapse due to dam overflow.

Patterns of Axillary Lymph Node Metastasis in Breast Cancer: A Prospective Single-Center Study

  • Choi, Hee Jun;Kim, Jae-Myung;Ryu, Jai Min;Kim, Isaac;Nam, Seok Jin;Yu, Jonghan;Lee, Se Kyung;Lee, Jeong Eon;Kim, Seok Won
    • Journal of Breast Cancer
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.447-452
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The recent trend in breast cancer treatment is to minimize axillary dissection. However, no pattern of axillary metastasis has been precisely established. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the metastatic lymphatic pattern using near-infrared fluorescence imaging with indocyanine green (ICG) in breast cancer with cytologically proven axillary metastasis. Methods: This was a prospective single-center study. We evaluated 147 patients with breast cancer involving cytologically proven axillary metastasis, and compared physiological and nonphysiological lymphatic metastasis. Results: We performed lymphatic mapping for 64 patients who exhibited level II lymphatic flow on near-infrared fluorescence imaging with ICG, and found that all had axillary metastasis: 51 patients who did not receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and 13 patients post-NAC. Of patients who did not receive NAC, 32 had physiological lymphatic metastasis and 19 had nonphysiological lymphatic metastasis. The risk factors for nonphysiological lymphatic metastasis were age ${\geq}55$ years, high Ki-67 index (>20%), and perinodal extension in both univariate and multivariate analysis (p<0.05). Conclusion: Patients with identified risk factors in cytologically-proven axillary metastasis who did not receive NAC may have nonphysiological lymphatic metastasis.

Study on Priority Decision for Ship's Alternative Fuel Selection Using Fuzzy TOPSIS Method (퍼지 TOPSIS 기법을 이용한 선박 대체 연료 선정의 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeonghak Lee;Juyeong Shin;Jaehoon Jee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2024
  • At the 80th session of the MEPC, the IMO presented an enhanced GHG reduction strategy. The strategy is more specific and robust than the initial strategy presented at the 72nd session. The IMO aims to achieve 'Net Zero' GHG emissions from international shipping by 2050. In this study, a risk assessment was conducted for representative green fuels, namely. LNG, hydrogen, methanol, and ammonia. The fuzzy method was used to resolve the subjective ambiguity of results from the survey of the experts, and the positive and negative ef ects of the fuzziness were derived through the TOPSIS method. Finally, the closeness coefficients of the considered alternative fuels were determined using the Vertex method. As a result, methanol, LNG, hydrogen, and ammonia were preferred. This study suggests that the proposed approach can be used as a collective decision-making tool for selecting alternative fuels.

A Study on Marine Ecological Risk Assessment of Ballast Water Management Technology Using the Sodium Dichloroisocyanurate (NaDCC) Injection Method (이염화이소시아뉼산나트륨(NaDCC) 주입 선박평형수 처리기술의 해양생태위해성평가에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Won;Moon, Chang Ho;Park, MiOk;Jeon, MiHae;Son, Min Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.203-214
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    • 2018
  • Ballast water treated by sodium dichloroisocyanurate (NaDCC) injection method in ballast water management system (BWMS) contains reactive bromine, chlorine species and disinfection by-products (DBPs). In this study, we conducted whole effluent toxicity (WET) testing and ecological risk assessment (ERA) to investigate its ecotoxicological effects on the marine environment. WET testing was carried out for eight marine and fresh water organisms, i.e. diatom, Skeletonema costatum, Navicula pelliculosa, green algae, Dunaliella tertiolecta, Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata, rotifer, Brachionus plicatilis, Brachionus calyciflorus and fish, Cyprinodon variegatus, Pimephales promelas. The WET test revealed that diatom and green algae were the only organisms that showed apparent toxicity to the effluent; it showed no observed effect concentration (NOEC), lowest observable effect concentration (LOEC) and effect concentration of 50 % (EC50) values of 25.0 %, 50.0 % and over 100.0 %, respectively, in seawater conditions. In contrast, rotifer and fish showed no toxicities to the effluent in the all salinity conditions. Meanwhile, chemical analysis revealed that the BWMS effluent contained total of 25 DBPs such as bromate, isocyanuric acid, formaldehyde, chloropicrin, trihalomethanes (THMs), halogenated acetonitriles (HANs) and halogenated acetic acids (HAAs). Based on ERA, the 25 DBPs were not considered to have persistency, bioaccumulation and toxicity (PBT) properties. The ratio of predicted environmental concentration (PEC) to predicted no effect concentration (PNEC) of the all DBPs did not exceed 1.0 for general harbour environments, but isocyanuric acid, tribromomethane, chloropicrin and monochloroacetic acid exceed 1.0 for near ship environments. However, when NOEC (25.0%) of the WET test results where actual effluent was applied, it was concluded that the NaDCC injection method did not have unacceptable ecological risks to the general harbor including near ship environments.

Inhibition of Angiotensin II-Induced Vascular Smooth Muscle Cell Hypertrophy by Different Catechins

  • Zheng, Ying;Song, Hye-Jin;Yun, Seok-Hee;Chae, Yeon-Jeong;Jia, Hao;Kim, Chan-Hyung;Ha, Tae-Sun;Sachinidis, Agapios;Ahn, Hee-Yul;Davidge, Sandra T.
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2005
  • A cumulative evidence indicates that consumption of tea catechin, flavan-3-ol derived from green tea leaves, lowers the risk of cardiovascular diseases. However, a precise mechanism for this cardiovascular action has not yet been fully understood. In the present study, we investigated the effects of different green tea catechins, such as epigallocatechin-3 gallate (EGCG), epigallocatechin (EGC), epicatechin-3 gallate (ECG), and epicatechin (EC), on angiotensin II (Ang II)-induced hypertrophy in primary cultured rat aortic vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC). [$^3H$]-leucine incorporation was used to assess VSMC hypertrophy, protein kinase assay, and western blot analysis were used to assess mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) activity, and RT-PCR was used to assess c-jun or c-fos transcription. Ang II increased [$^3H$]-leucine incorporation into VSMC. However, EGCG and ECG, but not EGC or EC, inhibited [$^3H$]-leucine incorporation increased by Ang II. Ang II increased phosphorylation of c-Jun, extracellular-signal regulated kinase (ERK) 1/2 and p38 MAPK in VSMC, however, EGCG and ECG , but not EGC or EC, attenuated c-Jun phosphorylation increased by Ang II. ERK 1/2 and p38 MAPK phosphorylation induced by Ang II were not affected by any catechins. Ang II increased c-jun and c-fos mRNA expression in VSMC, however, EGCG inhibited c-jun but not c-fos mRNA expression induced by Ang II. ECG, EGC and EC did not affect c-jun or c-fos mRNA expression induced by Ang II. Our findings indicate that the galloyl group in the position 3 of the catechin structure of EGCG or ECG is essential for inhibiting VSMC hypertrophy induced by Ang II via the specific inhibition of JNK signaling pathway, which may explain the beneficial effects of green tea catechin on the pathogenesis of cardiovascular diseases observed in several epidemiological studies.

Green Tea Extract Decreases the Lymphatic Absorption of Trans Fat in Rats (흰쥐에서 녹차추출물의 트랜스 지방 소장 흡수 억제 작용)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeon;Noh, Sang-K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2012
  • Excessive intake of trans fats is known to be a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. Previously, we have shown that green tea extract (GTE) lowers the intestinal absorption of lipids and lipid-soluble compounds in rats. This study was conducted to investigate a possible role of GTE on the lymphatic absorption of elaidic acid, a major trans fat in the diet. Adult male Sprague-Dawley rats with lymph duct cannula were infused via an intraduodenal catheter at 3.0 mL/hr for 8 hr with a lipid emulsion containing $180.0{\mu}mol$ elaidic acid, $400.0{\mu}mol$ triolein, $20.7{\mu}mol$ cholesterol, $3.1{\mu}mol$ ${\alpha}$-tocopherol, and $396.0{\mu}mol$ sodium-taurocholate with or without (control) GTE in a 24 mL PBS buffer (pH, 6.4). Simultaneously, lymph was collected hourly for 8 hr via the lymph duct cannula. There was a significant difference in lymph flow by GTE. Also, the lymphatic absorption of elaidic acid for 8 hr was significantly lower in rats infused with GTE than in those not infused with GTE. Similarly, GTE infusion decreased the lymphatic outputs of cholesterol, oleic acid, and phospholipids, compared with the controls. These findings provide clear evidence that GTE has an inhibitory effect on the intestinal absorption of elaidic acid and other lipids. Our work here provides the foundation for further studies to examine and evaluate dietary strategies to ameliorate dietary trans fats from the diet.

In-depth Review of IPCC 5th Assessment Report (IPCC 제5차 과학평가보고서 고찰)

  • Park, Il-Soo;Woon, Yu;Chung, Kyung-Won;Lee, Gangwoong;Owen, Jeffrey S.;Kwon, Won-Tae;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.188-200
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    • 2014
  • The IPCC 5th Assessment Report (Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis) was accepted at the 36th Session of the IPCC on 26 September 2013 in Stockholm, Sweden. It consists of the full scientific and technical assessment undertaken by Working Group I. This comprehensive assessment of the physical aspects of climate change puts a focus on those elements that are relevant to understand past, document current, and project future of climate change. The assessment builds on the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report and the recent Special Report on Managing the Risk of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. The assessment covers the current knowledge of various processes within, and interactions among, climate system components, which determine the sensitivity and response of the system to changes in forcing, and they quantify the link between the changes in atmospheric constituents, and hence radiative forcing, and the consequent detection and attribution of climate change. Projections of changes in all climate system components are based on model simulations forced by a new set of scenarios. The report also provides a comprehensive assessment of past and future sea level change in a dedicated chapter. The primary purpose of this Technical Summary is to provide the link between the complete assessment of the multiple lines of independent evidence presented in the main report and the highly condensed summary prepared as Policy makers Summary. The Technical Summary thus serves as a starting point for those readers who seek the full information on more specific topics covered by this assessment. Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia. The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, sea level has risen, and the concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased. Total radiative forcing is positive, and has led to an uptake of energy by the climate system. The largest contribution to total radiative forcing is caused by the increase in the atmospheric concentration of $CO_2$ since 1750. Human influence on the climate system is clear. This is evident from the increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing, observed warming, and understanding of the climate system. Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and changes in all components of the climate system. Limiting climate change will require substantial and sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions. The in-depth review for past, present and future of climate change is carried out on the basis of the IPCC 5th Assessment Report.

A Rapid and Sensitive Detection of Aflatoxin-producing Fungus Using an Optimized Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR)

  • Bintvihok, Anong;Treebonmuang, Supitchaya;Srisakwattana, Kitiya;Nuanchun, Wisut;Patthanachai, Koranis;Usawang, Sungworn
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2016
  • Aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) is produced by Aspergillus flavus growing in feedstuffs. Early detection of maize contamination by aflatoxigenic fungi is advantageous since aflatoxins exert adverse health effects. In this study, we report the development of an optimized conventional PCR for AFB1 detection and a rapid, sensitive and simple screening Real-time PCR (qPCR) with SYBR Green and two pairs of primers targeting the aflR genes which involved aflatoxin biosynthesis. AFB1 contaminated maize samples were divided into three groups by the toxin concentration. Genomic DNA was extracted from those samples. The target genes for A. flavus were tested by conventional PCR and the PCR products were analyzed by electrophoresis. A conventional PCR was carried out as nested PCR to verify the gene amplicon sizes. PCR-RFLP patterns, obtained with Hinc II and Pvu II enzyme analysis showed the differences to distinguish aflatoxin-producing fungi. However, they are not quantitative and need a separation of the products on gel and their visualization under UV light. On the other hand, qPCR facilitates the monitoring of the reaction as it progresses. It does not require post-PCR handling, which reduces the risk of cross-contamination and handling errors. It results in a much faster throughout. We found that the optimal primer annealing temperature was $65^{\circ}C$. The optimized template and primer concentration were $1.5{\mu}L\;(50ng/{\mu}L)$ and $3{\mu}L\;(10{\mu}M/{\mu}L)$ respectively. SYBR Green qPCR of four genes demonstrated amplification curves and melting peaks for tub1, afIM, afIR, and afID genes are at $88.0^{\circ}C$, $87.5^{\circ}C$, $83.5^{\circ}C$, and $89.5^{\circ}C$ respectively. Consequently, it was found that the four primers had elevated annealing temperatures, nevertheless it is desirable since it enhances the DNA binding specificity of the dye. New qPCR protocol could be employed for the determination of aflatoxin content in feedstuff samples.