• Title/Summary/Keyword: Goodness-Of-Fit Test

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Stress - Coping - Adaptation model for Unwed Mothers : It's Empirical Test (미혼모의 스트레스-대처-적응 모형 검증)

  • Lee, Hyun-Joo;Um, Myung-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to empirically test the causal model of stress-coping-adaptation for unwed mothers, which was built upon the Lazarus and Folkman's(1984) "Stress-Coping-Adaptation" model. In doing so researchers endeavored to provide practice implications as well as theoretical ones which would be helpful both to alleviate the unwed mothers' stress level, and to facilitate social adaptation of the unwed mothers. In order to fulfill research purpose data were collected from the national sample of 423 unwed mothers in Korea. The results showed that the overall goodness of the fit of the proposed causal model was excellent. Most of the path coefficients between social support, stress, coping, and adaption turned out to be statistically significant. The moderating effects of "pursuit of social support" between stress and adaption was not significant statistically, though. Implications and suggestions were provided to reduce the level of stress of the unwed mothers, and to facilitate the adaptation of the unwed mothers.

Statistical Probability Analysis of Storage Temperatures of Domestic Refrigerator as a Risk Factor of Foodborne Illness Outbreak (식중독 발생 위해인자로서 가정용 냉장고의 온도에 대한 확률분포 분석)

  • Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.373-376
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to present the proper probability distribution model based on the data obtained from surveys on domestic refrigerator food storage temperatures in home. Domestic refrigerator temperatures were determined as risk factors in foodborne disease outbreaks for microbial risk assessment (MRA). The temperature was measured by directly visiting 139 homes using a data logger from May to September of 2009. The overall mean temperature for all the refrigerators in the survey was $3.53{\pm}2.96^{\circ}C$, with 23.6% of the refrigerators measuring above $5^{\circ}C$. Probability distributions were also created using @RISK program based on the measured temperature data. Statistical ranking was determined by the goodness of fit (GOF, i.e., the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) or Anderson-Darling (AD) test) to determine the proper probability distribution model. This result showed that the LogLogistic (-10.407, 13.616, 8.6107) distribution was found to be the most appropriate for the MRA model. The results of this study might be directly used as input variables in exposure evaluation for conducting MRA.

Low Flow Frequency Analysis of Steamflows Simulated from the Stochastically Generated Daily Rainfal Series (일 강우량의 모의 발생을 통한 갈수유량 계열의 산정 및 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sik;Gang, Gyeong-Seok;Seo, Byeong-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 1999
  • In this study, one of the techniques on the extension of low flow series has been developed, in which the daily streamflows were simulated by the Tank model with the input of extended daily rainfall series which were stochastically generated by the Markov chain model. The annual lowest flow serried for each of the given durations were formulated form the simulated daily streamflow sequences. The frequency of the estimated annual lowest flow series was analyzed. The distribution types to be used for the frequency analysis were two-parameter and three-parameter log-normal distribution, two-parameter and three-parameter Gamma distribution, three-parameter log-Gamma distribution, Gumbel distribution, and Weibull distribution, of which parameters were estimated by the moment method and the maximum likelihood method. The goodness-of-fit test for probability distribution is evaluated by the Kolmogorov-Sminrov test. The fitted distribution function for each duration series is applied to frequency analysis for developing duration-low flow-frequency curves at Yongdam Dam station. It was shown that the purposed technique in this study is available to generate the daily streamflow series with fair accuracy and useful to determine the probabilistic low flow in the watersheds having the poor historic records of low flow series.

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Testing Log Normality for Randomly Censored Data (임의중도절단자료에 대한 로그정규성 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.883-891
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    • 2011
  • For survival data we sometimes want to test a log normality hypothesis that can be changed into normality by transforming the survival data. Hence the Shapiro-Wilk type statistic for normality is generalized to randomly censored data based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version under the simpl hypothesis. These two test statistics are compared through a simulation study. As for the distribution of censoring variables, we consider Koziol and Green (1976)'s model and other similar models. Through the simulation results, we can see that the power of the proposed statistic is higher than that of Koziol-Green statistic and that the proportion of the censored observations (rather than the distribution of censoring variables) has a strong influence on the power of the proposed statistic.

Detection of Traffic Anomalities using Mining : An Empirical Approach (마이닝을 이용한 이상트래픽 탐지: 사례 분석을 통한 접근)

  • Kim Jung-Hyun;Ahn Soo-Han;Won You-Jip;Lee Jong-Moon;Lee Eun-Young
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.201-217
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we collected the physical traces from high speed Internet backbone traffic and analyze the various characteristics of the underlying packet traces. Particularly, our work is focused on analyzing the characteristics of an anomalous traffic. It is found that in our data, the anomalous traffic is caused by UDP session traffic and we determined that it was one of the Denial of Service attacks. In this work, we adopted the unsupervised machine learning algorithm to classify the network flows. We apply the k-means clustering algorithm to train the learner. Via the Cramer-Yon-Misses test, we confirmed that the proposed classification method which is able to detect anomalous traffic within 1 second can accurately predict the class of a flow and can be effectively used in determining the anomalous flows.

Analysis of Extreme Wave Conditions for Long-Term Wave Observation Data Considering Directionality (방향성을 고려한 장기 파랑관측자료의 극치파랑조건 분석)

  • Kim, Gunwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.700-711
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    • 2022
  • In this study, deepwater design waves were estimated for 16 wave directions and various return periods based on statistical analysis of extreme waves observed for more than 20 years at three stations (Chilbal-do, Geomun-do, Donghae). These values were compared with design waves estimated based on the omni-directional wave data. The Weibull distribution was used as the probability distribution function whose parameters were determined by the least square method. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was applied for the goodness of fit test. Notably, the directional design waves were smaller than the omni-directional design wave for every wave direction. The maximum 50-year wave heights for directional sectors were 7.46 m (NNE), 12.05 m (S), and 9,59 m (SSW) at Chilbal-do, Geomun-do and Donghae whereas those for uni-directional wave data were 7.91 m, 13.82 m and 10.38 m, respectively. This implied possible under-estimation of the deepwater design waves for 16 wave directions being currently used in the design of offshore and coastal structures.

Structural Relationship between Adolescent Athletes' Positive Thinking, Coping Flexibility, and Burnout (청소년 운동선수들의 긍정적 사고와 대처유연성 및 소진의 구조적 관계)

  • Song, Ki-Hyun;Kim, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2020
  • The objective of the study was to identify the structural relationship between adolescent athletes'positive thinking and coping flexibility, burnout. In order to achieve such research goal, male and female athletes'from physical education middle and high schools across the nation were recruited; using a convenience sampling method, a total of 333 samples were selected as the final effective samples. The data went through a goodness-of-fit test for the whole model using SPSS 20.0 and AMOS 20.0 and a hypothesis test. The result is as follows: first, positive thinking was revealed to have significant influence on coping flexibility. second, repertories and flexible a subfactor of coping flexibility, had significant negative (-) effects on burnout, whereas reflective had no significant effects on it. Third, positive thinking was revealed to have no significant influence on burnout. In conclusion, although positive thinking is a variable that is based on internal information, positive thinking did not directly affect psychological burnout, but coping flexibility can be used to prevent burnout.

The Accelerated Life Test of 2.5 Inch Hard Disk In The Environment of PC using (PC 사용 환경의 2.5 인치 하드디스크의 가속 수명 시험)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Seo, Hui-Don
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2014
  • In order to estimate the life of 2,5 inch HDD which is adopted by PC environment, make the test plan which reflect the failure mode of market, make the test model of accelerated life test which reflect the stress of temperature. after an analysis of the environment of PC using, test procedure was decided that operation was write 50 % and read 50 %, and then access method was sequential 50 % and random 50%. The acceleration life test was executed on condition that temperature was $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$, performance was 95 % in max performance, test time was 1000 hours. by the test of goodness of fit of anderson-darling of the failure data during test, it was confirmed that the distribution of failure fellow weibull. test for shape and scale was equal, and shape parameter was 0.7177, characteristic life was 429434 hours at normal user condition($30^{\circ}C$) by the analysis of weibull-arrhenius modeling. It made no difference about the statistics when equality test was executed. The activation energy was 0.2775eV. In analyzing between the failure samples of acceleration test and the samples of market return even though there is detail difference about the share of failure mode, the rank of share was almost same. This study suggest the test procedure of acceleration test of 2.5 inch HDD in PC using environment, and help the life estimation at manufacture and user.

Developing the Accurate Method of Test Data Assessment with Changing Reliability Growth Rate and the Effect Evaluation for Complex and Repairable Products

  • So, Young-Kug;Ryu, Byeong-Jin
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.90-100
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    • 2015
  • Reliability growth rate (or reliability growth curve slope) have the two cases of trend as a constant or changing one during the reliability growth testing. The changing case is very common situation. The reasons of reliability growth rate changing are that the failures to follow the NHPP (None-Homogeneous Poisson Process), and the solutions implemented during test to break out other problems or not to take out all of the root cause permanently. If the changing were big, the "Goodness of Fit (GOF)" of reliability growth curve to test data would be very low and then reduce the accuracy of assessing result with test data. In this research, we are using Duane model and AMSAA model for assessing test data and projecting the reliability level of complex and repairable system as like construction equipment and vehicle. In case of no changing in reliability growth rate, it is reasonable for reliability engineer to implement the original Duane model (1964) and Crow-AMSAA model (1975) for the assessment and projection activity. However, in case of reliability growth rate changing, it is necessary to find the method to increase the "GOF" of reliability growth curves to test data. To increase GOF of reliability growth curves, it is necessary to find the proper parameter calculation method of interesting reliability growth models that are applicable to the situation of reliability growth rate changing. Since the Duane and AMSAA models have a characteristic to get more strong influence from the initial test (or failure) data than the latest one, the both models have a limitation to contain the latest test data information that is more important and better to assess test data in view of accuracy, especially when the reliability growth rate changing. The main objective of this research is to find the parameter calculation method to reflect the latest test data in the case of reliability growth rate changing. According to my experience in vehicle and construction equipment developments over 18 years, over the 90% in the total development cases are with such changing during the developing test. The objective of this research was to develop the newly assessing method and the process for GOF level increasing in case of reliability growth rate changing that would contribute to achieve more accurate assessing and projecting result. We also developed the new evaluation method for GOF that are applicable to the both models as Duane and AMSAA, so it is possible to compare it between models and check the effectiveness of new parameter calculation methods in any interesting situation. These research results can reduce the decision error for development process and business control with the accurately assessing and projecting result.

The Acclerated Life Test of Hard Disk In The Environment of PACS (PACS 환경에서 하드디스크의 가속 수명시험)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Chae, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we estimate the life cycle from acceleration life test about the hard disk of disk array of image storage of PACS. Webuil distribution was selected by the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test with data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$. The equality test of shape parameter and scale parameter was conducted, so that the probability distribution estimated from data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$ was not statistically significant. The shape parameter was 1.0409, The characteristic life was 24603.5 hours at normal user condition($30^{\circ}C$) by the analysis of weibull-arrhenius modeling which included the acceleration factor of temperature, and The activation energy was 0.5011 eV through arrhenius modeling. The failure analysis of the failure samples of acceleration test and the samples of market return was conducted, so that the share percentage of failure mode was detail difference but the rank of share percentage was almost same. This study suggest the test procedure of acceleration test of hard disk drive in PACS using environment, and help the life estimation at manufacture and use.