• Title/Summary/Keyword: Goodness of fit approach

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A Study on Operation Efficiency of Container Port by Comparison of Similar Ports (동종 항만군 분류를 통한 컨테이너항만의 운영효율화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • 정태원;곽규석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2001
  • The Principle objective of this paper is to introduce a systematic approach to identifying similar container ports in Asia. For this, it analyses data on port facilities, port facility availability, port service level total container throughput, and economic index, by using Multidimentional Scaling (MDS) method. Based on the analysis it identifies five groupings of similar container ports in Asia within which Port comparison can be justifiably made, evaluates a present position of five groupings on the basis of factors used to compare container ports in Asia ; and finally proposes policy implications for operation efficiency of Pusan container port in comparison with Kaohsiung Port. The major implication is that both the Kaosuing and the Pusan port have to strengthen port facility to attract more traffic, and particularly, Pusan Port has to reinforce the number of berth, total length of berth. and yard areas.

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Development of a Probabilistic Approach to Predict Motion Characteristics of a Ship under Wind Loads (풍하중을 고려한 확률론적 운동특성 평가기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Sang-Eui Lee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.315-323
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    • 2023
  • Marine accidents due to loss of stability of small ships have continued to increase over the past decade. In particular, since sudden winds have been pointed out as main causes of most small ship accidents, safety measures have been established to prevent them. In this regard, to prevent accidents caused by sudden winds, a systematic analysis technique is required. The aim of the present study was to develop a probabilistic approach to estimate extreme value and evaluate effects of wind on motion characteristics of ships. The present study included studies of motion analysis, extraction of extreme values, and motion characteristics. A series analysis was conducted for three conditions: wave only, wave with uniform wind speed, and wave with the NPD wind model. Hysteresis filtering and Peak-Valley filtering techniques were applied to time-domain motion analysis results for extreme value extraction. Using extracted extreme values, the goodness of fit test was performed on four distribution functions to select the optimal distribution-function that best expressed extreme values. Motion characteristics of a fishing boat were evaluated for three periodic motion conditions (Heave, Roll, and Pitch) and results were compared. Numerical analysis was performed using a commercial solver, ANSYS-AQWA.

Symptom Management to Predict Quality of Life in Patients with Heart Failure: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach (증상관리를 통한 심부전 환자의 삶의 질 예측모형)

  • Lee, Ja Ok;Song, Rhayun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.846-856
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The focus of this study was on symptom management to predict quality of life among individuals with heart failure. The theoretical model was constructed based on situation-specific theory of heart failure self-care and literature review. Methods: For participants, 241 outpatients at a university hospital were invited to the study from May 19 to July 30, 2014. Data were collected with structured questionnaires and analyzed using SPSSWIN and AMOS 20.0. Results: The goodness of fit index for the hypothetical model was .93, incremental fit index, .90, and comparative fit index, .90. As the outcomes satisfied the recommended level, the hypothetical model appeared to fit the data. Seven of the eight hypotheses selected for the hypothetical model were statistically significant. The predictors of symptom management, symptom management confidence and social support together explained 32% of the variance in quality of life. The 28% of variance in symptom management was explained by symptom recognition, heart failure knowledge and symptom management confidence. The 4% of variance in symptom management confidence was explained by social support. Conclusion: The hypothetical model of this study was confirmed to be adequate in explaining and predicting quality of life among patients with heart failure through symptom management. Effective strategies to improve quality of life among patients with heart failure should focus on symptom management. Symptom management can be enhanced by providing educational programs, encouraging social support and confidence, consequently improving quality of life among this population.

A Structural Model of Management Goal Orientations and Preferred Goal Achievement Index in one Hospital Employees (한 종합병원 구성원의 경영목표 지향성의 구조적 모형과 선호 경영성과지표)

  • Park, Jae-Sung
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.50-74
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to identify a determent of mastery approach goal and performance approach goal using a basic concept of goal orientations and goal setting theory, and to evaluate a preference of goal achievement index as a balance score card (BSC). The study model proposed had a adoptable level of goodness of fit index(.94) and root mean square residual(.08). The meditating variable, goal contribution, totally mediated the impact of goal commitment, Y-theory human behavior, and self-efficacy but organizational resource contribution for pursuing goal orientation. Moreover, goal contribution significantly determined mastery approach goal(p<.01) and performance approach goal(.05). In standardized effects, the most powerful antecedent of mastery approach goal and performance approach goal were in order of organizational resource contribution(.27/.28), goal contribution(.21/.17), self-efficacy(.07/.06), and Y -theory human behavior and goal commitment(.05/.05), respectively. Moreover, goal contribution had a more powerful impact on mastery approach goal(.21) rather than performance approach goal(.17). In the preference of BSC, all job types preferred learning and growth index in first. In the second preference, medical doctors and pharmacists chose financial results, nurses customer service, and office managers internal processes. Each job type reflected its' own preferred BSC index to that of the other job types. In comparing a preference of four BSC index of each own job type, it was statistically different at p<.001. In conclusion, one who emphasize organizational goal contribution in pursuing goal orientation has a more strong orientation toward mastery approach goal rather than performance approach goal. A hospital should overcome and harmonize the different preferences of four BSC index since the differences might cause organizational conflicts among job types with having each unique professional norm.

AN IMPROVED ADDITIVE MODEL FOR RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF SOFTWARE WITH MODULAR STRUCTURE

  • Chatterjee, S.;Nigam, S.;Singh, J.B.;Upadhyaya, L.N.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.30 no.3_4
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2012
  • Most of the software reliability models are based on black box approach and these models consider the entire software system as a single unit. Present day software development process has changed a lot. In present scenario these models may not give better results. To overcome this problem an improved additive model has been proposed in this paper, to estimate the reliability of software with modular structure. Also the concept of imperfect debugging has been also considered. A maximum likelihood estimation technique has been used for estimating the model parameters. Comparison has been made with an existing model. ${\chi}^2$ goodness of fit has been used for model fitting. The proposed model has been validated using real data.

A Flexible Modeling Approach for Current Status Survival Data via Pseudo-Observations

  • Han, Seungbong;Andrei, Adin-Cristian;Tsui, Kam-Wah
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.947-958
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    • 2012
  • When modeling event times in biomedical studies, the outcome might be incompletely observed. In this paper, we assume that the outcome is recorded as current status failure time data. Despite well-developed literature the routine practical use of many current status data modeling methods remains infrequent due to the lack of specialized statistical software, the difficulty to assess model goodness-of-fit, as well as the possible loss of information caused by covariate grouping or discretization. We propose a model based on pseudo-observations that is convenient to implement and that allows for flexibility in the choice of the outcome. Parameter estimates are obtained based on generalized estimating equations. Examples from studies in bile duct hyperplasia and breast cancer in conjunction with simulated data illustrate the practical advantages of this model.

Flood Frequency Analysis by the Box-Cox Transformation

  • 이순혁;조성갑;박명곤
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.32 no.E
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 1990
  • Abstract This study was conducted to pursue the normalization of frequency distribution by making an approach to the coefficient of skewness to nearly zero through the Box-Cox transformation, to get probable flood flows can be calculated by means of the transformation equation which has been derivated by Box-Cox transformation in the annual maximum series of the applied watersheds. It has been concluded that Box-Cox transfromation is proved to be more efficient than logarithmic, square root and SMEMAX transformation which is based on the trigonometric solution of a right triangle whose three verteces repesent the smallest, median and largest observed values of a population in making the coefficient of skewness nearer to zero. Consequently it is shown that probable flood flows according to the return period based on Box-Cox transformation are closer to the observed data as compared to other methods including SMEMAX transformation and fitted probability distributions such as the three parameter lognormal and the type I extremal distribution for the applied watersheds.

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A Modification of the W Test for Exponentiality

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.159-171
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    • 2001
  • Shapiro and Wilk (1972) developed a test for exponentiality with origin and scale unknown. The procedure consists of comparing the generalized least squares estimate of scale with the estimate of scale given by the sample variance. However the test statistic is inconsistent ; that is, the power of the test will not approach 1 as the sample size increases. Hence we give a test based on the ratio of two asymptotically efficient estimates of scale. We also have conducted a power study to compare the test procedures, using Monte Carlo samples from a wide range of alternatives. It is found that the suggested statistics have higher power for the alternatives with the coefficient of variation greater that or equal to 1.

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Statistical Analysis of End-to-End Delay for VoIP Service in Mobile WiMAX Networks

  • Islam, Mohd. Noor;Jang, Yeong-Min
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.2A
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    • pp.196-201
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    • 2010
  • Measurement of Quality of Service (QoS) parameters and its statistical analysis becomes a key issue for Mobile WiMAX service providers to manage the converged network efficiently and to support end-to-end QoS. In this paper, we investigate the population distribution of end-to-end one-way delay which is the most important QoS parameter in Mobile WiMAX networks. The samples are analyzed with Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S), and Anderson-Darling (A-D) test to verify the distribution of parent population. The relation with confidence level and the minimum number of sample size is also performed for logistic distribution. The statistical analysis is a promising approach for measuring the performance Mobile WiMAX networks.

Modified information criterion for testing changes in generalized lambda distribution model based on confidence distribution

  • Ratnasingam, Suthakaran;Buzaianu, Elena;Ning, Wei
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.301-317
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a change point detection procedure based on the modified information criterion in a generalized lambda distribution (GLD) model. Simulations are conducted to obtain empirical critical values of the proposed test statistic. We have also conducted simulations to evaluate the performance of the proposed methods comparing to the log-likelihood method in terms of power, coverage probability, and confidence sets. Our results indicate that, under various conditions, the proposed method modified information criterion (MIC) approach shows good finite sample properties. Furthermore, we propose a new goodness-of-fit testing procedure based on the energy distance to evaluate the asymptotic null distribution of our test statistic. Two real data applications are provided to illustrate the use of the proposed method.