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Quantitative Analysis of Gartner's "Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies" (가트너 "부상하는 기술을 위한 Hype Cycle"의 정량적 분석)

  • Park, Yoo-hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.1041-1048
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    • 2018
  • Gartner's Hype Cycle model is widely used to describe technology maturity, acceptability, and commercialization. In the Hype Cycle model, the techniques go through five stages, those are Innovation Trigger(first stage), stage Peak of Inflated Expectations(second stage), Trough of Disillusionment(third stage), Slope of Enlightenment(fourth stage) and Plateau of Productivity(fifth stage). In many studies, Hype Cycle is widely used as a basis for future prediction of technology, but the verification is somewhat lacking. In this paper, we analyzed the technologies that appeared in the Hype Cycle for the emerging technologies from 1995 to 2017. Through this, we found technologies that appeared as non first stage when first appearing, and techniques that showed a reversal of the maturity stage. In addition, we found that none of the technologies from 1995 to 2017 had gone through stages 1-5.

Tree Biotechnology and Environmental Concerns

  • Kant, Tarun;Emmanuel, C.J.S.K.
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2004
  • Forestry sector has witnessed some unprecedented events in the recent past both in terms of galloping biotechnological developments and heated environmental debates over risks associated with release of transgenic trees. Improvements in the in vitro propagation techniques has made it possible to develop tissue culture based plant regeneration protocols just for about any tree species. And with the inclusion of every new species within the realms of tissue culture technology, it becomes a candidate for genetic improvement through recombinant DNA technology, the so called genetic engineering. Poplars and their hybrids serve as the model tree species on which most of the genetic transformation work as been carried out. A lot of work has also gone in genetic transformation of fruit trees and trees of horticultural interests. Trees have been successfully transformed for traits ranging from reduction of length of juvenile phase to alteration of tree architecture to altering wood quality by lignin and cellulose modification. More-over trees have been genetically engineered successfully to combat various types of insect pests and pathogens causing diseases. But all these developments have ignited controversies over the possible benefits and risks associated with transgenic plantations by various environmental agencies and activists. Solutions to most of these concerns can be found out with more intensive prioritized research.

A Study on the Characteristics of Windmill Type Ultrasonic Motor (풍차형 초음파 모터의 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyung;Park, Tae-Gone
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.07b
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    • pp.636-640
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    • 2003
  • As industrial technology was developed, necessity for small size motor was increased on various fields such as medical treatment and robotics. The motor should be simple structure, and it has easy process of manufacture to overcome the limit of miniaturization. So, "the windmill type ultrasonic motor" is enough to satisfy these conditions. In this paper, windmill type ultrasonic motor which was proposed by B.Koc and K.Uchino, was analyzed and fabricated with modified endcap shape. Displacements of arms of the proposed endcap were compared with the previous endcap, using the finite element analysis program (ANSYS). Better rotational characteristics was expected in proposed model as result of FEA. Experimentally, rotary motors of 3.5 [cm] diameter were fabricated, and the speed and torque of the motor were measured. As a result, speed and torque were changed in proportion to the electrical input voltages. And low efficiency which was different from an expectation was obtained in this motor. So, various problems should be improved for practical use.

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Generating Characteristics of Cymbal Type Piezoelectric Transducer according to Change of Cymbal Cap (심벌캡 변화에 따른 심벌타입 압전 트랜스듀서의 발전특성)

  • Park, Choong-Hyo;Kim, Jong-Wook;Chong, Hyon-Ho;Jeong, Seong-Su;Kim, Myung-Ho;Park, Tae-Gone
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.318-318
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we studied generating characteristic of cymbal type piezoelectric transducer according to change of cymbal cap. The transducer is composed of circular piezoelectric ceramic and two elastic bodies which are shaped as cymbal. Two elastic bodies are attached to upper and bottom of the ceramic. Principle of the transducer is to generate expanded displacement because vertical stress is transformed into horizontal stress by slope angle of elastic bodies. The transducer also has advantage of high durability by the angle of elastic bodies. In this study, each parameter was chosen, and then generating characteristics were analyzed by FEM program. The parameters were slope angle of cymbal cap (theta), cap height (h) and cap inner diameter(d). The model that had generating characteristic Of high voltage was chosen by results of the analysis. Besides, maximum vertical displacements according to change of vertical stress were analyzed by structural analysis in order to find out relation between the maximum vertical stress which can prevent from ceramic damage and conditions of each cap.

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Experimental Study on Heat Flow According to the Wind Velocity in an Underground Life Space (지하생활공간 화재시 풍속에 따른 열유동 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Young-No;Suk, Chang-Mok;Kim, Wha-Jung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study analyzes heat flows and fire behavior through a reduced-scale model experiments about change of wind velocity in underground life space. When the wind velocity is increased the temperature rise time of the fire room was risen fast. And temperature of fire room was increased. And increase of wind velocity displayed maximum temperature at an opening of the fire room. Heat flows by fire spread increase size of smoke occurrence and flame, and displayed high temperature distribution in passageway than inside of neighborhood department promoting eddy flow spread as wind velocity increases. Finally, heat flows are decided by wind and wind velocity at fire of underground life space, and Wind velocity increases, temperature increase and decrease could confirm that is gone fast.

Motives, Strategies and Patterns of Foreign Direct Investment : The Case of Japanese and Korean Firms

  • Park, Kang-H.;Lim, Yong-Taek
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.387-407
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    • 2005
  • This paper is to study globalization motives and strategies of Japanese and Korean industries by analyzing the causes and patterns of foreign direct investment (FDI) of the firms of the two countries during the 1980s and 1990s. First we develop a FDI function from the profit maximizing model of firms. Then we use regression analysis to determine internally driving-out factors and externally-inducing factors. Japanese FDI strategy has gone through three different stages; from natural resource-seeking investment in the 1950s and 1960s to market-expansion investment in the 1970s and 1980s and to a combination of cost-reducing (low-cost labor-seeking) investment and market-penetrating investment in the 1990s. On the other hand, Korean FDI behavior has gone through four different stages; from the learning stage with small investments in the 1970s, to natural resource-seeking investment in the early and mid 1980s, to the growth stage in the late 1980s and the early 1990s, to the maturity stage of the mid and late 1990s. The last two stages were characterized by a combination of cost-reducing investment and market-seeking investment. As a late comer, Korea began its FDI two decades later than Japan, but caught up the patterns of Japanese FDI by the mid 1990s and is in a competing position with Japan. Our findings show that both Japanese FDI and Korean FDI in Asia and other developing countries tendto be in labor-intensive sectors where their firms are losing their comparative advantages at home. The main motive for FDI into these regions is low-cost resource seeking. On the other hand, both Japanese FDI and Korean FDI in the U.S. and Europe tend to be knowledge-intensive sectors where Japanese and Korean firms attempt to internalize transaction and information costs by globalizing its production. The main motive for FDI into these regions is market-seeking. Firms in both countries have increased their investments in Mexico and Western and Eastern Europe in order to penetrate large economic blocs such as the EU and NAFTA area. Korean firms are more aggressive in expanding into new and untested markets than are their counterpart in Japan. Evidence of this can be seen in the scarcity of Japanese FDI and abundance of Korean FDI in Eastern Europe and China.

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An Empirical Study on the Estimate of Rational Real Estate Bubble in Korea (한국 부동산 시장의 합리적 버블 추정에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chun, Hae-Jung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2014
  • The present study was aimed to estimate the rational bubble by using the state space model and Kalman filter, of the national, capital, non-capital, Gangnam, and Gangbuk regions housing sales price from November 2003 to August 2013, for the whole period, and before and after the global financial crisis. For the whole period, Gangnam marked the highest rational bubble of 25.4%, followed by Gangbuk 21.3%, capital region 20.1%, whole country 18.9%, and non-capital region 14.3%. Prior to the global financial crisis, Gangnam showed 26.7% of bubble, which is approximately 7.4% higher than Gangbuk with 19.3%. On the other hand, after the global financial crisis, the bubble has collapsed a lot with Gangnam 13.2% and Gangbuk 10.7%; however, the non-capital region showed rather an increase of about 15% from 4.2% before the crisis to 9.0% after the crisis. The main cause of this is that the trading price has declined but the rents have risen in the capital region including Gangnam and Gangbuk, while the transaction price has gone up in non-capital region due to various positive signs like the moving of public institutions.

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Hong Kong's Anti-Ordinance Amendment Movement and the Trend of Change in the One Country-Two System (香港反修例运动与"一国两制"演变趋势)

  • Tian, Feilong
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.59-85
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    • 2019
  • The Hong Kong's Anti-Ordinance Amendment Movement is the most serious radical social movement since the 1997 return, which has served as the promotion of the 2014 Occupy Central Movement and broken through the violence baseline. The movement came from a criminal case committed in Taiwan,which gave a good reason and motivation for the HK government to amend the Fugitive Offenders Ordinance. The HK government has responded to the protests by strictly limiting the legal scope and transfer procedure, even giving up the legislative motion. But the protests still say no and develop into the constantly violent activities. Many of the protests have committed the crimes in HK laws,part of whom have been arrested,prosecuted and under judicially judged. It is necessary for the offenders to be punished to protect the authority of rule of law in HK. Two different paths for HK have fought against each other since the 1997 return: one is the "democratic-welfare" path taken by the Pan-Democratic Camp, the other is the "Legal-development" path taken by the Pan-Establishment Camp. The second path shares some nuclear characteristics of the so-called The China Model mainly shaped from the 40-years Reforms and Openness. However, the HK people can't understand the China Model very well and show great fear and distrust on the judicial system of Mainland China. The foreign powers such as US and UK have illegally interfered the HK issues which are deemed to be the domestic affairs of China. The so-called Sino-UK Joint Declaration can't serve as the legal basis for the interference. Taiwan, as a part of China, also plays a negative role in this movement for its electoral and political interest. Up to now, the movement has gone down and the HK government has the legal capacity to solve the problems under the supports from the central government and the HK people. The HK people love its rule of law and order under the constitutional framework of One Country Two System. After the movement,One Country Two Systems will be go on, and the integrated development under the policies of the central government will be the main stream. However, the relevant problems exposed by this movement muse be checked and solved legally and strictly,especially concerning the social inequality and youth development.

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Relationship between Transformational Leadership and Innovative Behavior (변혁적 리더십과 조직혁신간의 관계)

  • Ko, Hyon-Sook;Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.361-377
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    • 2011
  • This study has three primary purposes, firstly to identify how leader's personal characters influence to his/her transformational leadership, secondly to find how transformational leadership influences to innovative behavior, finally to explore how organizational cultures moderate between transformational leadership and innovative behavior. The first part of the study, based on literature study on transformational leadership, provides insight into what are antecedents, moderators and dependent variable in transformational leadership. Firstly, leader's personal characters are selected as antecedent variables such as extroversion and self-efficacy. Secondly, innovative behavior is introduced as a dependent variable. Thirdly, two types of organizational culture are considered as moderators between leader's personal character and leadership In this study, a comprehensive research model and hypothesis were empirically tested based on data from three types of questionnaires involving 663 employees in Korean organizations. In order to test the hypotheses, we have used Structural Equations Model (SEM) from AMOS7.0. In this analysis, we have employed raw data as it is instead of correlation matrix or covariance matrix. We have tested hypotheses by examining the significance of each path of the model, and gone through the process of testing the goodness of fit of the model itself. The results of statistical analysis show the following. Firstly, one of leader's personalities, self-efficacy has positive effect on his/her transformational leadership, but extroversion does not have positive effect. Secondly, transformational leadership has positive effect on innovative behavior. Finally, there was not any cultural moderating effects between transformational leadership and innovative behavior.

System Level Space Environment Testing of Satellite Digital Transponder (디지털 위성중계기에 대한 시스템 단위의 우주환경 검증 시험)

  • Song, Young-Joong;Kim, Jung-Ho;Lee, Sue-Hyun;Seo, Hak-Geum;Shin, Guan-Ho;Jin, Bong-Chul
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38C no.12
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    • pp.1159-1169
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    • 2013
  • EQM Model Digital transponder applying the Korean's own designing and manufacturing technology has gone through a series of trials and errors during the development. In particular, lack of thermal designs expedience for the vacuum causes variety of errors in designing, assembling transponder and setting up the test at the first thermal vacuum test (TVAC). Since the first TVAC test could not accomplished its aims successfully, so the second TVAC should be performed as make up test with revised Digital transponder. In this paper, the defects that identified in the first TVAC are analyzed and applied solutions and its results at the second TVAC are presented. Using the lessons from the first and second TVAC, we will be able to make more reliable digital transponders in the next phase of project. In addition it also be useful as a reference when we design another satellite payloads.